Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

Shawn Siegele dives deep into the evidence and breaks out the full RotoViz toolkit to help you find a receiver who profiles as the 2023 version of DeVonta Smith. In Part 1 of this series, I framed the project this way: You only have so many early-round selections. Players on the same NFL team are frequently dealing with the same team-level risks. That leads to…...

Could 2022’s top WR breakout candidate and the best Zero RB option come from the same team? Shawn Siegele debates the best way to play a controversial offense. When RotoViz subscribers talk about crafting a roster, they’re usually thinking about a mix of structural drafting at the squad level and contingency-based drafting at the player level. They’re building their rosters out from back to front…...

Shawn Siegele examines the fantasy fallout from Dalvin Cook’s release and asks whether Ty Chandler or DeWayne McBride could become the 2023 league winner as Alexander Mattison disappoints. It’s been an open secret that the Minnesota Vikings would move on from Cook this summer. The former star generated 101.5 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) across the 2019 and 2020 seasons, but that dropped into the…...