Shawn Siegele looks at the evidence for 2024’s biggest running back value and wonders whether we’re getting LeSean McCoy circa 2016 all over again.  LeSean McCoy’s 2016 season occurred at the intersection of trends that reverberate forward to the present. We were coming off the 2015 RB Apocalypse, and ADP moved heavily in favor of WRs. A short-lived RB Golden Age was about to start…....

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Jacksonville Jaguars while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Early this spring, I ran correlations on all the stats from the RotoViz Screener and many key advanced stats from the other RotoViz tools. I dated them back to 2015, using the entire field for all counting stats and minimums for stats based on averages and percentages, and I correlated them to the following year’s PPR (PPR.N1). This is a great exercise to understand better…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Indianapolis Colts while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...

Shawn Siegele breaks down his favorite 2024 play and explains why he’s willing to be wrong . . . again. I’ve been working on this piece for quite a while, and I’m feeling some gratitude that early practice reports appear to be pointing in the right direction. Of course, 97.6% of NFL players are enjoying good camps at this point. It’s a great time to…...

Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs.  That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Houston Texans while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Shawn Siegele breaks down four post-cliff wide receivers who help rescue any fantasy football build in 2024. In 2024 drafters are faced with a choice: hammer WR early . . . or lose? The evidence is pretty convincing. In his simulation of thousands of seasons and millions of teams, Jake Boes found that early WR was the best way to attack the new ADP environment in…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Green Bay Packers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out…...

Blair Andrews pens Part 3 in a series helping you build super teams through a better understanding of wide receiver breakouts. Since the early days at RotoViz we’ve spilled plenty of words explaining why you wanted to take a fast and furious approach to WR drafting. But we’ve spent even more time helping you find the right WRs. Of course, the NFL continues to evolve and…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Detroit Lions while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Shawn Siegele explores five key components he uses to build out the Zero RB draft board, and then breaks down 61 players using those criteria. As we move toward the 2024 Zero RB Candidates Countdown, I’ve been working on a series of articles that help place RB outcomes in the context of upside scenarios and downside risks. We Won’t Get Another Kyren Williams, But This…...

The running back position is as volatile as ever, and seemingly every year we see players at the position come out of nowhere to earn meaningful roles at all points of the season. What is perhaps flying under the radar is that all four teams in the AFC West have questions relating to the amount of depth, talent, or both in their RB depth charts…....

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Denver Broncos while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Shawn Siegele investigates Kyren Williams’ league-crushing campaign to find out what it can tell us about fantasy running back drafting. Can two dark horse candidates follow in his footsteps? Every so often we get a lightning-strike player who completely turns the fantasy season on its head. In 2023 that was Kyren Williams. Searching for players like Williams can present problems. We don’t expect to get…...