NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
Austin Ekeler may be my favorite player in the NFL, or at least he might be my second favorite after his higher priced and higher scoring doppelganger. In 2020, Ekeler and Christian McCaffrey generated win rates of 21% and 31% respectively. They did so with the type of freakish athleticism at smaller sizes that offers make-you-miss ability with transcendent receiving skills. Given the tenuous nature…...
David Montgomery slogged to a frustrating RB24 finish on 242 carries as a rookie. He averaged only 3.7 yards per attempt and ranked No. 152 in fantasy points over expectation. Only Frank Gore and Le’Veon Bell generated more negative FPOE in the run game. Montgomery still offers intriguing potential entering his second year. He ranked No. 12 in opportunities a season ago, and his current…...
The wide receiver class of 2020 is very good and very deep. Devy owners have been looking forward to their arrival, while dynasty owners are loading up in rookie drafts. In the Black Crown startup, I prioritized rookie picks, and then I selected six WRs during the rookie draft. Still, this class has an almost impossible task if they want to match the 2014 group…....
Allen Robinson has been a personal favorite since we pushed dynasty owners to grab him during the loaded 2014 receiver draft. He broke out with a massive 304-point performance in Year 2 and looked like a permanent member of the WR firmament. Unfortunately, quarterback play and injuries derailed his career. He didn’t post another top-24 season until 2019. Robinson’s 254-point campaign returned him to WR1…...
Fantasy owners are continually trying to find the next value. We love to find players who we think have a higher perceived value than their current price suggests. While I have taken a different approach in the past and have focused on players I think you should “buy high” on, sometimes the value for individual players is too great to ignore. As you prepare for…...
In The Ultimate 2020 Fantasy Football Sleepers List – Tight Ends, Curtis Patrick shares his top late-round targets who could pop this NFL Season. Last week, I released my Ultimate 2020 Fantasy Football Sleepers List – Running Back edition. Ultimate Sleepers at RB had to meet the following criteria: must have an overall ADP outside the top-180 must have a positional ADP outside the top-60…...
Every offseason brings new opportunities, new hope, and new possibilities. Teams look to reload and make the changes needed to get over the playoff hump. Others are looking to run it back to the Conference Championship or the Super Bowl. Still, others are rebuilding and addressing team needs via free agency or the draft. I’m narrowing my scope to focus on three teams that will…...
DeVante Parker broke out with 246 points in 2019. The No. 14 overall pick from 2015 crested the 200-point threshold for the first time in his fifth season. Parker followed an unusual path. Over the last 20 years, this was the first time a former first-round pick had broken out in Year 5. It was also the first time in several years that a fifth-round…...
After five years in the Buffalo desert, Robert Woods emerged when he joined the Rams in 2017. Three seasons with finishes between WR18 and WR14 (per game) followed. Woods has parlayed that into a WR18 ADP in 2020, a fair price for a player with his profile. But what if you don’t want to pay a fair price? If you’re looking to get this production…...
How do you build a juggernaut? How do you craft a team with more than just the occasional value player? Who should you draft to withstand the vagaries of the season and emerge better than ever? These are the questions we’re obsessed with at RotoViz, and we try to answer them from a variety of perspectives. One angle is to create upside from uncertainty. Zero…...
Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many…...
Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they…...
A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have…...
Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round…....
The 2020 version of the Draft Dashboard was released yesterday. If you haven’t used the tool before, it’s a drafting tool that helps to keep all of the pertinent information in a draft organized and summarized in a way that facilitates efficient and confident decision making. The tool centers on using RotoViz tiers to track the quality of available players while at the same timing…...
Welcome back to another installment of Decoding Backfields. If you’ve been tuning in for the last few pieces, you know this goes. If not, here’s the quick version. My goal is to decode a backfield with question marks surrounding a specific player value and anticipated production for this coming season. If you’d like to read my previous pieces, they are listed here: San Francisco 49ers…...
There are several factors in play that could lead you towards the opinion that Adam Thielen is ready for a bounceback campaign in 2020. However, there are just as many that should lead you to think the exact opposite. It is these negative factors that you must keep in mind in drafts when you start thinking about adding the Minnesota Vikings man. Bouncebackability? Predicting bounceback…...
Running backs win fantasy leagues. Well, at least they have the potential to impact leagues more than other positions. The new Best Ball Win Rate Explorer tool lets us see the top-10 highest best ball win rate seasons over the last five years. Eight of them — including the top-seven — are RBs. Player Position Year ADP Win Rate Christian McCaffrey RB 2019 2.4…...
In The Ultimate 2020 Fantasy Football Sleepers List – Running Backs, Curtis Patrick shares his top late-round targets who could pop this NFL Season if everything falls just right. These are players going so late they’re nearly free. It’s the final round of your 2020 fantasy draft and you’ve been crushing every round. Maybe you already successfully landed one of my must-draft running backs for 2020…...
The Scott Fish Bowl is one of my favorite leagues every year. Not only does it help raise money for Fantasy Cares to support various charities, but it also always has among the most interesting scoring and roster settings. The league has typical 1-QB, 2-RB, 3-WR, 1-TE starting lineup requirements, but the addition of four flex spots, including one Superflex, adds several wrinkles. Tight-end-premium scoring…...
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