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In case you missed it, I just recently outlined a new way to predict future NFL draft capital and success for quarterbacks. It’s not perfect, but making small adjustments to how we process quarterback stats can go a long way in predicting success. That’s what we’ll attempt to do here today. We’ll be taking a look at the next generation of quarterbacks who are still…...
Travis May breaks down a few future first-round running backs, the new wide receiver university, and a couple tight ends who could earn some serious draft capital. With a look at the quarterback, running back, and wide receiver positions, Travis helps you understand their athletic and production profiles, tells you where they rank now in devy, and projects their future NFL Draft capital. SEC PREVIEW…...
This may seem obvious, but predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. And that’s not what we’re trying to do here. But when it comes to fantasy football, we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. Makes…...
What makes a quarterback good? And can we truly predict which quarterback prospects will be good once they make the leap from college to the NFL? It seems there is more disagreement on top quarterback prospects than any other position group each year. And yet every year, one (or more) of the top quarterback prospects ends up being a bust. Why is that? And how…...
Sam Wallace profiles three running backs that dynasty managers should be willing to pay up for. In the age of buying low and selling high, it’s a worthwhile exercise to go against the grain once in a while. I’m not suggesting you go out of your way to sell your assets low just to get rid of them, although being stuck in sunk-cost fallacy could…...
Sam Wallace profiles three wide receivers that dynasty managers should be willing to pay up for. In the age of buying low and selling high, it’s a worthwhile exercise to go against the grain once in a while. I’m not suggesting you go out of your way to sell your assets low just to get rid of them, although being stuck in sunk-cost fallacy could…...
In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a prime-age, potential WR1 who’s being drafted in Round 8 of startups at WR28. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. Earlier this offseason, I revealed an RB who is being drafted like an RB4…...
Shawn Siegele discusses the players he wants to own in all fantasy leagues, regardless of format. Last weekend I had the chance to draft a $100,000 FFPC best ball tournament team with Zachary Krueger on his show, Roster Locked. In the question-and-answer session, I mentioned that I don’t diversify my rosters quite as much as some fantasy players. I’m willing to own a high concentration…...
Shawn Siegele breaks down the first two rounds of a devy draft in one of his most competitive expert leagues. A few weeks ago our college football and developmental dynasty guru, Travis May, put together a cool look at a three-round draft that was a mix of rookie and devy. It helps answer some key questions for startup managers. Where do the current devy assets…...
Blair Andrews revisits his research on running back draft age. Do younger RBs still provide an edge? Where does that edge come from? And which RBs should we be targeting in redraft and trading for in dynasty? We know, when looking for fantasy wide receiver prospects, younger is generally better. Does this hold for running back prospects? In the Wrong Read, No 30, I found…...
Shawn Siegele discusses the importance of trading during dynasty startups and outlines concepts that will help you dominate leagues like the new RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty format from the FFPC. Blair Andrews and I recently participated in a dynasty startup in the awesome RotoViz TriFlex format. This new offering from the FFPC includes superflex, TE Premium, a greater emphasis on wide receivers, and more flex spots…...
As part of an ongoing Rookie Comparison Series, Sam Wallace takes a closer look at Darnell Mooney’s rookie season through the lens of The RotoViz Screener. Does the arrival of rookie quarterback Justin Fields signify a second-year breakout or is Mooney best left on your bench? An annual tradition in the fantasy football community consists of trying to identify the next breakout wide receiver. At…...
Sam Wallace identifies two veteran players to consider adding to your dynasty squads this offseason as you work towards a fantasy championship in 2021. Player values continuously fluctuate during the calendar year. Dynasty managers have become adept at determining the most optimal time to trade away, or trade for, players and future rookie picks. We all know when rookie fever sets in, and we’ve heard…...
What will the future of the NFL look like? Which young players will rise to stardom as the next generation of household NFL names? Will this year’s rookie class be full of studs, or duds? And what current college players are set to burst through this fall and hear their names called early on in the next few NFL Drafts? That’s exactly what we dive…...
The goal in any dynasty league is, or at least should be, to put yourself in what Shawn Siegele has called the Permanent Championship Window (PCW). Proponents of the PCW look at the debate between win-now and win-later strategies and ask, “why not both?” Suppose you could win in Year 1 … and also in Year 2, Year 3, and beyond. If winning now and…...
If the tales of various former scouts and front office executives are to be believed, every year during the NFL Draft there will come a time when an evaluator will vigorously champion the cause for a player he dearly wants the team to draft. Often these incidents occur late in the draft after the obvious blue chippers have all been taken. But the scouts, people…...
As part of an ongoing Rookie Comparison Series, Sam Wallace takes a closer look at Justin Herbert’s rookie season through the lens of The RotoViz Screener. How does Herbert’s future outlook compare to his historical comps? Is he primed to establish himself as one of the premier fantasy producers at the quarterback position? Record-setting seasons, especially by rookies, are tough to evaluate through a dynasty…...
The NFL Draft is firmly behind us, and the vast expanse of rookie and dynasty startup drafts lies ahead. To be sure, it’s an exciting time. The offseason period between the Super Bowl and the NFL Draft is quite the journey, but now we have landing spots for each of the incoming rookies, and prospective depth charts are starting to take shape. If you did…...
Shawn Siegele looks at a couple of inexpensive rookie running backs to stockpile in dynasty leagues and consider in deep best ball formats. Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve focused on evidence-based methods for crushing your rookie drafts and creating the permanent championship window. The PCW is the foundation of our Dynasty Workshop series, and it’s not based on any single tactic. Rather, it’s…...
Shawn Siegele explains why the wrong players are being targeted in the second and third rounds of 2021 rookie drafts and helps you find prospects with the characteristics that lead to exploding dynasty value. I tend to think of the RotoViz Dynasty Workshop as an attempt to get just that little bit better at everything. Perhaps this is similar to Dave Brailsford’s Aggregation of Marginal…...
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