Anthony Amico

Anthony is a football coach who possesses two different mathematics degrees. He uses his combined knowledge in those two fields to attack the fantasy landscape across a variety of formats, including daily fantasy, dynasty, and 2QB. He lives to be contrarian. In addition to RotoViz, Anthony is currently a contributor for Fantasy Insiders, TwoQBs, and numberFire.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Ezekiel Elliott is Already More Valuable Than Todd Gurley

Well, it finally happened. After waiting for over a year for the Cowboys to replace DeMarco Murray with a talented running back worthy of their elite offensive line, the team pulled the trigger on Ezekiel Elliott at pick four overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. I already postured that the top two players in rookie drafts are RBs, and that if either Elliott or Derrick Henry ended up in…...

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The Post-Draft Will Fuller Comps

In one of the more surprising picks of the night, the Houston Texans selected Notre Dame wide receiver Will Fuller 21st overall. While it wasn’t particularly surprising that Fuller was drafted in the first round, it was surprising to see him drafted ahead of both Laquon Treadwell and Josh Doctson…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC South Coaching Trends

This is the third post in a series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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fantasy football apps

Your 2016 MFL10 Roster Should Be Constructed Around This 4th Round Pick

In 2015 Jordan Reed owners had a win rate of 19.1 percent, the fourth best overall and trailing only the owners of Devonta Freeman, DeAngelo Williams, and Julio Jones…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Something to Lose: Three Veterans Threatened by the NFL Draft

In this article we’ll take a quick look at three veteran fantasy football assets whose value is potentially threatened by the 2016 NFL Draft. Darren McFadden While the offseason signing of Alfred Morris is concerning, Jerry Jones still considers McFadden the “starting running back” in Dallas. And McFadden’s usage makes him very fantasy relevant. Yes, you are about to hear an argument in favor of one of the…...

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The Laquon Treadwell Comps That Will Make You a Believer

Before the NFL Draft, I want to double down on my stance that Laquon Treadwell is the best wide receiver prospect in this class. I’m going to do that by showing you a group of comparable players that is incredibly safe, has very high upside, and suggests that Treadwell may be a first round pick in dynasty startup drafts in the future. The cutoffs I used were all simple…...

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Does Ball Velocity Tell Us Anything About QB Success?

In an age where medical records, Wonderlic scores and even questions/answers from private NFL combine interviews are leaked, an underdeveloped avenue of information related to the draft process is quarterback ball velocity. But does a measure of how fast a QB can throw a ball have any place in predicting a passer’s success?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Updated Rookie Running Back Opportunity Scores: Draft Night Edition

We re-introduced the rookie running back opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship between how productive the backfield was the prior year and its running backs’ ADPs leading into the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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Updated Rookie Wide Receiver Opportunity Scores: Draft Night Edition

We re-introduced the rookie wide receiver opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship of pre-draft ADP between teams’ quarterbacks and receiver corps…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Four Prospects I May Be Overvaluing

Before the 2016 NFL Draft, I want to highlight four prospects that I may be overvaluing. These aren’t prospects that I’m just higher on than other people, like Daniel Lasco, but prospects that I still have some nagging questions about. Devontae Booker, Utah RB I personally have Booker ranked as the RB5 in this class and he also ended up as the RB5 in our pre-draft…...

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The Dream Draft Scenario: How Every 1st Round Rookie Pick Gains Value This Weekend

Holders of first round rookie picks are hoping to see a big jump in value this weekend. In my dream scenario every trendy player lands with the perfect franchise to make that happen. This time next week you could be fielding multiple trade offers for these previously maligned picks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Dynasty Stock Market: Walk Them Through the Out Door; You Can Find Them In A Second Hand Store

This article is continuing a two-part monthly series called Dynasty Stock Market that discusses which players I am buying or selling on my Dynasty rosters. The April buy piece about investing in unpopular running backs can be found here. The March installments can be found here (buys) and here (sells). The February installments can be found here (buys) and here (sells). The January installments can he found here (buys) and…...

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Pray Devon Cajuste Gets Drafted as a Tight End

If RotoViz excels at anything, it is finding nice things to say about prospects. So the sparse coverage of the 2016 tight end class in the RotoViz 2016 NFL Draft Guide may be the most damning indictment there is…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2016 NFL Draft: San Francisco 49ers Mock

It wasn’t too long ago that the 49ers were one of the premiere teams in the NFL. Now with new head coach Chip Kelly and a GM on the hot seat, the team has to make strong selections in the 2016 NFL draft. I will go through all the teams picks and make the suggestions I believe would best help the team become an immediate contender…...

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2016 NFL Draft: Risers, Fallers, Movers, and Shakers

Here’s a quick run through four 2016 NFL draft scenarios that could have major fantasy football implications. Whose stock is rising, and whose is falling? Who’s moving up boards, and who’s shaking up drafts? Rising – Ryan Mathews, RB Rotoworld recently passed along speculation that Darren Sproles could be dealt before or during the draft. I speculated earlier this offseason that Sproles could be a…...

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A Potentially Elite RB Prospect Flies Below the Draft Radar

Despite a reality draft believed to be the deepest in years, this isn’t a particularly appealing draft at the fantasy positions. With the possible exception of Ezekiel Elliott at 1.o1, the top half of the first round has a fraction of its normal value. Savvy drafters would probably prefer to trade down into the Will Fuller/Tyler Boyd section or out of the 2016 first round…...

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Mock Draft

NFL – Jared Goff is a Top-Tier Prospect: Andrew Healy, Football Outsiders – Numbers Game 49

Episode 49 (April 27, 2016): The forty-ninth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), an analytics-focused RotoViz Radio powered podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC West Coaching Trends

Twenty-one NFL teams have hired a new head coach since 2013. Coaches dictate how the players we draft are utilized, yet they turn over more than a rotisserie chicken. What this series of posts aims to do is ignore the historical trends of a particular team and instead focus on the offensive tendencies of specific coaching staffs across the NFL…. Membership Required You must be a...

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On a Long Enough Timeline – The Effects of Age in Dynasty Trade Values

As I mentioned yesterday, I’m working on a machine learning model that can hopefully predict dynasty trade values one year into the future. The utility of this model is pretty obvious – it could allow you to sell players whose value is likely to decline, while also buying players whose value is likely to increase. As I’m working on the model I’m also inspecting the…...

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The 2016 NFL Draft: Detroit Lions Mock

The 2016 NFL draft arrives this week. Here’s some wishful thinking about which prospects might be selected by the Detroit Lions, at each of their 10 selections…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Ezekiel Elliott is Already More Valuable Than Todd Gurley

Well, it finally happened. After waiting for over a year for the Cowboys to replace DeMarco Murray with a talented running back worthy of their elite offensive line, the team pulled the trigger on Ezekiel Elliott at pick four overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. I already postured that the top two players in rookie drafts are RBs, and that if either Elliott or Derrick Henry ended up in…...

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The Post-Draft Will Fuller Comps

In one of the more surprising picks of the night, the Houston Texans selected Notre Dame wide receiver Will Fuller 21st overall. While it wasn’t particularly surprising that Fuller was drafted in the first round, it was surprising to see him drafted ahead of both Laquon Treadwell and Josh Doctson…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC South Coaching Trends

This is the third post in a series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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fantasy football apps

Your 2016 MFL10 Roster Should Be Constructed Around This 4th Round Pick

In 2015 Jordan Reed owners had a win rate of 19.1 percent, the fourth best overall and trailing only the owners of Devonta Freeman, DeAngelo Williams, and Julio Jones…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Something to Lose: Three Veterans Threatened by the NFL Draft

In this article we’ll take a quick look at three veteran fantasy football assets whose value is potentially threatened by the 2016 NFL Draft. Darren McFadden While the offseason signing of Alfred Morris is concerning, Jerry Jones still considers McFadden the “starting running back” in Dallas. And McFadden’s usage makes him very fantasy relevant. Yes, you are about to hear an argument in favor of one of the…...

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The Laquon Treadwell Comps That Will Make You a Believer

Before the NFL Draft, I want to double down on my stance that Laquon Treadwell is the best wide receiver prospect in this class. I’m going to do that by showing you a group of comparable players that is incredibly safe, has very high upside, and suggests that Treadwell may be a first round pick in dynasty startup drafts in the future. The cutoffs I used were all simple…...

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Does Ball Velocity Tell Us Anything About QB Success?

In an age where medical records, Wonderlic scores and even questions/answers from private NFL combine interviews are leaked, an underdeveloped avenue of information related to the draft process is quarterback ball velocity. But does a measure of how fast a QB can throw a ball have any place in predicting a passer’s success?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Updated Rookie Running Back Opportunity Scores: Draft Night Edition

We re-introduced the rookie running back opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship between how productive the backfield was the prior year and its running backs’ ADPs leading into the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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Updated Rookie Wide Receiver Opportunity Scores: Draft Night Edition

We re-introduced the rookie wide receiver opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship of pre-draft ADP between teams’ quarterbacks and receiver corps…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Four Prospects I May Be Overvaluing

Before the 2016 NFL Draft, I want to highlight four prospects that I may be overvaluing. These aren’t prospects that I’m just higher on than other people, like Daniel Lasco, but prospects that I still have some nagging questions about. Devontae Booker, Utah RB I personally have Booker ranked as the RB5 in this class and he also ended up as the RB5 in our pre-draft…...

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The Dream Draft Scenario: How Every 1st Round Rookie Pick Gains Value This Weekend

Holders of first round rookie picks are hoping to see a big jump in value this weekend. In my dream scenario every trendy player lands with the perfect franchise to make that happen. This time next week you could be fielding multiple trade offers for these previously maligned picks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Dynasty Stock Market: Walk Them Through the Out Door; You Can Find Them In A Second Hand Store

This article is continuing a two-part monthly series called Dynasty Stock Market that discusses which players I am buying or selling on my Dynasty rosters. The April buy piece about investing in unpopular running backs can be found here. The March installments can be found here (buys) and here (sells). The February installments can be found here (buys) and here (sells). The January installments can he found here (buys) and…...

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Pray Devon Cajuste Gets Drafted as a Tight End

If RotoViz excels at anything, it is finding nice things to say about prospects. So the sparse coverage of the 2016 tight end class in the RotoViz 2016 NFL Draft Guide may be the most damning indictment there is…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2016 NFL Draft: San Francisco 49ers Mock

It wasn’t too long ago that the 49ers were one of the premiere teams in the NFL. Now with new head coach Chip Kelly and a GM on the hot seat, the team has to make strong selections in the 2016 NFL draft. I will go through all the teams picks and make the suggestions I believe would best help the team become an immediate contender…...

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2016 NFL Draft: Risers, Fallers, Movers, and Shakers

Here’s a quick run through four 2016 NFL draft scenarios that could have major fantasy football implications. Whose stock is rising, and whose is falling? Who’s moving up boards, and who’s shaking up drafts? Rising – Ryan Mathews, RB Rotoworld recently passed along speculation that Darren Sproles could be dealt before or during the draft. I speculated earlier this offseason that Sproles could be a…...

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A Potentially Elite RB Prospect Flies Below the Draft Radar

Despite a reality draft believed to be the deepest in years, this isn’t a particularly appealing draft at the fantasy positions. With the possible exception of Ezekiel Elliott at 1.o1, the top half of the first round has a fraction of its normal value. Savvy drafters would probably prefer to trade down into the Will Fuller/Tyler Boyd section or out of the 2016 first round…...

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Mock Draft

NFL – Jared Goff is a Top-Tier Prospect: Andrew Healy, Football Outsiders – Numbers Game 49

Episode 49 (April 27, 2016): The forty-ninth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), an analytics-focused RotoViz Radio powered podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC West Coaching Trends

Twenty-one NFL teams have hired a new head coach since 2013. Coaches dictate how the players we draft are utilized, yet they turn over more than a rotisserie chicken. What this series of posts aims to do is ignore the historical trends of a particular team and instead focus on the offensive tendencies of specific coaching staffs across the NFL…. Membership Required You must be a...

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On a Long Enough Timeline – The Effects of Age in Dynasty Trade Values

As I mentioned yesterday, I’m working on a machine learning model that can hopefully predict dynasty trade values one year into the future. The utility of this model is pretty obvious – it could allow you to sell players whose value is likely to decline, while also buying players whose value is likely to increase. As I’m working on the model I’m also inspecting the…...

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The 2016 NFL Draft: Detroit Lions Mock

The 2016 NFL draft arrives this week. Here’s some wishful thinking about which prospects might be selected by the Detroit Lions, at each of their 10 selections…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Ezekiel Elliott is Already More Valuable Than Todd Gurley

Well, it finally happened. After waiting for over a year for the Cowboys to replace DeMarco Murray with a talented running back worthy of their elite offensive line, the team pulled the trigger on Ezekiel Elliott at pick four overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. I already postured that the top two players in rookie drafts are RBs, and that if either Elliott or Derrick Henry ended up in…...

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The Post-Draft Will Fuller Comps

In one of the more surprising picks of the night, the Houston Texans selected Notre Dame wide receiver Will Fuller 21st overall. While it wasn’t particularly surprising that Fuller was drafted in the first round, it was surprising to see him drafted ahead of both Laquon Treadwell and Josh Doctson…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC South Coaching Trends

This is the third post in a series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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fantasy football apps

Your 2016 MFL10 Roster Should Be Constructed Around This 4th Round Pick

In 2015 Jordan Reed owners had a win rate of 19.1 percent, the fourth best overall and trailing only the owners of Devonta Freeman, DeAngelo Williams, and Julio Jones…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Something to Lose: Three Veterans Threatened by the NFL Draft

In this article we’ll take a quick look at three veteran fantasy football assets whose value is potentially threatened by the 2016 NFL Draft. Darren McFadden While the offseason signing of Alfred Morris is concerning, Jerry Jones still considers McFadden the “starting running back” in Dallas. And McFadden’s usage makes him very fantasy relevant. Yes, you are about to hear an argument in favor of one of the…...

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The Laquon Treadwell Comps That Will Make You a Believer

Before the NFL Draft, I want to double down on my stance that Laquon Treadwell is the best wide receiver prospect in this class. I’m going to do that by showing you a group of comparable players that is incredibly safe, has very high upside, and suggests that Treadwell may be a first round pick in dynasty startup drafts in the future. The cutoffs I used were all simple…...

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Does Ball Velocity Tell Us Anything About QB Success?

In an age where medical records, Wonderlic scores and even questions/answers from private NFL combine interviews are leaked, an underdeveloped avenue of information related to the draft process is quarterback ball velocity. But does a measure of how fast a QB can throw a ball have any place in predicting a passer’s success?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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Updated Rookie Running Back Opportunity Scores: Draft Night Edition

We re-introduced the rookie running back opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship between how productive the backfield was the prior year and its running backs’ ADPs leading into the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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Updated Rookie Wide Receiver Opportunity Scores: Draft Night Edition

We re-introduced the rookie wide receiver opportunity scores a few weeks ago, a concept developed last offseason to determine the best landing spots for the incoming class of rookies based on the relationship of pre-draft ADP between teams’ quarterbacks and receiver corps…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Four Prospects I May Be Overvaluing

Before the 2016 NFL Draft, I want to highlight four prospects that I may be overvaluing. These aren’t prospects that I’m just higher on than other people, like Daniel Lasco, but prospects that I still have some nagging questions about. Devontae Booker, Utah RB I personally have Booker ranked as the RB5 in this class and he also ended up as the RB5 in our pre-draft…...

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The Dream Draft Scenario: How Every 1st Round Rookie Pick Gains Value This Weekend

Holders of first round rookie picks are hoping to see a big jump in value this weekend. In my dream scenario every trendy player lands with the perfect franchise to make that happen. This time next week you could be fielding multiple trade offers for these previously maligned picks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Dynasty Stock Market: Walk Them Through the Out Door; You Can Find Them In A Second Hand Store

This article is continuing a two-part monthly series called Dynasty Stock Market that discusses which players I am buying or selling on my Dynasty rosters. The April buy piece about investing in unpopular running backs can be found here. The March installments can be found here (buys) and here (sells). The February installments can be found here (buys) and here (sells). The January installments can he found here (buys) and…...

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Pray Devon Cajuste Gets Drafted as a Tight End

If RotoViz excels at anything, it is finding nice things to say about prospects. So the sparse coverage of the 2016 tight end class in the RotoViz 2016 NFL Draft Guide may be the most damning indictment there is…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2016 NFL Draft: San Francisco 49ers Mock

It wasn’t too long ago that the 49ers were one of the premiere teams in the NFL. Now with new head coach Chip Kelly and a GM on the hot seat, the team has to make strong selections in the 2016 NFL draft. I will go through all the teams picks and make the suggestions I believe would best help the team become an immediate contender…...

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2016 NFL Draft: Risers, Fallers, Movers, and Shakers

Here’s a quick run through four 2016 NFL draft scenarios that could have major fantasy football implications. Whose stock is rising, and whose is falling? Who’s moving up boards, and who’s shaking up drafts? Rising – Ryan Mathews, RB Rotoworld recently passed along speculation that Darren Sproles could be dealt before or during the draft. I speculated earlier this offseason that Sproles could be a…...

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A Potentially Elite RB Prospect Flies Below the Draft Radar

Despite a reality draft believed to be the deepest in years, this isn’t a particularly appealing draft at the fantasy positions. With the possible exception of Ezekiel Elliott at 1.o1, the top half of the first round has a fraction of its normal value. Savvy drafters would probably prefer to trade down into the Will Fuller/Tyler Boyd section or out of the 2016 first round…...

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Mock Draft

NFL – Jared Goff is a Top-Tier Prospect: Andrew Healy, Football Outsiders – Numbers Game 49

Episode 49 (April 27, 2016): The forty-ninth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), an analytics-focused RotoViz Radio powered podcast…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC West Coaching Trends

Twenty-one NFL teams have hired a new head coach since 2013. Coaches dictate how the players we draft are utilized, yet they turn over more than a rotisserie chicken. What this series of posts aims to do is ignore the historical trends of a particular team and instead focus on the offensive tendencies of specific coaching staffs across the NFL…. Membership Required You must be a...

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On a Long Enough Timeline – The Effects of Age in Dynasty Trade Values

As I mentioned yesterday, I’m working on a machine learning model that can hopefully predict dynasty trade values one year into the future. The utility of this model is pretty obvious – it could allow you to sell players whose value is likely to decline, while also buying players whose value is likely to increase. As I’m working on the model I’m also inspecting the…...

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The 2016 NFL Draft: Detroit Lions Mock

The 2016 NFL draft arrives this week. Here’s some wishful thinking about which prospects might be selected by the Detroit Lions, at each of their 10 selections…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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