Brian Malone

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Modeling QB Success

Modeling QB Success at the NFL Level

Recently RotoViz debutante Chris Hatcher wrote an interesting piece about quarterback ball velocity and how that translates into one metric of passing success at the NFL level. I decided to take his work a step further and used logistic regression to model QB success…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Tyler Ervin Is The Best Rookie Bargain

It is time for a brief update on the most exciting running back in the 2016 NFL Draft class, Texans RB Tyler Ervin, now that he has also turned out to be the biggest bargain at any position in rookie drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Worried Are We About Melvin Gordon’s Knee?

Source: Melvin Gordon recovers from microfracture surgery | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com The Chargers running back participated in on-field drills Monday. Afterward, he acknowledged he is not yet 100 percent, still working back from a January knee procedure. Sources said that Gordon underwent microfracture surgery and was given a recovery timetable of four to six months.That phrase, microfracture surgery, carries an ominous connotation.While some past cases warrant the…...

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Players Championship Range of Outcomes

Fantasy Golf – Visualizing the Performance at The Players Championship

This post is meant to be used in conjunction with the fantasy golf projections in my previous article. It is intended to help visualize the likely range of outcomes in player performances at The Players Championship…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NFL – Valuing Dynasty Rookie Picks: Brian Malone, Dynasty League Football – Numbers Game 51

iTunes link here Episode 51 (May 11, 2016): The fifty-first episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), an analytics-focused RotoViz Radio powered podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. HOSTS: KEVIN COLE (@COLE_KEV) & NICK GIFFEN (@ROTODOC) Kevin: editor and contributor at RotoViz Nick: editor at RotoViz, No. 1 ranked NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D. SPONSOR: FFPC (@FFPC) Fantasy…...

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Will Fuller and the Texans Offense

Source: 2016 NFL Draft grades: Texans, Jaguars, Redskins head ‘A’ teams – NFL.com Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays…...

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Five to Let Fly: Players to Dump in Dynasty

As dynasty rookie draft season heats up, here are five more end-of-bench types you can comfortably drop from your rosters. Brian Quick Old crushes die hard. Britt has gotten a lot of love in years past at RotoViz. But it’s time to let go.[1]When in doubt, listen to The Contrarian. First of all, using the Snaps Report App, we can see that the Rams averaged just 2.2…...

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FF Accounting: AFC North Coaching Trends

Continuing our series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC North Coaching Trends

Continuing our series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Alex Collins Looks Eerily Like Mark Ingram and Nobody Seems to Care

In 2011 the New Orleans Saints traded up 28 spots with New England to select Mark Ingram with the 28th pick in the draft. The Patriots ended up selecting Shane Vereen in 2011 and used the acquired 2012 first-rounder to pluck Chandler Jones…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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It’s Not Hard To Imagine Jordan Howard Being Chicago’s Starting RB in 2016

In his 2016 NFL Draft NFC North Draft Recap, Charles Kleinheksel says he is treating the Chicago backfield as an open competition between rookie running back Jordan Howard and sophomore RB Jeremy Langford. I wanted to expand on that and explain why it is pretty easy to imagine Howard winning the job outright. The Stoppable Force and The Movable Object Langford averaged a mediocre 3.6 yards per rushing attempt…...

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NFL – Tyler Ervin is an injury away: Ryan McDowell – RotoViz Radio, 10 May 2016

May 10, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring a discussion of rookie draft tiers, second-year breakout candidates and the 2017 rookie class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Players Championship Projections

Fantasy Golf – The Players Championship Projections

[Editor’s Note: We’re continuing to expand our growing coverage of DFS sports, which now includes PGA. We will be offering these first two weeks of DFS PGA projections free of charge. After that, we expect to move PGA coverage to a paid subscription, in line with all our other current DFS offerings.] Welcome to the first of what I hope will be a regular column in…...

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Five for Goodbye: Clearing out the End of Your Bench

Continuing my rundown of end-of-bench dynasty fantasy football players that you should feel comfortable dropping heading into the 2016 season. Danny Amendola Right now the Patriots are carrying 10 wide receivers. Amendola is 30, injury prone, and recently was forced to take a pay cut in order to keep his roster spot. New England has a few receivers that look vaguely similar physically and are…...

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Tyler Boyd Fantasy

2016 Post-Draft Dynasty Rookie Mock

After months of analyzing prospects’ college statistics, NFL combine metrics, film and every other measurable in between, the NFL draft has finally come and gone. The draft has filled in the final pieces of the puzzle for our writers and dynasty rookie draft season is finally upon us. With a few days to digest draft positions, player landing spots and scheme fits, our staff is…...

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Using a Monte Carlo Simulation to Make More Informed Decisions in Your Dynasty Draft

I recently made a trade in a dynasty league where I moved up from the 1.06 pick to 1.03. The magnitude of these three spots seems substantially higher this year than in most others. Within hours of acquiring the 1.03 pick, I had several owners offering to trade for it. I used a Monte Carlo simulation to help decide whether or not to accept an offer…. Membership...

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Modeling QB Success

Modeling QB Success at the NFL Level

Recently RotoViz debutante Chris Hatcher wrote an interesting piece about quarterback ball velocity and how that translates into one metric of passing success at the NFL level. I decided to take his work a step further and used logistic regression to model QB success…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Tyler Ervin Is The Best Rookie Bargain

It is time for a brief update on the most exciting running back in the 2016 NFL Draft class, Texans RB Tyler Ervin, now that he has also turned out to be the biggest bargain at any position in rookie drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Worried Are We About Melvin Gordon’s Knee?

Source: Melvin Gordon recovers from microfracture surgery | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com The Chargers running back participated in on-field drills Monday. Afterward, he acknowledged he is not yet 100 percent, still working back from a January knee procedure. Sources said that Gordon underwent microfracture surgery and was given a recovery timetable of four to six months.That phrase, microfracture surgery, carries an ominous connotation.While some past cases warrant the…...

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Players Championship Range of Outcomes

Fantasy Golf – Visualizing the Performance at The Players Championship

This post is meant to be used in conjunction with the fantasy golf projections in my previous article. It is intended to help visualize the likely range of outcomes in player performances at The Players Championship…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NFL – Valuing Dynasty Rookie Picks: Brian Malone, Dynasty League Football – Numbers Game 51

iTunes link here Episode 51 (May 11, 2016): The fifty-first episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), an analytics-focused RotoViz Radio powered podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. HOSTS: KEVIN COLE (@COLE_KEV) & NICK GIFFEN (@ROTODOC) Kevin: editor and contributor at RotoViz Nick: editor at RotoViz, No. 1 ranked NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D. SPONSOR: FFPC (@FFPC) Fantasy…...

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Will Fuller and the Texans Offense

Source: 2016 NFL Draft grades: Texans, Jaguars, Redskins head ‘A’ teams – NFL.com Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays…...

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Five to Let Fly: Players to Dump in Dynasty

As dynasty rookie draft season heats up, here are five more end-of-bench types you can comfortably drop from your rosters. Brian Quick Old crushes die hard. Britt has gotten a lot of love in years past at RotoViz. But it’s time to let go.[1]When in doubt, listen to The Contrarian. First of all, using the Snaps Report App, we can see that the Rams averaged just 2.2…...

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FF Accounting: AFC North Coaching Trends

Continuing our series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC North Coaching Trends

Continuing our series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Alex Collins Looks Eerily Like Mark Ingram and Nobody Seems to Care

In 2011 the New Orleans Saints traded up 28 spots with New England to select Mark Ingram with the 28th pick in the draft. The Patriots ended up selecting Shane Vereen in 2011 and used the acquired 2012 first-rounder to pluck Chandler Jones…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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It’s Not Hard To Imagine Jordan Howard Being Chicago’s Starting RB in 2016

In his 2016 NFL Draft NFC North Draft Recap, Charles Kleinheksel says he is treating the Chicago backfield as an open competition between rookie running back Jordan Howard and sophomore RB Jeremy Langford. I wanted to expand on that and explain why it is pretty easy to imagine Howard winning the job outright. The Stoppable Force and The Movable Object Langford averaged a mediocre 3.6 yards per rushing attempt…...

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NFL – Tyler Ervin is an injury away: Ryan McDowell – RotoViz Radio, 10 May 2016

May 10, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring a discussion of rookie draft tiers, second-year breakout candidates and the 2017 rookie class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Players Championship Projections

Fantasy Golf – The Players Championship Projections

[Editor’s Note: We’re continuing to expand our growing coverage of DFS sports, which now includes PGA. We will be offering these first two weeks of DFS PGA projections free of charge. After that, we expect to move PGA coverage to a paid subscription, in line with all our other current DFS offerings.] Welcome to the first of what I hope will be a regular column in…...

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Five for Goodbye: Clearing out the End of Your Bench

Continuing my rundown of end-of-bench dynasty fantasy football players that you should feel comfortable dropping heading into the 2016 season. Danny Amendola Right now the Patriots are carrying 10 wide receivers. Amendola is 30, injury prone, and recently was forced to take a pay cut in order to keep his roster spot. New England has a few receivers that look vaguely similar physically and are…...

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Tyler Boyd Fantasy

2016 Post-Draft Dynasty Rookie Mock

After months of analyzing prospects’ college statistics, NFL combine metrics, film and every other measurable in between, the NFL draft has finally come and gone. The draft has filled in the final pieces of the puzzle for our writers and dynasty rookie draft season is finally upon us. With a few days to digest draft positions, player landing spots and scheme fits, our staff is…...

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Using a Monte Carlo Simulation to Make More Informed Decisions in Your Dynasty Draft

I recently made a trade in a dynasty league where I moved up from the 1.06 pick to 1.03. The magnitude of these three spots seems substantially higher this year than in most others. Within hours of acquiring the 1.03 pick, I had several owners offering to trade for it. I used a Monte Carlo simulation to help decide whether or not to accept an offer…. Membership...

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Modeling QB Success

Modeling QB Success at the NFL Level

Recently RotoViz debutante Chris Hatcher wrote an interesting piece about quarterback ball velocity and how that translates into one metric of passing success at the NFL level. I decided to take his work a step further and used logistic regression to model QB success…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Membership Required

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Tyler Ervin Is The Best Rookie Bargain

It is time for a brief update on the most exciting running back in the 2016 NFL Draft class, Texans RB Tyler Ervin, now that he has also turned out to be the biggest bargain at any position in rookie drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Worried Are We About Melvin Gordon’s Knee?

Source: Melvin Gordon recovers from microfracture surgery | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com The Chargers running back participated in on-field drills Monday. Afterward, he acknowledged he is not yet 100 percent, still working back from a January knee procedure. Sources said that Gordon underwent microfracture surgery and was given a recovery timetable of four to six months.That phrase, microfracture surgery, carries an ominous connotation.While some past cases warrant the…...

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Players Championship Range of Outcomes

Fantasy Golf – Visualizing the Performance at The Players Championship

This post is meant to be used in conjunction with the fantasy golf projections in my previous article. It is intended to help visualize the likely range of outcomes in player performances at The Players Championship…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NFL – Valuing Dynasty Rookie Picks: Brian Malone, Dynasty League Football – Numbers Game 51

iTunes link here Episode 51 (May 11, 2016): The fifty-first episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), an analytics-focused RotoViz Radio powered podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. HOSTS: KEVIN COLE (@COLE_KEV) & NICK GIFFEN (@ROTODOC) Kevin: editor and contributor at RotoViz Nick: editor at RotoViz, No. 1 ranked NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D. SPONSOR: FFPC (@FFPC) Fantasy…...

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Will Fuller and the Texans Offense

Source: 2016 NFL Draft grades: Texans, Jaguars, Redskins head ‘A’ teams – NFL.com Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays…...

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Five to Let Fly: Players to Dump in Dynasty

As dynasty rookie draft season heats up, here are five more end-of-bench types you can comfortably drop from your rosters. Brian Quick Old crushes die hard. Britt has gotten a lot of love in years past at RotoViz. But it’s time to let go.[1]When in doubt, listen to The Contrarian. First of all, using the Snaps Report App, we can see that the Rams averaged just 2.2…...

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FF Accounting: AFC North Coaching Trends

Continuing our series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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FF Accounting: NFC North Coaching Trends

Continuing our series looking at offensive trends of the coaching staffs of the 32 NFL teams. You can read more about the goal of this series in the first installment, which looked at the NFC West…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Alex Collins Looks Eerily Like Mark Ingram and Nobody Seems to Care

In 2011 the New Orleans Saints traded up 28 spots with New England to select Mark Ingram with the 28th pick in the draft. The Patriots ended up selecting Shane Vereen in 2011 and used the acquired 2012 first-rounder to pluck Chandler Jones…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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It’s Not Hard To Imagine Jordan Howard Being Chicago’s Starting RB in 2016

In his 2016 NFL Draft NFC North Draft Recap, Charles Kleinheksel says he is treating the Chicago backfield as an open competition between rookie running back Jordan Howard and sophomore RB Jeremy Langford. I wanted to expand on that and explain why it is pretty easy to imagine Howard winning the job outright. The Stoppable Force and The Movable Object Langford averaged a mediocre 3.6 yards per rushing attempt…...

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NFL – Tyler Ervin is an injury away: Ryan McDowell – RotoViz Radio, 10 May 2016

May 10, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring a discussion of rookie draft tiers, second-year breakout candidates and the 2017 rookie class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Players Championship Projections

Fantasy Golf – The Players Championship Projections

[Editor’s Note: We’re continuing to expand our growing coverage of DFS sports, which now includes PGA. We will be offering these first two weeks of DFS PGA projections free of charge. After that, we expect to move PGA coverage to a paid subscription, in line with all our other current DFS offerings.] Welcome to the first of what I hope will be a regular column in…...

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Five for Goodbye: Clearing out the End of Your Bench

Continuing my rundown of end-of-bench dynasty fantasy football players that you should feel comfortable dropping heading into the 2016 season. Danny Amendola Right now the Patriots are carrying 10 wide receivers. Amendola is 30, injury prone, and recently was forced to take a pay cut in order to keep his roster spot. New England has a few receivers that look vaguely similar physically and are…...

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Tyler Boyd Fantasy

2016 Post-Draft Dynasty Rookie Mock

After months of analyzing prospects’ college statistics, NFL combine metrics, film and every other measurable in between, the NFL draft has finally come and gone. The draft has filled in the final pieces of the puzzle for our writers and dynasty rookie draft season is finally upon us. With a few days to digest draft positions, player landing spots and scheme fits, our staff is…...

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Using a Monte Carlo Simulation to Make More Informed Decisions in Your Dynasty Draft

I recently made a trade in a dynasty league where I moved up from the 1.06 pick to 1.03. The magnitude of these three spots seems substantially higher this year than in most others. Within hours of acquiring the 1.03 pick, I had several owners offering to trade for it. I used a Monte Carlo simulation to help decide whether or not to accept an offer…. Membership...

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