Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2016 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Player-by-Player Look at the RSO

As we roll into Round 2 of the Reality Sports Online rookie draft, seismic shock waves are in store. If we take rookie ADP as gospel, there were no fewer than five big surprises in this round. I’ll take a closer look at why most of these picks were justified, and if you want more information on our wild contract league, make sure to check…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

NFL – How To Approach Kevin White in Redraft: RotoViz Mailbag, 20 May 2016

May 20, 2016: The RotoViz Mailbag, the RotoViz Radio show dedicated to answering your fantasy football questions, featuring analysis of many key players in the dynasty and best ball markets…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Will Fuller Drops the Ball and I Don’t Care

The most common complaint about Houston Texans wide receiver Will Fuller is that he has a problem with drops. Here’s why I think that’s a non-issue. But before I explain why drops are a non-issue for Fuller, let me explain why I think they’re a non-issue in general. What’s in a Drop? Almost is worse than not-even-close Obviously it’s better to catch a pass than drop one…....

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Bullet Holes, Survivorship Bias, and Why We May Be Analyzing DFS Lineups Incorrectly

The daily fantasy landscape has grown a tremendous amount since people first started playing in the mid to late 2000’s. Along with that has come massive tournaments, crazy prize pools, and awesome live finals. It has also brought with it a great surplus of information…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Todd Gurley ADP

The Best-Ball RB1 I’m Avoiding at All Costs

When Shawn Siegele penned the now legendary Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting, he talked about how a Zero RB lineup benefits from injuries and inaccurate projections. I’m not here to repeat or expand upon his great work, but I am here to tell you which RB1 is being projected too highly so you can avoid him in your redraft and Best-Ball leagues…. Membership Required...

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Matt Stafford Isn’t Finished Yet

Going into a season having lost one of the best wide receivers of the last 15 years is hardly a situation quarterbacks should aspire to experience, but that is what Matt Stafford faces in 2016. With Calvin Johnson no longer a Detroit Lion, has he taken Stafford’s fantasy appeal off into the sunset with him? As simple and easy as it would be to say “yes”,…...

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free agency

Should the Jaguars Pass Less in the Red Zone in 2016?

A sentiment I’ve seen several times this offseason, in various forms, is that the Jaguars will or should pass less and run more in the red zone in 2016. I’m not sure they should. Let’s start with what happened on plays where the Jaguars passed in the red zone in 2016:[1]Stats come from the Pro Football Reference Game Play Finder. Overall, the results are very…...

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Carson Wentz Checks Another Box on the QB Checklist

Source: Eagles’ OTA practice notes: Wendell Smallwood shines | PhillyVoice Wentz looked OK in his first day at OTAs. I’ve seen better from him in person at the Senior Bowl. One small thing that did stand out to me was he ripped a pump fake in the rain with full velocity on his throwing motion, pulled it back, and then made the throw, Roethlisberger style…....

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Jamaal Charles ADP

Jamaal Charles is a Best Ball Winner in 2016

Last year I was a bit of a Jamaal Charles hater, and that didn’t sit well with my friend and fellow writer 14TeamMocker. In fact, we got into a bit of a fight over Jamaal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 6 Prospects I Want in Every 2016 Rookie Draft

You might have read the headline and thought, well, our draft only has 3 rounds. Or, didn’t you say we should trade out of this draft entirely? (Or you might have read the alternate headline and thought: This intro doesn’t make sense.)… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Keyarris Garrett is Exactly Carolina’s Type

If you asked around the RotoViz staff, Keyarris Garrett going undrafted was a big surprise. During the RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Tournament, Garrett upset Ohio State’s Michael Thomas in the first round. What may have been a bigger surprise was the team that signed Garrett immediately after the real NFL draft. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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RGIII is Not a Running Quarterback, per Robert Griffin

Source: The Puzzling Plummet of RGIII Griffin instructed the coaches to let him speak uninterrupted and rolled through a list of grievances, stressing that substantive changes had to occur immediately. Scrap the pass protection scheme and start over, Griffin demanded. There were 19 plays — primarily those from the 50-series and quarterback draws — that were unacceptable. Griffin, who supported his presentation with video clips…...

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andydalton

Who Can Be 2016’s Carson Palmer?

The late round quarterback draft strategy is so common now that it’s almost become a cliche. Joshua Lake recently discussed the possible benefits of going the opposite direction with drafting QBs. But in one QB leagues, the QB position is still a market inefficiency…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Draft Capital Part 2 – The Production of Every Running Back Taken in The Last Ten Years

“Draft capital” is a term used to describe the value of the draft pick spent on any player — it’s also a valuable predictive indicator of that player’s career. This article focuses on running backs; the first part of this two article series, on wide receivers, can be found here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Will Leonte Carroo Be Cheaper Next Year?

The question I’ve been asking myself about acquiring Dolphins wide receiver Leonte Carroo is: will he be cheaper next year?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2016 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Player-by-Player Look at the RSO

As we roll into Round 2 of the Reality Sports Online rookie draft, seismic shock waves are in store. If we take rookie ADP as gospel, there were no fewer than five big surprises in this round. I’ll take a closer look at why most of these picks were justified, and if you want more information on our wild contract league, make sure to check…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

NFL – How To Approach Kevin White in Redraft: RotoViz Mailbag, 20 May 2016

May 20, 2016: The RotoViz Mailbag, the RotoViz Radio show dedicated to answering your fantasy football questions, featuring analysis of many key players in the dynasty and best ball markets…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Will Fuller Drops the Ball and I Don’t Care

The most common complaint about Houston Texans wide receiver Will Fuller is that he has a problem with drops. Here’s why I think that’s a non-issue. But before I explain why drops are a non-issue for Fuller, let me explain why I think they’re a non-issue in general. What’s in a Drop? Almost is worse than not-even-close Obviously it’s better to catch a pass than drop one…....

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Bullet Holes, Survivorship Bias, and Why We May Be Analyzing DFS Lineups Incorrectly

The daily fantasy landscape has grown a tremendous amount since people first started playing in the mid to late 2000’s. Along with that has come massive tournaments, crazy prize pools, and awesome live finals. It has also brought with it a great surplus of information…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Todd Gurley ADP

The Best-Ball RB1 I’m Avoiding at All Costs

When Shawn Siegele penned the now legendary Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting, he talked about how a Zero RB lineup benefits from injuries and inaccurate projections. I’m not here to repeat or expand upon his great work, but I am here to tell you which RB1 is being projected too highly so you can avoid him in your redraft and Best-Ball leagues…. Membership Required...

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Matt Stafford Isn’t Finished Yet

Going into a season having lost one of the best wide receivers of the last 15 years is hardly a situation quarterbacks should aspire to experience, but that is what Matt Stafford faces in 2016. With Calvin Johnson no longer a Detroit Lion, has he taken Stafford’s fantasy appeal off into the sunset with him? As simple and easy as it would be to say “yes”,…...

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free agency

Should the Jaguars Pass Less in the Red Zone in 2016?

A sentiment I’ve seen several times this offseason, in various forms, is that the Jaguars will or should pass less and run more in the red zone in 2016. I’m not sure they should. Let’s start with what happened on plays where the Jaguars passed in the red zone in 2016:[1]Stats come from the Pro Football Reference Game Play Finder. Overall, the results are very…...

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Carson Wentz Checks Another Box on the QB Checklist

Source: Eagles’ OTA practice notes: Wendell Smallwood shines | PhillyVoice Wentz looked OK in his first day at OTAs. I’ve seen better from him in person at the Senior Bowl. One small thing that did stand out to me was he ripped a pump fake in the rain with full velocity on his throwing motion, pulled it back, and then made the throw, Roethlisberger style…....

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Jamaal Charles ADP

Jamaal Charles is a Best Ball Winner in 2016

Last year I was a bit of a Jamaal Charles hater, and that didn’t sit well with my friend and fellow writer 14TeamMocker. In fact, we got into a bit of a fight over Jamaal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 6 Prospects I Want in Every 2016 Rookie Draft

You might have read the headline and thought, well, our draft only has 3 rounds. Or, didn’t you say we should trade out of this draft entirely? (Or you might have read the alternate headline and thought: This intro doesn’t make sense.)… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Keyarris Garrett is Exactly Carolina’s Type

If you asked around the RotoViz staff, Keyarris Garrett going undrafted was a big surprise. During the RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Tournament, Garrett upset Ohio State’s Michael Thomas in the first round. What may have been a bigger surprise was the team that signed Garrett immediately after the real NFL draft. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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RGIII is Not a Running Quarterback, per Robert Griffin

Source: The Puzzling Plummet of RGIII Griffin instructed the coaches to let him speak uninterrupted and rolled through a list of grievances, stressing that substantive changes had to occur immediately. Scrap the pass protection scheme and start over, Griffin demanded. There were 19 plays — primarily those from the 50-series and quarterback draws — that were unacceptable. Griffin, who supported his presentation with video clips…...

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andydalton

Who Can Be 2016’s Carson Palmer?

The late round quarterback draft strategy is so common now that it’s almost become a cliche. Joshua Lake recently discussed the possible benefits of going the opposite direction with drafting QBs. But in one QB leagues, the QB position is still a market inefficiency…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Draft Capital Part 2 – The Production of Every Running Back Taken in The Last Ten Years

“Draft capital” is a term used to describe the value of the draft pick spent on any player — it’s also a valuable predictive indicator of that player’s career. This article focuses on running backs; the first part of this two article series, on wide receivers, can be found here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Will Leonte Carroo Be Cheaper Next Year?

The question I’ve been asking myself about acquiring Dolphins wide receiver Leonte Carroo is: will he be cheaper next year?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2016 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Player-by-Player Look at the RSO

As we roll into Round 2 of the Reality Sports Online rookie draft, seismic shock waves are in store. If we take rookie ADP as gospel, there were no fewer than five big surprises in this round. I’ll take a closer look at why most of these picks were justified, and if you want more information on our wild contract league, make sure to check…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

NFL – How To Approach Kevin White in Redraft: RotoViz Mailbag, 20 May 2016

May 20, 2016: The RotoViz Mailbag, the RotoViz Radio show dedicated to answering your fantasy football questions, featuring analysis of many key players in the dynasty and best ball markets…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Will Fuller Drops the Ball and I Don’t Care

The most common complaint about Houston Texans wide receiver Will Fuller is that he has a problem with drops. Here’s why I think that’s a non-issue. But before I explain why drops are a non-issue for Fuller, let me explain why I think they’re a non-issue in general. What’s in a Drop? Almost is worse than not-even-close Obviously it’s better to catch a pass than drop one…....

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Bullet Holes, Survivorship Bias, and Why We May Be Analyzing DFS Lineups Incorrectly

The daily fantasy landscape has grown a tremendous amount since people first started playing in the mid to late 2000’s. Along with that has come massive tournaments, crazy prize pools, and awesome live finals. It has also brought with it a great surplus of information…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Todd Gurley ADP

The Best-Ball RB1 I’m Avoiding at All Costs

When Shawn Siegele penned the now legendary Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting, he talked about how a Zero RB lineup benefits from injuries and inaccurate projections. I’m not here to repeat or expand upon his great work, but I am here to tell you which RB1 is being projected too highly so you can avoid him in your redraft and Best-Ball leagues…. Membership Required...

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Matt Stafford Isn’t Finished Yet

Going into a season having lost one of the best wide receivers of the last 15 years is hardly a situation quarterbacks should aspire to experience, but that is what Matt Stafford faces in 2016. With Calvin Johnson no longer a Detroit Lion, has he taken Stafford’s fantasy appeal off into the sunset with him? As simple and easy as it would be to say “yes”,…...

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free agency

Should the Jaguars Pass Less in the Red Zone in 2016?

A sentiment I’ve seen several times this offseason, in various forms, is that the Jaguars will or should pass less and run more in the red zone in 2016. I’m not sure they should. Let’s start with what happened on plays where the Jaguars passed in the red zone in 2016:[1]Stats come from the Pro Football Reference Game Play Finder. Overall, the results are very…...

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Carson Wentz Checks Another Box on the QB Checklist

Source: Eagles’ OTA practice notes: Wendell Smallwood shines | PhillyVoice Wentz looked OK in his first day at OTAs. I’ve seen better from him in person at the Senior Bowl. One small thing that did stand out to me was he ripped a pump fake in the rain with full velocity on his throwing motion, pulled it back, and then made the throw, Roethlisberger style…....

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Jamaal Charles ADP

Jamaal Charles is a Best Ball Winner in 2016

Last year I was a bit of a Jamaal Charles hater, and that didn’t sit well with my friend and fellow writer 14TeamMocker. In fact, we got into a bit of a fight over Jamaal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 6 Prospects I Want in Every 2016 Rookie Draft

You might have read the headline and thought, well, our draft only has 3 rounds. Or, didn’t you say we should trade out of this draft entirely? (Or you might have read the alternate headline and thought: This intro doesn’t make sense.)… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Keyarris Garrett is Exactly Carolina’s Type

If you asked around the RotoViz staff, Keyarris Garrett going undrafted was a big surprise. During the RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Tournament, Garrett upset Ohio State’s Michael Thomas in the first round. What may have been a bigger surprise was the team that signed Garrett immediately after the real NFL draft. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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RGIII is Not a Running Quarterback, per Robert Griffin

Source: The Puzzling Plummet of RGIII Griffin instructed the coaches to let him speak uninterrupted and rolled through a list of grievances, stressing that substantive changes had to occur immediately. Scrap the pass protection scheme and start over, Griffin demanded. There were 19 plays — primarily those from the 50-series and quarterback draws — that were unacceptable. Griffin, who supported his presentation with video clips…...

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andydalton

Who Can Be 2016’s Carson Palmer?

The late round quarterback draft strategy is so common now that it’s almost become a cliche. Joshua Lake recently discussed the possible benefits of going the opposite direction with drafting QBs. But in one QB leagues, the QB position is still a market inefficiency…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Draft Capital Part 2 – The Production of Every Running Back Taken in The Last Ten Years

“Draft capital” is a term used to describe the value of the draft pick spent on any player — it’s also a valuable predictive indicator of that player’s career. This article focuses on running backs; the first part of this two article series, on wide receivers, can be found here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Will Leonte Carroo Be Cheaper Next Year?

The question I’ve been asking myself about acquiring Dolphins wide receiver Leonte Carroo is: will he be cheaper next year?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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