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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many…...

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Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they…...

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Tight End Is the New Running Back: How to Benefit from Injury Risk in the Scott Fish Bowl (and Elsewhere)

Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round…....

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3 Quick Hacks Deliver Elite Win Rates in FFPC Best Ball

Shawn Siegele discusses a trio of key tactical insights from the Roster Construction Explorer that will help you dominate FFPC best ball leagues.  For those who listened to Mike Beers on our RotoViz Overtime best ball podcasts, you know a few tricks of the trade in FFPC leagues. Mike’s tools like the FFPC Command Center and the FFPC Dashboard provide all of the rankings and…...

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3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East

Recently, Neil Dutton examined 3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters. Make sure to check out his piece if you haven’t yet. Over the next several weeks, Neil and I will be covering three players from each division, with him taking on the AFC as I focus on the NFC. This particular article looks into the NFC East. Most players within this division…...

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Applying RotoViz Tools and Research to Yahoo! Best Ball

Similar to some other best ball formats, Yahoo! is a 20-round draft, with mostly standardized Half-PPR scoring, that requires us to start one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one flex, and one defense.  However, unlike other formats, Yahoo! pays out a weekly prize to the top-scoring team. Naturally, this decreases the amount of money left to reward the highest-placing teams at the end…...

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3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters

There is still a fair amount of uncertainty as to whether we will actually get an NFL season in 2020. However, until higher powers tell us otherwise, the fantasy football world continues to assume that some action will take place on the gridirons of America this fall and winter. With this in mind, the folks over at the FFPC are still churning out the fantasy…...

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The Win Rate Explorer Is Here and the Features Are Insane

Those who listened to Mike Beers on the Best Ball episodes of RotoViz Overtime knew something exciting was coming. It’s here, and it’s spectacular. Last Friday, Mike unveiled the Best Ball Win Rates Explorer and the features are insane. You can look at all of the individual player win rates for the last five years, but you can also do something much cooler. Instead of simply…...

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Positive Regression From Frank Gore Purgatory: Buy Zack Moss in Best Ball Drafts

Frank Gore has been taking up backfield touches for well beyond what many would consider his “prime” years as his tour of the AFC East brings him to his third team in three seasons. He will be entering his age 37 season with the New York Jets after spending 2019 vulturing touches from a promising Bills backfield that eventually featured rookie running back Devin Singletary…....

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Running Back Efficiency Is Overvalued, Except When It’s Not: A Simple Hack to Find League-Winning RB Targets In Every Part of the Draft

About a month ago, I wrote an article about the impact of efficiency on running back performance in the following year relative to market value. I separated RBs into different buckets (based on ADP, scoring, experience, etc.) and used their best ball win rate in Year N+1 to determine whether the public values efficiency correctly. Looking at all RBs, there isn’t much of a difference,…...

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There Are Multiple Ways to Win in BestBall10s, But There’s One Glaring Path to Dominant Top-Six Finishes

In the Wide Receiver Lesson of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele discusses the WRs tactics that make the difference between winning and losing. It’s not hyperbole to say WR is the key to generating elite top-six percentages. The numbers will shock you. The Best Ball Workshop has been a blast to write again this season, and it’s a testament to the fantastic intel…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing…...

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Fire Walk With Me: Deconstructing The Early Rounds of the RotoViz Staff Best Ball League

“Through the darkness of future past, the magician longs to see. One chants out between two worlds … fire walk with me!” – Mike It may not be as exciting or interesting as Twin Peaks, but the first RotoViz Staff best ball league of the off-season is underway! I’ll do my best to look at this draft from every direction imaginable, including an explanation of…...

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Drafters Are Still Chasing the Wrong Things When Targeting Second-Year Running Backs – The Wrong Read, No. 62

Players entering Year 2 are among the best investments you can make in your fantasy drafts. So how do you predict who will be the top second-year RBs? Last offseason, I wrote that, contrary to what you may have heard, we want to chase efficiency at the RB position. Specifically, rookie-year efficiency appears to be a sign of good things to come. It turns out…...

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Decoding The 49ers Backfield: Is Raheem Mostert Worth The Higher ADP?

It’s common for fantasy owners to target high scoring, high powered offenses. Even though bad teams can provide fantasy relevance, it often doesn’t extend past a few key players. The top passing attacks like the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are perfect examples of teams with ample fantasy assets. Run-heavy teams are great targets as well. However, the dreaded running back by committee…...

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3 Pass Catchers Going Outside the Top 200 Who Could Supercharge Best Ball Teams in 2020

The final few rounds of best ball drafts are rarely exciting. You’re often left picking between third or fourth receivers, unproven players in tough situations, and handcuff running backs with no standalone value. Admittedly, very few of these picks ever turn out, and most of the time it won’t have any serious impact on your roster. However, among this seemingly lackluster pool of pass catchers…...

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8 More Late-Round Picks to Help You Dominate Your Best Ball Drafts

Before the draft, I took a look at a few late-round boom/bust draft picks to help win your best ball leagues. The general premise was to find players with a high weekly ceiling that wasn’t fully priced into their average draft position. Now that we’re beyond the draft and free agency, it’s a little easier to project early depth charts. There’s still some risk drafting…...

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20 Rounds of Death – Every Pick from the Top Experts and What the Roster Construction Explorer Has to Say About Them

The MFL10 of Death is annually one of my favorite leagues. Drafting against these experts is an absolute blast, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for putting it together and donating the proceeds to charity. Each season I like to break down all 20 rounds to get a feel for how my compatriots are playing. It goes without saying that I hold all of…...

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Onesie Position Tactics Are Even More Important in Superflex Best Ball Leagues: Tight Ends Will Determine Your Fate

Last time we looked at how to approach the quarterback position in FFPC Superflex best ball leagues. We used the FFPC Roster Construction Explorer to uncover a near cheat code that returned a 16% win rate (albeit on a relatively small sample). QB is certainly one of the most important positions to get right in Superflex leagues. But there’s another position that might be almost…...

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These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many…...

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Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they…...

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Tight End Is the New Running Back: How to Benefit from Injury Risk in the Scott Fish Bowl (and Elsewhere)

Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round…....

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3 Quick Hacks Deliver Elite Win Rates in FFPC Best Ball

Shawn Siegele discusses a trio of key tactical insights from the Roster Construction Explorer that will help you dominate FFPC best ball leagues.  For those who listened to Mike Beers on our RotoViz Overtime best ball podcasts, you know a few tricks of the trade in FFPC leagues. Mike’s tools like the FFPC Command Center and the FFPC Dashboard provide all of the rankings and…...

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3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East

Recently, Neil Dutton examined 3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters. Make sure to check out his piece if you haven’t yet. Over the next several weeks, Neil and I will be covering three players from each division, with him taking on the AFC as I focus on the NFC. This particular article looks into the NFC East. Most players within this division…...

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Applying RotoViz Tools and Research to Yahoo! Best Ball

Similar to some other best ball formats, Yahoo! is a 20-round draft, with mostly standardized Half-PPR scoring, that requires us to start one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one flex, and one defense.  However, unlike other formats, Yahoo! pays out a weekly prize to the top-scoring team. Naturally, this decreases the amount of money left to reward the highest-placing teams at the end…...

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3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters

There is still a fair amount of uncertainty as to whether we will actually get an NFL season in 2020. However, until higher powers tell us otherwise, the fantasy football world continues to assume that some action will take place on the gridirons of America this fall and winter. With this in mind, the folks over at the FFPC are still churning out the fantasy…...

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The Win Rate Explorer Is Here and the Features Are Insane

Those who listened to Mike Beers on the Best Ball episodes of RotoViz Overtime knew something exciting was coming. It’s here, and it’s spectacular. Last Friday, Mike unveiled the Best Ball Win Rates Explorer and the features are insane. You can look at all of the individual player win rates for the last five years, but you can also do something much cooler. Instead of simply…...

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Positive Regression From Frank Gore Purgatory: Buy Zack Moss in Best Ball Drafts

Frank Gore has been taking up backfield touches for well beyond what many would consider his “prime” years as his tour of the AFC East brings him to his third team in three seasons. He will be entering his age 37 season with the New York Jets after spending 2019 vulturing touches from a promising Bills backfield that eventually featured rookie running back Devin Singletary…....

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Running Back Efficiency Is Overvalued, Except When It’s Not: A Simple Hack to Find League-Winning RB Targets In Every Part of the Draft

About a month ago, I wrote an article about the impact of efficiency on running back performance in the following year relative to market value. I separated RBs into different buckets (based on ADP, scoring, experience, etc.) and used their best ball win rate in Year N+1 to determine whether the public values efficiency correctly. Looking at all RBs, there isn’t much of a difference,…...

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There Are Multiple Ways to Win in BestBall10s, But There’s One Glaring Path to Dominant Top-Six Finishes

In the Wide Receiver Lesson of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele discusses the WRs tactics that make the difference between winning and losing. It’s not hyperbole to say WR is the key to generating elite top-six percentages. The numbers will shock you. The Best Ball Workshop has been a blast to write again this season, and it’s a testament to the fantastic intel…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing…...

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Fire Walk With Me: Deconstructing The Early Rounds of the RotoViz Staff Best Ball League

“Through the darkness of future past, the magician longs to see. One chants out between two worlds … fire walk with me!” – Mike It may not be as exciting or interesting as Twin Peaks, but the first RotoViz Staff best ball league of the off-season is underway! I’ll do my best to look at this draft from every direction imaginable, including an explanation of…...

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Drafters Are Still Chasing the Wrong Things When Targeting Second-Year Running Backs – The Wrong Read, No. 62

Players entering Year 2 are among the best investments you can make in your fantasy drafts. So how do you predict who will be the top second-year RBs? Last offseason, I wrote that, contrary to what you may have heard, we want to chase efficiency at the RB position. Specifically, rookie-year efficiency appears to be a sign of good things to come. It turns out…...

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Decoding The 49ers Backfield: Is Raheem Mostert Worth The Higher ADP?

It’s common for fantasy owners to target high scoring, high powered offenses. Even though bad teams can provide fantasy relevance, it often doesn’t extend past a few key players. The top passing attacks like the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are perfect examples of teams with ample fantasy assets. Run-heavy teams are great targets as well. However, the dreaded running back by committee…...

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3 Pass Catchers Going Outside the Top 200 Who Could Supercharge Best Ball Teams in 2020

The final few rounds of best ball drafts are rarely exciting. You’re often left picking between third or fourth receivers, unproven players in tough situations, and handcuff running backs with no standalone value. Admittedly, very few of these picks ever turn out, and most of the time it won’t have any serious impact on your roster. However, among this seemingly lackluster pool of pass catchers…...

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8 More Late-Round Picks to Help You Dominate Your Best Ball Drafts

Before the draft, I took a look at a few late-round boom/bust draft picks to help win your best ball leagues. The general premise was to find players with a high weekly ceiling that wasn’t fully priced into their average draft position. Now that we’re beyond the draft and free agency, it’s a little easier to project early depth charts. There’s still some risk drafting…...

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20 Rounds of Death – Every Pick from the Top Experts and What the Roster Construction Explorer Has to Say About Them

The MFL10 of Death is annually one of my favorite leagues. Drafting against these experts is an absolute blast, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for putting it together and donating the proceeds to charity. Each season I like to break down all 20 rounds to get a feel for how my compatriots are playing. It goes without saying that I hold all of…...

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Onesie Position Tactics Are Even More Important in Superflex Best Ball Leagues: Tight Ends Will Determine Your Fate

Last time we looked at how to approach the quarterback position in FFPC Superflex best ball leagues. We used the FFPC Roster Construction Explorer to uncover a near cheat code that returned a 16% win rate (albeit on a relatively small sample). QB is certainly one of the most important positions to get right in Superflex leagues. But there’s another position that might be almost…...

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These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many…...

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Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they…...

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Tight End Is the New Running Back: How to Benefit from Injury Risk in the Scott Fish Bowl (and Elsewhere)

Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round…....

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3 Quick Hacks Deliver Elite Win Rates in FFPC Best Ball

Shawn Siegele discusses a trio of key tactical insights from the Roster Construction Explorer that will help you dominate FFPC best ball leagues.  For those who listened to Mike Beers on our RotoViz Overtime best ball podcasts, you know a few tricks of the trade in FFPC leagues. Mike’s tools like the FFPC Command Center and the FFPC Dashboard provide all of the rankings and…...

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3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East

Recently, Neil Dutton examined 3 Players RotoViz Rankers are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters. Make sure to check out his piece if you haven’t yet. Over the next several weeks, Neil and I will be covering three players from each division, with him taking on the AFC as I focus on the NFC. This particular article looks into the NFC East. Most players within this division…...

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Applying RotoViz Tools and Research to Yahoo! Best Ball

Similar to some other best ball formats, Yahoo! is a 20-round draft, with mostly standardized Half-PPR scoring, that requires us to start one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one flex, and one defense.  However, unlike other formats, Yahoo! pays out a weekly prize to the top-scoring team. Naturally, this decreases the amount of money left to reward the highest-placing teams at the end…...

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3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters

There is still a fair amount of uncertainty as to whether we will actually get an NFL season in 2020. However, until higher powers tell us otherwise, the fantasy football world continues to assume that some action will take place on the gridirons of America this fall and winter. With this in mind, the folks over at the FFPC are still churning out the fantasy…...

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The Win Rate Explorer Is Here and the Features Are Insane

Those who listened to Mike Beers on the Best Ball episodes of RotoViz Overtime knew something exciting was coming. It’s here, and it’s spectacular. Last Friday, Mike unveiled the Best Ball Win Rates Explorer and the features are insane. You can look at all of the individual player win rates for the last five years, but you can also do something much cooler. Instead of simply…...

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Positive Regression From Frank Gore Purgatory: Buy Zack Moss in Best Ball Drafts

Frank Gore has been taking up backfield touches for well beyond what many would consider his “prime” years as his tour of the AFC East brings him to his third team in three seasons. He will be entering his age 37 season with the New York Jets after spending 2019 vulturing touches from a promising Bills backfield that eventually featured rookie running back Devin Singletary…....

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Running Back Efficiency Is Overvalued, Except When It’s Not: A Simple Hack to Find League-Winning RB Targets In Every Part of the Draft

About a month ago, I wrote an article about the impact of efficiency on running back performance in the following year relative to market value. I separated RBs into different buckets (based on ADP, scoring, experience, etc.) and used their best ball win rate in Year N+1 to determine whether the public values efficiency correctly. Looking at all RBs, there isn’t much of a difference,…...

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There Are Multiple Ways to Win in BestBall10s, But There’s One Glaring Path to Dominant Top-Six Finishes

In the Wide Receiver Lesson of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele discusses the WRs tactics that make the difference between winning and losing. It’s not hyperbole to say WR is the key to generating elite top-six percentages. The numbers will shock you. The Best Ball Workshop has been a blast to write again this season, and it’s a testament to the fantastic intel…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing…...

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Fire Walk With Me: Deconstructing The Early Rounds of the RotoViz Staff Best Ball League

“Through the darkness of future past, the magician longs to see. One chants out between two worlds … fire walk with me!” – Mike It may not be as exciting or interesting as Twin Peaks, but the first RotoViz Staff best ball league of the off-season is underway! I’ll do my best to look at this draft from every direction imaginable, including an explanation of…...

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Drafters Are Still Chasing the Wrong Things When Targeting Second-Year Running Backs – The Wrong Read, No. 62

Players entering Year 2 are among the best investments you can make in your fantasy drafts. So how do you predict who will be the top second-year RBs? Last offseason, I wrote that, contrary to what you may have heard, we want to chase efficiency at the RB position. Specifically, rookie-year efficiency appears to be a sign of good things to come. It turns out…...

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Decoding The 49ers Backfield: Is Raheem Mostert Worth The Higher ADP?

It’s common for fantasy owners to target high scoring, high powered offenses. Even though bad teams can provide fantasy relevance, it often doesn’t extend past a few key players. The top passing attacks like the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are perfect examples of teams with ample fantasy assets. Run-heavy teams are great targets as well. However, the dreaded running back by committee…...

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3 Pass Catchers Going Outside the Top 200 Who Could Supercharge Best Ball Teams in 2020

The final few rounds of best ball drafts are rarely exciting. You’re often left picking between third or fourth receivers, unproven players in tough situations, and handcuff running backs with no standalone value. Admittedly, very few of these picks ever turn out, and most of the time it won’t have any serious impact on your roster. However, among this seemingly lackluster pool of pass catchers…...

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8 More Late-Round Picks to Help You Dominate Your Best Ball Drafts

Before the draft, I took a look at a few late-round boom/bust draft picks to help win your best ball leagues. The general premise was to find players with a high weekly ceiling that wasn’t fully priced into their average draft position. Now that we’re beyond the draft and free agency, it’s a little easier to project early depth charts. There’s still some risk drafting…...

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20 Rounds of Death – Every Pick from the Top Experts and What the Roster Construction Explorer Has to Say About Them

The MFL10 of Death is annually one of my favorite leagues. Drafting against these experts is an absolute blast, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for putting it together and donating the proceeds to charity. Each season I like to break down all 20 rounds to get a feel for how my compatriots are playing. It goes without saying that I hold all of…...

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Onesie Position Tactics Are Even More Important in Superflex Best Ball Leagues: Tight Ends Will Determine Your Fate

Last time we looked at how to approach the quarterback position in FFPC Superflex best ball leagues. We used the FFPC Roster Construction Explorer to uncover a near cheat code that returned a 16% win rate (albeit on a relatively small sample). QB is certainly one of the most important positions to get right in Superflex leagues. But there’s another position that might be almost…...

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