Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Broken Rules Underdog Draft: Can You Do Everything Wrong and Still Build a Monster?

Shawn Siegele analyzes an Underdog Best Ball Mania 3 entry that breaks all the rules. Can you ignore the advice in the Best Ball Workshop and still build a monster? Few article series have been as fun to write as the Underdog Dream Teams, and it’s been a great experience to interact RV writers, readers, and listeners on these topics. I’ve been blown away by…...

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Deshaun Watson Suspension: How to Play it

Deshaun Watson is accused of sexually assaulting 24 women. Many of the details are disgusting. It feels odd to be writing about him purely through the lens of fantasy football in the face of such allegations. However, we are playing a game of numbers based on NFL outcomes with money on the line. Therefore, a thorough understanding of how he impacts the fantasy landscape is…...

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20 Bold Predictions and Other Observations Following a Thrilling Preseason Weekend

Shawn Siegele breaks down 20 of the most exciting developments from the first week of preseason action. He has some fun with bold predictions and dives into a few below-the-radar developments with import for managers in deep leagues. Depending on your perspective, the first week of extensive preseason action was a welcome respite from the summer doldrums or a brutal reminder that football is more…...

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The Tight Ends Poised to Smash in the FFPC and Beyond

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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The Unconventional Round 3 or 4 Anchor Running Back Build is in Play for 2022

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores the Round 3/4 anchor running back strategy and explains why 2022 might be the best year to utilize this roster construction. Several times on Stealing Bananas, Ben Gretch and Shawn Siegele have promoted the idea of conducting an anchor running back build using an RB after Rounds 1 or 2.((Anchor RB refers to picking one RB early to “anchor” the team and…...

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Everything You Need to Know to Win the FFPC Superflex Best Ball 2 Tournament

Shawn Siegele breaks down everything you need to know to take first place in the FFPC Superflex Best Ball 2 Tournament, including league-winning tactics, exploitable ADP elements, and recent price changes. I’m obsessed with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament. I like everything about it. It’s superflex, for one, a format which isn’t just fantastic for dynasty. The SF element shakes up tactics dramatically and…...

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Evolving Underdog QB Values and How They Mesh With a Must-Execute Draft Plan

Shawn Siegele looks at the best quarterback values on Underdog and explains why you need to be aware of the current trends so you don’t waste opportunities in the high-leverage rounds. A little over a week ago, Ben Gretch and I drafted a Stealing Bananas team in Best Ball Mania III where we landed Russell Wilson and Tom Brady each almost a round-and-a-half below ADP…....

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Using the Range of Outcomes and Projection Machine to Crush Your TE Selections

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

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How To Find The Next Michael Pittman: 2 Second Year Wide Receivers Ready To Ascend

Michael Pittman is a controversial player this offseason. Those who drafted him last year enjoyed his second-year breakout at a great price. He was being drafted in Round 8 after about 40 other wide receivers. He finished as the WR18 in PPR formats. This finish, combined with the addition of Matt Ryan, has vaulted him all the way up to the early third round in 2022…...

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The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

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Extreme Anchor RB and 18 Picks That Unlock Immense Upside in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele looks at the six core elements for building an Extreme Anchor RB dream team in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania III tournament. The Underdog Dream Team series has been a blast to write, and this entry may be my new favorite. Ben Gretch and I recently drafted an Extreme Anchor RB team for Best Ball Mania III. The Stealing Bananas roster gives us a…...

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5 Takeaways from an Epic FFPC Pros Versus Joes Draft

Shawn Siegele breaks down his Pros v Joes draft, contrasts the analysts versus the high-stakes drafters, and looks at how the best players in the world are attacking this format. The annual Pros v Joes celebration signals the entry into hard-core draft season. I had the pleasure of drafting with my Stealing Bananas co-host Ben Gretch against a loaded field of industry experts and high-stakes…...

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How to Find the Next Hunter Renfrow: Get Exposure to Ascending Offenses at Bargain Prices with These 2 Wide Receivers

We all love to have our receivers we draft to be attached to the best offenses with the best quarterbacks, and in these best ball tournaments we love to stack them. But it’s important not to reach for these stacks. We need to be conscious of value even when drafting for upside. One way to do this is to arbitrage an attractive player profile by…...

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These 32 Players Are the Best Fit With Our Upgraded Hyperfragile Attack in Underdog

Shawn Siegele discusses the strategic insights, tactical decisions, and player targets necessary to build a Hyperfragile juggernaut. RotoViz Overtime listeners are being treated to all of our usual content this month, plus a flurry of draft shows. Colm Kelly and I recently built a Hyperfragile dream team in the Best Ball Mania III tournament. We drafted that squad from the 1.02. Later that day, I…...

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What Does the Quarterback Swap Mean for Broncos and Seahawks Wide Receivers?

Several teams have new quarterbacks with projected upgrades and downgrades for their receivers. Previously, I looked at the Steelers and Panthers receivers with the sneaky upside. Today we’ll focus on two teams who traded quarterbacks with each other during the offseason: the Broncos and the Seahawks As expected, the ADP market boosted the Broncos’ receivers, yet there was skepticism surrounding the Seahawks. Let’s take a…...

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Allen Robinson’s QB Upgrade Comes With A Hefty Price Tag: 3 Cheaper Ways To Buy the Veteran WR Profile

Just before the NFL Draft, I wrote about Allen Robinson’s quarterback upgrade and what it meant for his 2022 outlook. At that time, Robinson was going in late Round 6 or early Round 7. At that cost I was not really drafting him, which was a mistake on my part because, looking back, it was obvious his cost was going to rise. Robinson is now…...

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Why Rondale Moore Will Emerge as a Star in 2022

Second-year wide receivers have long been one of the cornerstones of winning in fantasy football. However, recent ADPs have made it more challenging to draft these breakouts, particularly on Underdog. This means that we need to pay particular attention when these players carry discounts. Rondale Moore goes at the end of the 10th round on Underdog and the 12th on FFPC. That he plays with Kyler Murray…...

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Don’t Give Up on These Exciting Receivers: 2 Teams with Sneaky Quarterback Upgrades

The new season brings with it several quarterback changes: Pittsburgh, Carolina, Denver, Washington, and more. For some of these receivers, it was an upgrade. For many, it looks like a downgrade. A few situations are ambiguous, particularly weaker offenses with receivers who have been productive in the past. With their ADPs dropping, could they present low-risk, high-reward options we want to chase? Today we’ll take…...

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Is Late-Round QB Dead? Using the RotoViz Tools to Win the Quarterback Position

The quarterback position has seen some of the biggest strategic shifts. QBs score easily the most points, so in earlier years, the top quarterbacks went incredibly early. In 2015, two quarterbacks were being drafted earlier than Josh Allen’s current ADP. 2015 QB ADPs, Fanball Yet this ADP was woefully inefficient. Cam Newton entering his fifth season at the peak of his powers should not have…...

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The Broken Rules Underdog Draft: Can You Do Everything Wrong and Still Build a Monster?

Shawn Siegele analyzes an Underdog Best Ball Mania 3 entry that breaks all the rules. Can you ignore the advice in the Best Ball Workshop and still build a monster? Few article series have been as fun to write as the Underdog Dream Teams, and it’s been a great experience to interact RV writers, readers, and listeners on these topics. I’ve been blown away by…...

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Deshaun Watson Suspension: How to Play it

Deshaun Watson is accused of sexually assaulting 24 women. Many of the details are disgusting. It feels odd to be writing about him purely through the lens of fantasy football in the face of such allegations. However, we are playing a game of numbers based on NFL outcomes with money on the line. Therefore, a thorough understanding of how he impacts the fantasy landscape is…...

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20 Bold Predictions and Other Observations Following a Thrilling Preseason Weekend

Shawn Siegele breaks down 20 of the most exciting developments from the first week of preseason action. He has some fun with bold predictions and dives into a few below-the-radar developments with import for managers in deep leagues. Depending on your perspective, the first week of extensive preseason action was a welcome respite from the summer doldrums or a brutal reminder that football is more…...

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The Tight Ends Poised to Smash in the FFPC and Beyond

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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The Unconventional Round 3 or 4 Anchor Running Back Build is in Play for 2022

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores the Round 3/4 anchor running back strategy and explains why 2022 might be the best year to utilize this roster construction. Several times on Stealing Bananas, Ben Gretch and Shawn Siegele have promoted the idea of conducting an anchor running back build using an RB after Rounds 1 or 2.((Anchor RB refers to picking one RB early to “anchor” the team and…...

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Everything You Need to Know to Win the FFPC Superflex Best Ball 2 Tournament

Shawn Siegele breaks down everything you need to know to take first place in the FFPC Superflex Best Ball 2 Tournament, including league-winning tactics, exploitable ADP elements, and recent price changes. I’m obsessed with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament. I like everything about it. It’s superflex, for one, a format which isn’t just fantastic for dynasty. The SF element shakes up tactics dramatically and…...

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Evolving Underdog QB Values and How They Mesh With a Must-Execute Draft Plan

Shawn Siegele looks at the best quarterback values on Underdog and explains why you need to be aware of the current trends so you don’t waste opportunities in the high-leverage rounds. A little over a week ago, Ben Gretch and I drafted a Stealing Bananas team in Best Ball Mania III where we landed Russell Wilson and Tom Brady each almost a round-and-a-half below ADP…....

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Using the Range of Outcomes and Projection Machine to Crush Your TE Selections

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

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How To Find The Next Michael Pittman: 2 Second Year Wide Receivers Ready To Ascend

Michael Pittman is a controversial player this offseason. Those who drafted him last year enjoyed his second-year breakout at a great price. He was being drafted in Round 8 after about 40 other wide receivers. He finished as the WR18 in PPR formats. This finish, combined with the addition of Matt Ryan, has vaulted him all the way up to the early third round in 2022…...

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The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

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Extreme Anchor RB and 18 Picks That Unlock Immense Upside in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele looks at the six core elements for building an Extreme Anchor RB dream team in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania III tournament. The Underdog Dream Team series has been a blast to write, and this entry may be my new favorite. Ben Gretch and I recently drafted an Extreme Anchor RB team for Best Ball Mania III. The Stealing Bananas roster gives us a…...

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5 Takeaways from an Epic FFPC Pros Versus Joes Draft

Shawn Siegele breaks down his Pros v Joes draft, contrasts the analysts versus the high-stakes drafters, and looks at how the best players in the world are attacking this format. The annual Pros v Joes celebration signals the entry into hard-core draft season. I had the pleasure of drafting with my Stealing Bananas co-host Ben Gretch against a loaded field of industry experts and high-stakes…...

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How to Find the Next Hunter Renfrow: Get Exposure to Ascending Offenses at Bargain Prices with These 2 Wide Receivers

We all love to have our receivers we draft to be attached to the best offenses with the best quarterbacks, and in these best ball tournaments we love to stack them. But it’s important not to reach for these stacks. We need to be conscious of value even when drafting for upside. One way to do this is to arbitrage an attractive player profile by…...

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These 32 Players Are the Best Fit With Our Upgraded Hyperfragile Attack in Underdog

Shawn Siegele discusses the strategic insights, tactical decisions, and player targets necessary to build a Hyperfragile juggernaut. RotoViz Overtime listeners are being treated to all of our usual content this month, plus a flurry of draft shows. Colm Kelly and I recently built a Hyperfragile dream team in the Best Ball Mania III tournament. We drafted that squad from the 1.02. Later that day, I…...

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What Does the Quarterback Swap Mean for Broncos and Seahawks Wide Receivers?

Several teams have new quarterbacks with projected upgrades and downgrades for their receivers. Previously, I looked at the Steelers and Panthers receivers with the sneaky upside. Today we’ll focus on two teams who traded quarterbacks with each other during the offseason: the Broncos and the Seahawks As expected, the ADP market boosted the Broncos’ receivers, yet there was skepticism surrounding the Seahawks. Let’s take a…...

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Allen Robinson’s QB Upgrade Comes With A Hefty Price Tag: 3 Cheaper Ways To Buy the Veteran WR Profile

Just before the NFL Draft, I wrote about Allen Robinson’s quarterback upgrade and what it meant for his 2022 outlook. At that time, Robinson was going in late Round 6 or early Round 7. At that cost I was not really drafting him, which was a mistake on my part because, looking back, it was obvious his cost was going to rise. Robinson is now…...

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Why Rondale Moore Will Emerge as a Star in 2022

Second-year wide receivers have long been one of the cornerstones of winning in fantasy football. However, recent ADPs have made it more challenging to draft these breakouts, particularly on Underdog. This means that we need to pay particular attention when these players carry discounts. Rondale Moore goes at the end of the 10th round on Underdog and the 12th on FFPC. That he plays with Kyler Murray…...

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Don’t Give Up on These Exciting Receivers: 2 Teams with Sneaky Quarterback Upgrades

The new season brings with it several quarterback changes: Pittsburgh, Carolina, Denver, Washington, and more. For some of these receivers, it was an upgrade. For many, it looks like a downgrade. A few situations are ambiguous, particularly weaker offenses with receivers who have been productive in the past. With their ADPs dropping, could they present low-risk, high-reward options we want to chase? Today we’ll take…...

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Is Late-Round QB Dead? Using the RotoViz Tools to Win the Quarterback Position

The quarterback position has seen some of the biggest strategic shifts. QBs score easily the most points, so in earlier years, the top quarterbacks went incredibly early. In 2015, two quarterbacks were being drafted earlier than Josh Allen’s current ADP. 2015 QB ADPs, Fanball Yet this ADP was woefully inefficient. Cam Newton entering his fifth season at the peak of his powers should not have…...

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The Broken Rules Underdog Draft: Can You Do Everything Wrong and Still Build a Monster?

Shawn Siegele analyzes an Underdog Best Ball Mania 3 entry that breaks all the rules. Can you ignore the advice in the Best Ball Workshop and still build a monster? Few article series have been as fun to write as the Underdog Dream Teams, and it’s been a great experience to interact RV writers, readers, and listeners on these topics. I’ve been blown away by…...

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Deshaun Watson Suspension: How to Play it

Deshaun Watson is accused of sexually assaulting 24 women. Many of the details are disgusting. It feels odd to be writing about him purely through the lens of fantasy football in the face of such allegations. However, we are playing a game of numbers based on NFL outcomes with money on the line. Therefore, a thorough understanding of how he impacts the fantasy landscape is…...

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20 Bold Predictions and Other Observations Following a Thrilling Preseason Weekend

Shawn Siegele breaks down 20 of the most exciting developments from the first week of preseason action. He has some fun with bold predictions and dives into a few below-the-radar developments with import for managers in deep leagues. Depending on your perspective, the first week of extensive preseason action was a welcome respite from the summer doldrums or a brutal reminder that football is more…...

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The Tight Ends Poised to Smash in the FFPC and Beyond

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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The Unconventional Round 3 or 4 Anchor Running Back Build is in Play for 2022

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores the Round 3/4 anchor running back strategy and explains why 2022 might be the best year to utilize this roster construction. Several times on Stealing Bananas, Ben Gretch and Shawn Siegele have promoted the idea of conducting an anchor running back build using an RB after Rounds 1 or 2.((Anchor RB refers to picking one RB early to “anchor” the team and…...

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Everything You Need to Know to Win the FFPC Superflex Best Ball 2 Tournament

Shawn Siegele breaks down everything you need to know to take first place in the FFPC Superflex Best Ball 2 Tournament, including league-winning tactics, exploitable ADP elements, and recent price changes. I’m obsessed with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament. I like everything about it. It’s superflex, for one, a format which isn’t just fantastic for dynasty. The SF element shakes up tactics dramatically and…...

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Evolving Underdog QB Values and How They Mesh With a Must-Execute Draft Plan

Shawn Siegele looks at the best quarterback values on Underdog and explains why you need to be aware of the current trends so you don’t waste opportunities in the high-leverage rounds. A little over a week ago, Ben Gretch and I drafted a Stealing Bananas team in Best Ball Mania III where we landed Russell Wilson and Tom Brady each almost a round-and-a-half below ADP…....

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Using the Range of Outcomes and Projection Machine to Crush Your TE Selections

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

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How To Find The Next Michael Pittman: 2 Second Year Wide Receivers Ready To Ascend

Michael Pittman is a controversial player this offseason. Those who drafted him last year enjoyed his second-year breakout at a great price. He was being drafted in Round 8 after about 40 other wide receivers. He finished as the WR18 in PPR formats. This finish, combined with the addition of Matt Ryan, has vaulted him all the way up to the early third round in 2022…...

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The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

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Extreme Anchor RB and 18 Picks That Unlock Immense Upside in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele looks at the six core elements for building an Extreme Anchor RB dream team in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania III tournament. The Underdog Dream Team series has been a blast to write, and this entry may be my new favorite. Ben Gretch and I recently drafted an Extreme Anchor RB team for Best Ball Mania III. The Stealing Bananas roster gives us a…...

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5 Takeaways from an Epic FFPC Pros Versus Joes Draft

Shawn Siegele breaks down his Pros v Joes draft, contrasts the analysts versus the high-stakes drafters, and looks at how the best players in the world are attacking this format. The annual Pros v Joes celebration signals the entry into hard-core draft season. I had the pleasure of drafting with my Stealing Bananas co-host Ben Gretch against a loaded field of industry experts and high-stakes…...

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How to Find the Next Hunter Renfrow: Get Exposure to Ascending Offenses at Bargain Prices with These 2 Wide Receivers

We all love to have our receivers we draft to be attached to the best offenses with the best quarterbacks, and in these best ball tournaments we love to stack them. But it’s important not to reach for these stacks. We need to be conscious of value even when drafting for upside. One way to do this is to arbitrage an attractive player profile by…...

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These 32 Players Are the Best Fit With Our Upgraded Hyperfragile Attack in Underdog

Shawn Siegele discusses the strategic insights, tactical decisions, and player targets necessary to build a Hyperfragile juggernaut. RotoViz Overtime listeners are being treated to all of our usual content this month, plus a flurry of draft shows. Colm Kelly and I recently built a Hyperfragile dream team in the Best Ball Mania III tournament. We drafted that squad from the 1.02. Later that day, I…...

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What Does the Quarterback Swap Mean for Broncos and Seahawks Wide Receivers?

Several teams have new quarterbacks with projected upgrades and downgrades for their receivers. Previously, I looked at the Steelers and Panthers receivers with the sneaky upside. Today we’ll focus on two teams who traded quarterbacks with each other during the offseason: the Broncos and the Seahawks As expected, the ADP market boosted the Broncos’ receivers, yet there was skepticism surrounding the Seahawks. Let’s take a…...

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Allen Robinson’s QB Upgrade Comes With A Hefty Price Tag: 3 Cheaper Ways To Buy the Veteran WR Profile

Just before the NFL Draft, I wrote about Allen Robinson’s quarterback upgrade and what it meant for his 2022 outlook. At that time, Robinson was going in late Round 6 or early Round 7. At that cost I was not really drafting him, which was a mistake on my part because, looking back, it was obvious his cost was going to rise. Robinson is now…...

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Why Rondale Moore Will Emerge as a Star in 2022

Second-year wide receivers have long been one of the cornerstones of winning in fantasy football. However, recent ADPs have made it more challenging to draft these breakouts, particularly on Underdog. This means that we need to pay particular attention when these players carry discounts. Rondale Moore goes at the end of the 10th round on Underdog and the 12th on FFPC. That he plays with Kyler Murray…...

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Don’t Give Up on These Exciting Receivers: 2 Teams with Sneaky Quarterback Upgrades

The new season brings with it several quarterback changes: Pittsburgh, Carolina, Denver, Washington, and more. For some of these receivers, it was an upgrade. For many, it looks like a downgrade. A few situations are ambiguous, particularly weaker offenses with receivers who have been productive in the past. With their ADPs dropping, could they present low-risk, high-reward options we want to chase? Today we’ll take…...

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Is Late-Round QB Dead? Using the RotoViz Tools to Win the Quarterback Position

The quarterback position has seen some of the biggest strategic shifts. QBs score easily the most points, so in earlier years, the top quarterbacks went incredibly early. In 2015, two quarterbacks were being drafted earlier than Josh Allen’s current ADP. 2015 QB ADPs, Fanball Yet this ADP was woefully inefficient. Cam Newton entering his fifth season at the peak of his powers should not have…...

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