Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

A Broken Rules Build: Can We Pair Elite QB With a Hyperfragile Approach at RB?

In his second lesson of the 2023 Underdog Workshop, Shawn Siegele proposes a combination of Elite QB and Hyperfragile RB. He starts by pulling up the Underdog Advance Rate Explorer for a look at the intersection of stacking, price, and points added as it relates to QB value.  Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve been discussing Elite QB after Michael Dubner got the ball rolling…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round of Early Underdog Drafts: Part 2 – The Correlation Picks

Best Ball Mania IV is in full swing, and player ADPs are becoming more rigid every day as drafters anchor to the number next to a player’s name. This situation gives savvy drafters an advantage though, as it makes it much easier to plan a draft round-by-round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round of Early Underdog Drafts: Part 1 – The Foundation Picks

Best Ball Mania IV is in full swing, and player ADPs are becoming more rigid every day as drafters anchor to the number next to a player’s name. This situation gives savvy drafters an advantage though, as it makes it much easier to plan a draft round-by-round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we…...

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Underdog Workshop 2023: The 5 Components of Supercharged Elite QB Builds

In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, Shawn Siegele provides a series of lessons based on insights from the RotoViz tools and his own drafts. Today he discusses five complementary tactics for building an Elite QB roster with the upside to win $3 million. Star quarterbacks dominated in 2022, giving rise to a significant jump in 2023 prices. As Michael Dubner expertly breaks down in Should We…...

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Stacking with Humility: The Underdog Advance Rate Explorer and Price-Sensitive Tournament Strategies

With the release of the 2023 NFL schedule, tournament drafters are scrambling to take advantage of Week 17 matchups. The prevailing wisdom in fantasy circles over the past several years has been to build best ball tourney rosters like Week 17 DFS plays. It’s easy to see why. In Underdog’s Best Ball Mania III contest last year, winning your individual league in Weeks 1-14 secured…...

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Should We Chase Quarterbacks Up Draft Boards Or Has Elite QB Jumped The Shark?

Starting to draft best ball teams on Underdog? You will be shocked by the sticker price of the Elite QBs. Michael Dubner uses an evidence-based approach to answer the question: “Should We Chase Quarterbacks Up Draft Boards Or Has Elite QB Jumped The Shark?” In peer-to-peer games, the edges are always changing. What were once innovative and ground-breaking edges soon become the ante as our…...

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This Advanced Wide Receiver Opportunity Metric Is Still Undervalued: 3 Second-Year Breakout Candidates and a Sneaky Veteran Who Can Give You a Massive Edge in Best Ball Drafts

A cornerstone of RotoViz drafting strategy is using data to assist in selecting young players before they break out. Players vastly outperforming their draft cost is the key to winning in fantasy football. The ability to consistently earn targets is a foundational skill for wide receivers. Despite consensus agreement on the importance of targets for wide receivers, drafters often ignore target earning ability when it…...

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Underdog ADPs Set to Rise and Fall and the Most Dynamic Ways to Play the 2023 NFL Schedule

Shawn Siegele forecasts rising and falling Underdog ADPs and breaks down his favorite ways to play the Week 17 schedule. In order to set the stage for our look at some of the fun schedule elements, it’s imperative that you read Michael Dubner’s Best Ball Bible. It’s one of the foundational articles in best ball literature and a must at any juncture, but especially today…....

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This Method for Crushing Underdog Tournaments With Rookie RBs Is Counterintuitive But Powerful

In Part 1, Blair Andrews argued that Jahmyr Gibbs is undervalued in best ball, even at his current valuation, right at the Round 3/4 turn. Rookie running backs drafted in the first 100 reality picks — especially those who are young — have a better chance than most other RBs to put up big scores in the fantasy playoffs. But an obvious question remains: can…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is the Best Value in Every Draft: How to Find Rookie RB Stars in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania IV

Shawn Siegele, Dave Caban, Curtis Patrick, and I spent NFL Draft Sunday night arguing (in a friendly way) about rookie rankings and completing mock drafts for Volume 3 of the RotoViz Rookie Guide. I spent much of that time trying to convince my co-rankers that reasonable people could rank Jahmyr Gibbs as the rookie 1.01. I even took him first overall in one of our…...

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9 Incumbent RBs Were Big Winners on Draft Day, and 4 Make Ideal Picks for the Perfect BBM IV Roster

Shawn Siegele profiles the nine biggest veteran running winners following the 2023 NFL draft. Just how high do they climb now, and which four still look undervalued in the opening days of Best Ball Mania IV? The RotoViz team had a blast with our NFL draft reactions over the weekend and released Volume 3 of the Rookie Guide on Monday morning. We’ll have a lot…...

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Draft These 2 Talented Wide Receivers with Paths to Huge Upside Before Their ADPs Shoot Up

Meng Song discusses a couple of sleeper wide receivers to draft now for 2023 before an inevitable rise in their ADPs. There are plenty of wide receiver values so far this offseason. With recent signings and trades during free agency, a number of wide receivers have been on the move, which can create ADP values when projecting for the 2023 season. Michael Hitchcock recently discussed…...

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Underdog Best Ball: The Superflex Tournament Gives You So Much Freedom to Be Aggressive

In Lesson 2 of the Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele breaks down an aggressive approach to roster construction for Underdog’s Superflex tournament. As we close in on NFL draft day, Underdog’s Big Board: Superflex gives you the joy of drafting, the flexibility of SF, and the ability to tell your friends you won $100,000 because you knew which rookies were going to hit. If you’re following…...

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Best Ball Workshop: Benefit from Chaos and Avoid the QB Buzzsaw in Underdog’s Superflex Tournament

Shawn Siegele explores how to attack the early rounds of Underdog’s fantastic new Superflex best ball tournament.  Colm Kelly and I have drafted Underdog and FFPC squads all spring on RotoViz Overtime, and I’m going to start the 2023 Best Ball Workshop by looking at our most recent foray, an entry in the Underdog Big Board: Superflex contest. I love the rise of Superflex…...

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Brandin Cooks Is Once Again Paired with a Good Quarterback, But Is That Enough to Make Him a Value in Fantasy Drafts?

The Dallas Cowboys traded two late picks to acquire Brandin Cooks from the Houston Texans. This will be Cooks’ fifth team as he enters his 10th NFL season. While he gets a quarterback upgrade, he also gets more talented target competition. Can he have a late career revival in Dallas? And is he worth drafting in any event? Cooks has been an extremely productive player…...

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Does D.J. Moore Finally Have the Quarterback Upgrade We’ve Been Waiting For?

Just five days after the NFL combine, the 2023 NFL Draft got its first major shakeup. The Carolina Panthers, who missed on high-profile quarterbacks Matthew Stafford and Deshaun Watson the last two years, decided it was time to be in a position to select their future franchise signal caller. As usual, the cost to move up to the first-overall pick is not cheap. But the…...

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Josh Jacobs Set the Fantasy World on Fire in 2022, and the Next Jacobs Might Be in the 2022 Rookie Class

Josh Jacobs was a polarizing player last offseason. His fifth-year option was declined, which led to many heated debates about the future Raiders RB depth chart. When drafting season closed on Underdog Jacobs was regularly going in the seventh round. Jacobs rewarded his drafters with a 330-point fantasy season, which was good for an RB3 overall finish.  Most of the discourse around Josh Jacobs…...

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This 2022 Rookie Might Be the Next Mark Andrews, But Will His Team Situation Make a Breakout Possible?

The Ravens selected Mark Andrews in the third round of the 2018 NFL Draft, over 50 picks later than Hayden Hurst, a former first-rounder. That became one of the Ravens’ most fruitful drafts, with Lamar Jackson and Andrews remaining staples in the offense. Andrews scored 22 touchdowns in college, with eight coming in his final season, plus 958 receiving yards. He ran a 4.58 40-yard…...

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When Wide Receiver Isn’t an Option: How to Navigate the Middle Rounds of a Superflex Draft

With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. The FFPC is running two “Never-Too-Early” Best Ball Tournaments. Shawn Siegele and I are currently taking part in a draft for the Superflex version. Superflex drafts add several strategic wrinkles. While standard 1-quarterback best ball is far from solved, there are a few dominant strategies that most players are…...

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A Superflex Best Ball Tournament Is the Perfect Format for Contrarian Strategies, But How Crazy Can You Get?

With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. Underdog’s Big Board Tournament includes upcoming 2023 rookies and pays out $200,000 to first place. Their Little Board follows the same basic structure but costs less to enter, has fewer entrants, and pays out $10,000 to first. If you’re new to Underdog and want to get in on the…...

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