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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

With So Many Intriguing Options For Jordan Love in Green Bay’s Passing Game, Which Packers Receivers Provide the Best Values at ADP?

Kevin Szafraniec July 9, 2024

An embarrassment of riches in the receiving game is never a bad problem to have for an NFL quarterback, but it can lead to some difficult decisions for fantasy managers. While there are some interesting situations playing out in both Houston and Chicago, perhaps the most crowded — and potentially most ambiguous — receiving corps in the league for 2024 may reside in Green Bay…....

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This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14

Blair Andrews July 8, 2024

Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...

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Veterans and Young Running Backs: 2 Small Gap Backfields Offer Opportunities for a Variety of Strategic Approaches

Corbin Young July 8, 2024

Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with new offensive coordinators to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...

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Don’t Fight the Avalanche; Be the Avalanche: How Many Detours Can You Take When Facing Off Against Other WR-Heavy Drafters?

Michael Dubner July 5, 2024

If you’re asking yourself whether this is a good year for Zero RB, you might be asking the wrong question. Instead, given that it’s always a good year for Zero RB, the right question is: How extreme do I need to get? How many detours can I take when facing a WR avalanche? How Many WR Detours Can We Take Before Getting Buried By the…...

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2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban July 3, 2024

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

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2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban July 2, 2024

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

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Can Best Ball Simulations Unlock New Quarterback Strategies? Analyzing Millions of Simulated Teams In Search of a Contrarian Build

Jake Boes July 1, 2024

While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...

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2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Dave Caban July 1, 2024

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

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Is 2024 a Good Year for Zero RB? Why That’s the Wrong Question When Facing the Wide Receiver Avalanche

Michael Dubner June 28, 2024

Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...

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2024 Is a Race to the Tier Breaks: 3 Key Tactics and 11 Priority Players to Help You Win

Shawn Siegele June 27, 2024

Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...

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Is Najee Harris Finally a Bargain? 2 Small Gap Backfields With New Offensive Coordinators

Corbin Young June 26, 2024

In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...

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The Unbearable Weight of Massive Opportunity: It’s Blake Corum Versus Kyren Williams, Winner-Take-All, for One of Fantasy’s Most Prestigious Assignments, or is It?

Mat Irby June 25, 2024

This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...

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You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele June 21, 2024

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

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WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Jake Boes June 20, 2024

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

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Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Dave Caban June 19, 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

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Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Blair Andrews June 18, 2024

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Kevin Szafraniec June 14, 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

Blair Andrews June 13, 2024

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Kevin Szafraniec June 10, 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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