Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 15 Wide Receivers to Target

A couple of weeks ago, I wrote an article about the importance of wide receiver efficiency and found that we want to target efficient WRs who are going into their second or (to a lesser degree) third NFL season. This isn’t a new idea – Blair Andrews wrote about it last year in The Wrong Read No. 59 – but the extent to which efficient, inexperienced WRs…...

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Turn Your Best Ball Drafts Into a Money Machine With These Unpopular RB Tactics

In Lesson 6, we looked at all of the best two-round starts in best ball. Given what we know about RB dominance in 2019, the strengths and weaknesses of different approaches were surprising. In today’s Lesson 7 of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele examines the key RB tactics throughout your draft, including the sweet spots for selecting your RB3 and RB4. It’s Best…...

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Recency Bias and the Natural Tendency to Zag: Why Zero RB Is Set to Crush in 2020

Zig when others zag. It’s a common refrain in the fantasy community, but here’s the thing: Not that many people actually do it. Over the years, RotoViz has become well-known for its contrarian beliefs, most notably with Shawn Siegele’s famous Zero RB article. More than six years later, Zero RB is still one of the most hotly debated topics in fantasy football. Zig when others…...

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How You Draft Quarterbacks Can Determine Your Fate in Superflex Best Ball Leagues

Getting the quarterback position right in best ball leagues is one of the easiest and most effective ways to gain an advantage. Simply picking the right number of QBs in the right rounds gives you an immediate edge, before we even get to the problem of individual player selection. But what if you’re in a Superflex best ball draft? The FFPC has offered Superflex best…...

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Identifying Upside Fantasy Defenses For Your Top Best Ball Targets

Choosing the right defensive roster construction is one of the key tactical ingredients of a winning roster. In 20-round drafts, there are some clear takeaways. Early defenses are a trap due to the low correlation of performance from year to year, but that’s not the biggest danger. Selecting just one, or even two defenses, is one of the easiest ways to fall behind from a…...

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Best Ball Workshop: Foundations of Success – The Best 2-Round Starts May Not Be What You Expect

In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...

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Can These 2 Third-Year WRs Break Into the Elite Tier?

Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...

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5 Notable Fallers in High Stakes Leagues Since the NFL Draft

It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...

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Don’t Forget About Chris Herndon in 2020

The New York Jets are eagerly looking forward to what they can get out of tight end Chris Herndon in 2020. According to Connor Hughes of The Athletic, “to say the Jets can’t wait to get (him) back in their lineup is a vast understatement.” Hughes doubled down on this sentiment on Tuesday, remarking that they “had sky-high expectations” for him in 2019. But suspension…...

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2020 WR Strength Of Schedule: A Simple Way to Find WR Targets in 2020 Best Ball Leagues

The NFL recently released the 2020 schedule, giving fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face and as an added bonus, identify a division whose WRs oppose significantly easy schedules. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a…...

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Analyzing Historical Best Ball Win Rates: Let’s Change the Way You Think About Running Back Efficiency

Yesterday, I wrote an article that used best ball win rate data to examine the impact of efficiency for wide receivers. It built off of what Blair Andrews did in The Wrong Read No. 59, which showed that WRs who post positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) tend to see more volume and continue to be efficient in the following season. That’s certainly good to know,…...

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Analyzing Historical Best Ball Win Rates: Does the Market Correctly Value Wide Receiver Efficiency?

A.J. Brown was special last year. Over the last two decades, Odell Beckham Jr. is the only rookie wide receiver to post more receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) than Brown had in 2019. Brown accumulated 1,051 yards on just 84 targets, leading the NFL in yards per target in the process.[1]Minimum 30 targets. Since 1992, he is the only player to finish with over…...

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Catch Passes to Beat the Masses: 6 Running Backs to Target Late in Best Ball Drafts

Before the NFL Draft, I wrote about why pass-catching is the key to identifying late-round running back breakouts. The evidence is pretty glaring, especially considering it’s not too difficult to predict which RBs will catch passes (as shown in the first article). There weren’t many league-winning RBs picked late in drafts last season, but you can safely expect that to rebound this year. Picking the…...

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2020 RB Strength Of Schedule: 3 Veterans to Avoid and 2 Rookies Worth Targeting in Best Ball

The NFL released the 2020 schedule last week, giving sports fans worldwide something to look forward to and fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a reminder, our SoS App…...

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2020 QB Strength of Schedule: 3 Discounted Passers With Easy Paths to Best Ball Utility

The NFL released the 2020 schedule Thursday evening, giving sports fans worldwide something to look forward to and fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a reminder, our SoS App…...

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Teddy Bridgewater is 2020’s Late Round Quarterback

After the Panthers traded Kyle Allen this spring and elected to not draft a quarterback last weekend, Teddy Bridgewater is cemented as their 2020 starting quarterback. His case as 2020’s late-round quarterback boils down to three simple predictions. Bridgewater will likely be near the top of the league in pass attempts. He will likely be slightly above league average in passing efficiency. He has rushing upside…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Rookie Wide Receiver Landing Spots

A few years ago, RotoViz OG Kevin Cole created a formula for determining which teams were the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is a function of opportunity. Whether the opportunity was created through talent, draft position, or lack of competition, it doesn’t matter. All that matters is raw opportunity because targets are the lifeblood of fantasy scoring. Kevin’s formula attempts…...

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Catch Passes to Beat the Masses: Why Pass-Catching is the Key to Identifying Late-Round RB Breakouts

Player evaluation is hard. That’s a truth we’ll have to deal with a lot over the next week, as the 2020 NFL Draft begins on Thursday. Sticking with the draft idea for a minute, we know that there are certain thresholds prospects have to meet to have a respectable likelihood of success at the next level. For example, if a wide receiver doesn’t break out…...

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The Top Late-Round Picks at Every Position

Nothing beats finding a high-upside player at the back of your best ball draft. Whether it’s Mecole Hardman providing nine double-digit scoring weeks or D.J. Chark, who became a starting level WR for nearly half the season, these late-round picks can often provide the needed boost to increase your team’s overall ceiling. So, with that in mind, I’m bringing back my series from a couple of years ago,…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 9-12

The Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) continues with a look today at Rounds 9-12. If you missed the perfect picks from Rounds 1-4 or Rounds 5-8, be sure to check out those pieces first. Your squad is now nearly halfway done, and the real test begins: Can you find the diamonds in the rough? Once you get into the double-digit rounds of a Best Ball…...

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