Now that the draft is over we can starting doing some early 2016 fantasy football projections. Today: the San Diego Chargers, including a Keenan Allen projection that shows why he is worth his new contract. First things first, using our staff projection machine I set some baseline team-wide assumptions: I just went with the league median for average scoring margin, as I don’t project the 2016 Chargers…...

From Adam Schefter on Twitter:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Now that the draft is over we can starting doing some early 2016 fantasy football projections. Today: the Cincinnati Bengals, including why A.J. Green looks like a top six WR.  First things first, using our staff projection machine I set some baseline team-wide assumptions: For average scoring margin, I went with the league-wide 75th percentile mark, as I believe the Bengals to be one of the better…...

Courtesy of the Seattle backfield, two of the most wrongheaded fantasy football charts I’ve ever seen…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

I’ve seen very little discussion of Tom Brady’s age this offseason, which is odd. We need to talk about it. Brady may never be fantasy relevant again. Tom Brady is going to be 39 in the 2016 NFL season. Only eight QBs have ever attempted 200 passes at the age of 39. Only three of those QBs were above average in terms of passing efficiency.((Using AY/A+ as…...

Now that the draft is over we can starting doing some early 2016 fantasy football projections. Today: the Buffalo Bills, including why Sammy Watkins may have a target problem after all.  First things first, using our staff projection machine I set some baseline team-wide assumptions: I set the average scoring margin to league median because I don’t expect the Bills to be a notably good or…...

Now that the draft is over we can starting doing some early 2016 fantasy football projections. Today: The Atlanta Falcons. First things first, using our staff projection machine I set some baseline team-wide assumptions: I just went with the league median for average scoring margin as I don’t project the 2016 Falcons to be a particularly good or bad team. For pass tendency (how often…...

Now that the draft is over we can starting doing some early 2016 fantasy football projections. Today: The Arizona Cardinals.  First things first, using our staff projection machine I set some baseline team-wide assumptions: I set the team’s average scoring margin around the league-wide 75th percentile, as I expect the Cardinals to be one of the better teams in the league. The pass tendency (how…...

Last offseason I posed the following question: Is Derek Carr bad or a bargain? At the time, the evidence pointed towards bad but he turned out to be a bargain, and people who drafted him in redraft or dynasty had nothing to regret…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Now that the draft is over we can starting doing some early 2016 fantasy football projections. Today: The New Orleans Saints. First things first, using our staff projection machine I set some baseline team-wide assumptions: For average scoring margin, I just went with the league median. Pass tendency is how often the team passes relative to expectation. Pace tendency is how many total plays a team…...

Earlier this offseason I wrote about how you could apply the Zero RB strategy to the dynasty offseason by investing in crowded backfields, and avoiding owning running backs who were on teams likely to add RBs through the draft or free agency…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

I recently finished an early projection for the 2016 New Orleans Saints, and came out with a particularly bullish projection for wide receiver Willie Snead, so bullish that it would have made him the PPR WR19 last season. I plan on writing up that projection in depth soon, but first I wanted to detail why Snead is the real deal, and why his NFL success shouldn’t be…...

RotoDoc recently wrote an excellent breakdown of why he will be and why you should be fading Todd Gurley in redraft this year. For the reasons included, and because I am a Zero RB disciple, I agree with him…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

We write about opportunity for wide receivers a lot around here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

A sentiment I’ve seen several times this offseason, in various forms, is that the Jaguars will or should pass less and run more in the red zone in 2016. I’m not sure they should. Let’s start with what happened on plays where the Jaguars passed in the red zone in 2016:[1]Stats come from the Pro Football Reference Game Play Finder. Overall, the results are very…...

The question I’ve been asking myself about acquiring Dolphins wide receiver Leonte Carroo is: will he be cheaper next year?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

I’ve seen Jarvis Landry described as a very safe wide receiver because of his role in the Dolphins offense. I’ve seen him described as being safe for fantasy owners as well as being safe from the risk of losing production to fellow teammates…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Per the Dynasty ADP App, Ravens running back Kenneth Dixon is the eighth rookie drafted on average. That makes him the most overvalued rookie by a country mile. He shouldn’t even be a first-round rookie pick. I’m not going to beat around the bushes. In Kevin Cole’s rookie RB post-draft success model, Dixon is only given a five percent chance of having a top 12, or RB1,…...

It is time for a brief update on the most exciting running back in the 2016 NFL Draft class, Texans RB Tyler Ervin, now that he has also turned out to be the biggest bargain at any position in rookie drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

In his 2016 NFL Draft NFC North Draft Recap, Charles Kleinheksel says he is treating the Chicago backfield as an open competition between rookie running back Jordan Howard and sophomore RB Jeremy Langford. I wanted to expand on that and explain why it is pretty easy to imagine Howard winning the job outright. The Stoppable Force and The Movable Object Langford averaged a mediocre 3.6 yards per rushing attempt…...