Charles Kleinheksel

Editor and contributor since 2013. Director of Special Projects August 2017. Occasionally found at numberFire, Rotoballer, and FantasyPros.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Cameron Brate Hype Means It’s Time to Target Austin Seferian-Jenkins

What’s going on with Austin Seferian-Jenkins? I mean, other than getting kicked out of practice, quittting and rejoining Twitter, and disappointing thus far in his career? He might also be in danger of losing opportunity to Cameron Brate, according to some reports. It seems odd to say, but the Brate hype is gaining steam. And it’s not without merit. From the Fantasy Efficiency App. PLAYER TAR MS REEP REFPOE…...

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Don’t Give Up on Frank Gore Yet

He’s old. Really old. Old is bad for running backs. It’s gotta be time to move on from Frank Gore, right? Not so fast. I don’t dispute that RBs decline as they get older. But Frank Gore is an exceptional guy. Last year, at age 32, he had over 1200 yards from scrimmage. Here’s a table showing every season in NFL history where a RB aged 32 or…...

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fantasy football apps

Projecting Washington’s 2016 Offense

Here’s a look at my projections for Washington’s skill players for the 2016 fantasy football season. Team Settings Using Vegas lines, we expect Washington’s average point differential per play to be -2 points. I set their pass tendency (-0.01 vs expected) and pace (-0.9) by looking at their trends from the past two seasons. PLAYS PCTPASS PASS SACKS paATTS PCTRUN RUNS 1008.97 0.59 597.15 32.84…...

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ADP Rap Battle: High Stakes vs. Regular Joe Leagues

Fantasy Douche recently updated us about how the sharks are approaching dynasty startup drafts. Here’s a quick look at how FFPC high stakes ADP compares to dynasty startup ADP in general…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Everyone is Fading Allen Hurns – Here’s Why I’m Buying

It’s possible that Allen Hurns will be worse in 2016 than he was in 2015. That’s okay. He still has a place on both your dynasty and redraft teams. The Bad News… Let’s start with the bad news from the WR Sim App. Here’s how Hurns age, size, and production comparables fared in their N+1 seasons. That’s about as negative a forecast as I could imagine. Ninety-six…...

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7 Wide Receivers We Think are Over Priced

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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TE Projections

3 Undervalued Tight Ends for 2016

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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7 Wide Receiver Values for 2016

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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7 Undervalued Running Backs We Like for 2016

Continuing a series of articles looking at early My Fantasy League MFL10 projections vs. positional ADPs. Up next, the best running back values right now. NAME POS PROJ.RNK POS.ADP ADP STDEV DRAFTED PROJ.FP DIFF Miller, Lamar HOU RB RB 1 6 15.58 2.55 167 270.1 5 Lewis, Dion NEP RB RB 9 15 39.92 4.89 166 226.4 6 Powell, Bilal NYJ RB RB 42 49 142.38…...

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Team Wins

4 Quarterbacks We Think Are Overvalued

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or under valued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Breaking Down the Case for Lamar Miller in 2016

According to the Best Ball ADP App, Lamar Miller is currently the sixth running back by ADP. But he’s No. 1 overall in our redraft projections. Here’s why that’s totally reasonable…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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5 Running Backs We Think Are Overvalued

Continuing a series of articles looking at early My Fantasy League MFL10 projections vs. positional ADPs. Up next, the worst running back values right now. NAME POS PROJ.RNK POS.ADP ADP STDEV DRAFTED PROJ.FP DIFF Foster, Arian FA* RB RB 67 44 120.54 19.04 155 NA -23 Williams, DeAngelo PIT RB RB 62 43 118.62 25.07 152 67.9 -19 Henry, Derrick TEN RB RB 53 35…...

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4 Undervalued Quarterbacks

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or under valued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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4 Overpriced Tight Ends

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Jace Amaro Sighting: Should We Care?

From Jace Amaro hopes to revitalize tight-end position: “The tight ends only caught 10 balls [actually eight], so it’s a big year for all of us. All I know is that we plan on getting more involved this season. I plan on getting involved a lot this season.”… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Dynasty Rookie ADP Rap Battle: FFPC vs MFL

Yesterday, Fantasy Douche broke down dynasty rookie ADP in the high stakes Fantasy Football Players Championship format. Today, I’ll compare it to rookie ADP in public My Fantasy League drafts. As you can see, there’s a lot of agreement between the two formats.((I excluded players that were undrafted in FFPC formats but were drafted in MFL. But even if I included them, the R-squared value…...

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Tyler Boyd Fantasy

What’s That Rookie Going to be Worth Next Year?

Using the Dynasty Trade Calculator, I explored how dynasty fantasy football valuation changes for wide receivers between their rookie and sophomore seasons…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Cameron Brate Hype Means It’s Time to Target Austin Seferian-Jenkins

What’s going on with Austin Seferian-Jenkins? I mean, other than getting kicked out of practice, quittting and rejoining Twitter, and disappointing thus far in his career? He might also be in danger of losing opportunity to Cameron Brate, according to some reports. It seems odd to say, but the Brate hype is gaining steam. And it’s not without merit. From the Fantasy Efficiency App. PLAYER TAR MS REEP REFPOE…...

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Don’t Give Up on Frank Gore Yet

He’s old. Really old. Old is bad for running backs. It’s gotta be time to move on from Frank Gore, right? Not so fast. I don’t dispute that RBs decline as they get older. But Frank Gore is an exceptional guy. Last year, at age 32, he had over 1200 yards from scrimmage. Here’s a table showing every season in NFL history where a RB aged 32 or…...

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fantasy football apps

Projecting Washington’s 2016 Offense

Here’s a look at my projections for Washington’s skill players for the 2016 fantasy football season. Team Settings Using Vegas lines, we expect Washington’s average point differential per play to be -2 points. I set their pass tendency (-0.01 vs expected) and pace (-0.9) by looking at their trends from the past two seasons. PLAYS PCTPASS PASS SACKS paATTS PCTRUN RUNS 1008.97 0.59 597.15 32.84…...

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ADP Rap Battle: High Stakes vs. Regular Joe Leagues

Fantasy Douche recently updated us about how the sharks are approaching dynasty startup drafts. Here’s a quick look at how FFPC high stakes ADP compares to dynasty startup ADP in general…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Everyone is Fading Allen Hurns – Here’s Why I’m Buying

It’s possible that Allen Hurns will be worse in 2016 than he was in 2015. That’s okay. He still has a place on both your dynasty and redraft teams. The Bad News… Let’s start with the bad news from the WR Sim App. Here’s how Hurns age, size, and production comparables fared in their N+1 seasons. That’s about as negative a forecast as I could imagine. Ninety-six…...

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7 Wide Receivers We Think are Over Priced

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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TE Projections

3 Undervalued Tight Ends for 2016

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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7 Wide Receiver Values for 2016

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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7 Undervalued Running Backs We Like for 2016

Continuing a series of articles looking at early My Fantasy League MFL10 projections vs. positional ADPs. Up next, the best running back values right now. NAME POS PROJ.RNK POS.ADP ADP STDEV DRAFTED PROJ.FP DIFF Miller, Lamar HOU RB RB 1 6 15.58 2.55 167 270.1 5 Lewis, Dion NEP RB RB 9 15 39.92 4.89 166 226.4 6 Powell, Bilal NYJ RB RB 42 49 142.38…...

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Team Wins

4 Quarterbacks We Think Are Overvalued

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or under valued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Breaking Down the Case for Lamar Miller in 2016

According to the Best Ball ADP App, Lamar Miller is currently the sixth running back by ADP. But he’s No. 1 overall in our redraft projections. Here’s why that’s totally reasonable…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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5 Running Backs We Think Are Overvalued

Continuing a series of articles looking at early My Fantasy League MFL10 projections vs. positional ADPs. Up next, the worst running back values right now. NAME POS PROJ.RNK POS.ADP ADP STDEV DRAFTED PROJ.FP DIFF Foster, Arian FA* RB RB 67 44 120.54 19.04 155 NA -23 Williams, DeAngelo PIT RB RB 62 43 118.62 25.07 152 67.9 -19 Henry, Derrick TEN RB RB 53 35…...

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4 Undervalued Quarterbacks

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or under valued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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4 Overpriced Tight Ends

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Jace Amaro Sighting: Should We Care?

From Jace Amaro hopes to revitalize tight-end position: “The tight ends only caught 10 balls [actually eight], so it’s a big year for all of us. All I know is that we plan on getting more involved this season. I plan on getting involved a lot this season.”… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Dynasty Rookie ADP Rap Battle: FFPC vs MFL

Yesterday, Fantasy Douche broke down dynasty rookie ADP in the high stakes Fantasy Football Players Championship format. Today, I’ll compare it to rookie ADP in public My Fantasy League drafts. As you can see, there’s a lot of agreement between the two formats.((I excluded players that were undrafted in FFPC formats but were drafted in MFL. But even if I included them, the R-squared value…...

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Tyler Boyd Fantasy

What’s That Rookie Going to be Worth Next Year?

Using the Dynasty Trade Calculator, I explored how dynasty fantasy football valuation changes for wide receivers between their rookie and sophomore seasons…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Cameron Brate Hype Means It’s Time to Target Austin Seferian-Jenkins

What’s going on with Austin Seferian-Jenkins? I mean, other than getting kicked out of practice, quittting and rejoining Twitter, and disappointing thus far in his career? He might also be in danger of losing opportunity to Cameron Brate, according to some reports. It seems odd to say, but the Brate hype is gaining steam. And it’s not without merit. From the Fantasy Efficiency App. PLAYER TAR MS REEP REFPOE…...

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Don’t Give Up on Frank Gore Yet

He’s old. Really old. Old is bad for running backs. It’s gotta be time to move on from Frank Gore, right? Not so fast. I don’t dispute that RBs decline as they get older. But Frank Gore is an exceptional guy. Last year, at age 32, he had over 1200 yards from scrimmage. Here’s a table showing every season in NFL history where a RB aged 32 or…...

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fantasy football apps

Projecting Washington’s 2016 Offense

Here’s a look at my projections for Washington’s skill players for the 2016 fantasy football season. Team Settings Using Vegas lines, we expect Washington’s average point differential per play to be -2 points. I set their pass tendency (-0.01 vs expected) and pace (-0.9) by looking at their trends from the past two seasons. PLAYS PCTPASS PASS SACKS paATTS PCTRUN RUNS 1008.97 0.59 597.15 32.84…...

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ADP Rap Battle: High Stakes vs. Regular Joe Leagues

Fantasy Douche recently updated us about how the sharks are approaching dynasty startup drafts. Here’s a quick look at how FFPC high stakes ADP compares to dynasty startup ADP in general…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Everyone is Fading Allen Hurns – Here’s Why I’m Buying

It’s possible that Allen Hurns will be worse in 2016 than he was in 2015. That’s okay. He still has a place on both your dynasty and redraft teams. The Bad News… Let’s start with the bad news from the WR Sim App. Here’s how Hurns age, size, and production comparables fared in their N+1 seasons. That’s about as negative a forecast as I could imagine. Ninety-six…...

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7 Wide Receivers We Think are Over Priced

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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TE Projections

3 Undervalued Tight Ends for 2016

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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7 Wide Receiver Values for 2016

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over- or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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7 Undervalued Running Backs We Like for 2016

Continuing a series of articles looking at early My Fantasy League MFL10 projections vs. positional ADPs. Up next, the best running back values right now. NAME POS PROJ.RNK POS.ADP ADP STDEV DRAFTED PROJ.FP DIFF Miller, Lamar HOU RB RB 1 6 15.58 2.55 167 270.1 5 Lewis, Dion NEP RB RB 9 15 39.92 4.89 166 226.4 6 Powell, Bilal NYJ RB RB 42 49 142.38…...

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Team Wins

4 Quarterbacks We Think Are Overvalued

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or under valued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Breaking Down the Case for Lamar Miller in 2016

According to the Best Ball ADP App, Lamar Miller is currently the sixth running back by ADP. But he’s No. 1 overall in our redraft projections. Here’s why that’s totally reasonable…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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5 Running Backs We Think Are Overvalued

Continuing a series of articles looking at early My Fantasy League MFL10 projections vs. positional ADPs. Up next, the worst running back values right now. NAME POS PROJ.RNK POS.ADP ADP STDEV DRAFTED PROJ.FP DIFF Foster, Arian FA* RB RB 67 44 120.54 19.04 155 NA -23 Williams, DeAngelo PIT RB RB 62 43 118.62 25.07 152 67.9 -19 Henry, Derrick TEN RB RB 53 35…...

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4 Undervalued Quarterbacks

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or under valued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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4 Overpriced Tight Ends

The Best Ball App is all kinds of fun. Not only does it help you dominate those My Fantasy League MFL10s, it informs your general redraft and dynasty strategy as well. Knowing which players are currently over or undervalued has ramifications for all fantasy formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Jace Amaro Sighting: Should We Care?

From Jace Amaro hopes to revitalize tight-end position: “The tight ends only caught 10 balls [actually eight], so it’s a big year for all of us. All I know is that we plan on getting more involved this season. I plan on getting involved a lot this season.”… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Dynasty Rookie ADP Rap Battle: FFPC vs MFL

Yesterday, Fantasy Douche broke down dynasty rookie ADP in the high stakes Fantasy Football Players Championship format. Today, I’ll compare it to rookie ADP in public My Fantasy League drafts. As you can see, there’s a lot of agreement between the two formats.((I excluded players that were undrafted in FFPC formats but were drafted in MFL. But even if I included them, the R-squared value…...

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Tyler Boyd Fantasy

What’s That Rookie Going to be Worth Next Year?

Using the Dynasty Trade Calculator, I explored how dynasty fantasy football valuation changes for wide receivers between their rookie and sophomore seasons…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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