This is part of a new series at RotoViz, where we talk about players that are more or less off the fantasy football radar, but who could have value if things break their way. Up next: Ted Ginn Ted Ginn was fantasy relevant in 2015. No really, it’s true, look it up. He finished as a PPR WR3. Despite that performance, he’s being mostly ignored this year,…...

Recently the RotoViz Bros were hanging around the office, when talk turned to the guys behind the guys. In other words, players without much current fantasy value, but who would suddenly have value, if the guy in front of them were to miss time. These are players that we just need to be aware of because the effect of injuries are felt quickly in fantasy…...

They say those who forget their history are doomed to repeat it. That’s only a problem if your history is bad, of course. In the spirit of accountability and learning from the past, here’s a one-year retrospective on our 2015 dynasty rookie rankings. How’d we do? Spoiler alert: I’m actually going to let you decide how we did. I will give some commentary but ultimately…...

Continuing our tour around the league, here’s a look at my projections for the 2016 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Using the Projection Machine, here are the team-level inputs I used. Vegas lines project the Buccaneers to have an average per-game scoring deficit of over four points. I set their pass expectancy vs. expectation to just league average, but as you can see in the middle graph, that’s…...

As we quickly approach peak redraft season, I fired up the Draft Optimizer to start preparing. I prefer it to doing mock drafts for a few reasons, but mainly because it saves time. Here’s a quick example of how I used it to build a My Fantasy League MFL10 roster in just a few minutes…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

New head coach Hue Jackson, plus a bevy of new players via the draft, have actually created a bit of optimism in Cleveland. But most of it seems focused on pass catchers. I think we’re overlooking a potentially valuable running back…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Recently Fantasy Douche outlined one metric that suggests the Seahawks could pass more in 2016. Here’s one that suggests they might actually run more often. In games Marshawn Lynch missed last year, Seattle was on pace for 531 rushing attempts, or 70 attempts more than in games Lynch played. That’s a little more than four attempts per game. They also paced for about 300 more yards. Note…...

Does anybody not named Davante Adams mom still like him? I mean other than me. Take a look at Adams dynasty value since last year. Jeff Janis is now worth more than Davante Adams. That’s…unusual. Not only has Janis barely been on the (regular season) field, he’s somehow even worse on a per-target basis, although his sample size is certainly quite small. Sure, sure, Janis could develop…...

The 2016 Scott Fish Bowl draft(s) begin next week. To help you prepare, here’s a cheat sheet. To create the cheat sheet, I used our staff composite projections, applied SFB scoring to them, and then replicated the Cheat Sheet App, which helps identify draft targets. Enjoy! Keep in mind that this cheat sheet is based on current SFB mock draft ADP, which may not actually…...

For this exercise, I pulled in ADP data from the SFB mock drafts happening on My Fantasy League. From there, I reverse-engineered the Cheat Sheet App (which doesn’t have SFB ADP) to identify targets and fades based on RotoViz composite projections. Up next, players that are being undervalued in SFB drafts. PLAYER POS PICK ADP POS RANK FP FP POS RNK EQUITY Marshall, Brandon NYJ…...

In a previous post, I looked at player and positional value in last year’s Scott Fish Bowl, and extrapolated some takeaways for 2016. Here’s a big-picture look at the most successful draft strategies from last year, with some thoughts about how they might apply to this year…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

After a pair of articles exploring the 2015 Scott Fish Bowl, let’s apply some of what we’ve learned to this year’s draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

From Rotoworld: ESPN Cleveland’s Tony Grossi pegs Andrew Hawkins and rookie Rashard Higgins as the Browns’ likely Nos. 2 and 3 receivers this year. Ironically, this blurb was posted on Andrew Hawkins player page, and not Rashard Higgins, who remains a dynasty rookie value as long as he keeps flying under the radar. Although Grossi lists Hawkins first and then Higgins, I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see…...

It’s July, which means it’s Scott Fish Bowl time. The annual fan-and-industry fantasy football mega tournament is all kinds of fun, in part because of its unique scoring rules. Here’s a look at some of the best and worst players from last year, and what lessons we might draw for 2016. Right off the bat, I’ll note that there’s a scoring change this year. Tight…...

RotoViz has a great new Screener App, that helps you do some sophisticated analysis and regression work in just a few clicks. Here’s an exercise I did, using the Screener to create a wide receiver projection model, which I then compared to our composite staff projections. There are some interesting takeaways…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

RotoViz has a great new Screener App, that helps you do some sophisticated analysis and regression work in just a few clicks. Here’s an exercise I did, using the Screener to create a running back projection model, which I then compared to our composite staff projections. There are some interesting takeaways. First, here’s how I set up the model. I’m looking only at RBs, and…...

From 5 Questions About Buccaneer’s Offense:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

We’re continuing to add and update our seasonal projections, and we’re taking the time to write up some of the teams. Today I’ll take a look at the Oakland Raiders 2016 fantasy projections. Team Settings I used Vegas lines to infer the average point margin per play (-2), and then used last year’s rates to inform pass and pace tendency. In both cases I made…...

From Mike Freeman’s 10-Point Stance:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...