RotoDoc

Co-Owner and Editor-in-Chief at RotoViz. Mathematics Ph.D. 3x qualifier for the DraftKings NASCAR Main Event.

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NASCAR DFS picks

Your Fantasy NASCAR 2016 Season Primer – Chevrolet Drivers

In this fantasy NASCAR 2016 season primer, we take a look at the Chevrolet drivers. We’ll look at their average finishing position (Avg Fin), driver rating (DRtg) at every track type, and DraftKings points (DKPts)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Super Bowl 50: The Panthers are Still Underrated

The Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos are your Super Bowl 50 participants. I believe not only will the Panthers win, but they should do so handily. Why? Because math. Sabermetrics I wrote an article last week about using the Pythagenpat formula to project 2016 records. Well, we can use that same formula for in-season results as well. However, we can’t just use the regular season Pythagenpat from last week’s article,…...

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NFC Championship Preview: Arizona at Carolina

The conference championships are here. We’ve got the fantasy low down for both championship games this weekend. Here’s your NFC Championship fantasy preview for the game between top seed Carolina and second seed Arizona. QUARTERBACK Given there are only four quarterbacks in play, it’s imperative to find the one that puts you over the top in daily fantasy formats. Peyton Manning isn’t likely to put up a monster game,…...

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Using Sabermetrics to Project 2016 NFL Records

In this piece I’m going to find NFL teams that have potential to regress or improve in 2016. To do so, I’ll be using a Sabermetric measure called the Pythagenpat Formula, introduced by David Smyth, to better estimate the true strength of a team rather than using win-loss record. NFL Sabermetrics The Pythagenpat formula looks at the points scored for and against each team. Teams that were involved in…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Sixteen NASCAR Hot Takes for 2016: Part 2 – Guest Takes

In part one of the NASCAR hot takes, you got to read eight of my takes for the 2016 season. For part two, most of the takes come from other fantasy NASCAR writers and one wild and crazy fantasy NASCAR podcast host. We’re only five Sundays away from the Daytona 500, I hope you’re excited for the fantasy NASCAR season!… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View...

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Divisional Round Preview: Pittsburgh at Denver

The last game of this weekend’s divisional round playoff games features the Denver Broncos hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. While this is a rematch of a week 15 game hosted and won by the Steelers, we can’t expect Sunday’s game to resemble that contest at all. This fantasy football divisional round preview will tell you what we can expect. Quarterback In a far cry from the 34-27 scoreline in week…...

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NASCAR Hot Takes

Sixteen NASCAR Hot Takes for 2016: Part 1

The NFL regular season is over, meaning we’re only a month and a half away from the beginning of the 2016 NASCAR season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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jjwatt

Wild Card Preview: Kansas City at Houston

The NFL playoffs are here! While it’s sad that seasonal leagues are over, there are still several fantasy formats out there for the NFL playoffs. DraftKings is even offering a Millionaire Maker for the weekend slate. The weekend’s first game features the Houston Texans, champions of the AFC South, hosting the red hot Kansas City Chiefs and their 10 game winning streak. In this wild card preview, I’ll…...

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Wild Card Preview: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

The second Saturday game game features the Pittsburgh Steelers, who squeaked in as the sixth seed in the AFC, visiting division rivals and AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers enter the game as three point favorites despite being the road team and missing their top two running backs. This makes for an interesting dynamic which I’ll cover in this wild card preview. Quarterback Don’t be…...

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The Worst Cash Game Lineup of All Time

I’m just going to come straight out and say it. I had a horrendous weekend with my daily fantasy football cash game lineup. Terrible. Awful. Pitiful. I hate the word pitiful, I’d rather use pathetic, so I’m going to punish myself and use pitiful. Considering every player I used played a full game, ending up in the bottom five percent of all cash lineups is pretty rough…. Membership...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Phoenix Picks and Projections

Sunday’s race at Phoenix International Raceway is a big race both for NASCAR and for yours truly. Phoenix is the penultimate race of the NASCAR season, and the last race of the Eliminator Round of The Chase. Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and Kurt Busch are in must-win mode to advance to the Championship Round at Homestead next weekend. On the fantasy front, I have two entries into the…...

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Daily Fantasy Football Week 9 Projections

Week 8 was a solid week for the model, with every position except the quarterback position hovering at an R-squared around 0.25. If not for huge games from Derek Carr and Drew Brees, the quarterback predictions would have been the most accurate of all the positions. The model will continue to improve as the less predictable, early season games are de-weighted over the next few weeks. Let’s jump into those…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Texas Picks and Projections

This weekend NASCAR heads to Texas for the second race of the Eliminator Round of The Chase. The previous race at Martinsville saw plenty of fireworks, which culminated in Matt Kenseth paying back Joey Logano for an incident two weeks prior at Kansas. As a result, Kenseth has been suspended for this week and next, so be sure to keep him out of your DraftKings lineups. Logano saw…...

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NASCAR DFS Talladega

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Martinsville Picks and Projections

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series is at Martinsville for the first race of the Eliminator round of The Chase. Martinsville is a trick half-mile, flat, paper clip shaped track that often sees a significant amount of bumping and rubbing during the race. As a result, cautions fly in abundance most Martinsville races. With 500 laps scheduled, it’s absolutely of prime importance to snare at least…...

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Daily Fantasy Football: Week 8 Projections

After an unanticipated bye last week, the weekly machine learning projections are back! The model is really kicking in, as R-squared values are now expected above 0.3 as the data becomes more plentiful. Every team now has at least six games under their belt, which is optimal for predicting fantasy production. Let’s jump right into the week 8 projections and picks…. Membership Required You must be a member...

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gregolsen

Week 8 Buy and Sell: Amico’s Bye Week

Anthony picked the perfect week to play hooky take a bye week from his buy/sell series. That’s because with seven weeks of the NFL season in the books, we now have enough in-season data to accurately assess player and team performance. Thus, he forced graciously asked me, the data guy, to write his weekly buy/sell article.[1]little does he know he now owes me a NASCAR article as payback…...

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DraftKings NASCAR Texas

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Talladega Picks and Projections

This week’s fantasy NASCAR Talladega picks and projections are going to be a bit different. With the highly unpredictable nature of Talladega and it’s 188 lap distance, projecting this race lends itself to a different kind of projection. Due to the fact that cars run in a large pack at Talladega, the fastest lap each lap is simply determined by either who has the biggest…...

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NASCAR DFS picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Kansas Picks and Projections

This weekend NASCAR continues withe second race of the Contender Round of the Chase at Kansas Speedway. Today’s race should be an interesting affair, as Chase contenders Kyle Busch, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., and Matt Kenseth look to make up some ground after poor results at Charlotte. With 267 laps on tap, as is strategy with most race weekends, you’ll need to find the guy who leads the most…...

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NASCAR DFS picks

Your Fantasy NASCAR 2016 Season Primer – Chevrolet Drivers

In this fantasy NASCAR 2016 season primer, we take a look at the Chevrolet drivers. We’ll look at their average finishing position (Avg Fin), driver rating (DRtg) at every track type, and DraftKings points (DKPts)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Super Bowl 50: The Panthers are Still Underrated

The Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos are your Super Bowl 50 participants. I believe not only will the Panthers win, but they should do so handily. Why? Because math. Sabermetrics I wrote an article last week about using the Pythagenpat formula to project 2016 records. Well, we can use that same formula for in-season results as well. However, we can’t just use the regular season Pythagenpat from last week’s article,…...

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NFC Championship Preview: Arizona at Carolina

The conference championships are here. We’ve got the fantasy low down for both championship games this weekend. Here’s your NFC Championship fantasy preview for the game between top seed Carolina and second seed Arizona. QUARTERBACK Given there are only four quarterbacks in play, it’s imperative to find the one that puts you over the top in daily fantasy formats. Peyton Manning isn’t likely to put up a monster game,…...

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Using Sabermetrics to Project 2016 NFL Records

In this piece I’m going to find NFL teams that have potential to regress or improve in 2016. To do so, I’ll be using a Sabermetric measure called the Pythagenpat Formula, introduced by David Smyth, to better estimate the true strength of a team rather than using win-loss record. NFL Sabermetrics The Pythagenpat formula looks at the points scored for and against each team. Teams that were involved in…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Sixteen NASCAR Hot Takes for 2016: Part 2 – Guest Takes

In part one of the NASCAR hot takes, you got to read eight of my takes for the 2016 season. For part two, most of the takes come from other fantasy NASCAR writers and one wild and crazy fantasy NASCAR podcast host. We’re only five Sundays away from the Daytona 500, I hope you’re excited for the fantasy NASCAR season!… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View...

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Divisional Round Preview: Pittsburgh at Denver

The last game of this weekend’s divisional round playoff games features the Denver Broncos hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. While this is a rematch of a week 15 game hosted and won by the Steelers, we can’t expect Sunday’s game to resemble that contest at all. This fantasy football divisional round preview will tell you what we can expect. Quarterback In a far cry from the 34-27 scoreline in week…...

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NASCAR Hot Takes

Sixteen NASCAR Hot Takes for 2016: Part 1

The NFL regular season is over, meaning we’re only a month and a half away from the beginning of the 2016 NASCAR season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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jjwatt

Wild Card Preview: Kansas City at Houston

The NFL playoffs are here! While it’s sad that seasonal leagues are over, there are still several fantasy formats out there for the NFL playoffs. DraftKings is even offering a Millionaire Maker for the weekend slate. The weekend’s first game features the Houston Texans, champions of the AFC South, hosting the red hot Kansas City Chiefs and their 10 game winning streak. In this wild card preview, I’ll…...

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Wild Card Preview: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

The second Saturday game game features the Pittsburgh Steelers, who squeaked in as the sixth seed in the AFC, visiting division rivals and AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers enter the game as three point favorites despite being the road team and missing their top two running backs. This makes for an interesting dynamic which I’ll cover in this wild card preview. Quarterback Don’t be…...

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The Worst Cash Game Lineup of All Time

I’m just going to come straight out and say it. I had a horrendous weekend with my daily fantasy football cash game lineup. Terrible. Awful. Pitiful. I hate the word pitiful, I’d rather use pathetic, so I’m going to punish myself and use pitiful. Considering every player I used played a full game, ending up in the bottom five percent of all cash lineups is pretty rough…. Membership...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Phoenix Picks and Projections

Sunday’s race at Phoenix International Raceway is a big race both for NASCAR and for yours truly. Phoenix is the penultimate race of the NASCAR season, and the last race of the Eliminator Round of The Chase. Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and Kurt Busch are in must-win mode to advance to the Championship Round at Homestead next weekend. On the fantasy front, I have two entries into the…...

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Daily Fantasy Football Week 9 Projections

Week 8 was a solid week for the model, with every position except the quarterback position hovering at an R-squared around 0.25. If not for huge games from Derek Carr and Drew Brees, the quarterback predictions would have been the most accurate of all the positions. The model will continue to improve as the less predictable, early season games are de-weighted over the next few weeks. Let’s jump into those…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Texas Picks and Projections

This weekend NASCAR heads to Texas for the second race of the Eliminator Round of The Chase. The previous race at Martinsville saw plenty of fireworks, which culminated in Matt Kenseth paying back Joey Logano for an incident two weeks prior at Kansas. As a result, Kenseth has been suspended for this week and next, so be sure to keep him out of your DraftKings lineups. Logano saw…...

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NASCAR DFS Talladega

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Martinsville Picks and Projections

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series is at Martinsville for the first race of the Eliminator round of The Chase. Martinsville is a trick half-mile, flat, paper clip shaped track that often sees a significant amount of bumping and rubbing during the race. As a result, cautions fly in abundance most Martinsville races. With 500 laps scheduled, it’s absolutely of prime importance to snare at least…...

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Daily Fantasy Football: Week 8 Projections

After an unanticipated bye last week, the weekly machine learning projections are back! The model is really kicking in, as R-squared values are now expected above 0.3 as the data becomes more plentiful. Every team now has at least six games under their belt, which is optimal for predicting fantasy production. Let’s jump right into the week 8 projections and picks…. Membership Required You must be a member...

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gregolsen

Week 8 Buy and Sell: Amico’s Bye Week

Anthony picked the perfect week to play hooky take a bye week from his buy/sell series. That’s because with seven weeks of the NFL season in the books, we now have enough in-season data to accurately assess player and team performance. Thus, he forced graciously asked me, the data guy, to write his weekly buy/sell article.[1]little does he know he now owes me a NASCAR article as payback…...

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DraftKings NASCAR Texas

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Talladega Picks and Projections

This week’s fantasy NASCAR Talladega picks and projections are going to be a bit different. With the highly unpredictable nature of Talladega and it’s 188 lap distance, projecting this race lends itself to a different kind of projection. Due to the fact that cars run in a large pack at Talladega, the fastest lap each lap is simply determined by either who has the biggest…...

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NASCAR DFS picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Kansas Picks and Projections

This weekend NASCAR continues withe second race of the Contender Round of the Chase at Kansas Speedway. Today’s race should be an interesting affair, as Chase contenders Kyle Busch, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., and Matt Kenseth look to make up some ground after poor results at Charlotte. With 267 laps on tap, as is strategy with most race weekends, you’ll need to find the guy who leads the most…...

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NASCAR DFS picks

Your Fantasy NASCAR 2016 Season Primer – Chevrolet Drivers

In this fantasy NASCAR 2016 season primer, we take a look at the Chevrolet drivers. We’ll look at their average finishing position (Avg Fin), driver rating (DRtg) at every track type, and DraftKings points (DKPts)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Super Bowl 50: The Panthers are Still Underrated

The Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos are your Super Bowl 50 participants. I believe not only will the Panthers win, but they should do so handily. Why? Because math. Sabermetrics I wrote an article last week about using the Pythagenpat formula to project 2016 records. Well, we can use that same formula for in-season results as well. However, we can’t just use the regular season Pythagenpat from last week’s article,…...

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NFC Championship Preview: Arizona at Carolina

The conference championships are here. We’ve got the fantasy low down for both championship games this weekend. Here’s your NFC Championship fantasy preview for the game between top seed Carolina and second seed Arizona. QUARTERBACK Given there are only four quarterbacks in play, it’s imperative to find the one that puts you over the top in daily fantasy formats. Peyton Manning isn’t likely to put up a monster game,…...

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Using Sabermetrics to Project 2016 NFL Records

In this piece I’m going to find NFL teams that have potential to regress or improve in 2016. To do so, I’ll be using a Sabermetric measure called the Pythagenpat Formula, introduced by David Smyth, to better estimate the true strength of a team rather than using win-loss record. NFL Sabermetrics The Pythagenpat formula looks at the points scored for and against each team. Teams that were involved in…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Sixteen NASCAR Hot Takes for 2016: Part 2 – Guest Takes

In part one of the NASCAR hot takes, you got to read eight of my takes for the 2016 season. For part two, most of the takes come from other fantasy NASCAR writers and one wild and crazy fantasy NASCAR podcast host. We’re only five Sundays away from the Daytona 500, I hope you’re excited for the fantasy NASCAR season!… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View...

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Divisional Round Preview: Pittsburgh at Denver

The last game of this weekend’s divisional round playoff games features the Denver Broncos hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. While this is a rematch of a week 15 game hosted and won by the Steelers, we can’t expect Sunday’s game to resemble that contest at all. This fantasy football divisional round preview will tell you what we can expect. Quarterback In a far cry from the 34-27 scoreline in week…...

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NASCAR Hot Takes

Sixteen NASCAR Hot Takes for 2016: Part 1

The NFL regular season is over, meaning we’re only a month and a half away from the beginning of the 2016 NASCAR season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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jjwatt

Wild Card Preview: Kansas City at Houston

The NFL playoffs are here! While it’s sad that seasonal leagues are over, there are still several fantasy formats out there for the NFL playoffs. DraftKings is even offering a Millionaire Maker for the weekend slate. The weekend’s first game features the Houston Texans, champions of the AFC South, hosting the red hot Kansas City Chiefs and their 10 game winning streak. In this wild card preview, I’ll…...

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Wild Card Preview: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

The second Saturday game game features the Pittsburgh Steelers, who squeaked in as the sixth seed in the AFC, visiting division rivals and AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers enter the game as three point favorites despite being the road team and missing their top two running backs. This makes for an interesting dynamic which I’ll cover in this wild card preview. Quarterback Don’t be…...

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The Worst Cash Game Lineup of All Time

I’m just going to come straight out and say it. I had a horrendous weekend with my daily fantasy football cash game lineup. Terrible. Awful. Pitiful. I hate the word pitiful, I’d rather use pathetic, so I’m going to punish myself and use pitiful. Considering every player I used played a full game, ending up in the bottom five percent of all cash lineups is pretty rough…. Membership...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Phoenix Picks and Projections

Sunday’s race at Phoenix International Raceway is a big race both for NASCAR and for yours truly. Phoenix is the penultimate race of the NASCAR season, and the last race of the Eliminator Round of The Chase. Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and Kurt Busch are in must-win mode to advance to the Championship Round at Homestead next weekend. On the fantasy front, I have two entries into the…...

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Daily Fantasy Football Week 9 Projections

Week 8 was a solid week for the model, with every position except the quarterback position hovering at an R-squared around 0.25. If not for huge games from Derek Carr and Drew Brees, the quarterback predictions would have been the most accurate of all the positions. The model will continue to improve as the less predictable, early season games are de-weighted over the next few weeks. Let’s jump into those…...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Texas Picks and Projections

This weekend NASCAR heads to Texas for the second race of the Eliminator Round of The Chase. The previous race at Martinsville saw plenty of fireworks, which culminated in Matt Kenseth paying back Joey Logano for an incident two weeks prior at Kansas. As a result, Kenseth has been suspended for this week and next, so be sure to keep him out of your DraftKings lineups. Logano saw…...

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NASCAR DFS Talladega

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Martinsville Picks and Projections

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series is at Martinsville for the first race of the Eliminator round of The Chase. Martinsville is a trick half-mile, flat, paper clip shaped track that often sees a significant amount of bumping and rubbing during the race. As a result, cautions fly in abundance most Martinsville races. With 500 laps scheduled, it’s absolutely of prime importance to snare at least…...

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Daily Fantasy Football: Week 8 Projections

After an unanticipated bye last week, the weekly machine learning projections are back! The model is really kicking in, as R-squared values are now expected above 0.3 as the data becomes more plentiful. Every team now has at least six games under their belt, which is optimal for predicting fantasy production. Let’s jump right into the week 8 projections and picks…. Membership Required You must be a member...

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gregolsen

Week 8 Buy and Sell: Amico’s Bye Week

Anthony picked the perfect week to play hooky take a bye week from his buy/sell series. That’s because with seven weeks of the NFL season in the books, we now have enough in-season data to accurately assess player and team performance. Thus, he forced graciously asked me, the data guy, to write his weekly buy/sell article.[1]little does he know he now owes me a NASCAR article as payback…...

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DraftKings NASCAR Texas

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Talladega Picks and Projections

This week’s fantasy NASCAR Talladega picks and projections are going to be a bit different. With the highly unpredictable nature of Talladega and it’s 188 lap distance, projecting this race lends itself to a different kind of projection. Due to the fact that cars run in a large pack at Talladega, the fastest lap each lap is simply determined by either who has the biggest…...

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NASCAR DFS picks

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Kansas Picks and Projections

This weekend NASCAR continues withe second race of the Contender Round of the Chase at Kansas Speedway. Today’s race should be an interesting affair, as Chase contenders Kyle Busch, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., and Matt Kenseth look to make up some ground after poor results at Charlotte. With 267 laps on tap, as is strategy with most race weekends, you’ll need to find the guy who leads the most…...

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