Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by A.J. Bessette and Greg Meade, click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

This weekends DraftKings NASCAR Kentucky slate will be quite interesting this week as we won’t have a ton of solid track history to draw from… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Most places use prior year win percentage when evaluating strength of schedule, but Pythagorean Expectation is a better predictor of future results than pure win percentage. As such, I’ve used Pythagorean Expectation (specifically I chose the Pythagenpat form of it) to analyze each team’s fantasy playoff schedules for Weeks 14-16…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

I’m back with Part 4 of the MFL10 ADP vs. production series, this time focusing on the tight end position. I talked about quarterbacks in Part 1, running backs in Part 2, and wide receivers in Part 3. TE MFL10 ADP VS. PERFORMANCE As in the prior parts, I used ADP data from 2011 to 2015 and plotted positional ADP and overall ADP against season long fantasy points…...

This week’s DraftKings NASCAR Daytona slate includes a $300k GPP with a $50k first prize. I’ll give you all the picks, fades, and machine learning model projections to help you for this week’s contests…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

In an ongoing MFL10 draft, I was faced with a really interesting situation – a unique one where I believe taking two players at the turn with both later ADP and lower season long projections was a more optimal strategy, than two other players at the same positions…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

This is part three of my MFL10 series where I break down trends from 2011 to present. In this article I show why wide receivers are properly valued. Part 1 focused on quarterbacks, and part 2 focused on running backs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Recently Kevin Cole explained why the 2016 rookie receiver class is overvalued. Not only that, but every top rookie WR in this class also an Achilles’ heel that has me avoiding them nearly altogether in 2016 Best-Ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Last week I wrote about why 2015 was a fluky year at the quarterback position. Results at the running back position were certainly different…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads to Sonoma, California this week for the first of its two road course races…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

This is a brief preview into a larger project I’m working on looking at Best-Ball ADP vs. in-season production and how those trends have changed over time…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

This weekend NASCAR is at Michigan Speedway, a 2-mile D-shaped tri-oval. Below I’ll give you picks and machine learning model projections to help you set your DraftKings NASCAR Michigan lineups. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile flat, triangle-shaped oval. Below I give you picks and machine learning model projections to help you set your DraftKings NASCAR Pocono lineups. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

This is a big race weekend in the racing world. We have the F1 Monaco Grand Prix, the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500, and NASCAR is running the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. This weekend’s DraftKings NASCAR Charlotte slate has a nice big $250k GPP with a $50k first place prize, which we talk strategy for on this week’s NASCAR episode of On the Daily DFS…....

When Shawn Siegele penned the now legendary Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting, he talked about how a Zero RB lineup benefits from injuries and inaccurate projections. I’m not here to repeat or expand upon his great work, but I am here to tell you which RB1 is being projected too highly so you can avoid him in your redraft and Best-Ball leagues…. Membership Required...

Last year I was a bit of a Jamaal Charles hater, and that didn’t sit well with my friend and fellow writer 14TeamMocker. In fact, we got into a bit of a fight over Jamaal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

This weekend’s race is as Dover International Speedway, a 1-mile concrete oval with steep banking in the corners. I’ll give you picks and projections to help you set your DraftKings NASCAR Dover lineups…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

The Sprint Cup Series heads to its final destination before the All-Star race – Dover International Speedway, AKA the Monster Mile…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Recently RotoViz debutante Chris Hatcher wrote an interesting piece about quarterback ball velocity and how that translates into one metric of passing success at the NFL level. I decided to take his work a step further and used logistic regression to model QB success…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...