NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
Welcome to the Week 1 edition of my RB Market Share Report. In this column, I report usage statistics and advanced metrics for each NFL backfield. I will also summarize RB workload statistics for all 32 NFL teams and highlight key trends as applicable. I will publish updates to this column each week following the conclusion of Monday night’s games. As more games are played,…...
The CFB DFS season rolls on with 11 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Slate Overview Roster Construction This week’s main slate offers enormous wide receiver upside, some nice running back values, and a lot of quarterback parity. After testing out a ludicrous number of roster permutations, a roster construction paradigm has emerged: In order to pay up at WR, we need to fade the top…...
This weekend, we closed the chapter on the NFL preseason and opened Pandora’s box with a flurry of roster cuts and transactions. Among running backs that saw preseason action, over half of them were waived, released, or placed on Injured Reserve on Sunday. For many players, Sunday’s roster cuts marked the end of their 2019 NFL seasons (practice squad action notwithstanding). However, a few fortunate…...
The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...
Since joining RotoViz in July, I’ve published two long-form article series[1]Long-form may be an understatement. Combined, the 13 articles from those series amount to 28,529 words, which is longer than The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway. I highly advise that you read those articles as a basis for understanding these fantasy WR tiers, but know that it is not quick reading. that examine…...
On Saturday evening, Andrew Luck shocked the sporting world by announcing his retirement. This news took everyone off guard, throwing active fantasy drafts into a frenzy as everyone scrambled to revise fantasy projections for the Colts’ skill position players. In the wake of Saturday’s news, Matt Jones published an excellent piece explaining why T.Y. Hilton is still a redraft buy even without Luck. Now, it’s…...
Since joining RotoViz in July, I’ve published two long-form article series[1]Long-form may be an understatement. Combined, the 13 articles from those series amount to 28,529 words, which is longer than The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway. I highly advise that you read those articles as a basis for understanding these RB tiers, but know that it is not quick reading. that examine fantasy…...
The CFB DFS season kicks off this Saturday at 7pm ET with two games featured in DraftKings’ evening slate. Florida (-7.5) vs. Miami (FL), Over/Under: 47.5 — 7:00 pm ET Arizona (-11) at Hawai’i, Over/Under: 74 — 10:30 pm ET Matchups at a Glance Here’s a quick layman’s guide for each of these advanced metrics (reported metrics are based on team rank among 130 FBS…...
Antonio Brown’s decision to force himself out of Pittsburgh leaves a gaping 150-plus target void among the Steelers receiving corps. Under head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh has consistently ranked among the league’s most pass-heavy offenses, so we know those targets are going to be redistributed somehow. JuJu Smith-Schuster is the obvious lock to assume Brown’s previous WR1 role. But who will receive the lion’s share…...
Kenyan Drake sustained a right foot injury during practice on Tuesday, August 13, and was seen in in a walking boot on Wednesday. In Drake’s absence, Kalen Ballage has an expanded opportunity for first-team reps and has already been making waves on social media. Kalen Ballage is coming.pic.twitter.com/5S8ECruhTM — FFcouchcoach ⚖️ (@FFcouchcoach) August 14, 2019 Ballage has been a trendy Year 2 breakout candidate, and his…...
Exactly one week ago, I highlighted Tony Pollard as the Cowboys RB to target in redraft if Ezekiel Elliott‘s holdout continues. Not only that, but I also emphasized that Pollard likely has standalone value even if/when Elliott returns to the team. The Pollard Hype Train Has Officially Left the Station As of August 7 — when that article was published — Pollard’s ADP sat around 200 overall. But,…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Ezekiel Elliott officially began his contract holdout on July 26. Since that point, fantasy enthusiasts have held their breath hoping for a swift resolution for the consensus top-four fantasy running back. Instead, drafters have had to endure a volley of public posturing that has cultivated some unease in the fantasy-verse. How Long is Elliott Willing to Sit Out? Jerry Jones was the first party to…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1 of this series, I examined game script from a bird’s eye view. Let’s recap some of the important findings from Part 1: Game condition (leading vs. trailing) has a significant effect on league-wide pass-rates. On average,…...
Game script: A concept easy to understand in the abstract but difficult to distill into quantifiable data. Those of us who play DFS understand game script through experience. A team gets down two scores early and begins to take more risks in the passing game. At the same time, the team with the lead begins to run the ball conservatively to burn time and keep…...
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. We’ve now arrived at the final installment of this series; and for my final entry in this epic, I’m going to shift gears a bit. For seven straight articles, I’ve analyzed the NFL and fantasy football with a global lens…....
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. In Part 6, I looked at some holistic trends for the wide receiver position. Ironically, the passing revolution seems to have had a negative overall effect on wide receivers’ efficiency due to the swelling number of receivers deployed across the…...
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. In Parts 2-4, I covered the running back position in detail. Then, in Part 5, I addressed the tight end position. In each of my preceding articles, I’ve emphasized the importance of targeting elite pass-catching RB1s and elite tight ends…...
Welcome to the Week 1 edition of my RB Market Share Report. In this column, I report usage statistics and advanced metrics for each NFL backfield. I will also summarize RB workload statistics for all 32 NFL teams and highlight key trends as applicable. I will publish updates to this column each week following the conclusion of Monday night’s games. As more games are played,…...
The CFB DFS season rolls on with 11 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Slate Overview Roster Construction This week’s main slate offers enormous wide receiver upside, some nice running back values, and a lot of quarterback parity. After testing out a ludicrous number of roster permutations, a roster construction paradigm has emerged: In order to pay up at WR, we need to fade the top…...
This weekend, we closed the chapter on the NFL preseason and opened Pandora’s box with a flurry of roster cuts and transactions. Among running backs that saw preseason action, over half of them were waived, released, or placed on Injured Reserve on Sunday. For many players, Sunday’s roster cuts marked the end of their 2019 NFL seasons (practice squad action notwithstanding). However, a few fortunate…...
The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...
Since joining RotoViz in July, I’ve published two long-form article series[1]Long-form may be an understatement. Combined, the 13 articles from those series amount to 28,529 words, which is longer than The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway. I highly advise that you read those articles as a basis for understanding these fantasy WR tiers, but know that it is not quick reading. that examine…...
On Saturday evening, Andrew Luck shocked the sporting world by announcing his retirement. This news took everyone off guard, throwing active fantasy drafts into a frenzy as everyone scrambled to revise fantasy projections for the Colts’ skill position players. In the wake of Saturday’s news, Matt Jones published an excellent piece explaining why T.Y. Hilton is still a redraft buy even without Luck. Now, it’s…...
Since joining RotoViz in July, I’ve published two long-form article series[1]Long-form may be an understatement. Combined, the 13 articles from those series amount to 28,529 words, which is longer than The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway. I highly advise that you read those articles as a basis for understanding these RB tiers, but know that it is not quick reading. that examine fantasy…...
The CFB DFS season kicks off this Saturday at 7pm ET with two games featured in DraftKings’ evening slate. Florida (-7.5) vs. Miami (FL), Over/Under: 47.5 — 7:00 pm ET Arizona (-11) at Hawai’i, Over/Under: 74 — 10:30 pm ET Matchups at a Glance Here’s a quick layman’s guide for each of these advanced metrics (reported metrics are based on team rank among 130 FBS…...
Antonio Brown’s decision to force himself out of Pittsburgh leaves a gaping 150-plus target void among the Steelers receiving corps. Under head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh has consistently ranked among the league’s most pass-heavy offenses, so we know those targets are going to be redistributed somehow. JuJu Smith-Schuster is the obvious lock to assume Brown’s previous WR1 role. But who will receive the lion’s share…...
Kenyan Drake sustained a right foot injury during practice on Tuesday, August 13, and was seen in in a walking boot on Wednesday. In Drake’s absence, Kalen Ballage has an expanded opportunity for first-team reps and has already been making waves on social media. Kalen Ballage is coming.pic.twitter.com/5S8ECruhTM — FFcouchcoach ⚖️ (@FFcouchcoach) August 14, 2019 Ballage has been a trendy Year 2 breakout candidate, and his…...
Exactly one week ago, I highlighted Tony Pollard as the Cowboys RB to target in redraft if Ezekiel Elliott‘s holdout continues. Not only that, but I also emphasized that Pollard likely has standalone value even if/when Elliott returns to the team. The Pollard Hype Train Has Officially Left the Station As of August 7 — when that article was published — Pollard’s ADP sat around 200 overall. But,…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Ezekiel Elliott officially began his contract holdout on July 26. Since that point, fantasy enthusiasts have held their breath hoping for a swift resolution for the consensus top-four fantasy running back. Instead, drafters have had to endure a volley of public posturing that has cultivated some unease in the fantasy-verse. How Long is Elliott Willing to Sit Out? Jerry Jones was the first party to…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1 of this series, I examined game script from a bird’s eye view. Let’s recap some of the important findings from Part 1: Game condition (leading vs. trailing) has a significant effect on league-wide pass-rates. On average,…...
Game script: A concept easy to understand in the abstract but difficult to distill into quantifiable data. Those of us who play DFS understand game script through experience. A team gets down two scores early and begins to take more risks in the passing game. At the same time, the team with the lead begins to run the ball conservatively to burn time and keep…...
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. We’ve now arrived at the final installment of this series; and for my final entry in this epic, I’m going to shift gears a bit. For seven straight articles, I’ve analyzed the NFL and fantasy football with a global lens…....
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. In Part 6, I looked at some holistic trends for the wide receiver position. Ironically, the passing revolution seems to have had a negative overall effect on wide receivers’ efficiency due to the swelling number of receivers deployed across the…...
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. In Parts 2-4, I covered the running back position in detail. Then, in Part 5, I addressed the tight end position. In each of my preceding articles, I’ve emphasized the importance of targeting elite pass-catching RB1s and elite tight ends…...
Welcome to the Week 1 edition of my RB Market Share Report. In this column, I report usage statistics and advanced metrics for each NFL backfield. I will also summarize RB workload statistics for all 32 NFL teams and highlight key trends as applicable. I will publish updates to this column each week following the conclusion of Monday night’s games. As more games are played,…...
The CFB DFS season rolls on with 11 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Slate Overview Roster Construction This week’s main slate offers enormous wide receiver upside, some nice running back values, and a lot of quarterback parity. After testing out a ludicrous number of roster permutations, a roster construction paradigm has emerged: In order to pay up at WR, we need to fade the top…...
This weekend, we closed the chapter on the NFL preseason and opened Pandora’s box with a flurry of roster cuts and transactions. Among running backs that saw preseason action, over half of them were waived, released, or placed on Injured Reserve on Sunday. For many players, Sunday’s roster cuts marked the end of their 2019 NFL seasons (practice squad action notwithstanding). However, a few fortunate…...
The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...
Since joining RotoViz in July, I’ve published two long-form article series[1]Long-form may be an understatement. Combined, the 13 articles from those series amount to 28,529 words, which is longer than The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway. I highly advise that you read those articles as a basis for understanding these fantasy WR tiers, but know that it is not quick reading. that examine…...
On Saturday evening, Andrew Luck shocked the sporting world by announcing his retirement. This news took everyone off guard, throwing active fantasy drafts into a frenzy as everyone scrambled to revise fantasy projections for the Colts’ skill position players. In the wake of Saturday’s news, Matt Jones published an excellent piece explaining why T.Y. Hilton is still a redraft buy even without Luck. Now, it’s…...
Since joining RotoViz in July, I’ve published two long-form article series[1]Long-form may be an understatement. Combined, the 13 articles from those series amount to 28,529 words, which is longer than The Old Man and the Sea by Ernest Hemingway. I highly advise that you read those articles as a basis for understanding these RB tiers, but know that it is not quick reading. that examine fantasy…...
The CFB DFS season kicks off this Saturday at 7pm ET with two games featured in DraftKings’ evening slate. Florida (-7.5) vs. Miami (FL), Over/Under: 47.5 — 7:00 pm ET Arizona (-11) at Hawai’i, Over/Under: 74 — 10:30 pm ET Matchups at a Glance Here’s a quick layman’s guide for each of these advanced metrics (reported metrics are based on team rank among 130 FBS…...
Antonio Brown’s decision to force himself out of Pittsburgh leaves a gaping 150-plus target void among the Steelers receiving corps. Under head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh has consistently ranked among the league’s most pass-heavy offenses, so we know those targets are going to be redistributed somehow. JuJu Smith-Schuster is the obvious lock to assume Brown’s previous WR1 role. But who will receive the lion’s share…...
Kenyan Drake sustained a right foot injury during practice on Tuesday, August 13, and was seen in in a walking boot on Wednesday. In Drake’s absence, Kalen Ballage has an expanded opportunity for first-team reps and has already been making waves on social media. Kalen Ballage is coming.pic.twitter.com/5S8ECruhTM — FFcouchcoach ⚖️ (@FFcouchcoach) August 14, 2019 Ballage has been a trendy Year 2 breakout candidate, and his…...
Exactly one week ago, I highlighted Tony Pollard as the Cowboys RB to target in redraft if Ezekiel Elliott‘s holdout continues. Not only that, but I also emphasized that Pollard likely has standalone value even if/when Elliott returns to the team. The Pollard Hype Train Has Officially Left the Station As of August 7 — when that article was published — Pollard’s ADP sat around 200 overall. But,…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...
Ezekiel Elliott officially began his contract holdout on July 26. Since that point, fantasy enthusiasts have held their breath hoping for a swift resolution for the consensus top-four fantasy running back. Instead, drafters have had to endure a volley of public posturing that has cultivated some unease in the fantasy-verse. How Long is Elliott Willing to Sit Out? Jerry Jones was the first party to…...
Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1 of this series, I examined game script from a bird’s eye view. Let’s recap some of the important findings from Part 1: Game condition (leading vs. trailing) has a significant effect on league-wide pass-rates. On average,…...
Game script: A concept easy to understand in the abstract but difficult to distill into quantifiable data. Those of us who play DFS understand game script through experience. A team gets down two scores early and begins to take more risks in the passing game. At the same time, the team with the lead begins to run the ball conservatively to burn time and keep…...
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. We’ve now arrived at the final installment of this series; and for my final entry in this epic, I’m going to shift gears a bit. For seven straight articles, I’ve analyzed the NFL and fantasy football with a global lens…....
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. In Part 6, I looked at some holistic trends for the wide receiver position. Ironically, the passing revolution seems to have had a negative overall effect on wide receivers’ efficiency due to the swelling number of receivers deployed across the…...
Welcome to my NFL Passing Revolution series, where I examine how the NFL’s shift towards efficient pass-heavy offenses has affected the landscape of fantasy football. In Parts 2-4, I covered the running back position in detail. Then, in Part 5, I addressed the tight end position. In each of my preceding articles, I’ve emphasized the importance of targeting elite pass-catching RB1s and elite tight ends…...
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