If you checked out my article on Terry McLaurin a few weeks ago (and by the way, this is the perfect time to be sending offers for the breakout deep threat), you’ll remember I discussed the idea of aDOT adjusted RACR as part of my profile on McLaurin. If not, here’s a brief refresher. Receiver air conversion rate (RACR), a metric created by Josh Hermsmeyer,…...

Terry McLaurin is one of the hottest names in dynasty. After starting his career at an Odell Beckham like pace, his trade value has skyrocketed. McLaurin was an under-hyped third-round rookie, so I want to add some context to his production to help assess his dynasty value. Below is a review of McLaurin’s fantasy performance, prospect profile, and finally, how to approach his dynasty value…....

Chris Godwin is running extremely hot. He leads all WRs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) and is second in FPOE per game. He’s first in PPR per game among WRs, but just 11th in expected (EP) points per game. As you can see above, Godwin’s WOPR — his weighted market share of the passing offense — ranks just 24th among WRs. This highlights two red…...

Off-Season Darling In FFPC startups immediately following the NFL draft, David Montgomery was typically drafted in the fifth round, and sometime fell as far as the late sixth. In rookie drafts he was consistently taken in the early-to-mid first, foreshadowing the enthusiasm that would eventually drive up his ADP in startups. By the end of the summer Montgomery was a staple of the dynasty top…...

Two weeks ago I wrote up Dalvin Cook as a dynasty sell. My argument boiled down to the following three points: His offense limits his PPR value. His 2019 production has been driven by efficiency, not workload. The enthusiasm for Cook means that when shopping him even the most coveted players in dynasty are on the table. Today I want to revisit Cook, because the…...

Dalvin Cook has had himself quite a start to the season. He’s the No. 2 RB in PPR points and leads the league in rushing. These results are seen as proof that he’s this year’s Christian McCaffrey, ie. an immensely talented RB who’s finally become an elite workhorse. But while Cook is undoubtedly a special talent, he’s one of the easiest sells in fantasy at…...

Every year I try and remind myself that the NFL season is a chaotic swirl of colors, injuries and the unbelievable. And then I try to predict it anyway. But then Sammy Watkins and John Ross combine for over 171 points in the first two weeks of the season. And chaos swirls on. Let’s try and make sense of the madness for your dynasty teams…...

Week 1 provides a huge influx of extremely valuable information to fantasy owners. But that information is also filled with noise. Using the RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer, I’m cutting through the noise to deliver dynasty advice on seven RBs.[1]This is largely applicable to redraft as well, although my final recommendations will have a dynasty focus. As a quick refresher, EP stands for Expected…...

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value for top-40 wide receivers in our 2019 RotoViz redraft rankings. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft rankings are exactly correct, and then consider how each WR’s projected finish is likely to affect his dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells at WR…...

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value for top-40 wide receivers in our 2019 RotoViz redraft rankings. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft rankings are exactly correct, and then consider how each WR’s projected finish is likely to affect his dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells at WR…...

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value the WRs we had ranked in the top 40 for 2019 redraft leagues. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft ranking is exactly correct, and then consider how this finish is likely to affect the WR’s dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells…...

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value the WRs we had ranked in the top 40 for 2019 redraft leagues. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft ranking is exactly correct, and then consider how this finish is likely to affect the WR’s dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells…...

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value the WRs we had ranked in the top 40 for 2019 redraft leagues. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft ranking is exactly correct, and then consider how this finish is likely to affect the WR’s dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells…...

Late August is peak re-draft season, but it’s also an underrated time for dynasty. With everyone binging fantasy news and projections, and therefore fully engaged, it can be a great time to work out a trade. Below are five players who are perfect targets at the present moment. D.J. Moore Right after the NFL draft I traded Phillip Lindsay and the 1.12 for Moore. Since…...

The article below is part of a series exploring downside possibilities for the top players in dynasty. This series is designed to be a thought experiment about what might go wrong for the top players in dynasty, with the goal of rounding out our expectations and better preparing us for the season to come. We’ll do this by looking at a player who was being…...

The article below is part of a series exploring downside possibilities for the top players in dynasty. This series is designed to be a thought experiment about what might go wrong for the top players in dynasty, with the goal of rounding out our expectations and better preparing us for the season to come. We’ll do this by looking at a player who was being…...

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...