In-Season
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.
Michael Dubner
RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.
Author Archive
In-Season Articles
In-Season Articles
NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 7
Michael Dubner
October 17, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may actually be…...
Quarterbacks Don’t Matter (In Best Ball): Player Win Rates and the Lamar Jackson Experience
Michael Dubner
October 16, 2019
We spent all offseason discussing roster construction strategies to hack our way to a positive win rate in fantasy football best ball leagues. We’re now six weeks into the 2019 NFL season and can start to see trends emerging in Best Ball Player Win Rates. Last week, Shawn Siegele highlighted the players with the highest win rates through five weeks. Before we get to the really interesting…...
NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 6
Michael Dubner
October 11, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may actually be…...
NFL FanDuel Week 5: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
October 3, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) wwnership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to home in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first…...
NFL FanDuel Week 4: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 26, 2019
Large Field Guaranteed Prize Pools (GPPs) are primarily won in three key areas: 1) Player projections, 2) Roster construction, and 3) Ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone-in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel…...
NFL FanDuel Week 3: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 19, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
NFL FanDuel Week 2: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 13, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
NFL FanDuel Week 1: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 6, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
The “Perfect” Draft for Your DRAFT Best Ball Teams
Michael Dubner
August 27, 2019
You know that feeling when you finish a draft and can’t find any mistakes? Everything just falls perfectly in line with your plan and you wouldn’t change anything. Today we’ll be taking a look at one such perfect draft in the DRAFT Best Ball format. The “Perfect” Draft From Pick No. 9 in DRAFT Best Ball Round 1 Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns My favorite roster…...
Exploring the Results of a 10-Team, Superflex League in the Draft Dashboard
Michael Dubner
August 20, 2019
This past weekend, my high school friends and I had our 10th annual fantasy football draft. While I am the defending champion, have the highest net winnings in our league’s history, and draft in hundreds of DRAFT best balls throughout the year, my draft always plays out differently than I expect. I always find myself surprised by the way this home league draft unfolds, and…...
Solo Elite TE: An Unconventional DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategy
Michael Dubner
August 14, 2019
Now that we have entered the optimal month to draft in the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, I’m looking for every edge RotoViz can create to improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. RotoViz has published a variety of articles detailing how to approach best ball drafts for 2019. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Workshop is the most comprehensive best ball article series…...
These 5 WRs Excel at Scoring Touchdowns and Nothing Will Slow Them Down
Michael Dubner
August 9, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and thus score…...
WRS That Will Score Less: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates
Michael Dubner
August 5, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s abilitay to score touchdowns — and thus…...
Best Ball Round Table, Part 3: How to Manage a Poor Draft Slot and Why 2019 Could Usher in a Fantasy Points Explosion
Michael Dubner
July 30, 2019
I recently asked the gang to get together for a round table discussion looking at all of the biggest questions in best ball. I wanted to dive into the actionable intel found in the FFPC, Fanball, and DRAFT dashboards, as well as the Roster Construction Explorers for each format. Joining me today are some of the more decorated best ball players in the industry. Monty Phan and…...
Fool’s Gold WRS: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates Who Won’t Score More
Michael Dubner
July 25, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Most analysts just use receiving yards to regress touchdowns, so finding that there is signal with adding targets was novel.((And it was interesting to see that targets are actually negatively correlated with touchdowns, given the same…...
5 Wide Receivers Primed to Score More in 2019: Positive Touchdown Regression
Michael Dubner
July 18, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a Wide Receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and…...
Zero RB Will Win Someone $1,000,000: NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategies
Michael Dubner
July 15, 2019
Michael Dubner looks at how we can use the Zero RB fantasy football draft strategy in the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship tournament. It’s been nearly six years since RotoViz’s Shawn Siegele penned the ground-breaking article “Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value Based Drafting.” Despite the re-emergence of workhorse RBs, Zero RB is still thriving. While Zero RB may be effective in traditional…...
The Roster Construction You Can Use In Every DRAFT Best Ball Championship Entry
Michael Dubner
June 27, 2019
We previously found that it may be best to wait until August to enter the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship, but there are some benefits to drafting at the beginning of the offseason. Teams that draft in August tend to post higher average scores. However, teams that draft earlier in the offseason can take advantage of facing opponents with lower scores, which may help you get…...
When Should You Enter Your DRAFT Best Ball Championship Teams? The Optimal Draft Month for Maximizing Points
Michael Dubner
June 18, 2019
Michael Dubner continues the DRAFT Best Ball article series where we will now focus our attention on the DRAFT Best Ball Championship and improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. Since the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship opened this offseason, over 13,000 teams have already entered the contest, with some owners perhaps drafting over $1,000 worth of entries. This leads us…...
Box Score Scout Player Comparisons: Second-Round 2019 NFL Draft
Michael Dubner
May 7, 2019
After exploring the Box Score Scout’s player comparisons for first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft last week, we’ll do the same for fantasy football relevant players drafted in the second round. The media’s bold player comparisons for first-round NFL Draft picks are generally acceptable, since first-round picks are usually high quality prospects. However, as we get into Day 2 of the NFL Draft,…...
NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 7
Michael Dubner
October 17, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may actually be…...
Quarterbacks Don’t Matter (In Best Ball): Player Win Rates and the Lamar Jackson Experience
Michael Dubner
October 16, 2019
We spent all offseason discussing roster construction strategies to hack our way to a positive win rate in fantasy football best ball leagues. We’re now six weeks into the 2019 NFL season and can start to see trends emerging in Best Ball Player Win Rates. Last week, Shawn Siegele highlighted the players with the highest win rates through five weeks. Before we get to the really interesting…...
NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 6
Michael Dubner
October 11, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may actually be…...
NFL FanDuel Week 5: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
October 3, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) wwnership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to home in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first…...
NFL FanDuel Week 4: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 26, 2019
Large Field Guaranteed Prize Pools (GPPs) are primarily won in three key areas: 1) Player projections, 2) Roster construction, and 3) Ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone-in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel…...
NFL FanDuel Week 3: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 19, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
NFL FanDuel Week 2: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 13, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
NFL FanDuel Week 1: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 6, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
The “Perfect” Draft for Your DRAFT Best Ball Teams
Michael Dubner
August 27, 2019
You know that feeling when you finish a draft and can’t find any mistakes? Everything just falls perfectly in line with your plan and you wouldn’t change anything. Today we’ll be taking a look at one such perfect draft in the DRAFT Best Ball format. The “Perfect” Draft From Pick No. 9 in DRAFT Best Ball Round 1 Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns My favorite roster…...
Exploring the Results of a 10-Team, Superflex League in the Draft Dashboard
Michael Dubner
August 20, 2019
This past weekend, my high school friends and I had our 10th annual fantasy football draft. While I am the defending champion, have the highest net winnings in our league’s history, and draft in hundreds of DRAFT best balls throughout the year, my draft always plays out differently than I expect. I always find myself surprised by the way this home league draft unfolds, and…...
Solo Elite TE: An Unconventional DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategy
Michael Dubner
August 14, 2019
Now that we have entered the optimal month to draft in the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, I’m looking for every edge RotoViz can create to improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. RotoViz has published a variety of articles detailing how to approach best ball drafts for 2019. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Workshop is the most comprehensive best ball article series…...
These 5 WRs Excel at Scoring Touchdowns and Nothing Will Slow Them Down
Michael Dubner
August 9, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and thus score…...
WRS That Will Score Less: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates
Michael Dubner
August 5, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s abilitay to score touchdowns — and thus…...
Best Ball Round Table, Part 3: How to Manage a Poor Draft Slot and Why 2019 Could Usher in a Fantasy Points Explosion
Michael Dubner
July 30, 2019
I recently asked the gang to get together for a round table discussion looking at all of the biggest questions in best ball. I wanted to dive into the actionable intel found in the FFPC, Fanball, and DRAFT dashboards, as well as the Roster Construction Explorers for each format. Joining me today are some of the more decorated best ball players in the industry. Monty Phan and…...
Fool’s Gold WRS: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates Who Won’t Score More
Michael Dubner
July 25, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Most analysts just use receiving yards to regress touchdowns, so finding that there is signal with adding targets was novel.((And it was interesting to see that targets are actually negatively correlated with touchdowns, given the same…...
5 Wide Receivers Primed to Score More in 2019: Positive Touchdown Regression
Michael Dubner
July 18, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a Wide Receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and…...
Zero RB Will Win Someone $1,000,000: NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategies
Michael Dubner
July 15, 2019
Michael Dubner looks at how we can use the Zero RB fantasy football draft strategy in the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship tournament. It’s been nearly six years since RotoViz’s Shawn Siegele penned the ground-breaking article “Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value Based Drafting.” Despite the re-emergence of workhorse RBs, Zero RB is still thriving. While Zero RB may be effective in traditional…...
The Roster Construction You Can Use In Every DRAFT Best Ball Championship Entry
Michael Dubner
June 27, 2019
We previously found that it may be best to wait until August to enter the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship, but there are some benefits to drafting at the beginning of the offseason. Teams that draft in August tend to post higher average scores. However, teams that draft earlier in the offseason can take advantage of facing opponents with lower scores, which may help you get…...
When Should You Enter Your DRAFT Best Ball Championship Teams? The Optimal Draft Month for Maximizing Points
Michael Dubner
June 18, 2019
Michael Dubner continues the DRAFT Best Ball article series where we will now focus our attention on the DRAFT Best Ball Championship and improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. Since the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship opened this offseason, over 13,000 teams have already entered the contest, with some owners perhaps drafting over $1,000 worth of entries. This leads us…...
Box Score Scout Player Comparisons: Second-Round 2019 NFL Draft
Michael Dubner
May 7, 2019
After exploring the Box Score Scout’s player comparisons for first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft last week, we’ll do the same for fantasy football relevant players drafted in the second round. The media’s bold player comparisons for first-round NFL Draft picks are generally acceptable, since first-round picks are usually high quality prospects. However, as we get into Day 2 of the NFL Draft,…...
NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 7
Michael Dubner
October 17, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may actually be…...
Quarterbacks Don’t Matter (In Best Ball): Player Win Rates and the Lamar Jackson Experience
Michael Dubner
October 16, 2019
We spent all offseason discussing roster construction strategies to hack our way to a positive win rate in fantasy football best ball leagues. We’re now six weeks into the 2019 NFL season and can start to see trends emerging in Best Ball Player Win Rates. Last week, Shawn Siegele highlighted the players with the highest win rates through five weeks. Before we get to the really interesting…...
NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 6
Michael Dubner
October 11, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may actually be…...
NFL FanDuel Week 5: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
October 3, 2019
Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) wwnership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to home in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first…...
NFL FanDuel Week 4: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 26, 2019
Large Field Guaranteed Prize Pools (GPPs) are primarily won in three key areas: 1) Player projections, 2) Roster construction, and 3) Ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone-in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel…...
NFL FanDuel Week 3: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 19, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
NFL FanDuel Week 2: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 13, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
NFL FanDuel Week 1: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in GPPs
Michael Dubner
September 6, 2019
GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to hone in on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. And what may feel thin at first may…...
The “Perfect” Draft for Your DRAFT Best Ball Teams
Michael Dubner
August 27, 2019
You know that feeling when you finish a draft and can’t find any mistakes? Everything just falls perfectly in line with your plan and you wouldn’t change anything. Today we’ll be taking a look at one such perfect draft in the DRAFT Best Ball format. The “Perfect” Draft From Pick No. 9 in DRAFT Best Ball Round 1 Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns My favorite roster…...
Exploring the Results of a 10-Team, Superflex League in the Draft Dashboard
Michael Dubner
August 20, 2019
This past weekend, my high school friends and I had our 10th annual fantasy football draft. While I am the defending champion, have the highest net winnings in our league’s history, and draft in hundreds of DRAFT best balls throughout the year, my draft always plays out differently than I expect. I always find myself surprised by the way this home league draft unfolds, and…...
Solo Elite TE: An Unconventional DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategy
Michael Dubner
August 14, 2019
Now that we have entered the optimal month to draft in the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, I’m looking for every edge RotoViz can create to improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. RotoViz has published a variety of articles detailing how to approach best ball drafts for 2019. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Workshop is the most comprehensive best ball article series…...
These 5 WRs Excel at Scoring Touchdowns and Nothing Will Slow Them Down
Michael Dubner
August 9, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and thus score…...
WRS That Will Score Less: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates
Michael Dubner
August 5, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s abilitay to score touchdowns — and thus…...
Best Ball Round Table, Part 3: How to Manage a Poor Draft Slot and Why 2019 Could Usher in a Fantasy Points Explosion
Michael Dubner
July 30, 2019
I recently asked the gang to get together for a round table discussion looking at all of the biggest questions in best ball. I wanted to dive into the actionable intel found in the FFPC, Fanball, and DRAFT dashboards, as well as the Roster Construction Explorers for each format. Joining me today are some of the more decorated best ball players in the industry. Monty Phan and…...
Fool’s Gold WRS: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates Who Won’t Score More
Michael Dubner
July 25, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Most analysts just use receiving yards to regress touchdowns, so finding that there is signal with adding targets was novel.((And it was interesting to see that targets are actually negatively correlated with touchdowns, given the same…...
5 Wide Receivers Primed to Score More in 2019: Positive Touchdown Regression
Michael Dubner
July 18, 2019
Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a Wide Receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and…...
Zero RB Will Win Someone $1,000,000: NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship Strategies
Michael Dubner
July 15, 2019
Michael Dubner looks at how we can use the Zero RB fantasy football draft strategy in the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship tournament. It’s been nearly six years since RotoViz’s Shawn Siegele penned the ground-breaking article “Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value Based Drafting.” Despite the re-emergence of workhorse RBs, Zero RB is still thriving. While Zero RB may be effective in traditional…...
The Roster Construction You Can Use In Every DRAFT Best Ball Championship Entry
Michael Dubner
June 27, 2019
We previously found that it may be best to wait until August to enter the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship, but there are some benefits to drafting at the beginning of the offseason. Teams that draft in August tend to post higher average scores. However, teams that draft earlier in the offseason can take advantage of facing opponents with lower scores, which may help you get…...
When Should You Enter Your DRAFT Best Ball Championship Teams? The Optimal Draft Month for Maximizing Points
Michael Dubner
June 18, 2019
Michael Dubner continues the DRAFT Best Ball article series where we will now focus our attention on the DRAFT Best Ball Championship and improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize. Since the NFL DRAFT Best Ball Championship opened this offseason, over 13,000 teams have already entered the contest, with some owners perhaps drafting over $1,000 worth of entries. This leads us…...
Box Score Scout Player Comparisons: Second-Round 2019 NFL Draft
Michael Dubner
May 7, 2019
After exploring the Box Score Scout’s player comparisons for first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft last week, we’ll do the same for fantasy football relevant players drafted in the second round. The media’s bold player comparisons for first-round NFL Draft picks are generally acceptable, since first-round picks are usually high quality prospects. However, as we get into Day 2 of the NFL Draft,…...
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