Michael Dubner

RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Week 1: Sifting Through A Slate With Too Much Value

Michael Dubner runs through his process of customizing the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer in preparation for Week 1. DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for…...

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RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season

We are in the final days until kickoff of the 2021 NFL Season, which means it’s time for the RotoViz Staff to give their boldest predictions. These #taeks aren’t so bold that they are wildly impossible, but rather are calculated predictions that are more likely to occur than the public believes. Michael Dubner – Tee Higgins is a WR1 This is my follow-up on last…...

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Dubner’s Player Exposures After 65 DraftKings Best Ball Tournament Drafts

Michael Dubner gives you a peak behind the curtain into his DraftKings Best Ball Tournament player ownership. After 65 completed drafts, I’m almost midway through max entering the DraftKings Best Ball Tournament.   Now is a good opportunity to evaluate my player ownership to see if there’s anything I need to adjust in August over the second half of my portfolio. While the optimal draft…...

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2 Is Better Than 1: Double Stacking Your Best Ball Teams To Victory

Michael Dubner continues his deep dive series in stacking for Best Ball Tournaments. So far we’ve touched on historical success of the most popular stacks and we uncovered three successful stacks that the Best Ball community is ignoring. Single-stacks are flooding best ball draft boards, but like in DFS, fantasy football managers should take it to the next level with double stacks. Here we’ll see…...

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Best Ball Drafters Are Stacking, But They’re Ignoring Three Macro-Stacks That Propel Teams to First Place

NFL Best Ball drafters have been applying the concepts of stacking learned in DFS to Best Ball Playoff Tournaments. Last week we went through the most popular macro-level stacks, including the common QB-WR1 and QB-WR2 stacks, as well as a very unsuccessful stack that is still commonly drafted. While stacking your studs like Josh Allen to Stefon Diggs and Patrick Mahomes to Tyreek Hill are…...

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Are You Making the Right Stacking Decisions for Best Ball Tournaments?

The genie is out of the bottle in terms of best ball tournament drafters utilizing stacks hoping to hit the jackpot combination in the money-maker playoff rounds. While much of the conversation on stacking has been largely intuition and feel-based, the RotoViz Stack Analysis and Stack Explorer provides objective data to examine how stacks have historically fared in best ball leagues. Best Ball’s Most Popular…...

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When Is the Best Time to Draft Your Best Ball Tournament Teams?

With the popularity of best ball tournaments on Underdog Best Ball Mania, DraftKings Millionaire and Play Action, FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and Drafters Best Ball Championship, game theory has overtaken the best ball world. Best Ball drafters are preoccupied with their favorite team stacks, game stacking opposing offenses in the fantasy playoffs, and taking on hyper- versus anti- fragile roster constructions. It’s important to consider…...

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Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

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Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

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Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

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Late-Breaking News and GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 16

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 15

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 14

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 13

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 11

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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Walking Through The DFS Lineup Optimizer – NFL FanDuel Week 10

I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting on the FanDuel main slate in Week 10. This week’s article will have a different format than we’ve been using. Below I will walk through an example of how I use the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer. It is important to remember that no optimizer…...

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If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 9

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 8

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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FanDuel NFL Week 7 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Week 1: Sifting Through A Slate With Too Much Value

Michael Dubner runs through his process of customizing the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer in preparation for Week 1. DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for…...

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RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season

We are in the final days until kickoff of the 2021 NFL Season, which means it’s time for the RotoViz Staff to give their boldest predictions. These #taeks aren’t so bold that they are wildly impossible, but rather are calculated predictions that are more likely to occur than the public believes. Michael Dubner – Tee Higgins is a WR1 This is my follow-up on last…...

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Dubner’s Player Exposures After 65 DraftKings Best Ball Tournament Drafts

Michael Dubner gives you a peak behind the curtain into his DraftKings Best Ball Tournament player ownership. After 65 completed drafts, I’m almost midway through max entering the DraftKings Best Ball Tournament.   Now is a good opportunity to evaluate my player ownership to see if there’s anything I need to adjust in August over the second half of my portfolio. While the optimal draft…...

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2 Is Better Than 1: Double Stacking Your Best Ball Teams To Victory

Michael Dubner continues his deep dive series in stacking for Best Ball Tournaments. So far we’ve touched on historical success of the most popular stacks and we uncovered three successful stacks that the Best Ball community is ignoring. Single-stacks are flooding best ball draft boards, but like in DFS, fantasy football managers should take it to the next level with double stacks. Here we’ll see…...

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Best Ball Drafters Are Stacking, But They’re Ignoring Three Macro-Stacks That Propel Teams to First Place

NFL Best Ball drafters have been applying the concepts of stacking learned in DFS to Best Ball Playoff Tournaments. Last week we went through the most popular macro-level stacks, including the common QB-WR1 and QB-WR2 stacks, as well as a very unsuccessful stack that is still commonly drafted. While stacking your studs like Josh Allen to Stefon Diggs and Patrick Mahomes to Tyreek Hill are…...

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Are You Making the Right Stacking Decisions for Best Ball Tournaments?

The genie is out of the bottle in terms of best ball tournament drafters utilizing stacks hoping to hit the jackpot combination in the money-maker playoff rounds. While much of the conversation on stacking has been largely intuition and feel-based, the RotoViz Stack Analysis and Stack Explorer provides objective data to examine how stacks have historically fared in best ball leagues. Best Ball’s Most Popular…...

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When Is the Best Time to Draft Your Best Ball Tournament Teams?

With the popularity of best ball tournaments on Underdog Best Ball Mania, DraftKings Millionaire and Play Action, FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and Drafters Best Ball Championship, game theory has overtaken the best ball world. Best Ball drafters are preoccupied with their favorite team stacks, game stacking opposing offenses in the fantasy playoffs, and taking on hyper- versus anti- fragile roster constructions. It’s important to consider…...

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Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

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Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

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Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

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Late-Breaking News and GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 16

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 15

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 14

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 13

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 11

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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Walking Through The DFS Lineup Optimizer – NFL FanDuel Week 10

I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting on the FanDuel main slate in Week 10. This week’s article will have a different format than we’ve been using. Below I will walk through an example of how I use the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer. It is important to remember that no optimizer…...

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If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 9

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 8

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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FanDuel NFL Week 7 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Week 1: Sifting Through A Slate With Too Much Value

Michael Dubner runs through his process of customizing the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer in preparation for Week 1. DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for…...

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RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season

We are in the final days until kickoff of the 2021 NFL Season, which means it’s time for the RotoViz Staff to give their boldest predictions. These #taeks aren’t so bold that they are wildly impossible, but rather are calculated predictions that are more likely to occur than the public believes. Michael Dubner – Tee Higgins is a WR1 This is my follow-up on last…...

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Dubner’s Player Exposures After 65 DraftKings Best Ball Tournament Drafts

Michael Dubner gives you a peak behind the curtain into his DraftKings Best Ball Tournament player ownership. After 65 completed drafts, I’m almost midway through max entering the DraftKings Best Ball Tournament.   Now is a good opportunity to evaluate my player ownership to see if there’s anything I need to adjust in August over the second half of my portfolio. While the optimal draft…...

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2 Is Better Than 1: Double Stacking Your Best Ball Teams To Victory

Michael Dubner continues his deep dive series in stacking for Best Ball Tournaments. So far we’ve touched on historical success of the most popular stacks and we uncovered three successful stacks that the Best Ball community is ignoring. Single-stacks are flooding best ball draft boards, but like in DFS, fantasy football managers should take it to the next level with double stacks. Here we’ll see…...

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Best Ball Drafters Are Stacking, But They’re Ignoring Three Macro-Stacks That Propel Teams to First Place

NFL Best Ball drafters have been applying the concepts of stacking learned in DFS to Best Ball Playoff Tournaments. Last week we went through the most popular macro-level stacks, including the common QB-WR1 and QB-WR2 stacks, as well as a very unsuccessful stack that is still commonly drafted. While stacking your studs like Josh Allen to Stefon Diggs and Patrick Mahomes to Tyreek Hill are…...

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Are You Making the Right Stacking Decisions for Best Ball Tournaments?

The genie is out of the bottle in terms of best ball tournament drafters utilizing stacks hoping to hit the jackpot combination in the money-maker playoff rounds. While much of the conversation on stacking has been largely intuition and feel-based, the RotoViz Stack Analysis and Stack Explorer provides objective data to examine how stacks have historically fared in best ball leagues. Best Ball’s Most Popular…...

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When Is the Best Time to Draft Your Best Ball Tournament Teams?

With the popularity of best ball tournaments on Underdog Best Ball Mania, DraftKings Millionaire and Play Action, FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and Drafters Best Ball Championship, game theory has overtaken the best ball world. Best Ball drafters are preoccupied with their favorite team stacks, game stacking opposing offenses in the fantasy playoffs, and taking on hyper- versus anti- fragile roster constructions. It’s important to consider…...

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Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

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Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

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Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

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Late-Breaking News and GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 16

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 15

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 14

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 13

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 11

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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Walking Through The DFS Lineup Optimizer – NFL FanDuel Week 10

I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting on the FanDuel main slate in Week 10. This week’s article will have a different format than we’ve been using. Below I will walk through an example of how I use the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer. It is important to remember that no optimizer…...

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If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 9

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 8

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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FanDuel NFL Week 7 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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