Michael Dubner

RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Reviewing the RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season

In September, the RotoViz staff came together to give our bold predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season. These bold predictions were long-shot bets that RotoViz forecast to have a higher probability of occurring than the public anticipated. Bold Prediction 1: Michael Dubner – Tee Higgins is a WR1 Higgins was the overall PPR WR18 with 221.1 PPR. But… On a points per game…...

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NFL Playoff Best Ball: Dubner’s Updated Rankings Model

With the fantasy football regular season coming to an end, it is time to rest turn our attention to the playoffs. FFPC, Underdog Drafters, and DraftKings launched NFL Playoff Best Ball tournaments, so it’s time to put your regular season winnings to use. Michael Dubner provides a Playoff Best Ball Rankings Model. *This is an update to the original Playoff Best Ball Model published on 1/4/2022*…...

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NFL Playoff Best Ball: Dubner’s Rankings Model and ADP Inefficiencies

With the fantasy football regular season coming to an end, it is time to rest turn our attention to the playoffs. Underdog and Drafters launched NFL Playoff Best Ball tournaments, so it’s time to put your regular season winnings to use. Michael Dubner provides a Playoff Best Ball Rankings Model. How to Win Playoff Best Ball Tournaments: Projections vs Game Theory Just like in DFS,…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 17 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 16 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 15 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 14 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 13 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety ways to create…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate’s Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety ways to create…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 11 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 10 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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FanDuel Cash Game Mid-Season Review: Running Hotter Than The Sun

Michael Dubner reviews his FanDuel cash game results at the mid-point of the 2021 NFL season.  As I continue to focus more on GPPs — you can read my weekly Leverage “Do The Opposite” article here on RotoViz — my goal is to primarily use cash game winnings to fuel my GPP entries. Cash games are much harder now than they used to be. With…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 9 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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My Week 7 GPP Bink and Week 8’s Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 7 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 6 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just need the…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 5 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just need the…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 4 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t necessarily need the highest possible score, rather we just need…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 3 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for median projection, while in GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 2’s Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for median projection, while in GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t…...

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Reviewing the RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season

In September, the RotoViz staff came together to give our bold predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season. These bold predictions were long-shot bets that RotoViz forecast to have a higher probability of occurring than the public anticipated. Bold Prediction 1: Michael Dubner – Tee Higgins is a WR1 Higgins was the overall PPR WR18 with 221.1 PPR. But… On a points per game…...

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NFL Playoff Best Ball: Dubner’s Updated Rankings Model

With the fantasy football regular season coming to an end, it is time to rest turn our attention to the playoffs. FFPC, Underdog Drafters, and DraftKings launched NFL Playoff Best Ball tournaments, so it’s time to put your regular season winnings to use. Michael Dubner provides a Playoff Best Ball Rankings Model. *This is an update to the original Playoff Best Ball Model published on 1/4/2022*…...

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NFL Playoff Best Ball: Dubner’s Rankings Model and ADP Inefficiencies

With the fantasy football regular season coming to an end, it is time to rest turn our attention to the playoffs. Underdog and Drafters launched NFL Playoff Best Ball tournaments, so it’s time to put your regular season winnings to use. Michael Dubner provides a Playoff Best Ball Rankings Model. How to Win Playoff Best Ball Tournaments: Projections vs Game Theory Just like in DFS,…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 17 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 16 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 15 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 14 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 13 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety ways to create…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate’s Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety ways to create…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 11 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 10 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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FanDuel Cash Game Mid-Season Review: Running Hotter Than The Sun

Michael Dubner reviews his FanDuel cash game results at the mid-point of the 2021 NFL season.  As I continue to focus more on GPPs — you can read my weekly Leverage “Do The Opposite” article here on RotoViz — my goal is to primarily use cash game winnings to fuel my GPP entries. Cash games are much harder now than they used to be. With…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 9 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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My Week 7 GPP Bink and Week 8’s Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 7 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 6 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just need the…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 5 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just need the…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 4 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t necessarily need the highest possible score, rather we just need…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 3 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for median projection, while in GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 2’s Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for median projection, while in GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t…...

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Reviewing the RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season

In September, the RotoViz staff came together to give our bold predictions for the 2021 NFL Fantasy Football Season. These bold predictions were long-shot bets that RotoViz forecast to have a higher probability of occurring than the public anticipated. Bold Prediction 1: Michael Dubner – Tee Higgins is a WR1 Higgins was the overall PPR WR18 with 221.1 PPR. But… On a points per game…...

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NFL Playoff Best Ball: Dubner’s Updated Rankings Model

With the fantasy football regular season coming to an end, it is time to rest turn our attention to the playoffs. FFPC, Underdog Drafters, and DraftKings launched NFL Playoff Best Ball tournaments, so it’s time to put your regular season winnings to use. Michael Dubner provides a Playoff Best Ball Rankings Model. *This is an update to the original Playoff Best Ball Model published on 1/4/2022*…...

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NFL Playoff Best Ball: Dubner’s Rankings Model and ADP Inefficiencies

With the fantasy football regular season coming to an end, it is time to rest turn our attention to the playoffs. Underdog and Drafters launched NFL Playoff Best Ball tournaments, so it’s time to put your regular season winnings to use. Michael Dubner provides a Playoff Best Ball Rankings Model. How to Win Playoff Best Ball Tournaments: Projections vs Game Theory Just like in DFS,…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 17 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 16 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 15 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 14 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety of ways to…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 13 Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety ways to create…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate’s Leverage Situations

In DFS GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score to win. Rather, we just need the highest score compared to our opponents. This is where leverage comes into play. The question I ask myself to gain leverage on the field is: “How can I exploit how the rest of the field is going to construct rosters?”  There are a variety ways to create…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 11 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 10 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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FanDuel Cash Game Mid-Season Review: Running Hotter Than The Sun

Michael Dubner reviews his FanDuel cash game results at the mid-point of the 2021 NFL season.  As I continue to focus more on GPPs — you can read my weekly Leverage “Do The Opposite” article here on RotoViz — my goal is to primarily use cash game winnings to fuel my GPP entries. Cash games are much harder now than they used to be. With…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 9 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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My Week 7 GPP Bink and Week 8’s Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 7 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Percent Rostered, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, roster percentage, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 6 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just need the…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 5 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs, we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t need the highest possible score. Rather, we just need the…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 4 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. In GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t necessarily need the highest possible score, rather we just need…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 3 Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for median projection, while in GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t…...

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Do The Opposite: NFL DFS Week 2’s Leverage Situations

DFS is primarily a numbers game based on three levers: 1) Player Projections, 2) Ownership, and 3) Roster Construction. Depending on your contest selection (cash, small-field GPP, large-field GPP), you will need to pull these three levers to different degrees. Generally, in cash games we optimize for median projection, while in GPPs we focus on ceiling projection, ownership, and correlation. In GPP tournaments, we don’t…...

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