NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
There is a new wind blowing in home leagues. For years, it has been uncommon for RotoViz to be ahead of the market on any RB, yet here we are; this year, there are a few. The home leagues are drafting more WRs in the first few rounds than ever before, and RBs are being pushed down, even on places like Yahoo, where eight WRs…...
I’ve never cheered for the Patriots a day in my life. I honestly couldn’t care less about the success of the franchise one way or another. I’m not against them, but I’m neutral. At the peak of their powers, I grew jealous, sure. I resented their success for a while because it wasn’t my own. Years after that, I even came full circle, marveling at…...
I love a home league more than any other form of fantasy football on this blue marble. There is something about playing with my friends and family that all the money in the world couldn’t buy. Therefore, as you might imagine, this is my favorite time of year. Home leagues are ramping up, and people who value them most (one might call them The Sane)…...
In recent weeks, I’ve gone through some of the most meaningful underlying WR stats, searching for players who might be overlooked relative to cost. If you have time, go back and see what I uncovered analyzing players with strong outputs in Air Yards and Yards per Route Run (YPRR). This week, I’ll put Target Market Share (reTRGMS) under the microscope. Target Market Share is a…...
Early this spring, I ran correlations on all the stats from the RotoViz Screener and many key advanced stats from the other RotoViz tools. I dated them back to 2015, using the entire field for all counting stats and minimums for stats based on averages and percentages, and I correlated them to the following year’s PPR (PPR.N1). This is a great exercise to understand better…...
This may surprise you, but the most predictive statistics for fantasy wide receivers remain primary stats: targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns. This is intuitive, because, except for targets, these are the stats that go into the mathematical computation for a receiver’s PPR. In other words, it’s like saying blue and yellow correlate better with green than other colors do. But everyone uses these stats to…...
Expected points (EP) correlate better to future fantasy success than fantasy points over expected (FPOE). FPOE is tied to big plays and TDs meaning it is also tied to missed tackles and blown assignments; in turn, it is generally more volatile. Some rightly source a degree of potential upcoming regression by comparing FPOE to EP; a massive disparity between them may signal that someone has…...
While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...
There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...
This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...
Few players have been as breathtaking, mind-bending, and enigmatic in their rookie season as De’Von Achane was in 2023. A four-star recruit out of high school, Achane stayed in relative proximity to his suburban Houston upbringing, committing to Texas A&M and sitting behind Isaiah Spiller for the bulk of his first season, excelling in a limited role. By the time he made it to the…...
Full disclosure: I have been a fan of Dallas area sports teams since I was a kid in the early to mid-eighties and grew up in the northern suburbs of the DFW Metroplex. It’s been a pretty good ride for Dallas in terms of sports lately. As frustrating as they are, the Cowboys made the playoffs, a Dallas-based golfer has maintained his two-year stranglehold on…...
Ladd McConkey probably isn’t what most people think of when envisioning a University of Georgia WR recruit in the Kirby Smart era. A three-star recruit listed as low as 158 pounds heading into college, he played high school football in a small town called Chatsworth, GA, near the border of Tennessee, and his only other offers, according to ESPN’s recruiting information, came from Army, Georgia…...
Caleb Williams and Drake Maye have been inextricably linked for years, set on a collision course at the top of this 2024 draft class almost since setting sail out of high school. Both were Top 4 QB recruits in 2021 according to 247. The two have been brought up together ad nauseam since 2022, usually as the anticipated first and second pick in the 2024…...
J.J. McCarthy, the National Championship-winning QB of the Michigan Wolverines, wasn’t tasked with much passing volume in the Jim Harbaugh system but finished with a 27-1 record in two seasons as a starter, his only loss coming in the 2022 semifinals against TCU. In large part due to a lack of counting stats, McCarthy started the draft process as a second-tier prospect in the minds…...
Marvin Harrison Jr. entered this weekend as the dynasty rookie WR1 by popular opinion and exited the weekend in the same state. Harrison is the son of a Hall of Famer, a former 4-Star recruit out of the vaunted St. Joseph’s prep in North Philadelphia, and a bona fide collegiate stud with two straight seasons of over 1,200 receiving yards and 14 TDs. On Thursday…...
If you’re playing in PPR leagues, using pass-catching RBs cannot be overstated. The correlations are too dominant to ignore. An enormous percentage of predictive correlative stats to RB PPR scoring is related to receiving work, and there is almost no way to be the RB1 overall without it. If you seek one thing in a fantasy RB, make it receiving work. As we scan the…...
Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan…...
After being released by the Chargers on March 13, Mike Williams signed a one-year deal with the New York Jets five days later. Williams and the Jets fill each other’s needs quite well. Coming off of a significant injury at a mature age, Williams gets a one-year “prove-it deal” and a chance to rebuild his stock for one more run at a bigger free agent…...
Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have…...
There is a new wind blowing in home leagues. For years, it has been uncommon for RotoViz to be ahead of the market on any RB, yet here we are; this year, there are a few. The home leagues are drafting more WRs in the first few rounds than ever before, and RBs are being pushed down, even on places like Yahoo, where eight WRs…...
I’ve never cheered for the Patriots a day in my life. I honestly couldn’t care less about the success of the franchise one way or another. I’m not against them, but I’m neutral. At the peak of their powers, I grew jealous, sure. I resented their success for a while because it wasn’t my own. Years after that, I even came full circle, marveling at…...
I love a home league more than any other form of fantasy football on this blue marble. There is something about playing with my friends and family that all the money in the world couldn’t buy. Therefore, as you might imagine, this is my favorite time of year. Home leagues are ramping up, and people who value them most (one might call them The Sane)…...
In recent weeks, I’ve gone through some of the most meaningful underlying WR stats, searching for players who might be overlooked relative to cost. If you have time, go back and see what I uncovered analyzing players with strong outputs in Air Yards and Yards per Route Run (YPRR). This week, I’ll put Target Market Share (reTRGMS) under the microscope. Target Market Share is a…...
Early this spring, I ran correlations on all the stats from the RotoViz Screener and many key advanced stats from the other RotoViz tools. I dated them back to 2015, using the entire field for all counting stats and minimums for stats based on averages and percentages, and I correlated them to the following year’s PPR (PPR.N1). This is a great exercise to understand better…...
This may surprise you, but the most predictive statistics for fantasy wide receivers remain primary stats: targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns. This is intuitive, because, except for targets, these are the stats that go into the mathematical computation for a receiver’s PPR. In other words, it’s like saying blue and yellow correlate better with green than other colors do. But everyone uses these stats to…...
Expected points (EP) correlate better to future fantasy success than fantasy points over expected (FPOE). FPOE is tied to big plays and TDs meaning it is also tied to missed tackles and blown assignments; in turn, it is generally more volatile. Some rightly source a degree of potential upcoming regression by comparing FPOE to EP; a massive disparity between them may signal that someone has…...
While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...
There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...
This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...
Few players have been as breathtaking, mind-bending, and enigmatic in their rookie season as De’Von Achane was in 2023. A four-star recruit out of high school, Achane stayed in relative proximity to his suburban Houston upbringing, committing to Texas A&M and sitting behind Isaiah Spiller for the bulk of his first season, excelling in a limited role. By the time he made it to the…...
Full disclosure: I have been a fan of Dallas area sports teams since I was a kid in the early to mid-eighties and grew up in the northern suburbs of the DFW Metroplex. It’s been a pretty good ride for Dallas in terms of sports lately. As frustrating as they are, the Cowboys made the playoffs, a Dallas-based golfer has maintained his two-year stranglehold on…...
Ladd McConkey probably isn’t what most people think of when envisioning a University of Georgia WR recruit in the Kirby Smart era. A three-star recruit listed as low as 158 pounds heading into college, he played high school football in a small town called Chatsworth, GA, near the border of Tennessee, and his only other offers, according to ESPN’s recruiting information, came from Army, Georgia…...
Caleb Williams and Drake Maye have been inextricably linked for years, set on a collision course at the top of this 2024 draft class almost since setting sail out of high school. Both were Top 4 QB recruits in 2021 according to 247. The two have been brought up together ad nauseam since 2022, usually as the anticipated first and second pick in the 2024…...
J.J. McCarthy, the National Championship-winning QB of the Michigan Wolverines, wasn’t tasked with much passing volume in the Jim Harbaugh system but finished with a 27-1 record in two seasons as a starter, his only loss coming in the 2022 semifinals against TCU. In large part due to a lack of counting stats, McCarthy started the draft process as a second-tier prospect in the minds…...
Marvin Harrison Jr. entered this weekend as the dynasty rookie WR1 by popular opinion and exited the weekend in the same state. Harrison is the son of a Hall of Famer, a former 4-Star recruit out of the vaunted St. Joseph’s prep in North Philadelphia, and a bona fide collegiate stud with two straight seasons of over 1,200 receiving yards and 14 TDs. On Thursday…...
If you’re playing in PPR leagues, using pass-catching RBs cannot be overstated. The correlations are too dominant to ignore. An enormous percentage of predictive correlative stats to RB PPR scoring is related to receiving work, and there is almost no way to be the RB1 overall without it. If you seek one thing in a fantasy RB, make it receiving work. As we scan the…...
Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan…...
After being released by the Chargers on March 13, Mike Williams signed a one-year deal with the New York Jets five days later. Williams and the Jets fill each other’s needs quite well. Coming off of a significant injury at a mature age, Williams gets a one-year “prove-it deal” and a chance to rebuild his stock for one more run at a bigger free agent…...
Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have…...
There is a new wind blowing in home leagues. For years, it has been uncommon for RotoViz to be ahead of the market on any RB, yet here we are; this year, there are a few. The home leagues are drafting more WRs in the first few rounds than ever before, and RBs are being pushed down, even on places like Yahoo, where eight WRs…...
I’ve never cheered for the Patriots a day in my life. I honestly couldn’t care less about the success of the franchise one way or another. I’m not against them, but I’m neutral. At the peak of their powers, I grew jealous, sure. I resented their success for a while because it wasn’t my own. Years after that, I even came full circle, marveling at…...
I love a home league more than any other form of fantasy football on this blue marble. There is something about playing with my friends and family that all the money in the world couldn’t buy. Therefore, as you might imagine, this is my favorite time of year. Home leagues are ramping up, and people who value them most (one might call them The Sane)…...
In recent weeks, I’ve gone through some of the most meaningful underlying WR stats, searching for players who might be overlooked relative to cost. If you have time, go back and see what I uncovered analyzing players with strong outputs in Air Yards and Yards per Route Run (YPRR). This week, I’ll put Target Market Share (reTRGMS) under the microscope. Target Market Share is a…...
Early this spring, I ran correlations on all the stats from the RotoViz Screener and many key advanced stats from the other RotoViz tools. I dated them back to 2015, using the entire field for all counting stats and minimums for stats based on averages and percentages, and I correlated them to the following year’s PPR (PPR.N1). This is a great exercise to understand better…...
This may surprise you, but the most predictive statistics for fantasy wide receivers remain primary stats: targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns. This is intuitive, because, except for targets, these are the stats that go into the mathematical computation for a receiver’s PPR. In other words, it’s like saying blue and yellow correlate better with green than other colors do. But everyone uses these stats to…...
Expected points (EP) correlate better to future fantasy success than fantasy points over expected (FPOE). FPOE is tied to big plays and TDs meaning it is also tied to missed tackles and blown assignments; in turn, it is generally more volatile. Some rightly source a degree of potential upcoming regression by comparing FPOE to EP; a massive disparity between them may signal that someone has…...
While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...
There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...
This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...
Few players have been as breathtaking, mind-bending, and enigmatic in their rookie season as De’Von Achane was in 2023. A four-star recruit out of high school, Achane stayed in relative proximity to his suburban Houston upbringing, committing to Texas A&M and sitting behind Isaiah Spiller for the bulk of his first season, excelling in a limited role. By the time he made it to the…...
Full disclosure: I have been a fan of Dallas area sports teams since I was a kid in the early to mid-eighties and grew up in the northern suburbs of the DFW Metroplex. It’s been a pretty good ride for Dallas in terms of sports lately. As frustrating as they are, the Cowboys made the playoffs, a Dallas-based golfer has maintained his two-year stranglehold on…...
Ladd McConkey probably isn’t what most people think of when envisioning a University of Georgia WR recruit in the Kirby Smart era. A three-star recruit listed as low as 158 pounds heading into college, he played high school football in a small town called Chatsworth, GA, near the border of Tennessee, and his only other offers, according to ESPN’s recruiting information, came from Army, Georgia…...
Caleb Williams and Drake Maye have been inextricably linked for years, set on a collision course at the top of this 2024 draft class almost since setting sail out of high school. Both were Top 4 QB recruits in 2021 according to 247. The two have been brought up together ad nauseam since 2022, usually as the anticipated first and second pick in the 2024…...
J.J. McCarthy, the National Championship-winning QB of the Michigan Wolverines, wasn’t tasked with much passing volume in the Jim Harbaugh system but finished with a 27-1 record in two seasons as a starter, his only loss coming in the 2022 semifinals against TCU. In large part due to a lack of counting stats, McCarthy started the draft process as a second-tier prospect in the minds…...
Marvin Harrison Jr. entered this weekend as the dynasty rookie WR1 by popular opinion and exited the weekend in the same state. Harrison is the son of a Hall of Famer, a former 4-Star recruit out of the vaunted St. Joseph’s prep in North Philadelphia, and a bona fide collegiate stud with two straight seasons of over 1,200 receiving yards and 14 TDs. On Thursday…...
If you’re playing in PPR leagues, using pass-catching RBs cannot be overstated. The correlations are too dominant to ignore. An enormous percentage of predictive correlative stats to RB PPR scoring is related to receiving work, and there is almost no way to be the RB1 overall without it. If you seek one thing in a fantasy RB, make it receiving work. As we scan the…...
Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan…...
After being released by the Chargers on March 13, Mike Williams signed a one-year deal with the New York Jets five days later. Williams and the Jets fill each other’s needs quite well. Coming off of a significant injury at a mature age, Williams gets a one-year “prove-it deal” and a chance to rebuild his stock for one more run at a bigger free agent…...
Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have…...
Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!
© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.