I took a stab at predicting MFL10 QB ADP and highlighted the weak relationship between win rate and how late teams waited on quarterback. No quarterback drafted outside the top-153 picks had a positive win rate (anything over 10 percent) but the overall relationship between QB ADP and team success was still relatively weak. Teams that drafted Cam Newton got wrecked in 2016, winning only…...

Some will say I’m a dreamer, but others will simply say I was right. Last year, I proclaimed the death of late-round QB for MFL10 bestball drafts, writing in May:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

You didn’t hear this from me, but Jay Cutler might secretly be a terrible pick this year. So you know that I am both a hypocrite and prone to bad predictions, I will admit I called Jay Cutler a value pick last offseason…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Source: Kirk Cousins Wants To Take Next Step With Ownership Of Offense – Redskins.com: “Just taking another step in terms of my command, confidence, I think is stuff that maybe the fans won’t be able to see directly,” Cousins said . . . of what he wants to improve on this year. “But behind the scenes, I don’t know if control is the word, but…...

Every good superhero hides behind a mask. They conceal their true identity from all except their most trusted circle of friends and family, so that only a few know just how special they really are…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

These early months of 2016 are unlike anything we have seen in fantasy football history. The entire community has begun to wait on quarterback. Late round QB is sweeping the nation. Late-round QB was popularized as a term by J.J. Zachariason back in 2012, but few fantasy owners heeded his call. Steve Gallo then laid out the beautiful Zero QB Theorem the following year, but…...

In 2015 MyFantasyLeague.com best-ball leagues, the best quarterback picks[1]Defined as those whose MFL10 teams had the highest average finishes. were the ones who regularly put together QB1 weeks. Seven top-12 weeks was the important threshold for the 2015 season, and it was a necessary condition to make the top-10 quarterback list, based on team average finish. Working off of that finding, I plotted our current Best…...

Last week, Charles Kleinheksel showed us tight end volatility projections, Ben Gretch gave us wide receivers, and Aaron Butler broke down the running backs. Jonathan Bales devised the volatility score methodology in the early RotoViz years. Those scores provide a quick picture of how risky — or reliable — a player’s fantasy output may be. The formula is: (High 2016 Projection – Low 2016 Projection)…...

As MFL10 bestball drafts kick off this week, there is no better time to dig into last year’s results and search for lessons we should learn and apply to 2016 drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

In 2015, quarterback ADP had a minimal impact on MFL10 success. With the exception of soul-crushing performances from overdrafted QBs Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck, ADP had nearly no correlation to MFL10 win rate or average finish. Teams that drafted Luck and Rodgers paid a high price for their first quarterback, and neither passer got close to returning value.((For reference: teams with Luck had a…...

Well, it’s official. A week ago we speculated there might be a chance for Kirk Cousins, but now fiction has become reality. “When it’s all said and done, after all the film we’ve gone through, after all the offseason activity, all the training camp footage, we feel like at this time, Kirk Cousins gives us the best chance to win and that’s where we’re going,”…...

I feel like we can win any game with [him]. [He] is a special guy. … obviously has a skill set that I feel like is very much suited for what we do. He can handle it mentally, and obviously, physically. That’s pretty good praise from a head coach for their starting quarterback. Except that wasn’t the starting quarterback Jay Gruden was talking about. It…...

This is the time of year to be making a list and checking it twice. And unless you wear a red velvet suit and live off donated desserts, you should be making a list of naughty and nice fantasy values that can win your 2015 fantasy football leagues. Let’s take a look at the three most undervalued QBs, each of whom might just win you…...

I recently wrote that too many players carry draft prices that beg dozens of questions. Built into those prices are assumptions we ought to question before drafting those players. To that end, I suggested three quarterbacks you shouldn’t draft in 2015. Now, I want to flip that idea on its head. Many late-round QBs are far underpriced because people have wrong ideas about their range of…...

These three quarterbacks will sink your draft, lose your year before you start. Live your life, sure, but don’t draft these three. Have you heard the phrase “That Begs the Question”? Surprising to most, it has an old meaning far more intellectually rewarding than the modern, “That makes me think this question.” An argument begs the question, in the philosophical sense, when it assumes as…...

What does it mean to wait on quarterback in a superflex league? Simply by virtue of the roster requirements, it is unlikely to mean the same thing in superflex that it does in a traditional one-quarterback league. It does not mean QB5 is on the board until pick 60 and QB15 until pick 122, like we are seeing in MFL10 drafts this year. Last week,…...

I’m not saying Mark Sanchez will win you free money in your MFL10 leagues this year, but I am saying it’s possible. Hear me out.[1]Hat tip to commenter Joseph Rupp, who suggested this article back in June. At the end of May, Eagles’ coach Chip Kelly said Sanchez and Sam Bradford would have an open competition for the starting job this year: Q. In the…...

Recently there has been much discussion about the optimal strategy in superflex leagues, where teams have the ability to start a second quarterback. Does a heavy-QB roster build a predictable base with a high floor, or is the opportunity cost too great to pass on elite running backs and wide receivers? How do you go about drafting QBs in superflex leagues? The addition of a…...

I have seen the future, and her name is superflex. Superflex Noun | su·per·flex | \ˈsü-pər-fleks\ : a fantasy football league that includes a flex roster spot in which you may start a quarterback, offering fantasy owners the flexibility to start two quarterbacks each week. Who Cares About Quarterbacks? Tell me if you have heard any of these before: “Wait on quarterback.” “Why take a…...

In June MFL10 drafts, Matthew Stafford is being drafted as QB10, despite finishing 2014 as QB17 in points per game and QB15 in total points, in MFL10 formats…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...