NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
In Part 1, Blair Andrews argued that Jahmyr Gibbs is undervalued in best ball, even at his current valuation, right at the Round 3/4 turn. Rookie running backs drafted in the first 100 reality picks — especially those who are young — have a better chance than most other RBs to put up big scores in the fantasy playoffs. But an obvious question remains: can…...
Shawn Siegele, Dave Caban, Curtis Patrick, and I spent NFL Draft Sunday night arguing (in a friendly way) about rookie rankings and completing mock drafts for Volume 3 of the RotoViz Rookie Guide. I spent much of that time trying to convince my co-rankers that reasonable people could rank Jahmyr Gibbs as the rookie 1.01. I even took him first overall in one of our…...
RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...
RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...
The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospects’ NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. . …....
The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospect’s NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. What do…...
In The Wrong Read, No. 76, Blair Andrews dives into the definition of a breakout season for collegiate WR prospects and suggests a path for improving the metric. We’ve long defined a wide receiver breakout as a player’s first season in which they achieve a 30% dominator rating. While that has proven to be among the most accurate and discerning measures of college breakouts, it’s…...
Draft age is one of the most important metrics when evaluating prospects, at all positions. Across the board we see that players who are drafted at a younger age are more successful at nearly every stage of their careers, and are successful for longer than their peers that were drafted at an older age. There are few prospect metrics that have more predictive power than…...
Earlier this week I published the backfield dominator ratings (BDR) for the 2023 running back class. Chase Brown ranked No. 4 in BDR, thanks in large part to the number of opportunities he saw in Illinois’ offense. He had at least 20 touches and surpassed 100 total yards in every single game. Opponent RuAtts RuYds RuTDs RuAttMS RuYdMS Recs ReYds ReTDs Touches TotalYds Wyoming 19…...
Production is nearly always undervalued at the running back position. In part that’s because it’s not always the easiest thing to measure. Yes, we can easily look at the leaderboards in rushing and receiving yards and see who compiled the biggest numbers. But doing so leaves out a lot of context. For one thing, it doesn’t tell us much about a player’s offensive environment? Was…...
Jamaal Williams has signed a three-year deal with the New Orleans Saints worth $12 million, with $8 million guaranteed. Williams is coming off a league leading 17-touchdown season on the back of 46 green zone touches (also the most in the league). Can he replicate this type of season in New Orleans? Williams’ Breakout Season Williams is moving to his third team since entering the…...
Allen Lazard has agreed to a four-year, $44 million deal with the New York Jets, $22 million of which is guaranteed. What does the move mean for the Jets and their bid to secure the services of Aaron Rodgers. Can Lazard thrive in a new-look Jets offense? Although the Packers and Jets appear to be engaged in a battle of brinksmanship when it comes to…...
The Raiders wasted little time in replacing their long-time quarterback Derek Carr (now a New Orleans Saint). They all but signed Jimmy Garoppolo on the first day of the NFL’s “legal tampering” period. The deal will be official on Wednesday, but is apparently worth $67.5 million over three years. Is Garoppolo a suitable replacement for Carr? How will he fit in the Raiders’ offense? And…...
Jalin Hyatt is widely expected to be taken in the first round of the reality draft. The speed and explosiveness he displayed at the combine only solidifies his draft stock. Yet he routinely slips to the second round of dynasty rookie mock drafts. Are NFL GMs overvaluing Hyatt’s final season production and tested athleticism? Or are fantasy GMs undervaluing Hyatt’s on-field abilities? The Box Score…...
The Saints recently agreed to terms with Derek Carr, signing him to a four-year contract worth up to $150 million. Carr is already 32 and is coming off arguably his worst statistical season since 2017. But does he represent an upgrade for the Saints? And is New Orleans a better situation for Carr? The RotoViz tools have a trove of advanced data to help us…...
In many ways the NFL combine marks the unofficial start to the 2023 offseason. Although best balls drafts are in full swing, it’s not until the annual underwear olympics that we get new data on soon-to-be NFL players. In a lot of cases this new data just confirms what we already expected. But occasionally there are some surprises — both positive and negative. Those surprises…...
It’s rare for a player who didn’t go to a Power-Five school — let alone an FBS school — to make it big in the NFL. Yet occasionally, players from the FCS and lower divisions do hit in big ways. Christian Watson (North Dakota State) is the most recent example, but players like Cooper Kupp (Eastern Washington), David Johnson (Northern Iowa), Tarik Cohen (North Carolina…...
With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. The FFPC is running two “Never-Too-Early” Best Ball Tournaments. Shawn Siegele and I are currently taking part in a draft for the Superflex version. Superflex drafts add several strategic wrinkles. While standard 1-quarterback best ball is far from solved, there are a few dominant strategies that most players are…...
With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. Underdog’s Big Board Tournament includes upcoming 2023 rookies and pays out $200,000 to first place. Their Little Board follows the same basic structure but costs less to enter, has fewer entrants, and pays out $10,000 to first. If you’re new to Underdog and want to get in on the…...
In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football. The New York Giants upset Minnesota on Sunday in part because of the heroics of Isaiah Hodgins. So far only two receivers scored more fantasy points in the playoffs’ opening round. Among players with more…...
In Part 1, Blair Andrews argued that Jahmyr Gibbs is undervalued in best ball, even at his current valuation, right at the Round 3/4 turn. Rookie running backs drafted in the first 100 reality picks — especially those who are young — have a better chance than most other RBs to put up big scores in the fantasy playoffs. But an obvious question remains: can…...
Shawn Siegele, Dave Caban, Curtis Patrick, and I spent NFL Draft Sunday night arguing (in a friendly way) about rookie rankings and completing mock drafts for Volume 3 of the RotoViz Rookie Guide. I spent much of that time trying to convince my co-rankers that reasonable people could rank Jahmyr Gibbs as the rookie 1.01. I even took him first overall in one of our…...
RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...
RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...
The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospects’ NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. . …....
The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospect’s NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. What do…...
In The Wrong Read, No. 76, Blair Andrews dives into the definition of a breakout season for collegiate WR prospects and suggests a path for improving the metric. We’ve long defined a wide receiver breakout as a player’s first season in which they achieve a 30% dominator rating. While that has proven to be among the most accurate and discerning measures of college breakouts, it’s…...
Draft age is one of the most important metrics when evaluating prospects, at all positions. Across the board we see that players who are drafted at a younger age are more successful at nearly every stage of their careers, and are successful for longer than their peers that were drafted at an older age. There are few prospect metrics that have more predictive power than…...
Earlier this week I published the backfield dominator ratings (BDR) for the 2023 running back class. Chase Brown ranked No. 4 in BDR, thanks in large part to the number of opportunities he saw in Illinois’ offense. He had at least 20 touches and surpassed 100 total yards in every single game. Opponent RuAtts RuYds RuTDs RuAttMS RuYdMS Recs ReYds ReTDs Touches TotalYds Wyoming 19…...
Production is nearly always undervalued at the running back position. In part that’s because it’s not always the easiest thing to measure. Yes, we can easily look at the leaderboards in rushing and receiving yards and see who compiled the biggest numbers. But doing so leaves out a lot of context. For one thing, it doesn’t tell us much about a player’s offensive environment? Was…...
Jamaal Williams has signed a three-year deal with the New Orleans Saints worth $12 million, with $8 million guaranteed. Williams is coming off a league leading 17-touchdown season on the back of 46 green zone touches (also the most in the league). Can he replicate this type of season in New Orleans? Williams’ Breakout Season Williams is moving to his third team since entering the…...
Allen Lazard has agreed to a four-year, $44 million deal with the New York Jets, $22 million of which is guaranteed. What does the move mean for the Jets and their bid to secure the services of Aaron Rodgers. Can Lazard thrive in a new-look Jets offense? Although the Packers and Jets appear to be engaged in a battle of brinksmanship when it comes to…...
The Raiders wasted little time in replacing their long-time quarterback Derek Carr (now a New Orleans Saint). They all but signed Jimmy Garoppolo on the first day of the NFL’s “legal tampering” period. The deal will be official on Wednesday, but is apparently worth $67.5 million over three years. Is Garoppolo a suitable replacement for Carr? How will he fit in the Raiders’ offense? And…...
Jalin Hyatt is widely expected to be taken in the first round of the reality draft. The speed and explosiveness he displayed at the combine only solidifies his draft stock. Yet he routinely slips to the second round of dynasty rookie mock drafts. Are NFL GMs overvaluing Hyatt’s final season production and tested athleticism? Or are fantasy GMs undervaluing Hyatt’s on-field abilities? The Box Score…...
The Saints recently agreed to terms with Derek Carr, signing him to a four-year contract worth up to $150 million. Carr is already 32 and is coming off arguably his worst statistical season since 2017. But does he represent an upgrade for the Saints? And is New Orleans a better situation for Carr? The RotoViz tools have a trove of advanced data to help us…...
In many ways the NFL combine marks the unofficial start to the 2023 offseason. Although best balls drafts are in full swing, it’s not until the annual underwear olympics that we get new data on soon-to-be NFL players. In a lot of cases this new data just confirms what we already expected. But occasionally there are some surprises — both positive and negative. Those surprises…...
It’s rare for a player who didn’t go to a Power-Five school — let alone an FBS school — to make it big in the NFL. Yet occasionally, players from the FCS and lower divisions do hit in big ways. Christian Watson (North Dakota State) is the most recent example, but players like Cooper Kupp (Eastern Washington), David Johnson (Northern Iowa), Tarik Cohen (North Carolina…...
With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. The FFPC is running two “Never-Too-Early” Best Ball Tournaments. Shawn Siegele and I are currently taking part in a draft for the Superflex version. Superflex drafts add several strategic wrinkles. While standard 1-quarterback best ball is far from solved, there are a few dominant strategies that most players are…...
With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. Underdog’s Big Board Tournament includes upcoming 2023 rookies and pays out $200,000 to first place. Their Little Board follows the same basic structure but costs less to enter, has fewer entrants, and pays out $10,000 to first. If you’re new to Underdog and want to get in on the…...
In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football. The New York Giants upset Minnesota on Sunday in part because of the heroics of Isaiah Hodgins. So far only two receivers scored more fantasy points in the playoffs’ opening round. Among players with more…...
In Part 1, Blair Andrews argued that Jahmyr Gibbs is undervalued in best ball, even at his current valuation, right at the Round 3/4 turn. Rookie running backs drafted in the first 100 reality picks — especially those who are young — have a better chance than most other RBs to put up big scores in the fantasy playoffs. But an obvious question remains: can…...
Shawn Siegele, Dave Caban, Curtis Patrick, and I spent NFL Draft Sunday night arguing (in a friendly way) about rookie rankings and completing mock drafts for Volume 3 of the RotoViz Rookie Guide. I spent much of that time trying to convince my co-rankers that reasonable people could rank Jahmyr Gibbs as the rookie 1.01. I even took him first overall in one of our…...
RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...
RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...
The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospects’ NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. . …....
The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospect’s NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. What do…...
In The Wrong Read, No. 76, Blair Andrews dives into the definition of a breakout season for collegiate WR prospects and suggests a path for improving the metric. We’ve long defined a wide receiver breakout as a player’s first season in which they achieve a 30% dominator rating. While that has proven to be among the most accurate and discerning measures of college breakouts, it’s…...
Draft age is one of the most important metrics when evaluating prospects, at all positions. Across the board we see that players who are drafted at a younger age are more successful at nearly every stage of their careers, and are successful for longer than their peers that were drafted at an older age. There are few prospect metrics that have more predictive power than…...
Earlier this week I published the backfield dominator ratings (BDR) for the 2023 running back class. Chase Brown ranked No. 4 in BDR, thanks in large part to the number of opportunities he saw in Illinois’ offense. He had at least 20 touches and surpassed 100 total yards in every single game. Opponent RuAtts RuYds RuTDs RuAttMS RuYdMS Recs ReYds ReTDs Touches TotalYds Wyoming 19…...
Production is nearly always undervalued at the running back position. In part that’s because it’s not always the easiest thing to measure. Yes, we can easily look at the leaderboards in rushing and receiving yards and see who compiled the biggest numbers. But doing so leaves out a lot of context. For one thing, it doesn’t tell us much about a player’s offensive environment? Was…...
Jamaal Williams has signed a three-year deal with the New Orleans Saints worth $12 million, with $8 million guaranteed. Williams is coming off a league leading 17-touchdown season on the back of 46 green zone touches (also the most in the league). Can he replicate this type of season in New Orleans? Williams’ Breakout Season Williams is moving to his third team since entering the…...
Allen Lazard has agreed to a four-year, $44 million deal with the New York Jets, $22 million of which is guaranteed. What does the move mean for the Jets and their bid to secure the services of Aaron Rodgers. Can Lazard thrive in a new-look Jets offense? Although the Packers and Jets appear to be engaged in a battle of brinksmanship when it comes to…...
The Raiders wasted little time in replacing their long-time quarterback Derek Carr (now a New Orleans Saint). They all but signed Jimmy Garoppolo on the first day of the NFL’s “legal tampering” period. The deal will be official on Wednesday, but is apparently worth $67.5 million over three years. Is Garoppolo a suitable replacement for Carr? How will he fit in the Raiders’ offense? And…...
Jalin Hyatt is widely expected to be taken in the first round of the reality draft. The speed and explosiveness he displayed at the combine only solidifies his draft stock. Yet he routinely slips to the second round of dynasty rookie mock drafts. Are NFL GMs overvaluing Hyatt’s final season production and tested athleticism? Or are fantasy GMs undervaluing Hyatt’s on-field abilities? The Box Score…...
The Saints recently agreed to terms with Derek Carr, signing him to a four-year contract worth up to $150 million. Carr is already 32 and is coming off arguably his worst statistical season since 2017. But does he represent an upgrade for the Saints? And is New Orleans a better situation for Carr? The RotoViz tools have a trove of advanced data to help us…...
In many ways the NFL combine marks the unofficial start to the 2023 offseason. Although best balls drafts are in full swing, it’s not until the annual underwear olympics that we get new data on soon-to-be NFL players. In a lot of cases this new data just confirms what we already expected. But occasionally there are some surprises — both positive and negative. Those surprises…...
It’s rare for a player who didn’t go to a Power-Five school — let alone an FBS school — to make it big in the NFL. Yet occasionally, players from the FCS and lower divisions do hit in big ways. Christian Watson (North Dakota State) is the most recent example, but players like Cooper Kupp (Eastern Washington), David Johnson (Northern Iowa), Tarik Cohen (North Carolina…...
With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. The FFPC is running two “Never-Too-Early” Best Ball Tournaments. Shawn Siegele and I are currently taking part in a draft for the Superflex version. Superflex drafts add several strategic wrinkles. While standard 1-quarterback best ball is far from solved, there are a few dominant strategies that most players are…...
With the 2022 season officially over, 2023 best ball season is now back in full force. Underdog’s Big Board Tournament includes upcoming 2023 rookies and pays out $200,000 to first place. Their Little Board follows the same basic structure but costs less to enter, has fewer entrants, and pays out $10,000 to first. If you’re new to Underdog and want to get in on the…...
In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football. The New York Giants upset Minnesota on Sunday in part because of the heroics of Isaiah Hodgins. So far only two receivers scored more fantasy points in the playoffs’ opening round. Among players with more…...
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