Free Agency
Kevin Szafraniec
January 13, 2025
© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.
Blair Andrews
Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.
Author Archive
In-Season Articles
In-Season Articles
Deebo Samuel Is an After-the-Catch Unicorn, but This Year 2 Breakout Candidate’s Rookie Season Was Eerily Similar
Blair Andrews
August 8, 2024
The player tracking and advanced charting era gives us a multitude of metrics that measure how well receivers get open, how good they are at turning opportunities into receptions, and how good they are at turning those receptions into yards and touchdowns. I enjoy getting into the nitty-gritty of the advanced metrics and teasing out which methods for measuring those various skills are most exploitable…....
7 Undervalued Wide Receivers You Should Draft Right Now, and 14 More to Add to Your Watchlist
Blair Andrews
August 3, 2024
Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...
Misconceptions About Wide Receiver Age Curves Create Opportunity: 3 Redraft and 3 Dynasty Targets
Blair Andrews
August 1, 2024
Blair Andrews continues his Breakout WR Series with a look at what we tend to get right – and more importantly, get wrong – about wide receiver aging curves. The Breakout WR Series These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s Easy to Get the Age Part Wrong: How to Exploit Misconceptions About Age and Fantasy Scoring The Best Thing…...
There’s Breaking Out, and Then There’s Breaking Out: The Immense Value of Secondary Breakouts and the Possibilities for 2024
Blair Andrews
July 30, 2024
Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs. That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...
Embracing Uncertainty Without Unnecessary Risk: The Overwhelming Power of Wide Receiver Breakouts and How to Find Them
Blair Andrews
July 26, 2024
Blair Andrews pens Part 3 in a series helping you build super teams through a better understanding of wide receiver breakouts. Since the early days at RotoViz we’ve spilled plenty of words explaining why you wanted to take a fast and furious approach to WR drafting. But we’ve spent even more time helping you find the right WRs. Of course, the NFL continues to evolve and…...
What You Might Be Getting Wrong About WR Age and Fantasy Breakouts: 2 Players to Target Aggressively and 6 Surprisingly Strong Fallback Options
Blair Andrews
July 23, 2024
Year 2 remains the key year for wide receiver breakouts, but it’s not as simple as just drafting every Year 2 WR. As we noted previously, a player like Jonathan Mingo, who ran 511 routes in 2023, doesn’t have much room to increase his opportunity. The prospects for him to improve his efficiency are not hopeful either. And there may be other reasons we prefer…...
Should We Still Be Chasing Year 2 WR Breakouts? 3 Receivers History Is Begging You to Draft
Blair Andrews
July 21, 2024
In 2021, DeVonta Smith, then a rookie, was going off the board in Round 8 of FFPC Best Ball drafts. At the time it might have seemed early, but it was about 30 picks later than fellow rookie Ja’Marr Chase. In any case, Smith ended up finishing his rookie year with nearly 180 PPR points, including about 13 points over expectation — a solid finish…...
This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14
Blair Andrews
July 8, 2024
Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...
You’re Probably Doing Double-Elite TE Wrong: Why the Most Contrarian Build Is Also One of the Strongest
Blair Andrews
July 3, 2024
The Right Way to Approach Double-Elite TE… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation
Blair Andrews
June 18, 2024
Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....
Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team
Blair Andrews
June 13, 2024
On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...
Elite Onesies, Bye Weeks, and Opportunity Cost: The High-Wire Balancing Act of a Real-Life Underdog Draft
Blair Andrews
June 5, 2024
As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...
Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit
Blair Andrews
May 20, 2024
While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...
Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft
Blair Andrews
May 14, 2024
When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...
Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum
Blair Andrews
May 3, 2024
Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...
NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update
Blair Andrews
April 27, 2024
Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...
NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update
Blair Andrews
April 25, 2024
Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...
Is Brock Bowers the Most Undervalued Player in Both Reality and Fantasy?
Blair Andrews
April 23, 2024
Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline recently dropped a sort of bombshell that brings some good news for those who like to approach dynasty rookie drafts in the RotoViz way: In speaking with a few teams, they believe the most underrated player at the top of this draft is Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. While some have mocked Bowers into the middle part of Round 1, no team…...
Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2024
Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...
How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament
Blair Andrews
March 20, 2024
NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...
Deebo Samuel Is an After-the-Catch Unicorn, but This Year 2 Breakout Candidate’s Rookie Season Was Eerily Similar
Blair Andrews
August 8, 2024
The player tracking and advanced charting era gives us a multitude of metrics that measure how well receivers get open, how good they are at turning opportunities into receptions, and how good they are at turning those receptions into yards and touchdowns. I enjoy getting into the nitty-gritty of the advanced metrics and teasing out which methods for measuring those various skills are most exploitable…....
7 Undervalued Wide Receivers You Should Draft Right Now, and 14 More to Add to Your Watchlist
Blair Andrews
August 3, 2024
Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...
Misconceptions About Wide Receiver Age Curves Create Opportunity: 3 Redraft and 3 Dynasty Targets
Blair Andrews
August 1, 2024
Blair Andrews continues his Breakout WR Series with a look at what we tend to get right – and more importantly, get wrong – about wide receiver aging curves. The Breakout WR Series These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s Easy to Get the Age Part Wrong: How to Exploit Misconceptions About Age and Fantasy Scoring The Best Thing…...
There’s Breaking Out, and Then There’s Breaking Out: The Immense Value of Secondary Breakouts and the Possibilities for 2024
Blair Andrews
July 30, 2024
Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs. That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...
Embracing Uncertainty Without Unnecessary Risk: The Overwhelming Power of Wide Receiver Breakouts and How to Find Them
Blair Andrews
July 26, 2024
Blair Andrews pens Part 3 in a series helping you build super teams through a better understanding of wide receiver breakouts. Since the early days at RotoViz we’ve spilled plenty of words explaining why you wanted to take a fast and furious approach to WR drafting. But we’ve spent even more time helping you find the right WRs. Of course, the NFL continues to evolve and…...
What You Might Be Getting Wrong About WR Age and Fantasy Breakouts: 2 Players to Target Aggressively and 6 Surprisingly Strong Fallback Options
Blair Andrews
July 23, 2024
Year 2 remains the key year for wide receiver breakouts, but it’s not as simple as just drafting every Year 2 WR. As we noted previously, a player like Jonathan Mingo, who ran 511 routes in 2023, doesn’t have much room to increase his opportunity. The prospects for him to improve his efficiency are not hopeful either. And there may be other reasons we prefer…...
Should We Still Be Chasing Year 2 WR Breakouts? 3 Receivers History Is Begging You to Draft
Blair Andrews
July 21, 2024
In 2021, DeVonta Smith, then a rookie, was going off the board in Round 8 of FFPC Best Ball drafts. At the time it might have seemed early, but it was about 30 picks later than fellow rookie Ja’Marr Chase. In any case, Smith ended up finishing his rookie year with nearly 180 PPR points, including about 13 points over expectation — a solid finish…...
This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14
Blair Andrews
July 8, 2024
Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...
You’re Probably Doing Double-Elite TE Wrong: Why the Most Contrarian Build Is Also One of the Strongest
Blair Andrews
July 3, 2024
The Right Way to Approach Double-Elite TE… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation
Blair Andrews
June 18, 2024
Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....
Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team
Blair Andrews
June 13, 2024
On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...
Elite Onesies, Bye Weeks, and Opportunity Cost: The High-Wire Balancing Act of a Real-Life Underdog Draft
Blair Andrews
June 5, 2024
As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...
Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit
Blair Andrews
May 20, 2024
While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...
Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft
Blair Andrews
May 14, 2024
When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...
Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum
Blair Andrews
May 3, 2024
Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...
NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update
Blair Andrews
April 27, 2024
Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...
NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update
Blair Andrews
April 25, 2024
Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...
Is Brock Bowers the Most Undervalued Player in Both Reality and Fantasy?
Blair Andrews
April 23, 2024
Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline recently dropped a sort of bombshell that brings some good news for those who like to approach dynasty rookie drafts in the RotoViz way: In speaking with a few teams, they believe the most underrated player at the top of this draft is Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. While some have mocked Bowers into the middle part of Round 1, no team…...
Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2024
Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...
How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament
Blair Andrews
March 20, 2024
NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...
Deebo Samuel Is an After-the-Catch Unicorn, but This Year 2 Breakout Candidate’s Rookie Season Was Eerily Similar
Blair Andrews
August 8, 2024
The player tracking and advanced charting era gives us a multitude of metrics that measure how well receivers get open, how good they are at turning opportunities into receptions, and how good they are at turning those receptions into yards and touchdowns. I enjoy getting into the nitty-gritty of the advanced metrics and teasing out which methods for measuring those various skills are most exploitable…....
7 Undervalued Wide Receivers You Should Draft Right Now, and 14 More to Add to Your Watchlist
Blair Andrews
August 3, 2024
Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...
Misconceptions About Wide Receiver Age Curves Create Opportunity: 3 Redraft and 3 Dynasty Targets
Blair Andrews
August 1, 2024
Blair Andrews continues his Breakout WR Series with a look at what we tend to get right – and more importantly, get wrong – about wide receiver aging curves. The Breakout WR Series These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s Easy to Get the Age Part Wrong: How to Exploit Misconceptions About Age and Fantasy Scoring The Best Thing…...
There’s Breaking Out, and Then There’s Breaking Out: The Immense Value of Secondary Breakouts and the Possibilities for 2024
Blair Andrews
July 30, 2024
Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs. That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...
Embracing Uncertainty Without Unnecessary Risk: The Overwhelming Power of Wide Receiver Breakouts and How to Find Them
Blair Andrews
July 26, 2024
Blair Andrews pens Part 3 in a series helping you build super teams through a better understanding of wide receiver breakouts. Since the early days at RotoViz we’ve spilled plenty of words explaining why you wanted to take a fast and furious approach to WR drafting. But we’ve spent even more time helping you find the right WRs. Of course, the NFL continues to evolve and…...
What You Might Be Getting Wrong About WR Age and Fantasy Breakouts: 2 Players to Target Aggressively and 6 Surprisingly Strong Fallback Options
Blair Andrews
July 23, 2024
Year 2 remains the key year for wide receiver breakouts, but it’s not as simple as just drafting every Year 2 WR. As we noted previously, a player like Jonathan Mingo, who ran 511 routes in 2023, doesn’t have much room to increase his opportunity. The prospects for him to improve his efficiency are not hopeful either. And there may be other reasons we prefer…...
Should We Still Be Chasing Year 2 WR Breakouts? 3 Receivers History Is Begging You to Draft
Blair Andrews
July 21, 2024
In 2021, DeVonta Smith, then a rookie, was going off the board in Round 8 of FFPC Best Ball drafts. At the time it might have seemed early, but it was about 30 picks later than fellow rookie Ja’Marr Chase. In any case, Smith ended up finishing his rookie year with nearly 180 PPR points, including about 13 points over expectation — a solid finish…...
This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14
Blair Andrews
July 8, 2024
Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...
You’re Probably Doing Double-Elite TE Wrong: Why the Most Contrarian Build Is Also One of the Strongest
Blair Andrews
July 3, 2024
The Right Way to Approach Double-Elite TE… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation
Blair Andrews
June 18, 2024
Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....
Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team
Blair Andrews
June 13, 2024
On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...
Elite Onesies, Bye Weeks, and Opportunity Cost: The High-Wire Balancing Act of a Real-Life Underdog Draft
Blair Andrews
June 5, 2024
As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...
Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit
Blair Andrews
May 20, 2024
While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...
Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft
Blair Andrews
May 14, 2024
When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...
Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum
Blair Andrews
May 3, 2024
Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...
NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update
Blair Andrews
April 27, 2024
Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...
NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update
Blair Andrews
April 25, 2024
Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...
Is Brock Bowers the Most Undervalued Player in Both Reality and Fantasy?
Blair Andrews
April 23, 2024
Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline recently dropped a sort of bombshell that brings some good news for those who like to approach dynasty rookie drafts in the RotoViz way: In speaking with a few teams, they believe the most underrated player at the top of this draft is Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. While some have mocked Bowers into the middle part of Round 1, no team…...
Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2024
Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...
How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament
Blair Andrews
March 20, 2024
NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...
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