Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2019 NFL Draft Prospect: Greg Dortch

Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch recently announced that he would forgo his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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One Weird Trick for Finding Top WR Prospects: Early Declaration and Draft Age – The Wrong Read, No. 53

Welcome to the 53rd installment of The Wrong Read. Does draft age really matter for wide receiver prospects? The truth may surprise you — at least if you’ve been following this column for a little while. As Karl Popper put it, the most important evolutionary advantage of the argumentative use of language is that it “allows us to let theories die in our stead.” In…...

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Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

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Need Help in the Championship Round? Add a Williams: Using Expected Points to Inform Your Waiver Strategy

If you’ve made it to the fantasy championship round in your league, you likely have a strong team. Waivers and free agent pickups might not be your top priority. But workloads are always changing. Players you wouldn’t have rostered weeks ago are now attractive…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Floor and Ceiling Projections and the Jets Franken-RB: Week 15 RB GLSP

Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How the Cowboys Became a Team I Weirdly Want to Watch, and Other 2018 Mysteries: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 14

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Some WRs On the Verge of Bouncebacks, and Some, Maybe Not: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 13

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Concentrated Target Shares, Top Dynasty RBs, and Overvalued Receivers: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 12

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Rookie WRs Give Hope to Dynasty Owners: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 11

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Kerryon Johnson Is a Workhorse, and Other Insights from the RotoViz Player Usage App

In the offseason I noted that rookie RBs often outperform their ADPs, especially those drafted in the middle rounds. In the last few weeks, we’ve seen that come to fruition. The new RotoViz Player Usage App gives us a way to visualize this…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Tight Ends Don’t Matter, Unless They’re Named Zach Ertz – What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why You Shouldn’t Believe in Regression to the Mean (Sometimes): What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9

  By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Best Ever WR Duo and the Best Ever Receiving RB: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historic Paces, WR Tandems, and Surprising Backfield Leaders: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 7

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Week 8 Waiver Wire Advice

RotoViz provides advice on players to target and fade on your fantasy football waiver wire…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Record Breakers, Potential Busts, and Under-the-Radar Outperformers: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6

  By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Breakout WRs Continue to Smash: Rest-of-Season WR Projections – The Wrong Read, No. 51

Fantasy football is a pretty simple game, on its face: get and start the players who will score the most points. The difficulty is in actually finding those guys. If it were as simple as looking at a fantasy leaderboard, there would be no need for projections. But today’s leaders are rarely tomorrow’s league winners.((Which is a good thing, because it gives us a significant…...

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Outperformers, Disappointments, and Buy Lows: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Outperformers, Disappointments, and Shockers: What Expected Fantasy Points Are Telling Us Now

After four weeks, we have a pretty good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Are Free Squares Worth It? The Effectiveness of Low-Priced RBs in DFS – The Wrong Read, No. 50

Welcome to the 50th installment of the The Wrong Read. Week 3 brings with it a number of running back injuries, which opens up opportunity for some backups to have large roles. Because of the timing of this news, DFS salaries have not yet caught up with the expanded roles, opening up “free squares” on DFS rosters. But do these so-called free squares tend to…...

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2019 NFL Draft Prospect: Greg Dortch

Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch recently announced that he would forgo his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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One Weird Trick for Finding Top WR Prospects: Early Declaration and Draft Age – The Wrong Read, No. 53

Welcome to the 53rd installment of The Wrong Read. Does draft age really matter for wide receiver prospects? The truth may surprise you — at least if you’ve been following this column for a little while. As Karl Popper put it, the most important evolutionary advantage of the argumentative use of language is that it “allows us to let theories die in our stead.” In…...

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Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

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Need Help in the Championship Round? Add a Williams: Using Expected Points to Inform Your Waiver Strategy

If you’ve made it to the fantasy championship round in your league, you likely have a strong team. Waivers and free agent pickups might not be your top priority. But workloads are always changing. Players you wouldn’t have rostered weeks ago are now attractive…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Floor and Ceiling Projections and the Jets Franken-RB: Week 15 RB GLSP

Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How the Cowboys Became a Team I Weirdly Want to Watch, and Other 2018 Mysteries: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 14

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Some WRs On the Verge of Bouncebacks, and Some, Maybe Not: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 13

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Concentrated Target Shares, Top Dynasty RBs, and Overvalued Receivers: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 12

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Rookie WRs Give Hope to Dynasty Owners: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 11

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Kerryon Johnson Is a Workhorse, and Other Insights from the RotoViz Player Usage App

In the offseason I noted that rookie RBs often outperform their ADPs, especially those drafted in the middle rounds. In the last few weeks, we’ve seen that come to fruition. The new RotoViz Player Usage App gives us a way to visualize this…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Tight Ends Don’t Matter, Unless They’re Named Zach Ertz – What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why You Shouldn’t Believe in Regression to the Mean (Sometimes): What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9

  By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Best Ever WR Duo and the Best Ever Receiving RB: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historic Paces, WR Tandems, and Surprising Backfield Leaders: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 7

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Week 8 Waiver Wire Advice

RotoViz provides advice on players to target and fade on your fantasy football waiver wire…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Record Breakers, Potential Busts, and Under-the-Radar Outperformers: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6

  By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Breakout WRs Continue to Smash: Rest-of-Season WR Projections – The Wrong Read, No. 51

Fantasy football is a pretty simple game, on its face: get and start the players who will score the most points. The difficulty is in actually finding those guys. If it were as simple as looking at a fantasy leaderboard, there would be no need for projections. But today’s leaders are rarely tomorrow’s league winners.((Which is a good thing, because it gives us a significant…...

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Outperformers, Disappointments, and Buy Lows: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Outperformers, Disappointments, and Shockers: What Expected Fantasy Points Are Telling Us Now

After four weeks, we have a pretty good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Are Free Squares Worth It? The Effectiveness of Low-Priced RBs in DFS – The Wrong Read, No. 50

Welcome to the 50th installment of the The Wrong Read. Week 3 brings with it a number of running back injuries, which opens up opportunity for some backups to have large roles. Because of the timing of this news, DFS salaries have not yet caught up with the expanded roles, opening up “free squares” on DFS rosters. But do these so-called free squares tend to…...

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2019 NFL Draft Prospect: Greg Dortch

Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch recently announced that he would forgo his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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One Weird Trick for Finding Top WR Prospects: Early Declaration and Draft Age – The Wrong Read, No. 53

Welcome to the 53rd installment of The Wrong Read. Does draft age really matter for wide receiver prospects? The truth may surprise you — at least if you’ve been following this column for a little while. As Karl Popper put it, the most important evolutionary advantage of the argumentative use of language is that it “allows us to let theories die in our stead.” In…...

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Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

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Need Help in the Championship Round? Add a Williams: Using Expected Points to Inform Your Waiver Strategy

If you’ve made it to the fantasy championship round in your league, you likely have a strong team. Waivers and free agent pickups might not be your top priority. But workloads are always changing. Players you wouldn’t have rostered weeks ago are now attractive…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Floor and Ceiling Projections and the Jets Franken-RB: Week 15 RB GLSP

Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How the Cowboys Became a Team I Weirdly Want to Watch, and Other 2018 Mysteries: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 14

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Some WRs On the Verge of Bouncebacks, and Some, Maybe Not: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 13

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Concentrated Target Shares, Top Dynasty RBs, and Overvalued Receivers: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 12

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Rookie WRs Give Hope to Dynasty Owners: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 11

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Kerryon Johnson Is a Workhorse, and Other Insights from the RotoViz Player Usage App

In the offseason I noted that rookie RBs often outperform their ADPs, especially those drafted in the middle rounds. In the last few weeks, we’ve seen that come to fruition. The new RotoViz Player Usage App gives us a way to visualize this…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Tight Ends Don’t Matter, Unless They’re Named Zach Ertz – What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why You Shouldn’t Believe in Regression to the Mean (Sometimes): What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9

  By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Best Ever WR Duo and the Best Ever Receiving RB: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Historic Paces, WR Tandems, and Surprising Backfield Leaders: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 7

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Week 8 Waiver Wire Advice

RotoViz provides advice on players to target and fade on your fantasy football waiver wire…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Record Breakers, Potential Busts, and Under-the-Radar Outperformers: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6

  By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Breakout WRs Continue to Smash: Rest-of-Season WR Projections – The Wrong Read, No. 51

Fantasy football is a pretty simple game, on its face: get and start the players who will score the most points. The difficulty is in actually finding those guys. If it were as simple as looking at a fantasy leaderboard, there would be no need for projections. But today’s leaders are rarely tomorrow’s league winners.((Which is a good thing, because it gives us a significant…...

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Outperformers, Disappointments, and Buy Lows: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5

By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Outperformers, Disappointments, and Shockers: What Expected Fantasy Points Are Telling Us Now

After four weeks, we have a pretty good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Are Free Squares Worth It? The Effectiveness of Low-Priced RBs in DFS – The Wrong Read, No. 50

Welcome to the 50th installment of the The Wrong Read. Week 3 brings with it a number of running back injuries, which opens up opportunity for some backups to have large roles. Because of the timing of this news, DFS salaries have not yet caught up with the expanded roles, opening up “free squares” on DFS rosters. But do these so-called free squares tend to…...

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