Dynasty
Shawn Siegele
April 24, 2025
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Blair Andrews
Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.
Author Archive
In-Season Articles
In-Season Articles
(Not) Surprising Breakouts and New Career Highs: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 11
Blair Andrews
November 18, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 11 – Patrick Laird SZN! (Oh, and Kareem Hunt Is Back, Austin Ekeler Is Still Good, and Derrick Henry Did Some Stuff)
Blair Andrews
November 13, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 11. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Nick Chubb Almost Destroys Week 10 and Christian McCaffrey Actually Destroys Everyone Else’s Fantasy Teams: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10
Blair Andrews
November 11, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 10 – Ronald Jones Truthers Are Vindicated and Rashaad Penny Truthers Rethink Their Life Decisions
Blair Andrews
November 6, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 10. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling based…...
Crazy Efficiency (or the Lack Thereof) and Historic Performances: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9
Blair Andrews
November 5, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 9 – Will the Real Duke Johnson Please Stand Up (and Stay on the Field)?
Blair Andrews
October 30, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Crazy Efficiency and Would-Be Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8
Blair Andrews
October 28, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 8 – David Johnson Is Dead; Long Live David Johnson! Or, the Kliff Kingsbury Chronicles
Blair Andrews
October 23, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 8. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Backup RB Explosions and TE Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 7
Blair Andrews
October 21, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 7 – The Steelers Reward Your Patience While the Bengals Test It
Blair Andrews
October 16, 2019
The Zero RB Watch List provides analysis for Zero RB and RB-heavy owners alike. Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield from Week 6. I’ll be filling in for Ryan Collinsworth this week on the AFC side, so prepare for way more Patrick Laird content than you ever thought possible.((Wait, the Dolphins lost to Washington, and Laird still didn’t get an…...
Market Share Leaders and the EP Double-Double: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6
Blair Andrews
October 15, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Now Accepting Starting Lineup Applications: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5
Blair Andrews
October 8, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Saquon Who? What Expected Points Are (Not) Telling Us After Week 4
Blair Andrews
October 1, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Nelson Agholor Is the Real Deal, and Other Funny Things Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 3
Blair Andrews
September 25, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
50 Unique Lineups for the Week 3 Yahoo! $500K Baller Because … the New RotoViz
Blair Andrews
September 19, 2019
Back in the glory days of DFS when entries to the Millionaire Maker had no limit and people built lineups by hand, Fantasy Douche put out a series of articles giving away an outrageous number of unique lineup combinations — 2,509, 3,601, 5,860, 7,308 — culminating in 10,000 unique lineups and a plea for a place to sleep. Gone are the days when you can…...
Mark Andrews Is the Next George Kittle, Only More Efficient: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 2
Blair Andrews
September 17, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
D.J. Moore’s Breakout Is Really Happening: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 1
Blair Andrews
September 10, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round
Blair Andrews
August 30, 2019
I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...
Good Players Are Good, WR Edition: Why You Shouldn’t Fade Efficiency – The Wrong Read, No. 59
Blair Andrews
August 28, 2019
Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity…...
Rookie RBs Are Still the Key to Winning at Fantasy: Win Rates and Opportunity Costs – The Wrong Read, No. 58
Blair Andrews
August 23, 2019
Welcome to the 58th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason I wrote about the advantage that drafting a rookie running back in the proper range can give you. Few players outperform ADP-based expectations more frequently or to a greater degree than rookie RBs going in Rounds 9-12. Today we update our numbers with 2018 data and look at the issue from a slightly different…...
(Not) Surprising Breakouts and New Career Highs: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 11
Blair Andrews
November 18, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 11 – Patrick Laird SZN! (Oh, and Kareem Hunt Is Back, Austin Ekeler Is Still Good, and Derrick Henry Did Some Stuff)
Blair Andrews
November 13, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 11. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Nick Chubb Almost Destroys Week 10 and Christian McCaffrey Actually Destroys Everyone Else’s Fantasy Teams: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10
Blair Andrews
November 11, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 10 – Ronald Jones Truthers Are Vindicated and Rashaad Penny Truthers Rethink Their Life Decisions
Blair Andrews
November 6, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 10. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling based…...
Crazy Efficiency (or the Lack Thereof) and Historic Performances: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9
Blair Andrews
November 5, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 9 – Will the Real Duke Johnson Please Stand Up (and Stay on the Field)?
Blair Andrews
October 30, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Crazy Efficiency and Would-Be Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8
Blair Andrews
October 28, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 8 – David Johnson Is Dead; Long Live David Johnson! Or, the Kliff Kingsbury Chronicles
Blair Andrews
October 23, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 8. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Backup RB Explosions and TE Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 7
Blair Andrews
October 21, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 7 – The Steelers Reward Your Patience While the Bengals Test It
Blair Andrews
October 16, 2019
The Zero RB Watch List provides analysis for Zero RB and RB-heavy owners alike. Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield from Week 6. I’ll be filling in for Ryan Collinsworth this week on the AFC side, so prepare for way more Patrick Laird content than you ever thought possible.((Wait, the Dolphins lost to Washington, and Laird still didn’t get an…...
Market Share Leaders and the EP Double-Double: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6
Blair Andrews
October 15, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Now Accepting Starting Lineup Applications: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5
Blair Andrews
October 8, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Saquon Who? What Expected Points Are (Not) Telling Us After Week 4
Blair Andrews
October 1, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Nelson Agholor Is the Real Deal, and Other Funny Things Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 3
Blair Andrews
September 25, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
50 Unique Lineups for the Week 3 Yahoo! $500K Baller Because … the New RotoViz
Blair Andrews
September 19, 2019
Back in the glory days of DFS when entries to the Millionaire Maker had no limit and people built lineups by hand, Fantasy Douche put out a series of articles giving away an outrageous number of unique lineup combinations — 2,509, 3,601, 5,860, 7,308 — culminating in 10,000 unique lineups and a plea for a place to sleep. Gone are the days when you can…...
Mark Andrews Is the Next George Kittle, Only More Efficient: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 2
Blair Andrews
September 17, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
D.J. Moore’s Breakout Is Really Happening: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 1
Blair Andrews
September 10, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round
Blair Andrews
August 30, 2019
I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...
Good Players Are Good, WR Edition: Why You Shouldn’t Fade Efficiency – The Wrong Read, No. 59
Blair Andrews
August 28, 2019
Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity…...
Rookie RBs Are Still the Key to Winning at Fantasy: Win Rates and Opportunity Costs – The Wrong Read, No. 58
Blair Andrews
August 23, 2019
Welcome to the 58th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason I wrote about the advantage that drafting a rookie running back in the proper range can give you. Few players outperform ADP-based expectations more frequently or to a greater degree than rookie RBs going in Rounds 9-12. Today we update our numbers with 2018 data and look at the issue from a slightly different…...
(Not) Surprising Breakouts and New Career Highs: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 11
Blair Andrews
November 18, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 11 – Patrick Laird SZN! (Oh, and Kareem Hunt Is Back, Austin Ekeler Is Still Good, and Derrick Henry Did Some Stuff)
Blair Andrews
November 13, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 11. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Nick Chubb Almost Destroys Week 10 and Christian McCaffrey Actually Destroys Everyone Else’s Fantasy Teams: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10
Blair Andrews
November 11, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 10 – Ronald Jones Truthers Are Vindicated and Rashaad Penny Truthers Rethink Their Life Decisions
Blair Andrews
November 6, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 10. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling based…...
Crazy Efficiency (or the Lack Thereof) and Historic Performances: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9
Blair Andrews
November 5, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 9 – Will the Real Duke Johnson Please Stand Up (and Stay on the Field)?
Blair Andrews
October 30, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Crazy Efficiency and Would-Be Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8
Blair Andrews
October 28, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 8 – David Johnson Is Dead; Long Live David Johnson! Or, the Kliff Kingsbury Chronicles
Blair Andrews
October 23, 2019
Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 8. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...
Backup RB Explosions and TE Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 7
Blair Andrews
October 21, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 7 – The Steelers Reward Your Patience While the Bengals Test It
Blair Andrews
October 16, 2019
The Zero RB Watch List provides analysis for Zero RB and RB-heavy owners alike. Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield from Week 6. I’ll be filling in for Ryan Collinsworth this week on the AFC side, so prepare for way more Patrick Laird content than you ever thought possible.((Wait, the Dolphins lost to Washington, and Laird still didn’t get an…...
Market Share Leaders and the EP Double-Double: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 6
Blair Andrews
October 15, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Now Accepting Starting Lineup Applications: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 5
Blair Andrews
October 8, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Saquon Who? What Expected Points Are (Not) Telling Us After Week 4
Blair Andrews
October 1, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Nelson Agholor Is the Real Deal, and Other Funny Things Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 3
Blair Andrews
September 25, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
50 Unique Lineups for the Week 3 Yahoo! $500K Baller Because … the New RotoViz
Blair Andrews
September 19, 2019
Back in the glory days of DFS when entries to the Millionaire Maker had no limit and people built lineups by hand, Fantasy Douche put out a series of articles giving away an outrageous number of unique lineup combinations — 2,509, 3,601, 5,860, 7,308 — culminating in 10,000 unique lineups and a plea for a place to sleep. Gone are the days when you can…...
Mark Andrews Is the Next George Kittle, Only More Efficient: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 2
Blair Andrews
September 17, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
D.J. Moore’s Breakout Is Really Happening: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 1
Blair Andrews
September 10, 2019
If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...
Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round
Blair Andrews
August 30, 2019
I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...
Good Players Are Good, WR Edition: Why You Shouldn’t Fade Efficiency – The Wrong Read, No. 59
Blair Andrews
August 28, 2019
Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity…...
Rookie RBs Are Still the Key to Winning at Fantasy: Win Rates and Opportunity Costs – The Wrong Read, No. 58
Blair Andrews
August 23, 2019
Welcome to the 58th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason I wrote about the advantage that drafting a rookie running back in the proper range can give you. Few players outperform ADP-based expectations more frequently or to a greater degree than rookie RBs going in Rounds 9-12. Today we update our numbers with 2018 data and look at the issue from a slightly different…...
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