NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...
Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity…...
Welcome to the 58th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason I wrote about the advantage that drafting a rookie running back in the proper range can give you. Few players outperform ADP-based expectations more frequently or to a greater degree than rookie RBs going in Rounds 9-12. Today we update our numbers with 2018 data and look at the issue from a slightly different…...
The Flex position is arguably the most important position in fantasy because it’s one of the easiest positions to generate more value over average than your opponents. Whatever strategy fits your particular league format, that strategy should be based on putting an elite player in the Flex position. That’s a quote from Shawn Siegele’s original article explaining why the Flex position wins championships. “Win the…...
Scott Fish Bowl 9 drafts are just days away. Unless you already play in another “half-PPR, half-point per first down, TE-premium, three flex, one superflex, achievement bonus league,” chances are you might be underprepared. Luckily, you can get a quick handle on how to approach your draft using our new (and free!) SFB9 Game Log Explorer app. One of the first questions worth answering is…...
Welcome to the 57th installment of The Wrong Read. Filling your team with QBs and TEs (and RBs and WRs) entering Year 2 appears to be an easy way to improve your win rate. But obviously not every Year 2 player will break out. Simply loading up on players going into their second year does expose your team to massive breakout potential, but also to…...
Welcome to the 56th installment of The Wrong Read. Quarterback and tight end are the forgotten positions in fantasy, but they are probably more important than you think — you can win your best ball league simply by taking the right roster construction approach to these positions. At the end of the day though, you also have to pick players, and good process here can…...
Last offseason I introduced a metric I called Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). BDR measures the percentage of running back production that a college RB accounts for in his offense. In other words, it adjusts for offensive systems or for quarterbacks who, for whatever reason, don’t utilize RBs in the passing game.((And it also adjusts for teams that tend to use wide receivers in the running…...
In the first round of the 2019 RotoViz Rookie RB Tournament, second-seeded David Montgomery faces off against the 15 seed Travis Homer. Is Homer’s excellent combine enough to overcome Montgomery’s elite production? Find out below. Note from Curtis Patrick, RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator: The 2019 RotoViz Rookie RB Tournament pits 16 of the top prospects at the position in this year’s draft in head-to-head matchups. Our…...
In the first round of the 2019 RotoViz Rookie WR Tournament, top seed N’Keal Harry takes on 16th-seeded Greg Dortch. Can Dortch channel his inner UMBC, or will Harry live up to his top billing? The votes are in; keep reading to discover the results. Note from Curtis Patrick, RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator: The 2019 RotoViz Rookie WR Tournament pits 16 of the top prospects at…...
Welcome to the 55th installment of The Wrong Read. We love breakouts at RotoViz. We want to target wide receiver prospects who break out in college, and especially those who break out early. The question then becomes, what should we count as a breakout? Breakout age is among the most important WR metrics apart from draft position — the skeleton key of WR prospect evaluation…....
Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch is skipping his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint.[1]An older version of this article was published on January 11, 2019, before any athletic testing. Production First, the good news: Dortch was extremely productive at a…...
Welcome to the 54th installment of The Wrong Read. We know that college production is more important than athleticism at the WR position, but what are the best and most predictive ways to measure that production? This article compares 45 different ways to measure college receiving production…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch recently announced that he would forgo his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Welcome to the 53rd installment of The Wrong Read. Does draft age really matter for wide receiver prospects? The truth may surprise you — at least if you’ve been following this column for a little while. As Karl Popper put it, the most important evolutionary advantage of the argumentative use of language is that it “allows us to let theories die in our stead.” In…...
Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...
If you’ve made it to the fantasy championship round in your league, you likely have a strong team. Waivers and free agent pickups might not be your top priority. But workloads are always changing. Players you wouldn’t have rostered weeks ago are now attractive…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...
Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity…...
Welcome to the 58th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason I wrote about the advantage that drafting a rookie running back in the proper range can give you. Few players outperform ADP-based expectations more frequently or to a greater degree than rookie RBs going in Rounds 9-12. Today we update our numbers with 2018 data and look at the issue from a slightly different…...
The Flex position is arguably the most important position in fantasy because it’s one of the easiest positions to generate more value over average than your opponents. Whatever strategy fits your particular league format, that strategy should be based on putting an elite player in the Flex position. That’s a quote from Shawn Siegele’s original article explaining why the Flex position wins championships. “Win the…...
Scott Fish Bowl 9 drafts are just days away. Unless you already play in another “half-PPR, half-point per first down, TE-premium, three flex, one superflex, achievement bonus league,” chances are you might be underprepared. Luckily, you can get a quick handle on how to approach your draft using our new (and free!) SFB9 Game Log Explorer app. One of the first questions worth answering is…...
Welcome to the 57th installment of The Wrong Read. Filling your team with QBs and TEs (and RBs and WRs) entering Year 2 appears to be an easy way to improve your win rate. But obviously not every Year 2 player will break out. Simply loading up on players going into their second year does expose your team to massive breakout potential, but also to…...
Welcome to the 56th installment of The Wrong Read. Quarterback and tight end are the forgotten positions in fantasy, but they are probably more important than you think — you can win your best ball league simply by taking the right roster construction approach to these positions. At the end of the day though, you also have to pick players, and good process here can…...
Last offseason I introduced a metric I called Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). BDR measures the percentage of running back production that a college RB accounts for in his offense. In other words, it adjusts for offensive systems or for quarterbacks who, for whatever reason, don’t utilize RBs in the passing game.((And it also adjusts for teams that tend to use wide receivers in the running…...
In the first round of the 2019 RotoViz Rookie RB Tournament, second-seeded David Montgomery faces off against the 15 seed Travis Homer. Is Homer’s excellent combine enough to overcome Montgomery’s elite production? Find out below. Note from Curtis Patrick, RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator: The 2019 RotoViz Rookie RB Tournament pits 16 of the top prospects at the position in this year’s draft in head-to-head matchups. Our…...
In the first round of the 2019 RotoViz Rookie WR Tournament, top seed N’Keal Harry takes on 16th-seeded Greg Dortch. Can Dortch channel his inner UMBC, or will Harry live up to his top billing? The votes are in; keep reading to discover the results. Note from Curtis Patrick, RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator: The 2019 RotoViz Rookie WR Tournament pits 16 of the top prospects at…...
Welcome to the 55th installment of The Wrong Read. We love breakouts at RotoViz. We want to target wide receiver prospects who break out in college, and especially those who break out early. The question then becomes, what should we count as a breakout? Breakout age is among the most important WR metrics apart from draft position — the skeleton key of WR prospect evaluation…....
Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch is skipping his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint.[1]An older version of this article was published on January 11, 2019, before any athletic testing. Production First, the good news: Dortch was extremely productive at a…...
Welcome to the 54th installment of The Wrong Read. We know that college production is more important than athleticism at the WR position, but what are the best and most predictive ways to measure that production? This article compares 45 different ways to measure college receiving production…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch recently announced that he would forgo his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Welcome to the 53rd installment of The Wrong Read. Does draft age really matter for wide receiver prospects? The truth may surprise you — at least if you’ve been following this column for a little while. As Karl Popper put it, the most important evolutionary advantage of the argumentative use of language is that it “allows us to let theories die in our stead.” In…...
Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...
If you’ve made it to the fantasy championship round in your league, you likely have a strong team. Waivers and free agent pickups might not be your top priority. But workloads are always changing. Players you wouldn’t have rostered weeks ago are now attractive…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...
Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity…...
Welcome to the 58th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason I wrote about the advantage that drafting a rookie running back in the proper range can give you. Few players outperform ADP-based expectations more frequently or to a greater degree than rookie RBs going in Rounds 9-12. Today we update our numbers with 2018 data and look at the issue from a slightly different…...
The Flex position is arguably the most important position in fantasy because it’s one of the easiest positions to generate more value over average than your opponents. Whatever strategy fits your particular league format, that strategy should be based on putting an elite player in the Flex position. That’s a quote from Shawn Siegele’s original article explaining why the Flex position wins championships. “Win the…...
Scott Fish Bowl 9 drafts are just days away. Unless you already play in another “half-PPR, half-point per first down, TE-premium, three flex, one superflex, achievement bonus league,” chances are you might be underprepared. Luckily, you can get a quick handle on how to approach your draft using our new (and free!) SFB9 Game Log Explorer app. One of the first questions worth answering is…...
Welcome to the 57th installment of The Wrong Read. Filling your team with QBs and TEs (and RBs and WRs) entering Year 2 appears to be an easy way to improve your win rate. But obviously not every Year 2 player will break out. Simply loading up on players going into their second year does expose your team to massive breakout potential, but also to…...
Welcome to the 56th installment of The Wrong Read. Quarterback and tight end are the forgotten positions in fantasy, but they are probably more important than you think — you can win your best ball league simply by taking the right roster construction approach to these positions. At the end of the day though, you also have to pick players, and good process here can…...
Last offseason I introduced a metric I called Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). BDR measures the percentage of running back production that a college RB accounts for in his offense. In other words, it adjusts for offensive systems or for quarterbacks who, for whatever reason, don’t utilize RBs in the passing game.((And it also adjusts for teams that tend to use wide receivers in the running…...
In the first round of the 2019 RotoViz Rookie RB Tournament, second-seeded David Montgomery faces off against the 15 seed Travis Homer. Is Homer’s excellent combine enough to overcome Montgomery’s elite production? Find out below. Note from Curtis Patrick, RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator: The 2019 RotoViz Rookie RB Tournament pits 16 of the top prospects at the position in this year’s draft in head-to-head matchups. Our…...
In the first round of the 2019 RotoViz Rookie WR Tournament, top seed N’Keal Harry takes on 16th-seeded Greg Dortch. Can Dortch channel his inner UMBC, or will Harry live up to his top billing? The votes are in; keep reading to discover the results. Note from Curtis Patrick, RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator: The 2019 RotoViz Rookie WR Tournament pits 16 of the top prospects at…...
Welcome to the 55th installment of The Wrong Read. We love breakouts at RotoViz. We want to target wide receiver prospects who break out in college, and especially those who break out early. The question then becomes, what should we count as a breakout? Breakout age is among the most important WR metrics apart from draft position — the skeleton key of WR prospect evaluation…....
Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch is skipping his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint.[1]An older version of this article was published on January 11, 2019, before any athletic testing. Production First, the good news: Dortch was extremely productive at a…...
Welcome to the 54th installment of The Wrong Read. We know that college production is more important than athleticism at the WR position, but what are the best and most predictive ways to measure that production? This article compares 45 different ways to measure college receiving production…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Wake Forest wide receiver Greg Dortch recently announced that he would forgo his final two years of college eligibility to declare for the NFL draft. Is he someone dynasty owners should be paying attention to? There are reasons both for optimism and for restraint…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Welcome to the 53rd installment of The Wrong Read. Does draft age really matter for wide receiver prospects? The truth may surprise you — at least if you’ve been following this column for a little while. As Karl Popper put it, the most important evolutionary advantage of the argumentative use of language is that it “allows us to let theories die in our stead.” In…...
Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...
If you’ve made it to the fantasy championship round in your league, you likely have a strong team. Waivers and free agent pickups might not be your top priority. But workloads are always changing. Players you wouldn’t have rostered weeks ago are now attractive…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Game-Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) use historical matchup, team, player, and Vegas lines to generate situation-agnostic projections. The result is a range of outcomes. The low projection is the 25th-percentile point total from the most similar matchups. The high projection is the 75th-percentile result…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
By now we have a good idea of who the best players in fantasy football are. But do we know who the best players in fantasy football should be, based on opportunity?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
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