NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
Dyami Brown was selected by the Washington Football Team with the No. 82 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He becomes the new deep threat for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who perhaps hasn’t enjoyed a more talented downfield target since throwing passes to Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. Brown joins a Washington team that was hurting for receiving help last year. They didn’t send 50 targets to…...
Ja’Marr Chase was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Last week I explained why Chase was one of the best WR prospects ever. What does his arrival in Cincinnati mean for the Bengals? With the pick, the Bengals not only give 2020’s No. 1 pick Joe Burrow an additional weapon, but also reunite him with his…...
Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
Every year there are college running backs whose counting stats underrate (or overrate) their true ability. This is especially true following the 2020 season, in which many teams played only a handful of games. Among the most powerful adjustments we can make in order to correct for the problem of counting stats is to use the Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). If you’ve forgotten or perhaps…...
Drafting successfully means, at least in part, picking the right kinds of players and avoiding the wrong kinds. We provide a lot of guidance at RotoViz on who the right and wrong kind of players to draft are. Still, getting the player selection tactics down is only part of the solution for finding the game-changing win rates we know are possible. Shawn Siegele has detailed…...
The previous Wrong Read looked at best ball win rates as a function of age and experience. The surprising finding is that at almost every position, younger and less experienced players underperform. Two factors combine to make this the case. First, the optionality profile of best ball leagues makes them less ideal for players with a wide range of outcomes than traditional redraft leagues. If…...
Anyone who spends much time perusing this site will soon realize we tend to have a strong youth bias. We’re constantly searching for the next rookie sensation, and much of our dynasty advice comes down to selling your stars — especially at RB — while you can still get your leaguemates to pay elite-level prices for them. Nearly always, we advise trying to make your…...
Justin Jefferson finished his rookie season with 1,400 receiving yards — the most for a rookie WR this century. His 64.2 receiving FPOE trail only Odell Beckham and A.J. Brown. His 274.2 PPR points trail only Beckham and Anquan Boldin. Yet going into the 2020 season, Jefferson was just the ninth player picked in FFPC rookie drafts. Likewise, Brown was the 10th player picked in…...
If you’re playing in the FFPC Playoff Challenge, some helpful data to bring into the contest with you would be playoff projections. A feature of the RotoViz Screener that often gets overlooked is the ability to look at playoff games and even to create objective projections based on a linear regression. There are a lot of ways to create powerful models, but in what follows…...
Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the AFC ahead of Week 17. This week, we look for the top dynasty buy and sell candidates. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 16. A RotoViz favorite becomes (almost) the fantasy playoff MVP, and we look at just how strange a season it’s been. For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end of the article. It’s worth putting Stefon Diggs’ last three…...
Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the NFC ahead of Week 16 in the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Tony Pollard reminds us not to give up on our theses so soon. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 15. This week, we crown a new dynasty WR1. How does he compare to dynasty WR1s from years past? For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end of the article. Even Bad Players Are Sometimes Good We’ve profiled J.D…....
Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the AFC ahead of Week 15, including the emergence of multiple top rookies and a familiar strategy the Steelers are using as they try to hold on to a playoff bye. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether…...
While many receivers competed for the “next Odell Beckham” title, only one can emerge victorious. We might now have a clear look at the front-runner. Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 14…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the NFC ahead of Week 14 in the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Is it time to move on from Ezekiel Elliott? You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding some waiver wire RB…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 13. Backup RBs continued to underperform while our favorite rookies continued to make cases for dynasty startup first-round status. And we finally answer the question: do you really need RBs in the FFPC? For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to…...
Dyami Brown was selected by the Washington Football Team with the No. 82 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He becomes the new deep threat for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who perhaps hasn’t enjoyed a more talented downfield target since throwing passes to Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. Brown joins a Washington team that was hurting for receiving help last year. They didn’t send 50 targets to…...
Ja’Marr Chase was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Last week I explained why Chase was one of the best WR prospects ever. What does his arrival in Cincinnati mean for the Bengals? With the pick, the Bengals not only give 2020’s No. 1 pick Joe Burrow an additional weapon, but also reunite him with his…...
Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
Every year there are college running backs whose counting stats underrate (or overrate) their true ability. This is especially true following the 2020 season, in which many teams played only a handful of games. Among the most powerful adjustments we can make in order to correct for the problem of counting stats is to use the Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). If you’ve forgotten or perhaps…...
Drafting successfully means, at least in part, picking the right kinds of players and avoiding the wrong kinds. We provide a lot of guidance at RotoViz on who the right and wrong kind of players to draft are. Still, getting the player selection tactics down is only part of the solution for finding the game-changing win rates we know are possible. Shawn Siegele has detailed…...
The previous Wrong Read looked at best ball win rates as a function of age and experience. The surprising finding is that at almost every position, younger and less experienced players underperform. Two factors combine to make this the case. First, the optionality profile of best ball leagues makes them less ideal for players with a wide range of outcomes than traditional redraft leagues. If…...
Anyone who spends much time perusing this site will soon realize we tend to have a strong youth bias. We’re constantly searching for the next rookie sensation, and much of our dynasty advice comes down to selling your stars — especially at RB — while you can still get your leaguemates to pay elite-level prices for them. Nearly always, we advise trying to make your…...
Justin Jefferson finished his rookie season with 1,400 receiving yards — the most for a rookie WR this century. His 64.2 receiving FPOE trail only Odell Beckham and A.J. Brown. His 274.2 PPR points trail only Beckham and Anquan Boldin. Yet going into the 2020 season, Jefferson was just the ninth player picked in FFPC rookie drafts. Likewise, Brown was the 10th player picked in…...
If you’re playing in the FFPC Playoff Challenge, some helpful data to bring into the contest with you would be playoff projections. A feature of the RotoViz Screener that often gets overlooked is the ability to look at playoff games and even to create objective projections based on a linear regression. There are a lot of ways to create powerful models, but in what follows…...
Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the AFC ahead of Week 17. This week, we look for the top dynasty buy and sell candidates. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 16. A RotoViz favorite becomes (almost) the fantasy playoff MVP, and we look at just how strange a season it’s been. For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end of the article. It’s worth putting Stefon Diggs’ last three…...
Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the NFC ahead of Week 16 in the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Tony Pollard reminds us not to give up on our theses so soon. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 15. This week, we crown a new dynasty WR1. How does he compare to dynasty WR1s from years past? For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end of the article. Even Bad Players Are Sometimes Good We’ve profiled J.D…....
Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the AFC ahead of Week 15, including the emergence of multiple top rookies and a familiar strategy the Steelers are using as they try to hold on to a playoff bye. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether…...
While many receivers competed for the “next Odell Beckham” title, only one can emerge victorious. We might now have a clear look at the front-runner. Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 14…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the NFC ahead of Week 14 in the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Is it time to move on from Ezekiel Elliott? You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding some waiver wire RB…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 13. Backup RBs continued to underperform while our favorite rookies continued to make cases for dynasty startup first-round status. And we finally answer the question: do you really need RBs in the FFPC? For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to…...
Dyami Brown was selected by the Washington Football Team with the No. 82 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He becomes the new deep threat for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who perhaps hasn’t enjoyed a more talented downfield target since throwing passes to Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. Brown joins a Washington team that was hurting for receiving help last year. They didn’t send 50 targets to…...
Ja’Marr Chase was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Last week I explained why Chase was one of the best WR prospects ever. What does his arrival in Cincinnati mean for the Bengals? With the pick, the Bengals not only give 2020’s No. 1 pick Joe Burrow an additional weapon, but also reunite him with his…...
Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
Every year there are college running backs whose counting stats underrate (or overrate) their true ability. This is especially true following the 2020 season, in which many teams played only a handful of games. Among the most powerful adjustments we can make in order to correct for the problem of counting stats is to use the Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). If you’ve forgotten or perhaps…...
Drafting successfully means, at least in part, picking the right kinds of players and avoiding the wrong kinds. We provide a lot of guidance at RotoViz on who the right and wrong kind of players to draft are. Still, getting the player selection tactics down is only part of the solution for finding the game-changing win rates we know are possible. Shawn Siegele has detailed…...
The previous Wrong Read looked at best ball win rates as a function of age and experience. The surprising finding is that at almost every position, younger and less experienced players underperform. Two factors combine to make this the case. First, the optionality profile of best ball leagues makes them less ideal for players with a wide range of outcomes than traditional redraft leagues. If…...
Anyone who spends much time perusing this site will soon realize we tend to have a strong youth bias. We’re constantly searching for the next rookie sensation, and much of our dynasty advice comes down to selling your stars — especially at RB — while you can still get your leaguemates to pay elite-level prices for them. Nearly always, we advise trying to make your…...
Justin Jefferson finished his rookie season with 1,400 receiving yards — the most for a rookie WR this century. His 64.2 receiving FPOE trail only Odell Beckham and A.J. Brown. His 274.2 PPR points trail only Beckham and Anquan Boldin. Yet going into the 2020 season, Jefferson was just the ninth player picked in FFPC rookie drafts. Likewise, Brown was the 10th player picked in…...
If you’re playing in the FFPC Playoff Challenge, some helpful data to bring into the contest with you would be playoff projections. A feature of the RotoViz Screener that often gets overlooked is the ability to look at playoff games and even to create objective projections based on a linear regression. There are a lot of ways to create powerful models, but in what follows…...
Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the AFC ahead of Week 17. This week, we look for the top dynasty buy and sell candidates. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 16. A RotoViz favorite becomes (almost) the fantasy playoff MVP, and we look at just how strange a season it’s been. For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end of the article. It’s worth putting Stefon Diggs’ last three…...
Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the NFC ahead of Week 16 in the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Tony Pollard reminds us not to give up on our theses so soon. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 15. This week, we crown a new dynasty WR1. How does he compare to dynasty WR1s from years past? For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end of the article. Even Bad Players Are Sometimes Good We’ve profiled J.D…....
Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the AFC ahead of Week 15, including the emergence of multiple top rookies and a familiar strategy the Steelers are using as they try to hold on to a playoff bye. You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether…...
While many receivers competed for the “next Odell Beckham” title, only one can emerge victorious. We might now have a clear look at the front-runner. Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 14…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...
Blair Andrews explores the changing backfield situations in the NFC ahead of Week 14 in the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List. Is it time to move on from Ezekiel Elliott? You don’t have to draft a Zero RB team to win at fantasy football, but it helps. Whether you did go Zero RB or not, all teams can benefit from finding some waiver wire RB…...
Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 13. Backup RBs continued to underperform while our favorite rookies continued to make cases for dynasty startup first-round status. And we finally answer the question: do you really need RBs in the FFPC? For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to…...
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