Free Agency
Kevin Szafraniec
January 15, 2025
© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.
Blair Andrews
Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.
Author Archive
In-Season Articles
In-Season Articles
The Week the Rookie Quarterback Dream Died: Week 3 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 28, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of the most interesting observations from the tool and the last week in fantasy football. A previous version of this article was titled “The Fantasy Waste Land.” I had rewritten the entire first stanza of T.S. Eliot’s The Waste Land,…...
2 Surprising Game Stacks Might Be Key to Single-Entry Tournament Wins: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP in DFS
Blair Andrews
September 24, 2021
Blair Andrews uses expected points and the Weekly GLSP app to find the best possible plays for DraftKings single-entry tournaments. He offers some options both for those who want to stick to a more normal build, and for those who are ready to get really crazy, all supported by the data. Single-entry GPPs are the purest form of daily fantasy sports. If you aren’t playing…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 3 – Devonta Freeman Returns, James White Never Left, and Derrick Henry Is Also Pretty Good I Guess
Blair Andrews
September 22, 2021
Blair Andrews uses the Weekly Stat Explorer, the RotoViz Screener, and the Advanced Stat Explorer to look into the future and determine which AFC backfields are ripe for shakeups ahead of Week 3. Are some of our favorite rookies ready to make the jump to lead back? Are some grizzled veterans getting too grizzled to be effective? Is Derrick Henry now a three-down back? Our…...
Air Yards Provide a Glimpse of Huge Breakouts in the Making: Week 2 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 20, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of his favorite observations from the tool after a thrilling Sunday. Week 2 has come and gone with myriad quarterback injuries, a number of key players underperforming, Derrick Henry continuing to laugh in the face of regression to the mean,…...
Get the Biggest Piece of the Biggest Pie: How to Use Expected Points to Take Down a DraftKings Single-Entry Tournament in Week 2
Blair Andrews
September 17, 2021
Blair Andrews uses expected points and the Weekly GLSP app to find the best possible plays for DraftKings single-entry tournaments. He offers some options both for those who want to stick to a more normal build, and for those who are ready to get really crazy, all supported by the data. Single-entry GPPs are the purest form of daily fantasy sports. They require not only…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 2 – Rookies Get Off to a Fast Start and Leonard Fournette Is Still the Worst
Blair Andrews
September 15, 2021
Blair Andrews questions Bruce Arians’ life (but mostly coaching) decisions, wonders whether Aaron Rodgers will retire midseason, and breaks down why Elijah Mitchell is the next rookie running back star. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...
Running Backs Are Receivers Too, But Some Wide Receivers Look More Like RBs: Week 1 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 14, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of the most interesting observations from the tool and the last week in fantasy football. Week 1 is in the books. Amid all the excitement, a few interesting trends did start to emerge. Shawn Siegele has you covered with the…...
4 Days of FFPC Drafting Remain – Blair Andrews Provides His Favorite Targets in Every Round
Blair Andrews
September 8, 2021
Blair Andrews, the mind behind The Wrong Read, goes through his top targets in every round of a 20-round fantasy draft. Which Year 2 receivers are we targeting everywhere? Which late running backs offer the best way to round out a Zero-RB squad? And who is the next Tee Higgins? There’s one more day before kickoff, so for those of you still drafting tonight (or…...
Drafters Are Still Paying Too Much for the Wrong Numbers: How You Can Exploit RB Advanced Stats in Your Draft – The Wrong Read, No. 73
Blair Andrews
August 25, 2021
Blair Andrews explores some of the advanced running back metrics available in the new Advanced Stats Explorer. Are drafters chasing the right stats when making draft day decisions? Or are certain metrics persistently undervalued? In a previous article, I looked at some advanced wide receiver metrics we’ve added to the site to find some with hidden value, and to see how much they change the…...
Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Why Fantasy Football Doesn’t Have to Be That Hard: An Introduction to Some New (and Old) Advanced Wide Receiver Metrics
Blair Andrews
July 13, 2021
Blair Andrews examines some new advanced metrics in a massive correlation matrix. Should we still be focusing on the same statistics when predicting wide receiver performance? At RotoViz, we always aim to have the most advanced and predictive fantasy metrics in the industry. This means not only having access to many different metrics but also teasing out which metrics give us actual signal, and which…...
Running Back Draft Age Is Still Exploitable And It Provides an Earlier, Larger Edge Than You Might Think, The Wrong Read, No. 72
Blair Andrews
June 10, 2021
Blair Andrews revisits his research on running back draft age. Do younger RBs still provide an edge? Where does that edge come from? And which RBs should we be targeting in redraft and trading for in dynasty? We know, when looking for fantasy wide receiver prospects, younger is generally better. Does this hold for running back prospects? In the Wrong Read, No 30, I found…...
RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty and Why Trading Back Is a Win-Now Tactic – The Wrong Read, No. 71
Blair Andrews
May 30, 2021
The goal in any dynasty league is, or at least should be, to put yourself in what Shawn Siegele has called the Permanent Championship Window (PCW). Proponents of the PCW look at the debate between win-now and win-later strategies and ask, “why not both?” Suppose you could win in Year 1 … and also in Year 2, Year 3, and beyond. If winning now and…...
We Know We Want Young WRs, But Can Draft Age Help Us Win Rookie Drafts? The Wrong Read, No. 70
Blair Andrews
May 6, 2021
It’s not an overstatement to say we’re obsessed with age at RotoViz. This is especially true when it comes to wide receiver prospects. Breakout age is one of our favorite metrics. We always prefer receivers who declare early. And draft age has long been a key piece of our wide receiver evaluation. It’s been a few years since I’ve looked specifically at draft age, so…...
2 Freakish Receivers Make Waves in the Third Round for WR-Needy Teams, But Do They Profile as More Than Just Athletes?
Blair Andrews
May 1, 2021
Nico Collins was drafted by the Houston Texans with the No. 89 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. Anthony Schwartz was drafted by the Cleveland Browns with the No. 91 pick. These two athletic marvels land on squads that lacked wide receiver firepower in 2020, but do their profiles offer an immediate impact? Athletic Profiles Collins and Schwartz are bound to be lumped together as…...
Dyami Brown Might Not Be Mike Evans, But Can He Be Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Favorite Downfield Target in Washington?
Blair Andrews
April 30, 2021
Dyami Brown was selected by the Washington Football Team with the No. 82 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He becomes the new deep threat for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who perhaps hasn’t enjoyed a more talented downfield target since throwing passes to Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. Brown joins a Washington team that was hurting for receiving help last year. They didn’t send 50 targets to…...
Ja’Marr Chase Lands With the Cincinnati Bengals and Makes Joe Burrow a Superflex Megastar
Blair Andrews
April 29, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Last week I explained why Chase was one of the best WR prospects ever. What does his arrival in Cincinnati mean for the Bengals? With the pick, the Bengals not only give 2020’s No. 1 pick Joe Burrow an additional weapon, but also reunite him with his…...
Finding the Next Justin Jefferson: Rashod Bateman, Random Forests, and the Power of Checking All the Boxes – The Wrong Read, No. 69
Blair Andrews
April 28, 2021
Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...
Is Ja’Marr Chase the Best Wide Receiver Prospect Since Amari Cooper? The Updated Prospect Lab Has a Strong Opinion
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
DeVonta Smith, the Importance of Declaring Early, and the Reasons It Sometimes Doesn’t Matter
Blair Andrews
April 8, 2021
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68
Blair Andrews
April 3, 2021
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
The Week the Rookie Quarterback Dream Died: Week 3 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 28, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of the most interesting observations from the tool and the last week in fantasy football. A previous version of this article was titled “The Fantasy Waste Land.” I had rewritten the entire first stanza of T.S. Eliot’s The Waste Land,…...
2 Surprising Game Stacks Might Be Key to Single-Entry Tournament Wins: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP in DFS
Blair Andrews
September 24, 2021
Blair Andrews uses expected points and the Weekly GLSP app to find the best possible plays for DraftKings single-entry tournaments. He offers some options both for those who want to stick to a more normal build, and for those who are ready to get really crazy, all supported by the data. Single-entry GPPs are the purest form of daily fantasy sports. If you aren’t playing…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 3 – Devonta Freeman Returns, James White Never Left, and Derrick Henry Is Also Pretty Good I Guess
Blair Andrews
September 22, 2021
Blair Andrews uses the Weekly Stat Explorer, the RotoViz Screener, and the Advanced Stat Explorer to look into the future and determine which AFC backfields are ripe for shakeups ahead of Week 3. Are some of our favorite rookies ready to make the jump to lead back? Are some grizzled veterans getting too grizzled to be effective? Is Derrick Henry now a three-down back? Our…...
Air Yards Provide a Glimpse of Huge Breakouts in the Making: Week 2 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 20, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of his favorite observations from the tool after a thrilling Sunday. Week 2 has come and gone with myriad quarterback injuries, a number of key players underperforming, Derrick Henry continuing to laugh in the face of regression to the mean,…...
Get the Biggest Piece of the Biggest Pie: How to Use Expected Points to Take Down a DraftKings Single-Entry Tournament in Week 2
Blair Andrews
September 17, 2021
Blair Andrews uses expected points and the Weekly GLSP app to find the best possible plays for DraftKings single-entry tournaments. He offers some options both for those who want to stick to a more normal build, and for those who are ready to get really crazy, all supported by the data. Single-entry GPPs are the purest form of daily fantasy sports. They require not only…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 2 – Rookies Get Off to a Fast Start and Leonard Fournette Is Still the Worst
Blair Andrews
September 15, 2021
Blair Andrews questions Bruce Arians’ life (but mostly coaching) decisions, wonders whether Aaron Rodgers will retire midseason, and breaks down why Elijah Mitchell is the next rookie running back star. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...
Running Backs Are Receivers Too, But Some Wide Receivers Look More Like RBs: Week 1 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 14, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of the most interesting observations from the tool and the last week in fantasy football. Week 1 is in the books. Amid all the excitement, a few interesting trends did start to emerge. Shawn Siegele has you covered with the…...
4 Days of FFPC Drafting Remain – Blair Andrews Provides His Favorite Targets in Every Round
Blair Andrews
September 8, 2021
Blair Andrews, the mind behind The Wrong Read, goes through his top targets in every round of a 20-round fantasy draft. Which Year 2 receivers are we targeting everywhere? Which late running backs offer the best way to round out a Zero-RB squad? And who is the next Tee Higgins? There’s one more day before kickoff, so for those of you still drafting tonight (or…...
Drafters Are Still Paying Too Much for the Wrong Numbers: How You Can Exploit RB Advanced Stats in Your Draft – The Wrong Read, No. 73
Blair Andrews
August 25, 2021
Blair Andrews explores some of the advanced running back metrics available in the new Advanced Stats Explorer. Are drafters chasing the right stats when making draft day decisions? Or are certain metrics persistently undervalued? In a previous article, I looked at some advanced wide receiver metrics we’ve added to the site to find some with hidden value, and to see how much they change the…...
Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Why Fantasy Football Doesn’t Have to Be That Hard: An Introduction to Some New (and Old) Advanced Wide Receiver Metrics
Blair Andrews
July 13, 2021
Blair Andrews examines some new advanced metrics in a massive correlation matrix. Should we still be focusing on the same statistics when predicting wide receiver performance? At RotoViz, we always aim to have the most advanced and predictive fantasy metrics in the industry. This means not only having access to many different metrics but also teasing out which metrics give us actual signal, and which…...
Running Back Draft Age Is Still Exploitable And It Provides an Earlier, Larger Edge Than You Might Think, The Wrong Read, No. 72
Blair Andrews
June 10, 2021
Blair Andrews revisits his research on running back draft age. Do younger RBs still provide an edge? Where does that edge come from? And which RBs should we be targeting in redraft and trading for in dynasty? We know, when looking for fantasy wide receiver prospects, younger is generally better. Does this hold for running back prospects? In the Wrong Read, No 30, I found…...
RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty and Why Trading Back Is a Win-Now Tactic – The Wrong Read, No. 71
Blair Andrews
May 30, 2021
The goal in any dynasty league is, or at least should be, to put yourself in what Shawn Siegele has called the Permanent Championship Window (PCW). Proponents of the PCW look at the debate between win-now and win-later strategies and ask, “why not both?” Suppose you could win in Year 1 … and also in Year 2, Year 3, and beyond. If winning now and…...
We Know We Want Young WRs, But Can Draft Age Help Us Win Rookie Drafts? The Wrong Read, No. 70
Blair Andrews
May 6, 2021
It’s not an overstatement to say we’re obsessed with age at RotoViz. This is especially true when it comes to wide receiver prospects. Breakout age is one of our favorite metrics. We always prefer receivers who declare early. And draft age has long been a key piece of our wide receiver evaluation. It’s been a few years since I’ve looked specifically at draft age, so…...
2 Freakish Receivers Make Waves in the Third Round for WR-Needy Teams, But Do They Profile as More Than Just Athletes?
Blair Andrews
May 1, 2021
Nico Collins was drafted by the Houston Texans with the No. 89 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. Anthony Schwartz was drafted by the Cleveland Browns with the No. 91 pick. These two athletic marvels land on squads that lacked wide receiver firepower in 2020, but do their profiles offer an immediate impact? Athletic Profiles Collins and Schwartz are bound to be lumped together as…...
Dyami Brown Might Not Be Mike Evans, But Can He Be Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Favorite Downfield Target in Washington?
Blair Andrews
April 30, 2021
Dyami Brown was selected by the Washington Football Team with the No. 82 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He becomes the new deep threat for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who perhaps hasn’t enjoyed a more talented downfield target since throwing passes to Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. Brown joins a Washington team that was hurting for receiving help last year. They didn’t send 50 targets to…...
Ja’Marr Chase Lands With the Cincinnati Bengals and Makes Joe Burrow a Superflex Megastar
Blair Andrews
April 29, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Last week I explained why Chase was one of the best WR prospects ever. What does his arrival in Cincinnati mean for the Bengals? With the pick, the Bengals not only give 2020’s No. 1 pick Joe Burrow an additional weapon, but also reunite him with his…...
Finding the Next Justin Jefferson: Rashod Bateman, Random Forests, and the Power of Checking All the Boxes – The Wrong Read, No. 69
Blair Andrews
April 28, 2021
Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...
Is Ja’Marr Chase the Best Wide Receiver Prospect Since Amari Cooper? The Updated Prospect Lab Has a Strong Opinion
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
DeVonta Smith, the Importance of Declaring Early, and the Reasons It Sometimes Doesn’t Matter
Blair Andrews
April 8, 2021
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68
Blair Andrews
April 3, 2021
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
The Week the Rookie Quarterback Dream Died: Week 3 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 28, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of the most interesting observations from the tool and the last week in fantasy football. A previous version of this article was titled “The Fantasy Waste Land.” I had rewritten the entire first stanza of T.S. Eliot’s The Waste Land,…...
2 Surprising Game Stacks Might Be Key to Single-Entry Tournament Wins: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP in DFS
Blair Andrews
September 24, 2021
Blair Andrews uses expected points and the Weekly GLSP app to find the best possible plays for DraftKings single-entry tournaments. He offers some options both for those who want to stick to a more normal build, and for those who are ready to get really crazy, all supported by the data. Single-entry GPPs are the purest form of daily fantasy sports. If you aren’t playing…...
Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 3 – Devonta Freeman Returns, James White Never Left, and Derrick Henry Is Also Pretty Good I Guess
Blair Andrews
September 22, 2021
Blair Andrews uses the Weekly Stat Explorer, the RotoViz Screener, and the Advanced Stat Explorer to look into the future and determine which AFC backfields are ripe for shakeups ahead of Week 3. Are some of our favorite rookies ready to make the jump to lead back? Are some grizzled veterans getting too grizzled to be effective? Is Derrick Henry now a three-down back? Our…...
Air Yards Provide a Glimpse of Huge Breakouts in the Making: Week 2 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 20, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of his favorite observations from the tool after a thrilling Sunday. Week 2 has come and gone with myriad quarterback injuries, a number of key players underperforming, Derrick Henry continuing to laugh in the face of regression to the mean,…...
Get the Biggest Piece of the Biggest Pie: How to Use Expected Points to Take Down a DraftKings Single-Entry Tournament in Week 2
Blair Andrews
September 17, 2021
Blair Andrews uses expected points and the Weekly GLSP app to find the best possible plays for DraftKings single-entry tournaments. He offers some options both for those who want to stick to a more normal build, and for those who are ready to get really crazy, all supported by the data. Single-entry GPPs are the purest form of daily fantasy sports. They require not only…...
Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 2 – Rookies Get Off to a Fast Start and Leonard Fournette Is Still the Worst
Blair Andrews
September 15, 2021
Blair Andrews questions Bruce Arians’ life (but mostly coaching) decisions, wonders whether Aaron Rodgers will retire midseason, and breaks down why Elijah Mitchell is the next rookie running back star. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...
Running Backs Are Receivers Too, But Some Wide Receivers Look More Like RBs: Week 1 in Review
Blair Andrews
September 14, 2021
Get an early start on your preparation for the upcoming week with the RotoViz Monday Review tool. In this weekly article, Blair Andrews reviews some of the most interesting observations from the tool and the last week in fantasy football. Week 1 is in the books. Amid all the excitement, a few interesting trends did start to emerge. Shawn Siegele has you covered with the…...
4 Days of FFPC Drafting Remain – Blair Andrews Provides His Favorite Targets in Every Round
Blair Andrews
September 8, 2021
Blair Andrews, the mind behind The Wrong Read, goes through his top targets in every round of a 20-round fantasy draft. Which Year 2 receivers are we targeting everywhere? Which late running backs offer the best way to round out a Zero-RB squad? And who is the next Tee Higgins? There’s one more day before kickoff, so for those of you still drafting tonight (or…...
Drafters Are Still Paying Too Much for the Wrong Numbers: How You Can Exploit RB Advanced Stats in Your Draft – The Wrong Read, No. 73
Blair Andrews
August 25, 2021
Blair Andrews explores some of the advanced running back metrics available in the new Advanced Stats Explorer. Are drafters chasing the right stats when making draft day decisions? Or are certain metrics persistently undervalued? In a previous article, I looked at some advanced wide receiver metrics we’ve added to the site to find some with hidden value, and to see how much they change the…...
Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Why Fantasy Football Doesn’t Have to Be That Hard: An Introduction to Some New (and Old) Advanced Wide Receiver Metrics
Blair Andrews
July 13, 2021
Blair Andrews examines some new advanced metrics in a massive correlation matrix. Should we still be focusing on the same statistics when predicting wide receiver performance? At RotoViz, we always aim to have the most advanced and predictive fantasy metrics in the industry. This means not only having access to many different metrics but also teasing out which metrics give us actual signal, and which…...
Running Back Draft Age Is Still Exploitable And It Provides an Earlier, Larger Edge Than You Might Think, The Wrong Read, No. 72
Blair Andrews
June 10, 2021
Blair Andrews revisits his research on running back draft age. Do younger RBs still provide an edge? Where does that edge come from? And which RBs should we be targeting in redraft and trading for in dynasty? We know, when looking for fantasy wide receiver prospects, younger is generally better. Does this hold for running back prospects? In the Wrong Read, No 30, I found…...
RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty and Why Trading Back Is a Win-Now Tactic – The Wrong Read, No. 71
Blair Andrews
May 30, 2021
The goal in any dynasty league is, or at least should be, to put yourself in what Shawn Siegele has called the Permanent Championship Window (PCW). Proponents of the PCW look at the debate between win-now and win-later strategies and ask, “why not both?” Suppose you could win in Year 1 … and also in Year 2, Year 3, and beyond. If winning now and…...
We Know We Want Young WRs, But Can Draft Age Help Us Win Rookie Drafts? The Wrong Read, No. 70
Blair Andrews
May 6, 2021
It’s not an overstatement to say we’re obsessed with age at RotoViz. This is especially true when it comes to wide receiver prospects. Breakout age is one of our favorite metrics. We always prefer receivers who declare early. And draft age has long been a key piece of our wide receiver evaluation. It’s been a few years since I’ve looked specifically at draft age, so…...
2 Freakish Receivers Make Waves in the Third Round for WR-Needy Teams, But Do They Profile as More Than Just Athletes?
Blair Andrews
May 1, 2021
Nico Collins was drafted by the Houston Texans with the No. 89 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. Anthony Schwartz was drafted by the Cleveland Browns with the No. 91 pick. These two athletic marvels land on squads that lacked wide receiver firepower in 2020, but do their profiles offer an immediate impact? Athletic Profiles Collins and Schwartz are bound to be lumped together as…...
Dyami Brown Might Not Be Mike Evans, But Can He Be Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Favorite Downfield Target in Washington?
Blair Andrews
April 30, 2021
Dyami Brown was selected by the Washington Football Team with the No. 82 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He becomes the new deep threat for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who perhaps hasn’t enjoyed a more talented downfield target since throwing passes to Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. Brown joins a Washington team that was hurting for receiving help last year. They didn’t send 50 targets to…...
Ja’Marr Chase Lands With the Cincinnati Bengals and Makes Joe Burrow a Superflex Megastar
Blair Andrews
April 29, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with the No. 5 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Last week I explained why Chase was one of the best WR prospects ever. What does his arrival in Cincinnati mean for the Bengals? With the pick, the Bengals not only give 2020’s No. 1 pick Joe Burrow an additional weapon, but also reunite him with his…...
Finding the Next Justin Jefferson: Rashod Bateman, Random Forests, and the Power of Checking All the Boxes – The Wrong Read, No. 69
Blair Andrews
April 28, 2021
Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...
Is Ja’Marr Chase the Best Wide Receiver Prospect Since Amari Cooper? The Updated Prospect Lab Has a Strong Opinion
Blair Andrews
April 16, 2021
Ja’Marr Chase has had basically one good season in his collegiate career. Yet he’s the consensus WR1 in the class and is likely to hear his name called in the top-six picks at the end of April. What is it about his profile that has dynasty players salivating and NFL teams jockeying to make him the highest-drafted WR since Corey Davis? Chase’s College Production First…...
DeVonta Smith, the Importance of Declaring Early, and the Reasons It Sometimes Doesn’t Matter
Blair Andrews
April 8, 2021
Matthew Freedman recently tweeted an alarming list of players — first-round wide receivers since 2011 who spent at least four years in college: 2011-20: Round 1 WRs w/ 4+ years in college … Brandon AiyukCorey Davis Mike WilliamsJohn RossCorey ColemanJosh DoctsonKevin White DeVante ParkerPhillip Dorsett Tavon Austin Justin BlackmonMichael FloydKendall WrightA.J. Jenkins ? RIP DeVonta Smith? — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 4, 2021 In the…...
What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68
Blair Andrews
April 3, 2021
In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....
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