NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such, they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...
Blair Andrews finds the 10 wide receivers that high-stakes drafters are scooping up while your home league opponents remain skeptical. Swim with the sharks and bring home a championship. If you haven’t yet read the introduction to the running back piece, go there eventually (perhaps after you read this article). This gist is this: high-stakes drafters aren’t omniscient, but they do have a potent feedback…...
Blair Andrews reveals 10 running backs that high-stakes drafters are taking earlier than your home league opponents. Are these sharky selections the key to fantasy glory? You don’t have to be a high-stakes fantasy player to have just as much “at stake” in taking home a fantasy title. Even those of us who compete for large sums of money still relish the opportunity to beat…...
Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...
If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...
Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...
If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...
The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...
The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. Even in a…...
Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...
The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...
The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...
Blair Andrews examines how Davante Adams might fit with his new team, the Los Angeles Rams. Can he revitalize his career in a warmer climate?
Blair Andrews dives into the running back Freak Scores to uncover three athletic marvels from the 2025 class, as well as three players who needed to do more to justify the high expectations.
Blair Andrews takes a close look at six small-school players to keep an eye on during draft season. These aren't household names, but they could have a surprising impact if given the opportunity.
Blair Andrews builds some scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge 2.
Blair Andrews puts together some projections and scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge. What's your best path to $500,000?
Blair Andrews uses the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools to preview the Week 18 matchups. Will Jayden Daniels silence the doubters once and for all against the Cowboys?
One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such, they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...
Blair Andrews finds the 10 wide receivers that high-stakes drafters are scooping up while your home league opponents remain skeptical. Swim with the sharks and bring home a championship. If you haven’t yet read the introduction to the running back piece, go there eventually (perhaps after you read this article). This gist is this: high-stakes drafters aren’t omniscient, but they do have a potent feedback…...
Blair Andrews reveals 10 running backs that high-stakes drafters are taking earlier than your home league opponents. Are these sharky selections the key to fantasy glory? You don’t have to be a high-stakes fantasy player to have just as much “at stake” in taking home a fantasy title. Even those of us who compete for large sums of money still relish the opportunity to beat…...
Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...
If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...
Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...
If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...
The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...
The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. Even in a…...
Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...
The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...
The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...
Blair Andrews examines how Davante Adams might fit with his new team, the Los Angeles Rams. Can he revitalize his career in a warmer climate?
Blair Andrews dives into the running back Freak Scores to uncover three athletic marvels from the 2025 class, as well as three players who needed to do more to justify the high expectations.
Blair Andrews takes a close look at six small-school players to keep an eye on during draft season. These aren't household names, but they could have a surprising impact if given the opportunity.
Blair Andrews builds some scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge 2.
Blair Andrews puts together some projections and scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge. What's your best path to $500,000?
Blair Andrews uses the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools to preview the Week 18 matchups. Will Jayden Daniels silence the doubters once and for all against the Cowboys?
One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such, they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...
Blair Andrews finds the 10 wide receivers that high-stakes drafters are scooping up while your home league opponents remain skeptical. Swim with the sharks and bring home a championship. If you haven’t yet read the introduction to the running back piece, go there eventually (perhaps after you read this article). This gist is this: high-stakes drafters aren’t omniscient, but they do have a potent feedback…...
Blair Andrews reveals 10 running backs that high-stakes drafters are taking earlier than your home league opponents. Are these sharky selections the key to fantasy glory? You don’t have to be a high-stakes fantasy player to have just as much “at stake” in taking home a fantasy title. Even those of us who compete for large sums of money still relish the opportunity to beat…...
Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...
If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...
Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...
If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...
The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...
The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. Even in a…...
Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...
The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...
The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...
Blair Andrews examines how Davante Adams might fit with his new team, the Los Angeles Rams. Can he revitalize his career in a warmer climate?
Blair Andrews dives into the running back Freak Scores to uncover three athletic marvels from the 2025 class, as well as three players who needed to do more to justify the high expectations.
Blair Andrews takes a close look at six small-school players to keep an eye on during draft season. These aren't household names, but they could have a surprising impact if given the opportunity.
Blair Andrews builds some scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge 2.
Blair Andrews puts together some projections and scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge. What's your best path to $500,000?
Blair Andrews uses the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools to preview the Week 18 matchups. Will Jayden Daniels silence the doubters once and for all against the Cowboys?
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