Best Ball
Kevin Szafraniec
April 1, 2025
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Blair Andrews
Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.
Author Archive
In-Season Articles
In-Season Articles
4 Running Back Prospects Whose College Production Points to Outsized Returns, and 4 Potential Red Flags: 2025 Backfield Dominator Ratings
Blair Andrews
March 27, 2025
Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...
Win Probabilities and Contrarian Value Picks for Your 2025 March Madness Bracket
Blair Andrews
March 20, 2025
The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...
Evan Engram Becomes Sean Payton’s Latest Joker, But Can He Live Up to the Inevitable Jimmy Graham Comparisons?
Blair Andrews
March 14, 2025
The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...
Davante Adams Returns to California, But Can He Return to Form with a New QB in a New Offense?
Blair Andrews
March 11, 2025
Blair Andrews examines how Davante Adams might fit with his new team, the Los Angeles Rams. Can he revitalize his career in a warmer climate?
2025 Running Back Freak Scores: 3 Players Who Raced to Potential Stardom, and 3 More Who Lagged Their Lofty Expectations
Blair Andrews
March 5, 2025
Blair Andrews dives into the running back Freak Scores to uncover three athletic marvels from the 2025 class, as well as three players who needed to do more to justify the high expectations.
Is the Next Cooper Kupp in the 2025 Draft Class? 6 Small-School Players to Add to Your Watchlist
Blair Andrews
February 27, 2025
Blair Andrews takes a close look at six small-school players to keep an eye on during draft season. These aren't household names, but they could have a surprising impact if given the opportunity.
Projections and Optimals for the FFPC Playoff Challenge, Part 2: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round
Blair Andrews
January 18, 2025
Blair Andrews builds some scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge 2.
Projections and Scenario-Based Optimals for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend
Blair Andrews
January 10, 2025
Blair Andrews puts together some projections and scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge. What's your best path to $500,000?
Jayden Daniels Looks to Bolster His Standout Rookie Year Against the Cowboys: The Wrong Read, Week 18
Blair Andrews
January 5, 2025
Blair Andrews uses the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools to preview the Week 18 matchups. Will Jayden Daniels silence the doubters once and for all against the Cowboys?
Ja’Marr Chase Will Show Up in a Must-Win Game: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
January 4, 2025
Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups in Week 18 using the advanced team stats. Can Ja'Marr Chase lead the Bengals to a possible playoff berth?
Jonathan Taylor’s Revival Has Only Just Begun: The Wrong Read, Week 17
Blair Andrews
December 28, 2024
Blair Andrews takes a close look at the upcoming Week 17 matchups using advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Giants possibly slow down Jonathan Taylor?
You Could Do Worse Than the Patriots’ Passing Game: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
December 27, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Saturday matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does the Patriots' passing game have viable fantasy starters in Week 17?
Can the Texans Wrap Up Lamar Jackson for the Holidays? The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Christmas (and Boxing Day) Preview
Blair Andrews
December 24, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Christmas matchups. Can the Texans slow down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens?
Michael Penix Debuts In a Soft Matchup and James Conner Adds His Name to 2024’s List of Dominant Veteran RBs: The Wrong Read, Week 16
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
Blair Andrews looks at the Week 16 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does Carolina have any chance of slowing down James Conner?
You Can’t Stop Derrick Henry; You Can Only Hope to Contain Him: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups for Week 16 using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Steelers' otherwise effective defense limit Derrick Henry?
Bo Nix Is Proving the Doubters Wrong Behind Denver’s Surprisingly Good Offensive Line: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 19, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night game between the Broncos and the Chargers. Can Bo Nix build on his promising start in a formidable divisional matchup?
De’Von Achane Could Dominate, Even in a Difficult Matchup: The Wrong Read, Week 15
Blair Andrews
December 14, 2024
Blair Andrews examines the Week 15 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Is De'Von Achane matchup-proof?
Kyren Williams Won’t Let You Forget About Him Against San Francisco: The Wrong Read, Week 15 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 12, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night matchup between the Rams and the 49ers. Kyren Williams is preparing to remind us he's still an elite RB option.
Braelon Allen Could Explode Against the Dolphins, But Perhaps Not in the Way You’re Expecting: The Wrong Read, Week 14
Blair Andrews
December 7, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the upcoming Week 14 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Is this the week Braelon Allen proves he's a multifaceted NFL running back?
Can Jahmyr Gibbs Redeem Himself With a Massive Game Against Green Bay? The Wrong Read, Week 14 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 5, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 14 Thursday night matchup between the Packers and the Lions using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can Jahymr Gibbs redeem himself with a massive performance against Green Bay?
4 Running Back Prospects Whose College Production Points to Outsized Returns, and 4 Potential Red Flags: 2025 Backfield Dominator Ratings
Blair Andrews
March 27, 2025
Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...
Win Probabilities and Contrarian Value Picks for Your 2025 March Madness Bracket
Blair Andrews
March 20, 2025
The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...
Evan Engram Becomes Sean Payton’s Latest Joker, But Can He Live Up to the Inevitable Jimmy Graham Comparisons?
Blair Andrews
March 14, 2025
The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...
Davante Adams Returns to California, But Can He Return to Form with a New QB in a New Offense?
Blair Andrews
March 11, 2025
Blair Andrews examines how Davante Adams might fit with his new team, the Los Angeles Rams. Can he revitalize his career in a warmer climate?
2025 Running Back Freak Scores: 3 Players Who Raced to Potential Stardom, and 3 More Who Lagged Their Lofty Expectations
Blair Andrews
March 5, 2025
Blair Andrews dives into the running back Freak Scores to uncover three athletic marvels from the 2025 class, as well as three players who needed to do more to justify the high expectations.
Is the Next Cooper Kupp in the 2025 Draft Class? 6 Small-School Players to Add to Your Watchlist
Blair Andrews
February 27, 2025
Blair Andrews takes a close look at six small-school players to keep an eye on during draft season. These aren't household names, but they could have a surprising impact if given the opportunity.
Projections and Optimals for the FFPC Playoff Challenge, Part 2: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round
Blair Andrews
January 18, 2025
Blair Andrews builds some scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge 2.
Projections and Scenario-Based Optimals for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend
Blair Andrews
January 10, 2025
Blair Andrews puts together some projections and scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge. What's your best path to $500,000?
Jayden Daniels Looks to Bolster His Standout Rookie Year Against the Cowboys: The Wrong Read, Week 18
Blair Andrews
January 5, 2025
Blair Andrews uses the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools to preview the Week 18 matchups. Will Jayden Daniels silence the doubters once and for all against the Cowboys?
Ja’Marr Chase Will Show Up in a Must-Win Game: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
January 4, 2025
Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups in Week 18 using the advanced team stats. Can Ja'Marr Chase lead the Bengals to a possible playoff berth?
Jonathan Taylor’s Revival Has Only Just Begun: The Wrong Read, Week 17
Blair Andrews
December 28, 2024
Blair Andrews takes a close look at the upcoming Week 17 matchups using advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Giants possibly slow down Jonathan Taylor?
You Could Do Worse Than the Patriots’ Passing Game: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
December 27, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Saturday matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does the Patriots' passing game have viable fantasy starters in Week 17?
Can the Texans Wrap Up Lamar Jackson for the Holidays? The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Christmas (and Boxing Day) Preview
Blair Andrews
December 24, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Christmas matchups. Can the Texans slow down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens?
Michael Penix Debuts In a Soft Matchup and James Conner Adds His Name to 2024’s List of Dominant Veteran RBs: The Wrong Read, Week 16
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
Blair Andrews looks at the Week 16 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does Carolina have any chance of slowing down James Conner?
You Can’t Stop Derrick Henry; You Can Only Hope to Contain Him: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups for Week 16 using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Steelers' otherwise effective defense limit Derrick Henry?
Bo Nix Is Proving the Doubters Wrong Behind Denver’s Surprisingly Good Offensive Line: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 19, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night game between the Broncos and the Chargers. Can Bo Nix build on his promising start in a formidable divisional matchup?
De’Von Achane Could Dominate, Even in a Difficult Matchup: The Wrong Read, Week 15
Blair Andrews
December 14, 2024
Blair Andrews examines the Week 15 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Is De'Von Achane matchup-proof?
Kyren Williams Won’t Let You Forget About Him Against San Francisco: The Wrong Read, Week 15 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 12, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night matchup between the Rams and the 49ers. Kyren Williams is preparing to remind us he's still an elite RB option.
Braelon Allen Could Explode Against the Dolphins, But Perhaps Not in the Way You’re Expecting: The Wrong Read, Week 14
Blair Andrews
December 7, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the upcoming Week 14 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Is this the week Braelon Allen proves he's a multifaceted NFL running back?
Can Jahmyr Gibbs Redeem Himself With a Massive Game Against Green Bay? The Wrong Read, Week 14 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 5, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 14 Thursday night matchup between the Packers and the Lions using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can Jahymr Gibbs redeem himself with a massive performance against Green Bay?
4 Running Back Prospects Whose College Production Points to Outsized Returns, and 4 Potential Red Flags: 2025 Backfield Dominator Ratings
Blair Andrews
March 27, 2025
Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack many good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these factors as…...
Win Probabilities and Contrarian Value Picks for Your 2025 March Madness Bracket
Blair Andrews
March 20, 2025
The NFL free agency period is more or less over, which can only mean one thing: March Madness time! Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value in the bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introduction to last year’s article. This year I’m adding two tools to the analytical arsenal. The first is…...
Evan Engram Becomes Sean Payton’s Latest Joker, But Can He Live Up to the Inevitable Jimmy Graham Comparisons?
Blair Andrews
March 14, 2025
The Broncos have signed Evan Engram to a two-year, $23 million contract with $16.5 million guaranteed, and Sean Payton finally has his Joker: During an interview with Kay Adams of the “Up and Adams Show” at the Super Bowl earlier this month, Payton discussed a key need in 2025. Adams started the conversation by suggesting Denver needed a veteran wide receiver. Payton countered, “I would…...
Davante Adams Returns to California, But Can He Return to Form with a New QB in a New Offense?
Blair Andrews
March 11, 2025
Blair Andrews examines how Davante Adams might fit with his new team, the Los Angeles Rams. Can he revitalize his career in a warmer climate?
2025 Running Back Freak Scores: 3 Players Who Raced to Potential Stardom, and 3 More Who Lagged Their Lofty Expectations
Blair Andrews
March 5, 2025
Blair Andrews dives into the running back Freak Scores to uncover three athletic marvels from the 2025 class, as well as three players who needed to do more to justify the high expectations.
Is the Next Cooper Kupp in the 2025 Draft Class? 6 Small-School Players to Add to Your Watchlist
Blair Andrews
February 27, 2025
Blair Andrews takes a close look at six small-school players to keep an eye on during draft season. These aren't household names, but they could have a surprising impact if given the opportunity.
Projections and Optimals for the FFPC Playoff Challenge, Part 2: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round
Blair Andrews
January 18, 2025
Blair Andrews builds some scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge 2.
Projections and Scenario-Based Optimals for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend
Blair Andrews
January 10, 2025
Blair Andrews puts together some projections and scenario-based optimal lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge. What's your best path to $500,000?
Jayden Daniels Looks to Bolster His Standout Rookie Year Against the Cowboys: The Wrong Read, Week 18
Blair Andrews
January 5, 2025
Blair Andrews uses the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools to preview the Week 18 matchups. Will Jayden Daniels silence the doubters once and for all against the Cowboys?
Ja’Marr Chase Will Show Up in a Must-Win Game: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
January 4, 2025
Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups in Week 18 using the advanced team stats. Can Ja'Marr Chase lead the Bengals to a possible playoff berth?
Jonathan Taylor’s Revival Has Only Just Begun: The Wrong Read, Week 17
Blair Andrews
December 28, 2024
Blair Andrews takes a close look at the upcoming Week 17 matchups using advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Giants possibly slow down Jonathan Taylor?
You Could Do Worse Than the Patriots’ Passing Game: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
December 27, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Saturday matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does the Patriots' passing game have viable fantasy starters in Week 17?
Can the Texans Wrap Up Lamar Jackson for the Holidays? The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Christmas (and Boxing Day) Preview
Blair Andrews
December 24, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 17 Christmas matchups. Can the Texans slow down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens?
Michael Penix Debuts In a Soft Matchup and James Conner Adds His Name to 2024’s List of Dominant Veteran RBs: The Wrong Read, Week 16
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
Blair Andrews looks at the Week 16 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Does Carolina have any chance of slowing down James Conner?
You Can’t Stop Derrick Henry; You Can Only Hope to Contain Him: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Saturday Preview
Blair Andrews
December 21, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Saturday matchups for Week 16 using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can the Steelers' otherwise effective defense limit Derrick Henry?
Bo Nix Is Proving the Doubters Wrong Behind Denver’s Surprisingly Good Offensive Line: The Wrong Read, Week 16 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 19, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night game between the Broncos and the Chargers. Can Bo Nix build on his promising start in a formidable divisional matchup?
De’Von Achane Could Dominate, Even in a Difficult Matchup: The Wrong Read, Week 15
Blair Andrews
December 14, 2024
Blair Andrews examines the Week 15 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Is De'Von Achane matchup-proof?
Kyren Williams Won’t Let You Forget About Him Against San Francisco: The Wrong Read, Week 15 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 12, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Thursday night matchup between the Rams and the 49ers. Kyren Williams is preparing to remind us he's still an elite RB option.
Braelon Allen Could Explode Against the Dolphins, But Perhaps Not in the Way You’re Expecting: The Wrong Read, Week 14
Blair Andrews
December 7, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the upcoming Week 14 matchups through the lens of the advanced team stats. Is this the week Braelon Allen proves he's a multifaceted NFL running back?
Can Jahmyr Gibbs Redeem Himself With a Massive Game Against Green Bay? The Wrong Read, Week 14 – Thursday Night Preview
Blair Andrews
December 5, 2024
Blair Andrews previews the Week 14 Thursday night matchup between the Packers and the Lions using the advanced team stats and other RotoViz tools. Can Jahymr Gibbs redeem himself with a massive performance against Green Bay?
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