You should read the title of this post as being exactly what it says. I won’t own Andre Johnson in 2015. I wouldn’t call you crazy at all if you wanted to draft AJ though. In fact, he might even be a good example of a “keep it simple stupid” draft philosophy that would go something like: Johnson is a stud wide receiver with just…...

Over the weekend I did some work to translate Average Draft Position into suggested auction prices. The reason to do this is simple. Auction price data is shitty. There are no legitimately good sources. Yahoo is probably the best, but I wanted something a little more custom for our site, so I decided that we should create our own pricing model. I used My Fantasy League…...

In case you haven’t noticed we now have our Cheat Sheet app up on the site to help you with your drafts. It’s probably one of my favorite apps we’ve ever done because underlying the projections in the app is a monumental ranking process that the RotoViz writers have undertaken this summer. Thirteen separate RotoViz writers have projected the offenses for all 32 teams. We’ve always done…...

The FFPC was nice enough to provide us access to the FFPC API which allows you to do things like get draft results and see what free agents are available in specific leagues. I want to do some digging on the data because I think it can answer some interesting questions. The first question that occurred to me to ask is: Do drafters in best ball…...

This is what I wrote about Justin Hunter before he was arrested for felonious assault: I do think that his athletic profile means that if he ever did hit, the upside could be high. But the overwhelming majority of evidence that we have right now says that he isn’t good. Despite that athletic profile he didn’t really dominate in college (which may have been related…...

In a week’s time two of our writers, Kevin Cole and AJ Bessette, will face off against a slew of fantasy experts and high stakes players in the FFPC/Fantasy Mojo Pros vs. Joes competition. I chose Kevin and AJ to represent RotoViz for a couple of reasons. First, they both play the higher buy-in levels of the MFL10 contest, so they have some relevant game…...

From NJ.com Position-specific fieldwork follows later in the day. For Williams this includes an emphasis on catching passes, something he didn’t do much at Boston College and in high school. He did it sparingly during an up-and-down rookie season with the Giants (18 catches). Almost the entire 90-minute or so of fieldwork on Thursday afternoon focused on catching the football. “A lot of pass catching,”…...

From Sports Business Daily: Patriots QB Tom Brady “intends to challenge his four-game suspension in federal court if NFL commissioner Roger Goodell doesn’t completely wipe out the punishment,” according to a report and sources cited by Ben Volin of the BOSTON GLOBE. Goodell is “expected to announce the outcome of the appeal before the Patriots begin training camp” on July 30, although “exactly when remains murky.”…...

From Matt Williamson of ESPN on CJ Spiller: “I think he’s a better player at his best than Sproles,” Williamson said. “I think his highs could be very, very high. You look at his best year two or three years ago with the Bills, he had an insane yards-per-carry. He’s a big play waiting to happen. When he’s at his best, he’s very, very good. “But…...

I’ve been thinking a lot about Frank Gore over the past few days and I think I finally have things reduced to two key considerations: 1) Is Frank Gore at a higher risk of breaking down in 2015 due to his age? 2) Is that risk already priced into his draft spot? Let’s start with a simple graph. This plot shows the percent (represented as…...

ESPN’s NFC West reporters were polled to see who the division’s rising stars are. Here’s what one had to say: Terry Blount, Seattle Seahawks: For me, it’s Arizona wide receiver John Brown. It’s startling to think how good his rookie season could have been had quarterback Carson Palmer been on the field all season. Brown had three TDs receptions in the first six games when…...

From 1500 ESPN: Establishing a rapport between Bridgewater and Wallace was a focal point of some practices this offseason, but he’ll have plenty of mouths to feed if he can stay upright. Bridgewater’s 39 sacks ranked seventh-most in the league last season, and would’ve been third-most at a 16-game rate. It’s not uncommon for rookies to struggle with diagnosing blitzes pre-snap and adequately reacting to…...

From the Arizona Cardinals team blog in response to a PFF stat that the Cardinals threw no INTs when targeting Larry Fitzgerald in 2014: So I asked PFF what the Fitzgerald INT number was for 2013. It turns out Palmer had a whopping seven interceptions when targeting Fitzgerald in 2013. Now, there is no breakdown with that. It’s impossible to know who might have been at fault,…...

Just a quick post here to make sure that everyone is aware of the new app on the site that will help you come up with a cheat sheet for your fantasy drafts. This app is powered by our staff projections and allows you to input your own scoring settings and then get a fantasy point projection to compare against various ADP sources. Feel free…...

Over the weekend I did some really simple analysis to try to optimize three defense combos in MFL10 drafts. I used the touchdown/interception differential for every offense in 2014 to estimate offensive strength in 2015. It’s not a perfect measure but it will do for now. Then I calculated the best weekly matchup for every three defense combo for 2015. When you eliminate duplicates there…...

I just overpaid for Christine Michael in a dynasty league by giving Sigmund Bloom a 2017 first round pick in exchange for Michael. Even though I overpaid, I went into this trade with eyes wide open, so let me explain how I looked at it and why I did it. First, here’s what the trade calculator in the Dynasty App has to say about Michael’s value…...

Just a quick post to offer some really solid reasons that you should move up the Colts on your list of streaming and best ball defenses. The Colts weren’t very good on defense last year but they were better than I thought they were going to be. But because of the combination of their schedule and the offense’s ability to get teams in negative game…...

Last year I remember watching with mild disgust as Kelvin Benjamin’s ADP went from WR49 or so before training camps, to WR32 by about September 1. I was regularly taking him in the sixth round of drafts by the end of draft season just to make sure I didn’t miss out on him, but I would have loved to be able to wait until the…...