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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Overreactions from the Preseason – Browns Edition

If you caught the Browns preseason game last night then you saw some pretty fun stuff to overreact to, including Terrelle Pryor catching a 50 yard touchdown where he looked like Secretariat at the Belmont. That was definitely a fun play to watch, and maybe it’s even the case that Pryor will have some fantasy relevance this year. I’m not really targeting him anywhere for…...

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The Fantasy Douche’s 10 Bold Predictions

Continuing in our 10 bold predictions series, here are 10 things that would literally make me shit my pants if they came true. 1. Jerick McKinnon Outscores Adrian Peterson in PPR Leagues Outrageous scenario: In this scenario Peterson pulls a hamstring in Week 2 and is out for a few weeks. But McKinnon is so good in AP’s absence that when the greatest RB in a…...

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The Panthers’ Receiving Corps Creates a High Leverage Situation

I’m a huge Devin Funchess fan, and the off-season buzz about Funchess has only made me more excited for what’s coming. But I’ve also recently downgraded Funchess in my Panthers’ projections because I don’t think his real breakout is probably coming this year. I don’t think it’s impossible, it just doesn’t seem likely right now. I’ll explain how I got here. First, I think that…...

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Robert Griffin Will Probably Fail, But if he Succeeds it Will be Spectacular

I was listening to the Around the NFL podcast last night and they were discussing the Browns QB n0n-battle, where it appears as if Hue Jackson is giving the job to Robert Griffin. That’s sort of a suspect thing to do if a QB is any good, so already alarms should probably be going off. But just because the Browns don’t seem to have a ton…...

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Fantasy playoff schedules

New Screener App Functionality – Similarity Search

One of the things that’s helpful to ask when doing football research is: Have we seen this before? For instance, when I look at Devin Funchess‘ production at the end of 2015 it seems like it’s pretty impressive considering how bad he was at the beginning of the season. But is it actually impressive, or is that something that happens all of the time –…...

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Strength of Schedule, the Skin in the Game Problem, and Your Fantasy Team

One of the things that’s become sort of common to hear leading up to draft season is that strength of schedule (SOS) doesn’t matter and you shouldn’t pay attention to it. It’s an idea that’s been tested a decent amount by various people, so rejecting the importance of SOS might even be prudent, since if you test for SOS effects they’re either very small or…...

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Cam Newton

The Underrated Potential of Kelvin Benjamin

Source: Five Practice Observations: Day 1 “It could be a good harbinger for us seeing Kelvin maybe not at top form but pretty doggone good form,” head coach Ron Rivera said. “He’s still got a ways to go to get back in game shape, but it was really good to see him move around like that.”Benjamin practiced with confidence and made tough catches look easy…...

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Gary Kubiak is a Running Back God – Can He Heal CJ Anderson?

Nothing in life is guaranteed except death, taxes, Josh Gordon suspensions, and Gary Kubiak running backs winning fantasy titles. It’s true, take a look at this table which shows total PPR scoring at RB for Kubiak running backs. To give you a sense of how good these numbers are, 30 PPR points/game would have been in the mix to lead the league last year, and 25…...

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Underrated Suspension Loser: Corey Coleman

I’ve done a few drafts over the past month where I had my eye on Corey Coleman, hoping to take him with my next pick, and then had him sniped from me by another owner. It basically got to the point where I had to ask myself how much I actually like Coleman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s…...

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Superforecasting, Fantasy Football, and the Aggregation of Ideas

One of the things that even I find myself struggling with these days is keeping up with all of the potential draft ideas that we’re pushing out. I read almost every article on the site before it gets published, so I’m probably up there in terms of total RotoViz articles read in a lifetime. Maybe super subscriber Patrick Keefe has read as many articles as…...

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Win the Flex Position – 2016 Edition

One of the ideas that we’ve written about on the site is what we call “Winning the Flex” and is related to Shawn Siegele’s guidance that the flex position wins fantasy championships. Winning the Flex is also an idea that is tangentially related to Zero RB, to the extent that Zero RB says that you should load up on WRs because they’re the highest scoring…...

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Garbage Time Points Matter, Just Not as Much

In this post I’ll do some quick analysis to both show the functionality of our new Screener app, and also answer a commonly asked question in fantasy circles: is garbage time scoring reliable from year to year? First let me define how I intend to look at that question. I’m just going to call garbage time fantasy scoring any points scored while a team is…...

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Todd Gurley ADP

Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Startup Dynasty Drafts?

In this post I’ll look at dynasty startup ADP data from our friends at the FFPC. If you aren’t familiar, FFPC recently launched some mid-stakes dynasty leagues where you can enter for $250 (along with a deposit for the following year in case you totally tank your team and bail on the league). FFPC runs fun contests with two flex spots and TE premium scoring so…...

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Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Rookie Drafts?

The FFPC recently opened up a new group of dynasty leagues at the $250 buy in level, which I suspect will appeal to a lot more casual dynasty players. For that reason, I think that our readers might become increasingly interested in ADP trends in the FFPC format. We’re always hoping to give our readers an extra leg up, so I’ll provide semi-regular updates to FFPC…...

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RGIII is Not a Running Quarterback, per Robert Griffin

Source: The Puzzling Plummet of RGIII Griffin instructed the coaches to let him speak uninterrupted and rolled through a list of grievances, stressing that substantive changes had to occur immediately. Scrap the pass protection scheme and start over, Griffin demanded. There were 19 plays — primarily those from the 50-series and quarterback draws — that were unacceptable. Griffin, who supported his presentation with video clips…...

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Coby Fleener and the Jimmy Graham Expectations

Source: New Saints tight end Coby Fleener exploring New Orleans, learning playbook, facing Jimmy Graham comparisons | The New Orleans Advocate — New Orleans, Louisiana:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Overreactions from the Preseason – Browns Edition

If you caught the Browns preseason game last night then you saw some pretty fun stuff to overreact to, including Terrelle Pryor catching a 50 yard touchdown where he looked like Secretariat at the Belmont. That was definitely a fun play to watch, and maybe it’s even the case that Pryor will have some fantasy relevance this year. I’m not really targeting him anywhere for…...

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The Fantasy Douche’s 10 Bold Predictions

Continuing in our 10 bold predictions series, here are 10 things that would literally make me shit my pants if they came true. 1. Jerick McKinnon Outscores Adrian Peterson in PPR Leagues Outrageous scenario: In this scenario Peterson pulls a hamstring in Week 2 and is out for a few weeks. But McKinnon is so good in AP’s absence that when the greatest RB in a…...

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The Panthers’ Receiving Corps Creates a High Leverage Situation

I’m a huge Devin Funchess fan, and the off-season buzz about Funchess has only made me more excited for what’s coming. But I’ve also recently downgraded Funchess in my Panthers’ projections because I don’t think his real breakout is probably coming this year. I don’t think it’s impossible, it just doesn’t seem likely right now. I’ll explain how I got here. First, I think that…...

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Robert Griffin Will Probably Fail, But if he Succeeds it Will be Spectacular

I was listening to the Around the NFL podcast last night and they were discussing the Browns QB n0n-battle, where it appears as if Hue Jackson is giving the job to Robert Griffin. That’s sort of a suspect thing to do if a QB is any good, so already alarms should probably be going off. But just because the Browns don’t seem to have a ton…...

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Fantasy playoff schedules

New Screener App Functionality – Similarity Search

One of the things that’s helpful to ask when doing football research is: Have we seen this before? For instance, when I look at Devin Funchess‘ production at the end of 2015 it seems like it’s pretty impressive considering how bad he was at the beginning of the season. But is it actually impressive, or is that something that happens all of the time –…...

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Strength of Schedule, the Skin in the Game Problem, and Your Fantasy Team

One of the things that’s become sort of common to hear leading up to draft season is that strength of schedule (SOS) doesn’t matter and you shouldn’t pay attention to it. It’s an idea that’s been tested a decent amount by various people, so rejecting the importance of SOS might even be prudent, since if you test for SOS effects they’re either very small or…...

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Cam Newton

The Underrated Potential of Kelvin Benjamin

Source: Five Practice Observations: Day 1 “It could be a good harbinger for us seeing Kelvin maybe not at top form but pretty doggone good form,” head coach Ron Rivera said. “He’s still got a ways to go to get back in game shape, but it was really good to see him move around like that.”Benjamin practiced with confidence and made tough catches look easy…...

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Gary Kubiak is a Running Back God – Can He Heal CJ Anderson?

Nothing in life is guaranteed except death, taxes, Josh Gordon suspensions, and Gary Kubiak running backs winning fantasy titles. It’s true, take a look at this table which shows total PPR scoring at RB for Kubiak running backs. To give you a sense of how good these numbers are, 30 PPR points/game would have been in the mix to lead the league last year, and 25…...

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Underrated Suspension Loser: Corey Coleman

I’ve done a few drafts over the past month where I had my eye on Corey Coleman, hoping to take him with my next pick, and then had him sniped from me by another owner. It basically got to the point where I had to ask myself how much I actually like Coleman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s…...

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Superforecasting, Fantasy Football, and the Aggregation of Ideas

One of the things that even I find myself struggling with these days is keeping up with all of the potential draft ideas that we’re pushing out. I read almost every article on the site before it gets published, so I’m probably up there in terms of total RotoViz articles read in a lifetime. Maybe super subscriber Patrick Keefe has read as many articles as…...

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Win the Flex Position – 2016 Edition

One of the ideas that we’ve written about on the site is what we call “Winning the Flex” and is related to Shawn Siegele’s guidance that the flex position wins fantasy championships. Winning the Flex is also an idea that is tangentially related to Zero RB, to the extent that Zero RB says that you should load up on WRs because they’re the highest scoring…...

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Garbage Time Points Matter, Just Not as Much

In this post I’ll do some quick analysis to both show the functionality of our new Screener app, and also answer a commonly asked question in fantasy circles: is garbage time scoring reliable from year to year? First let me define how I intend to look at that question. I’m just going to call garbage time fantasy scoring any points scored while a team is…...

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Todd Gurley ADP

Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Startup Dynasty Drafts?

In this post I’ll look at dynasty startup ADP data from our friends at the FFPC. If you aren’t familiar, FFPC recently launched some mid-stakes dynasty leagues where you can enter for $250 (along with a deposit for the following year in case you totally tank your team and bail on the league). FFPC runs fun contests with two flex spots and TE premium scoring so…...

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Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Rookie Drafts?

The FFPC recently opened up a new group of dynasty leagues at the $250 buy in level, which I suspect will appeal to a lot more casual dynasty players. For that reason, I think that our readers might become increasingly interested in ADP trends in the FFPC format. We’re always hoping to give our readers an extra leg up, so I’ll provide semi-regular updates to FFPC…...

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RGIII is Not a Running Quarterback, per Robert Griffin

Source: The Puzzling Plummet of RGIII Griffin instructed the coaches to let him speak uninterrupted and rolled through a list of grievances, stressing that substantive changes had to occur immediately. Scrap the pass protection scheme and start over, Griffin demanded. There were 19 plays — primarily those from the 50-series and quarterback draws — that were unacceptable. Griffin, who supported his presentation with video clips…...

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Coby Fleener and the Jimmy Graham Expectations

Source: New Saints tight end Coby Fleener exploring New Orleans, learning playbook, facing Jimmy Graham comparisons | The New Orleans Advocate — New Orleans, Louisiana:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Overreactions from the Preseason – Browns Edition

If you caught the Browns preseason game last night then you saw some pretty fun stuff to overreact to, including Terrelle Pryor catching a 50 yard touchdown where he looked like Secretariat at the Belmont. That was definitely a fun play to watch, and maybe it’s even the case that Pryor will have some fantasy relevance this year. I’m not really targeting him anywhere for…...

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The Fantasy Douche’s 10 Bold Predictions

Continuing in our 10 bold predictions series, here are 10 things that would literally make me shit my pants if they came true. 1. Jerick McKinnon Outscores Adrian Peterson in PPR Leagues Outrageous scenario: In this scenario Peterson pulls a hamstring in Week 2 and is out for a few weeks. But McKinnon is so good in AP’s absence that when the greatest RB in a…...

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The Panthers’ Receiving Corps Creates a High Leverage Situation

I’m a huge Devin Funchess fan, and the off-season buzz about Funchess has only made me more excited for what’s coming. But I’ve also recently downgraded Funchess in my Panthers’ projections because I don’t think his real breakout is probably coming this year. I don’t think it’s impossible, it just doesn’t seem likely right now. I’ll explain how I got here. First, I think that…...

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Robert Griffin Will Probably Fail, But if he Succeeds it Will be Spectacular

I was listening to the Around the NFL podcast last night and they were discussing the Browns QB n0n-battle, where it appears as if Hue Jackson is giving the job to Robert Griffin. That’s sort of a suspect thing to do if a QB is any good, so already alarms should probably be going off. But just because the Browns don’t seem to have a ton…...

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Fantasy playoff schedules

New Screener App Functionality – Similarity Search

One of the things that’s helpful to ask when doing football research is: Have we seen this before? For instance, when I look at Devin Funchess‘ production at the end of 2015 it seems like it’s pretty impressive considering how bad he was at the beginning of the season. But is it actually impressive, or is that something that happens all of the time –…...

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Strength of Schedule, the Skin in the Game Problem, and Your Fantasy Team

One of the things that’s become sort of common to hear leading up to draft season is that strength of schedule (SOS) doesn’t matter and you shouldn’t pay attention to it. It’s an idea that’s been tested a decent amount by various people, so rejecting the importance of SOS might even be prudent, since if you test for SOS effects they’re either very small or…...

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Cam Newton

The Underrated Potential of Kelvin Benjamin

Source: Five Practice Observations: Day 1 “It could be a good harbinger for us seeing Kelvin maybe not at top form but pretty doggone good form,” head coach Ron Rivera said. “He’s still got a ways to go to get back in game shape, but it was really good to see him move around like that.”Benjamin practiced with confidence and made tough catches look easy…...

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Gary Kubiak is a Running Back God – Can He Heal CJ Anderson?

Nothing in life is guaranteed except death, taxes, Josh Gordon suspensions, and Gary Kubiak running backs winning fantasy titles. It’s true, take a look at this table which shows total PPR scoring at RB for Kubiak running backs. To give you a sense of how good these numbers are, 30 PPR points/game would have been in the mix to lead the league last year, and 25…...

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Underrated Suspension Loser: Corey Coleman

I’ve done a few drafts over the past month where I had my eye on Corey Coleman, hoping to take him with my next pick, and then had him sniped from me by another owner. It basically got to the point where I had to ask myself how much I actually like Coleman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

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One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s…...

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Superforecasting, Fantasy Football, and the Aggregation of Ideas

One of the things that even I find myself struggling with these days is keeping up with all of the potential draft ideas that we’re pushing out. I read almost every article on the site before it gets published, so I’m probably up there in terms of total RotoViz articles read in a lifetime. Maybe super subscriber Patrick Keefe has read as many articles as…...

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Win the Flex Position – 2016 Edition

One of the ideas that we’ve written about on the site is what we call “Winning the Flex” and is related to Shawn Siegele’s guidance that the flex position wins fantasy championships. Winning the Flex is also an idea that is tangentially related to Zero RB, to the extent that Zero RB says that you should load up on WRs because they’re the highest scoring…...

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Garbage Time Points Matter, Just Not as Much

In this post I’ll do some quick analysis to both show the functionality of our new Screener app, and also answer a commonly asked question in fantasy circles: is garbage time scoring reliable from year to year? First let me define how I intend to look at that question. I’m just going to call garbage time fantasy scoring any points scored while a team is…...

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Todd Gurley ADP

Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Startup Dynasty Drafts?

In this post I’ll look at dynasty startup ADP data from our friends at the FFPC. If you aren’t familiar, FFPC recently launched some mid-stakes dynasty leagues where you can enter for $250 (along with a deposit for the following year in case you totally tank your team and bail on the league). FFPC runs fun contests with two flex spots and TE premium scoring so…...

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Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Rookie Drafts?

The FFPC recently opened up a new group of dynasty leagues at the $250 buy in level, which I suspect will appeal to a lot more casual dynasty players. For that reason, I think that our readers might become increasingly interested in ADP trends in the FFPC format. We’re always hoping to give our readers an extra leg up, so I’ll provide semi-regular updates to FFPC…...

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RGIII is Not a Running Quarterback, per Robert Griffin

Source: The Puzzling Plummet of RGIII Griffin instructed the coaches to let him speak uninterrupted and rolled through a list of grievances, stressing that substantive changes had to occur immediately. Scrap the pass protection scheme and start over, Griffin demanded. There were 19 plays — primarily those from the 50-series and quarterback draws — that were unacceptable. Griffin, who supported his presentation with video clips…...

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Coby Fleener and the Jimmy Graham Expectations

Source: New Saints tight end Coby Fleener exploring New Orleans, learning playbook, facing Jimmy Graham comparisons | The New Orleans Advocate — New Orleans, Louisiana:… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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