Analysis

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

NFL Prospects Weekly: Brevin Jordan is the Perfect Modern NFL Tight End

Welcome to the second installment of the 2020 NFL Prospects Weekly series! If you’ve been a RotoViz fan for a while, you may remember a similar series that I put together last year. Well, I’m back again with more NFL prospect analysis this year! Every single week of this college football season, we’ll be diving into the top future NFL studs who just recently improved…...

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The 4 “Perfect Storm” Conditions Are in Place for Zero RB in 2020

If you haven’t been reading him this season, Jack Miller has been on fire. As I get ready to release the 2020 Zero RB Candidates Countdown, I’m often drawn to one of his signature pieces, Recency Bias and Why Zero RB Is Poised to Crush in 2020. It’s a vintage Jack piece, so it’ll challenge your preconceptions, deliver research insights you weren’t expecting, and, in…...

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JuJu Smith-Schuster to finish as the WR1 and Other Bold Predictions for 2020

The season is almost here. The time for speculation is almost over. But not quite. With actual live games starting in just a few weeks, there is still time for hot takes to emerge ahead of the 2020 NFL season. With this in mind, the writers at RotoViz got their thinking caps on to come up with a bold, yet not outlandish, prediction for the…...

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Supercharged Start: Offenses to Target and Fade in the First Month

When analyzing strength of schedule, I prefer to focus on the first four weeks of the season. Vegas win totals and the previous year’s correlation are the strongest early on, as injuries and year-to-year variance often play an increasing role as the season continues. My goal is to target teams and players with easy starts (and fade those with tough starts), increasing their value as…...

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The Exploitable Relationship Between WR Age and Opportunity Is One of the Biggest Edges in Fantasy – The Wrong Read, No. 63

Much of the research that happens in this space suggests our fantasy teams should nearly always be younger than we tend to think. Breakouts and busts both happen earlier in players’ careers than the traditional age curves would lead you to believe. Although it’s true that many of best WRs in the NFL last year were somewhere between 25 and 30 years old,((Only two of…...

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Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have…...

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What Does Evan Engram’s Lisfranc Surgery Mean for His 2020 Outlook?

Evan Engram, the New York Giants’ 25-year-old star tight end, underwent surgical fixation of a Lisfranc fracture of his foot in late December. A Lisfranc injury that requires surgery is a significant injury. It’s a subluxation (partial dislocation) of the usually very stable joints of the mid-foot that are required to run, cut and jump. It may or may not also involve a fracture. Lisfranc…...

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Scott Fish Bowl: #SFBX Projections and Historical Scoring

We are less than two weeks from the kickoff of the 2020 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFBX)! The scoring format is largely unchanged from #SFB8 and includes a points-per-first-down scoring component and a points-per-reception component.   The biggest scoring change for this season is at the quarterback spot. However, for those of you who are new to the Scott Fish Bowl/points per first down (PP1D) formats,…...

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Should Deebo Samuel’s Jones Fracture Move Him to Your Do Not Draft List?

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco’s top returning wide receiver, suffered a Jones fracture of his fifth metatarsal, a bone in his foot, and underwent surgical fixation on June 18, 2020.   Jones Fracture Fixation, Courtesy of Mark Adickes, MD. The obvious question for fantasy football managers is what should we expect from a WR many of us were planning on targeting in our drafts? I’ll just…...

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Running Quarterbacks Are Fun, But Can You Trust Their Pass-Catchers?

Lamar Jackson’s 2019 season gave us the greatest single-season rushing performance by a quarterback in NFL history. Jackson set the NFL record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 1,206 rushing yards and also the record for most carries by a quarterback (176). This resulted in Jackson finishing as the overall QB1, and the league MVP. With that being said, there are certain draft strategies…...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for…...

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Chris Carson’s Hip Fracture and What It Means for His 2020 Outlook

Chris Carson, Seattle’s lead running back, fractured his hip on December 30, 2019, playing against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16. His hip fracture did not require surgery. This means that it was a stable fracture, almost assuredly of the proximal femur. That’s the end of the thigh bone that articulates at the hip, near the ball of that ball and socket joint…. Membership Required...

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The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing…...

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8 Quarterbacks to Target for Predictable Production

The late-round quarterback strategy is the norm today, so I won’t recap it much. In short, choosing to wait at quarterback allows us to take another impact player at a more valuable position. However, this decision comes at a cost. We don’t have the privilege of starting Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes every week. Instead, our goal is to hit on a later-round guy in…...

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Should We Be Worried About Jarvis Landry’s Hip Surgery?

Jarvis Landry’s hip started bothering him during the 2019 preseason training camp. He was held out of much of camp and practiced sparingly throughout the season. He rested it three weeks after the season, trying to avoid surgery, and then played in the Pro Bowl. It was during that game, when he flared it up while just “jogging around” that he realized how much pain…...

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Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....

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The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2020 Rookie Wide Receivers

In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s…...

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Should We Be Worried About Ben Roethlisberger’s Elbow?

Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill…...

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4 Mental Frameworks That Will Change The Way You Think About Fantasy Football

Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus…...

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Can J.K. Dobbins Be a League Winner in a Crowded Baltimore Backfield?

J.K. Dobbins’ price varies greatly among best ball sites. Among the higher stake sites, such as the FFPC and Fanball, he has an ADP of 51 and an ADP of 53, respectively. At sites that offer cheaper contests such as Drafters and Yahoo, Dobbins has an ADP of 70 and an ADP of 107, respectively. This sparks two questions: Why is the gap this large?…...

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