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In-Season Articles

We’re Starting to Get Serious Jamaal Charles Vibes From a Young Star in an Ascending Offense

Shawn Siegele August 3, 2023

Shawn Siegele looks at a young back who appears ready to make the leap to stardom, perhaps even infringing upon that rarefied air that’s usually saved for discussing Jamaal Charles. There’s never been a better season for buying superstar RBs at reasonable prices, and that includes the next wave of backs floundering in what used to be the Dead Zone. We’re only getting eight RBs…...

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How to Build an Instant Superflex Dynasty Contender By Fading QB and TE in the Startup

Monty Phan August 3, 2023

Monty Phan breaks down the key tactics and explains the most important picks in 2023 dynasty startups. Last year, a friend and I did a RotoViz TriFlex Superflex startup league together on FFPC. We won the league. So, of course, because past performance is indicative of future results, we confidently signed up for another (even higher-entry) startup again in July, to try to extend that…...

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The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

Blair Andrews August 2, 2023

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

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The Next Tony Pollard Has Less Backfield Competition and Is Already Blowing Up Camp

Shawn Siegele August 1, 2023

Shawn Siegele breaks down the thesis for one of his favorite undervalued RBs and explains why the early-camp star could be the 2023 Tony Pollard . . . but with even more ceiling. Last year, we had four backs absolutely crush formats from what is traditionally the RB Dead Zone. Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders were pure dead zoners, but two of their compatriots came…...

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Overcoming Inflation and Exploiting the New QB ADP Landscape: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 2

Conor O’Driscoll July 31, 2023

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. In the second installment he details his approach to handling the new QB ADP landscape. Part 1 on how make…...

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The Next Kittle Already Here? Plus, How Perpetual Reloading Put Us All-In on a Top Rookie Sleeper at WR

Shawn Siegele July 28, 2023

Shawn Siegele looks at two young stars already excelling in training camp and lays down the rationale for a Perpetual Reloading approach that starts right from the dynasty startup draft. Bjorn Yang-Vaernet and I are about to embark on an RV TriFlex startup over at the FFPC, and we’ll keep you posted on the developments. Bjorn recently wrote a great piece breaking down the mix…...

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A Must-Draft Player from Each of the First 5 Rounds in FFPC Main Event and Fantasy Pros Drafts

Shawn Siegele July 27, 2023

Shawn Siegele starts his redraft strategy sessions with a look at the best pick in each of the first five rounds of the FFPC Main Event. The best part of fantasy football has arrived. We’ve reached redraft season. In 2023 drafters can win $1 million in both the $2,000 (Main Event) and $350 (Fantasy Pros) levels at the FFPC. You can plot to win the…...

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How to Predict the Future: Why Fantasy Wide Receiver Evaluation Is Easier Than You Think, and Why So Many Get It Wrong

Blair Andrews July 26, 2023

About two years ago I performed a deep dive into some of the advanced wide receiver metrics we had recently added to the site. The advanced metrics from Sports Info Solutions gave us a lot of predictive power and nuance, and helped to explain why some of the longstanding metrics we’ve used for years continue to be among the best for fantasy managers. With now…...

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What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele July 26, 2023

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

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I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Shawn Siegele July 24, 2023

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

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FFPC SuperFlex Best Ball: Outdueling Shawn and Blair with Insights from the Workshops and RCE

Erik Hove July 24, 2023

Erik Hove explains why a unique approach to FFPC Superflex tournaments provides a winning edge that can’t be achieved through normal draft stuctures. Underdog has the badge brigade. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Banana Stand live streams with Pete Overzet take it to the next level with fear-inducing WR avalanches. But nothing strikes fear in an RV-pilled, FFPC drafter like seeing a Blair Andrews/Shawn Siegele co-managed…...

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How to Turn Elite-But-Lean WR Builds Into Deadly Tournament Rosters

Shawn Siegele July 21, 2023

Shawn Siegele recommends aggressive draft selections to execute a trendy Underdog BBMIV draft plan that’s perfect for 2023. In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, I’m using the Roster Construction Explorer and Advance Rate Explorer to create evidence-based draft plans to handle any slot and room. The 2023 Underdog Workshop Will the Best-Parts Plan allow you to blend dominant tactics from 2021 and 2022? The evidence for…...

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Are NFL Running Backs Underpaid? Unraveling True Value at a Controversial Position

Matt Spencer July 20, 2023

Fantasy football discussions are often marred by misinformation and skewed comparisons. A recent viral tweet comparing the average salaries of NFL kickers to those of running backs is a prime example. Can someone please explain this? pic.twitter.com/e9XgywpOF9 — Dez Bryant (@DezBryant) July 18, 2023 This tweet exploded as part of the current discourse over a potential NFL running back holdout. It was shared by seemingly…...

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Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele July 19, 2023

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

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Late-Round Tight End Never Works — But It Might Work for Us: 7 Tight Ends in the Double-Digit Rounds to Help You Lean Into the WR Avalanche

Blair Andrews July 18, 2023

Elite-tight-end builds — or even double-elite-TE builds — have long been a staple of winning roster construction principles at RotoViz. Even in Shawn Siegele’s foundational Zero-RB article, he mentions that his preferred construction in the first five rounds includes four WRs and a TE. Looking back at the win rates for elite TE builds shows that beginning your draft with a top TE provides a…...

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Is All Stacking Beneficial? The Theory and Data on Late Stacks and Back Stacking in Best Ball

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet July 17, 2023

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet uses the RotoViz Best Ball Tools to explore whether drafters should be late stacking and back stacking in Underdog best ball tournaments Best ball has come a long way since Underdog arrived on the scene three years ago. In particular, what drafters consider “obvious” strategies today were debated in previous summers. A few of these strategies are: Getting ADP closing value Week 17…...

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Combining Double-Anchor RB, WR Storm Tactics, ADP Value, and Tournament Upside in Best Ball Mania IV

Shawn Siegele July 12, 2023

Shawn Siegele breaks down all 18 picks from a Best Ball Mania IV draft on a team that balances ADP value, overall roster construction, and correlation plays. In the previous Underdog Workshop, we looked at how to blend league-winning traits from 2021 and 2022 while capitalizing on the unique ADP environment of 2023. That team featured a double-anchor at RB but combined upside WRs with…...

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A Contrarian Path to Supercharged Elite TE Builds: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 1

Conor O’Driscoll July 10, 2023

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. First up, how should we approach the tight end position? Last year I wrote a short series about the FFPC…...

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Is the QB Window Still Viable? Exploring the Impact of Quarterback Breakouts and Injuries

Blair Andrews July 8, 2023

Earlier this offseason, Michael Dubner suggested that elite quarterbacks can carry teams to the playoffs despite the elevated cost. Shawn Siegele has found a number of late options with breakout potential. Both rightly pointed out that the QB window did not provide the returns in 2022 that we’ve come to expect. Yet, in many ways, the death of the QB window has been greatly exaggerated…....

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My Favorite Way to Beat the Underdog Avalanche Mixes Fun, Firepower, Safety, and Upside

Shawn Siegele July 7, 2023

Shawn Siegele examines a Best Ball Banana Stand draft with Peter Overzet and asks whether we can use the pressure from a WR Avalanche draft to help us think about tactics that bridge the 2021 and 2022 seasons in Underdog. Pete and I draft a team in BBM4 every Wednesday morning, and these drafts tend to be extremely WR heavy. That creates an interesting mix…...

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