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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Next DeVonta Smith Could Be the Perfect Way to Beat 2023’s WR Dead Zone

Shawn Siegele dives deep into the evidence and breaks out the full RotoViz toolkit to help you find a receiver who profiles as the 2023 version of DeVonta Smith. In Part 1 of this series, I framed the project this way: You only have so many early-round selections. Players on the same NFL team are frequently dealing with the same team-level risks. That leads to…...

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How to Use the Win the Flex and Range of Outcomes Tools to Find Undervalued Wide Receivers

RotoViz was a pioneer of the idea of structural drafting, often in tandem with the idea that the flex wins championships and that fantasy football drafts are a race to fill the flex. But we’ve always paired structural drafting with evidence-based player-level research. Success in fantasy is not as simple as drafting the right number of RBs or drafting a QB in the right round,…...

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Roster Constructions That Work in the FFPC: Taking Advantage of Wide Receiver Values in Actual Drafts

Finding elite WR talents even just a few rounds later in FFPC fundamentally changes how we’re able to build our teams. After winning the FFPC’s $125 Best Ball tournament in 2021, Conor O’Driscoll used the RV Roster Construction Explorer to show just how important combining winning structures is in that particular format. It is possible to get six elite WRs in BBMIV. But it often…...

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Best Ball Workshop: Drafters Are Still Giving You a Dominant QB Approach in the FFPC SF Tournament

Shawn Siegele examines quarterback tactics in the FFPC Superflex tournament and explains why a tournament-winning approach is still alive and well. The FFPC Best Ball Superflex tournament has always been one of my favorite contests to participate in and write about in the workshop. The most fun I had writing a piece last year may have been How the RotoViz Tools Fueled a Team to…...

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Take Shelter from the Wide Receiver Avalanche: Finding WR Value in FFPC Drafts

RotoViz has long been synonymous with Zero RB. But never before this season has it been tougher to hit Shawn Siegele’s preferred benchmark: to draft six wide receivers with realistic top-15 upside. The WR rush in Underdog’s BBMIV contest is so pronounced that drafters are passing on three-down running backs to stay ahead of the avalanche. Just a few years ago Rachaad White would have…...

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The Late Rounds Are a Black Hole at WR, But These 5 Deep Options Could Be Tournament Winners

Does the Wide Receiver Avalanche have you on the defensive in summer best ball drafts? Shawn Siegele breaks down his favorite deep sleeper options at receiver. The 2023 fantasy landscape features brutally WR-heavy tournament drafts. Those drafts become even more aggressive at WR when you look at the toughest rooms. Check out an OT listener league draft or a Best Ball Banana Stand contest. In…...

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Two Arbitrage Options For Trendy Early Round Wide Receivers On Underdog

In 2023 wide receivers are going earlier than ever before. This, paired with elite quarterbacks going earlier than ever has presented a unique set of challenges for drafters this season. It’s common for 15 or more WRs to go in the first two rounds of drafts. The WRs in the first two rounds are rock solid, but immediately after that, we can poke holes in…...

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Do Fantasy’s Best Sleepers and Biggest Reaches (at Both RB and WR) Reside on the Same NFL Team?

Could 2022’s top WR breakout candidate and the best Zero RB option come from the same team? Shawn Siegele debates the best way to play a controversial offense. When RotoViz subscribers talk about crafting a roster, they’re usually thinking about a mix of structural drafting at the squad level and contingency-based drafting at the player level. They’re building their rosters out from back to front…...

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Will Ty Chandler and DeWayne McBride Emerge as Zero RB Stars After Dalvin Cook’s Release?

Shawn Siegele examines the fantasy fallout from Dalvin Cook’s release and asks whether Ty Chandler or DeWayne McBride could become the 2023 league winner as Alexander Mattison disappoints. It’s been an open secret that the Minnesota Vikings would move on from Cook this summer. The former star generated 101.5 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) across the 2019 and 2020 seasons, but that dropped into the…...

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Underdog Workshop: How to Combine Hyperfragile RB and Elite QB for a Contrarian Juggernaut

Shawn Siegele looks at how to maximize the upside of an Elite QB + Hyperfragile RB squad in today’s edition of the Underdog Workshop. In the Workshop’s previous lesson, we discovered that conditions were perfect for Elite QB and Hyperfragile RB in 2023. Unless we experience another sea change in fantasy, the general framework of best ball combined with long-term scoring trends will always dictate…...

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2 Upcoming Stars Are Ready to Take Over the Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – Running Back Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm as not…...

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A Broken Rules Build: Can We Pair Elite QB With a Hyperfragile Approach at RB?

In his second lesson of the 2023 Underdog Workshop, Shawn Siegele proposes a combination of Elite QB and Hyperfragile RB. He starts by pulling up the Underdog Advance Rate Explorer for a look at the intersection of stacking, price, and points added as it relates to QB value.  Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve been discussing Elite QB after Michael Dubner got the ball rolling…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round of Early Underdog Drafts: Part 2 – The Correlation Picks

Best Ball Mania IV is in full swing, and player ADPs are becoming more rigid every day as drafters anchor to the number next to a player’s name. This situation gives savvy drafters an advantage though, as it makes it much easier to plan a draft round-by-round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round of Early Underdog Drafts: Part 1 – The Foundation Picks

Best Ball Mania IV is in full swing, and player ADPs are becoming more rigid every day as drafters anchor to the number next to a player’s name. This situation gives savvy drafters an advantage though, as it makes it much easier to plan a draft round-by-round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we…...

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Underdog Workshop 2023: The 5 Components of Supercharged Elite QB Builds

In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, Shawn Siegele provides a series of lessons based on insights from the RotoViz tools and his own drafts. Today he discusses five complementary tactics for building an Elite QB roster with the upside to win $3 million. Star quarterbacks dominated in 2022, giving rise to a significant jump in 2023 prices. As Michael Dubner expertly breaks down in Should We…...

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The Data-Driven Approach to the Perfect Dynasty Startup Draft

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet looks at what positions to prioritize in a dynasty startup draft in order to create a perennial contender. The completion of the NFL Draft and most dynasty rookie drafts signals the start of the next dynasty season. Although the emergence of best ball has quenched some of the desire to draft/be involved with football throughout the entire summer, dynasty fantasy football still feels…...

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Stacking with Humility: The Underdog Advance Rate Explorer and Price-Sensitive Tournament Strategies

With the release of the 2023 NFL schedule, tournament drafters are scrambling to take advantage of Week 17 matchups. The prevailing wisdom in fantasy circles over the past several years has been to build best ball tourney rosters like Week 17 DFS plays. It’s easy to see why. In Underdog’s Best Ball Mania III contest last year, winning your individual league in Weeks 1-14 secured…...

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Should We Chase Quarterbacks Up Draft Boards Or Has Elite QB Jumped The Shark?

Starting to draft best ball teams on Underdog? You will be shocked by the sticker price of the Elite QBs. Michael Dubner uses an evidence-based approach to answer the question: “Should We Chase Quarterbacks Up Draft Boards Or Has Elite QB Jumped The Shark?” In peer-to-peer games, the edges are always changing. What were once innovative and ground-breaking edges soon become the ante as our…...

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These 2 Prospects Are Poised to Join the Elite Ranks in the NFL: The Next Big Thing – Quarterback Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year: fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty leagues, devy leagues (where you can roster college players but you do not accrue any points until the player enters the NFL), or C2C leagues (where you have both an NFL and College roster running simultaneously…...

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Dynasty Workshop: 6 Teams, 77 Picks, 18 Trades – A RotoViz Triflex Rookie Draft Spectacular

Shawn Siegele breaks down all six of his RotoViz TriFlex rookie drafts, examining the execution of his pre-draft plan through 77 picks and 18 trades. The RotoViz TriFlex leagues over at the FFPC are entering their third season. The format has been a big hit, as it reflects starting lineup requirements that have become industry favorites: 1-QB, 1-SF, 2-RB, 3-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex. With the advent…...

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