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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

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Caleb Williams and Drake Maye Are on Diverging Paths, But Is Maye’s Landing Spot As Bad as We Think?

Caleb Williams and Drake Maye have been inextricably linked for years, set on a collision course at the top of this 2024 draft class almost since setting sail out of high school. Both were Top 4 QB recruits in 2021 according to 247. The two have been brought up together ad nauseam since 2022, usually as the anticipated first and second pick in the 2024…...

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Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

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Perpetual Reloading and the Permanent Championship Window: 2024 Rookie Draft Edition

Shawn Siegele breaks down all seven of his FFPC rookie drafts in the RotoViz TriFlex format. He provides his favorite options in all rounds and explains how to create blockbuster deals that help you and your trade partner win (while the other 10 managers lose).  Our dynasty approach is built on two intertwined ideas: Perpetual Reloading and the Permanent Championship Window. We use one to…...

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Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

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Malik Nabers Isn’t the First Wide Receiver Selected in 2024 Rookie Drafts, But Could He Be the Dynasty WR1 Come 2025?

In most years Malik Nabers would have been the clear-cut WR1 in rookie drafts, while also being in contention for the overall 1.01. But 2024 is definitely not most years. Sporting the deepest quarterback class in recent memory, in addition to a wide receiver group that rivals the fabled class of 2014, the value that can be had in the first round of Superflex rookie…...

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Pygmalion, Cinderella, and J.J. McCarthy: The Transformative Nature of Meeting the Right People at the Right Time

J.J. McCarthy, the National Championship-winning QB of the Michigan Wolverines, wasn’t tasked with much passing volume in the Jim Harbaugh system but finished with a 27-1 record in two seasons as a starter, his only loss coming in the 2022 semifinals against TCU. In large part due to a lack of counting stats, McCarthy started the draft process as a second-tier prospect in the minds…...

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Brian Thomas Jr.’s Final Season Was His Only Good Season, But It Was Spectacular: How Does He Fit Into a Crowded Jacksonville Offense?

After committing to LSU ranked as a four-star recruit and 68th overall player (WR9) in the 2021 draft class according to 24/7 sports’ high school rankings, it took Brian Thomas Jr. until his junior season to fully deliver on the promise he showed coming out of high school. But when he did break out, Thomas didn’t hold back. In 2023, Thomas led all of college…...

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Top 50 Rookies: How to Play Rookie Drafts with Tiers, Tradeback Options, and Comfort Levels for Each Pick

Shawn Siegele sets you up for dynasty rookie drafts in the FFPC and across the fantasy football landscape with a look at his current top-50 rookies, including upside scenarios, trade-back options, and comfort levels for each pick. After posting live updates to my top-50 rookies throughout draft weekend, this exercise takes on the project from a slightly different angle. We’ll explore 2024 dynasty values through…...

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Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum

Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...

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On a Scale of Mecole Hardman to Tyreek Hill, How Good Can Xavier Worthy be in Kansas City?

After being heralded as the best true-freshman WR of all time, we have had to wait two long years to find out which NFL city Xavier Worthy would call home. Although Worthy’s projected draft capital has fluctuated since his historic freshman season, he saw his stock rise substantially after breaking the NFL combine record in the forty-yard dash. With the trauma of the Bengals’ infamous…...

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So You’re Telling Me There’s a Chance: 7 UDFA Running Backs to Watch in 2024

The running back position continues to be undervalued in the real-life draft. It’s even more challenging for undrafted RBs to make an impact in their rookie seasons. Since 2014, we’ve only had 14 RBs (6.5%) drafted in the first round out of 217 players. For context, 147 of the 217 running backs went on Day 3 since 2014. Over two-thirds of RBs (67.7%) went in…...

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Pittsburgh Starts 2 Rookies and Other Offensive Line Shakeups Following the NFL Draft

Hitting offensive line draft picks is the best thing you can do for the trenches on that side of the ball. It’s still useful for fantasy to evaluate how much personnel turnover each team will work through up front, and how rookies fit in. I’ve detailed the correlation between offensive line continuity and production metrics over the past 10 years, six of those at RotoViz…....

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Marvin Harrison Jr. Lands in Arizona: What the Landing Spot Means for the Pre-Draft Dynasty WR1

Marvin Harrison Jr. entered this weekend as the dynasty rookie WR1 by popular opinion and exited the weekend in the same state. Harrison is the son of a Hall of Famer, a former 4-Star recruit out of the vaunted St. Joseph’s prep in North Philadelphia, and a bona fide collegiate stud with two straight seasons of over 1,200 receiving yards and 14 TDs. On Thursday…...

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Shawn Siegele’s Updated Top 36 Rookie Rankings Through Reality Round 4

Shawn Siegele continues to adjust his rookie rankings after Day 2 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Wow, Day 2 was just what it always is: thrilling, weird, heartbreaking, and more than a little bit odd when it comes to the players actually coveted by NFL teams. It’s also long. Ben Gretch and I streamed for almost five hours, covering the entire event for a special…...

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NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update

Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...

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NFL Draft 2024: Day 2 Live Landing Spot Reactions

Blair Andrews and Kevin Szafraniec are bringing you live landing spot reactions during Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Stay tuned to this space for instant reactions, the fantasy implications, and valuation shifts for both the rookies and the veterans. Pick 33 – Keon Coleman, Buffalo Bills Keon Coleman landing with the Bills at pick 33 is about as good as it can get for…...

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NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

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2024 NFL Draft: Top 50 Rookie Rankings – Live Day 1 Updates

Shawn Siegele adjusts his top-50 rookie rankings live during Day 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft. You can check out the pre-draft version of this piece for even more detail and radio embeds (including trade-value agnostic rankings for the Big 6), but I’m now moving to the in-draft version for a little bit cleaner experience with the live updates. I’ll have risers in green and…...

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The 2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Pre-Draft Top 50

Shawn Siegele ranks his top-50 rookie prospects as we reach Day 1 of the NFL. This exercise helps provide a bit of a baseline before all of the festivities over the next three days. If you liked the write-ups in the 2024 Rookie Guide, I’m going to build them out the next step today, diving deeper into the SIS stats and adding insight from the…...

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