The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers.
I’m updating this with our post-draft score in real time during the NFL draft. The post-draft model makes a number of previously important metrics obsolete. Raw final season numbers are not important, and neither is speed. Career numbers take precedence, and final college age still adds signal. The post-draft stars are generally the names you would expect: Saquon Barkley (100), Leonard Fournette (97), Christian McCaffrey (97), Todd Gurley (96), and Ezekiel Elliott (95).
Updated blurbs are in blue. Players whose score rose after the draft are now indicated with green headings, whereas those who fell are in red.
Follow along as Shawn updates his Dynasty Superflex Mock Draft Extravaganza in real time, while Kevin updates his landing spot analysis with instant reactions.