We’re at the point where most know the sleepers, breakouts, and players to avoid. There’s nothing like the extra hype from preseason games for Isaiah Likely, Khalil Shakir, Romeo Doubs, or [insert player name here]. But how do we know whether the hype is getting out of control, or whether these young upstarts should replace an aging veteran in our draft plans? A good and simple exercise that can help here is to compare ADP to rankings. In this article, I’ll compare the FFPC ADP versus the RotoViz rankings at running back. Today let’s focus on four backs ranked much higher or lower than the ADP.
RotoViz Ranks – Two Backs With Questions
Leonard Fournette
The narrative for Leonard Fournette went from almost cut in late 2020 to league-winner in 2021 to overweight heading into 2022. Fournette’s FFPC ADP ranges from a borderline first-round to early or middle second-round selection. He garnered the volume last year with the 11th-most opportunities, third-most targets, and sixth-best target share. Fournette finished second with 94 high-value touches behind Austin Ekeler, translating into the fifth-highest EP/G at 17. He posted the most efficient season of his career with 1.2 FPOE/G (No. 28), with the previous career-high at 0.7 FPOE/G (No. 24) in his 2017 rookie season.
