Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 6 – Backups Make Noise While Stars Prepare for a Triumphant Return
Image Credit: Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Alexander Mattison.

Blair Andrews suggests some trade offers, looks forward to Christian McCaffrey’s return, and asks whether D’Andre Swift might already be a top-five NFL RB.

Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades.

The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of the focus is on how RBs score their points. We emphasize expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) to better understand each player’s fantasy volume. Being able to conceptualize the relationship between touches and fantasy points is the most important element of making good RB decisions, whether that’s start/sit or waiver pickups.

This year we’ll also be featuring metrics from the Advanced Stats Explorer, including elements like broken tackles, yards after contact, evasion percentage, stuff rate, and more. We’ll also look at the new Stealing Signals tool for metrics such as high-value touches and green-zone carries, stats that translate directly into high expected point totals and big fantasy days.

Check out Shawn Siegele’s companion piece on the AFC.

NFC Week 5 – RB Expected Points

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

The Raiders Might Not Find Any Deals This Black Friday, But Everyone Is Thankful for Brock Bowers: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Are We About to Get an Epic Performance from Jahmyr Gibbs? The Wrong Read, Week 12

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Can Cleveland Throw in the Weather? The Wrong Read, Week 12 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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The Raiders Might Not Find Any Deals This Black Friday, But Everyone Is Thankful for Brock Bowers: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Are We About to Get an Epic Performance from Jahmyr Gibbs? The Wrong Read, Week 12

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Can Cleveland Throw in the Weather? The Wrong Read, Week 12 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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