Shawn Siegele breaks down the wildly differing efficiency numbers for Nick Chubb and Derrick Henry, looks at some mildly encouraging trends for Jonathan Taylor and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and wonders what is going on with Austin Ekeler’s receiving workload.
Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades.
The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of the focus is on how RBs score their points. We emphasize expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) to better understand each player’s fantasy volume. Being able to conceptualize the relationship between touches and fantasy points is the most important element of making good RB decisions, whether that’s start/sit or waiver pickups.
This year I’ll also be featuring metrics from the Advanced Stats Explorer, including elements like broken tackles, yards after contact, evasion percentage, stuff rate, and more.
