After a mini-vacation, we’re back with the Valspar Championship this week. The track, as always, is the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, Florida. It’s a long-ish par 71 coming in at 7,340 yards. That doesn’t mean that it’s bombs away, though, as many of the holes force a club less than driver off the tee. There are nine holes with water in play and 74 bunkers that the field must contend with. The greens are TifEagle Bermudagrass with a little bit of overseeded poa. If you’re hardcore into the putting splits, it’s definitely worth looking for good Bermuda putters.[1]
Checking the Chalk
Patrick Reed ($10,300) and Paul Casey ($10,000) are both getting quite a bit of buzz in the early portion of the week. If we’re going to get any sort of an ownership discount on the two golfers at the top, I’d gladly take it. Dustin Johnson ($11,200) and Justin Thomas ($11,500) are at the top of the PRK Score and perfect lineup percentages. I have Thomas as 0.3 strokes better per round than anyone else in the field. Unless his ownership spikes, he’ll be a priority in my builds this weekend.
Perfect Lineup Percentages - Valspar Championship
Thomas is leaps and bounds ahead of the field in perfect lineup percentage. With Casey coming in with the lowest percentage here and one of the highest ownership percentages, he makes for an enticing fade in DFS.
Corey Conners ($9,600) has the potential to be the most owned golfer in the field. He also has one of the best perfect lineup percentages in the price range. Dropping down to Charley Hoffman ($8,600) or playing Sungjae Im ($9,200) seem like the price pivots if you’re looking to fade Conners.
Dropping down in salary shows how difficult things can get in this field. Golfers under $8,000 that popped in this:
- Sam Burns ($7,900)
- Kevin Streelman ($7,800)
- Cameron Davis ($7,500)
Footnotes
| ↑1 | I’m not deep into the weeds there, no pun intended, but I know some are. |
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