Welcome to the game environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the buy low report, the strength in numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of DFS analysis we provide.
Week 14 Review
Targets
Packers @ Lions
Vikings @ Buccaneers
Titans @ Jaguars
Low-owned Game Stack
Falcons @ Chargers, Steelers @ Bills
The Packers and Titans games were exactly what we hoped for, with top fantasy options having excellent days, outside of Aaron Jones. The Vikings-Buccaneers game disappointed, in part to Dan Bailey missing multiple field goals and extra points. With a wider margin than it should have been, the Buccaneers shifted to more of a run-heavy attack late. The Falcons-Chargers game was much lower scoring than anticipated, despite each teams’ pass-centric approaches. Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs thrived despite the tough matchup, but the Steelers’ lack of a running game and continuing drop issues kept this game in check.
Fades
Cowboys @ Bengals
Patriots @ Rams
Ravens @ Browns
The first of the two fade matchups went reasonably well, with the Patriots only scoring three points and the Bengals struggling throughout the game. However, the Ravens and Browns absolutely shattered the total, rushing for eight consecutive touchdowns between them. Lamar Jackson has had a disappointing fantasy year, but this game serves as a reminder of his monstrous upside. On to week 15 and the fantasy semifinals.
The Game Environment – Week 15
Week 15 average total: 47.6 points
Week 14 average total: 47.5 points
Week 13 average total: 47.2 points
Week 12 average total: 48.8 points
Week 11 average total: 49.0 points
Week 10 average total: 49.2 points
Week 9 average total: 48.6 points
Week 8 average total: 47.8 points
Week 7 average total: 50.2 points
Week 6 average total: 50.5 points
Week 5 average total: 50.4 points
Week 4 average total: 49.7 points
Week 3 average total: 47.5 points
Week 2 average total: 46 points
Week 15 Context:
Week 15 is very similar to week 14, with multiple games to target and some very clear fades.
