This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read more at Sharp Football Analysis.
Falcons at Chargers
| Atlanta | Rank | @ | LA Chargers | Rank |
| -2.5 | Spread | 2.5 | ||
| 26.25 | Implied Total | 23.75 | ||
| 25.9 | 13 | Points/Gm | 23.1 | 22 |
| 25.2 | 17 | Points All./Gm | 28.8 | 27 |
| 68.8 | 3 | Plays/Gm | 72.5 | 1 |
| 63.9 | 14 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.7 | 6 |
| 39.64% | 20 | Rush% | 40.92% | 18 |
| 60.36% | 13 | Pass% | 59.08% | 15 |
| 38.20% | 4 | Opp. Rush % | 43.38% | 20 |
| 61.80% | 29 | Opp. Pass % | 56.62% | 13 |
- Under Anthony Lynn, the Chargers are 9-18-1 against the spread at home (32.1%), second to last in the league.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in six straight games, the longest streak in the league.
- The Chargers’ 3.6 yards per play last week was a season low.
- The Chargers’ four lowest games in yards per play have come in each of the past four weeks, with their 4.5 yards per play over that span ahead of only the Bengals (4.0).
- Over that same span, Justin Herbert has a 54.8% completion rate, 1.6% touchdown rate and 6.8 Y/A under pressure as opposed to a 59.0% and 8.4% rates with 7.5 Y/A under pressure prior.
- Just 47.6% of the Atlanta scoring plays have been touchdowns, 31st in the league.
- Just 33.8% of the Atlanta receiving yardage has come after the catch, the lowest rate in the league. League average is 45.8%.
