This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis.
Falcons @ Cowboys
| Atlanta | Rank | @ | Dallas | Rank |
| 5 | Spread | -5 | ||
| 23.75 | Implied Total | 28.75 | ||
| 25.0 | 14 | Points/Gm | 17.0 | 23 |
| 38.0 | 31 | Points All./Gm | 20.0 | 14 |
| 77.0 | 4 | Plays/Gm | 69.0 | 11 |
| 58.0 | 7 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 72.0 | 26 |
| 27.3% | 31 | Rush% | 39.1% | 25 |
| 72.7% | 2 | Pass% | 60.9% | 8 |
| 34.5% | 6 | Opp. Rush % | 55.6% | 31 |
| 65.5% | 27 | Opp. Pass % | 44.4% | 2 |
- Dak Prescott was under pressure on 42.2% of his dropbacks in Week 1 (second-highest). Prescott was under pressure on 31.9% of his dropbacks in 2019 (28th).
- Dallas converted just 3 of 13 (23.1%) third downs in Week 1, 31st in the league.
- In 2019, Dallas led the league with a 47.7% conversion rate on third down.
- 85.8% of the Atlanta offensive yardage came via passing in Week 1 (the highest rate in the league) after leading the league in the same category in 2019 (77.6%).
- Atlanta was the only team in the league without a fourth-quarter rushing attempt in Week 1.
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Dak Prescott (TRUST)
Prescott started hot last week, completing 15 of 18 passes for 187 yards (10.4 Y/A) with a touchdown in the first half before going 10 of 21 for 79 yards (3.8 Y/A) in the second half. With La’El Collins out and Cameron Erving lost in the game, the Rams consistently got to Prescott. With that pressure, Prescott’s aDOT of 6.6 yards was well below the 9.8-yard depth of target he had in 2019. Week 2 is a prime bounce-back spot against a Falcons defense that was shredded at home in Week 1 by Russell Wilson, forcing just four incompletions and allowing 0.83 passing points per attempt (30th).
Matt Ryan (TRUST)
Ryan is set up against another top-shelf quarterback that his defense should have trouble stopping, giving him another inline to stacking production. Ryan dropped back a league-high 56 times in Week 1 and did not waste his volume, passing for a league-high 450 yards. In their opener with new defensive coordinator Mike Nolan, there were times the Dallas defense was completely lost before adjusting and making some plays in the second half. But overall, Dallas allowed a league-high 13.8 yards per completion.
