We are less than one month from the start of the NFL season, which means best ball draft season is coming to a close. Now is the time to finish strong, and what better way to do that than with the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer?
The best ball win rate explorer is one of the newest tools by Mike Beers here at RotoViz and allows us to explore several facets within the best ball format.
One of my favorite items in the best ball win rate explorer is the Positional Heat Map, which shows how win rates increase/decrease over individual rounds, and when taking a position in a given round can add increase/decrease your win rate.
This article will be one of four, where I take a position-by-position look at the heat map, focusing primarily on the pools of green zones where we see win rates take the biggest jumps. With that information, I will then pinpoint a particular player within each round who we should be targeting in order to obtain the greatest upside.
You can checkout the other articles in this series below.
Going Green With the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer: 3 RBs to Target in the RB Window in BestBall 10s
Going Green With the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer: 3 WRs to Target in the WR Window in BestBall10s
Without further ado, let’s take a look at when and how we should be tackling the quarterback position during the final weeks of draft season.
Be an Expert, Not a Novice
Back in February, Shawn Siegele published the first article of his best ball workshop titled Go From Novice to Expert With the Best Ball Workshop – Lesson 1 Shows You How to Boost Your Win Rate With a Rare QB Hack.
In the article, Shawn points out the importance of waiting until at least Round 6 to take your QB1, but also not waiting any later than Round 12 to take your QB2. He then mentions that those who drafted their QB2 by Round 12 held a win rate advantage of 9.7% to 7.7%.
As you would expect, this information aligns perfectly with our QB heat map.