The Tour is turning its attention, once again, to Bay Hill Club and Lodge for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. If you want a more in-depth look at the statistical breakdown of the course, check out last year’s course preview. Here’s a look at the field shakes out in Expected Birdies.
Expected Birdies - Arnold Palmer Invitational
| Name | Salary | BOB Score |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 11800 | 100 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 7700 | 98 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 10600 | 95 |
| Collin Morikawa | 8400 | 94 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 11000 | 92 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 10400 | 92 |
| Brooks Koepka | 9200 | 92 |
| Maverick McNealy | 7400 | 92 |
| Adam Scott | 9700 | 91 |
| Sungjae Im | 9500 | 91 |
| Jason Day | 9100 | 90 |
| Sebastian Munoz | 6900 | 90 |
| Viktor Hovland | 8000 | 89 |
| Justin Rose | 9000 | 89 |
| Doc Redman | 6300 | 89 |
| Xander Schauffele | 10000 | 88 |
| Tony Finau | 8900 | 88 |
| Wyndham Clark | 7700 | 88 |
| Rickie Fowler | 9300 | 87 |
| Denny McCarthy | 6500 | 87 |
| Steve Stricker | 6100 | 86 |
| Patrick Reed | 9400 | 85 |
| Harry Higgs | 6700 | 85 |
| J.T. Poston | 7600 | 85 |
| Bubba Watson | 8300 | 85 |
| Sam Ryder | 6400 | 85 |
| Billy Horschel | 8000 | 84 |
| Abraham Ancer | 7800 | 84 |
| Lanto Griffin | 6800 | 84 |
| Henrik Stenson | 8800 | 83 |
| Vaughn Taylor | 7200 | 83 |
| Scott Piercy | 7300 | 83 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 6700 | 83 |
| Ryan Moore | 7400 | 83 |
| Kevin Na | 7300 | 83 |
| Phil Mickelson | 7900 | 83 |
| Joel Dahmen | 7300 | 82 |
| Marc Leishman | 8600 | 82 |
| Harris English | 7400 | 82 |
| Lee Westwood | 8200 | 82 |
| Joaquin Niemann | 7500 | 82 |
| Jason Kokrak | 7200 | 82 |
| Cameron Champ | 6900 | 82 |
| Nick Taylor | 6700 | 81 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 8100 | 81 |
| Matthew NeSmith | 6800 | 81 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 7100 | 81 |
| Byeong Hun An | 8700 | 81 |
| Andrew Putnam | 6700 | 81 |
| Talor Gooch | 7000 | 81 |
| Tom Hoge | 7000 | 81 |
| Nate Lashley | 6400 | 81 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 7500 | 81 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 7100 | 81 |
| Harold Varner III | 7100 | 81 |
| Corey Conners | 6900 | 81 |
| J.B. Holmes | 7400 | 81 |
| Keith Mitchell | 6600 | 81 |
| Bud Cauley | 7400 | 80 |
| Kevin Streelman | 7000 | 80 |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | 7600 | 80 |
| Charles Howell III | 7200 | 80 |
| Lucas Glover | 7300 | 80 |
| Stewart Cink | 6400 | 80 |
| Sam Burns | 6600 | 80 |
| Keegan Bradley | 7000 | 80 |
| Charley Hoffman | 6500 | 80 |
| Hank Lebioda | 6000 | 80 |
| Ian Poulter | 7600 | 79 |
| Brian Harman | 7000 | 79 |
| Max Homa | 7900 | 79 |
| Matt Jones | 6700 | 79 |
| Kevin Tway | 6200 | 79 |
| Pat Perez | 6400 | 79 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 6600 | 79 |
| Zach Johnson | 6600 | 79 |
| Beau Hossler | 6600 | 79 |
| Danny Lee | 6500 | 79 |
| Jimmy Walker | 6400 | 79 |
| Kevin Kisner | 7800 | 78 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 8500 | 78 |
| Henrik Norlander | 6400 | 78 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 6500 | 78 |
| Kevin Chappell | 6200 | 78 |
| Robby Shelton | 6300 | 78 |
| Xinjun ZHANG | 6200 | 77 |
| Russell Knox | 7200 | 77 |
| Matthew Wolff | 7100 | 77 |
| Troy Merritt | 6200 | 77 |
| Brendan Steele | 7500 | 77 |
| Matt Every | 6300 | 77 |
| Mark Hubbard | 6500 | 76 |
| Adam Long | 6700 | 76 |
| Graeme McDowell | 6900 | 76 |
| Francesco Molinari | 7200 | 76 |
| Brian Stuard | 6500 | 75 |
| Scott Harrington | 6000 | 75 |
| Danny Willett | 6800 | 74 |
| Tyler Duncan | 6300 | 74 |
| Sung Kang | 6800 | 74 |
| Anirban Lahiri | 6100 | 74 |
| Sam Saunders | 6200 | 74 |
| Scott Brown | 6300 | 73 |
| Si Woo Kim | 6200 | 73 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 6100 | 72 |
| Brendon Todd | 6900 | 71 |
| Brian Gay | 6200 | 71 |
| Zac Blair | 6100 | 71 |
| Padraig Harrington | 6100 | 71 |
| Vijay Singh | 6000 | 71 |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 6100 | 70 |
| Alex Noren | 7300 | 70 |
| Davis Love III | 6100 | 70 |
| Jim Herman | 6000 | 68 |
| Jazz Janewattananond | 6600 | 66 |
| Matt Wallace | 6800 | 21 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 7100 | 15 |
| Robert Gamez | 6000 | 4 |
| Chun An Yu | 6300 | 0 |
| Brandon Matthews | 6000 | 0 |
| Rod Perry | 6000 | 0 |
Standouts
Rory McIlroy ($11,800) continues to destroy everything in his path. He’s 0.8 strokes per round clear of the field according to the Raw Power Ranking Score. McIlroy has the second-best Expected Birdies score, too, as the cherry on the top.
Collin Morikawa ($8,400) and Scottie Scheffler ($7,700) both seem a bit underpriced relative to their ceiling. Morikawa comes in with his made-cut streak intact. He’s made 21 starts on tour since the start of 2018 with a win, a runner-up and four other finishes inside of the top 10. Scheffler opened the year with some strong finishes before missing a couple of cuts in a row. His last two finishes have wound up in the top 30 and he seems to be trending back in the right direction.
Let this serve as your weekly reminder that Maverick McNealy ($7,400) should be in consideration until further notice. He’s climbing the PRK each and every week and continues to show upside. McNealy is up to 11 straight cuts now, with a T11 last week at a difficult track.
