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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

5 Cheap Rookie Wide Receivers Who Are Going To Explode in the Fantasy Playoffs

Scoring the most fantasy points in the fantasy playoffs seems obvious and straightforward, yet it can be tempting to get Week 1 brain with the NFL season rapidly approaching. While the 14-week fantasy football regular season accounts for 82% of the games played, all weeks are not created equal, as Weeks 16 and 17 matter more than the first 14 weeks combined. Drafting rosters with…...

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Range of Outcomes Projections: Overlooked WRs Presenting Tremendous Upside at ADP

Dave Caban uses his detailed projections process to visualize ranges of outcomes for the top 72 wide receivers, factoring in shifts in market shares and team play volumes. Over the past three months, I’ve dedicated significant time to working on the RotoViz 2024 Fantasy Football Player Projections. This year, I introduced a new element by analyzing how potential shifts in market share and team play volume…...

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Searching for Similarities Between the 2021 Seahawks and 2022 Buccaneers Reveals 1 Offense That Could Outperform Expectations in 2024 (And 2 Other Teams to Keep an Eye On)

It is often said that quarterback is the most important position in all of sports. A statement like that makes it not all that surprising when the perception of an offense changes following the move from a potential Hall-of-Fame QB to an inconsistent journeyman. In the past two seasons we have seen two situations where the departure of a pillar at the QB position, and…...

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Is Elite QB the Key to 2024 Drafts? How to Exploit Underdog’s ADP Shift with an Underutilized Yet Powerful Stacking Strategy

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores the nuances of the Elite-QB roster construction strategy for Underdog best ball tournaments in 2024 After a whole summer of drafting best ball teams on Underdog, I’ve come to love Rounds 4 and 5 because I can draft elite QBs. This position group is underpriced because the market overreacted to how the one season sample of 2023 played out. The knee-jerk reaction…...

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Range of Outcomes Projections: 2 Undervalued Veterans and the RB Who Can Take Teams at the Turn to the Next Level

Dave Caban uses his detailed projections process to visualize ranges of outcomes for the top-48 running backs, factoring in shifts in market shares and team play volumes. Over the past three months, I’ve dedicated significant time to working on the RotoViz 2024 Fantasy Football Player Projections. This year, I introduced a new element by analyzing how potential shifts in market share and team play volume…...

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2024 Projections: The Chargers’ WR Depth Chart is Wide Open But Justin Herbert is Still a QB1

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Los Angeles Chargers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out…...

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This Simple Hack Has Delivered a 40% RB Breakout Rate and Could Be Your Path to Finding the Next Fantasy Superstar: 4 Cheap Running Backs Poised to Explode

Blair Andrews helps you locate a simple hack that has delivered a 40% RB breakout rate. Want to find four RBs about to explode? Read on. As we hit fantasy football crunch time, the RotoViz team is helping you find the most precious of fantasy commodities: the league-smashing running back. Shawn Siegele has started the world-famous Zero RB Candidates Countdown. Michael Dubner has one-upped him with…...

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If You Can Sneak This Cohort Of RBs Into The Playoffs, Their Back-Weighted Production Is Going To Win Fantasy Championships

In order to win life-changing money in best ball tournaments, we need to strategically score the most points in the weeks that matter most. In the first part of this series on back-weighted production, we reminded ourselves why not all weeks are created equal. We then explored how rookie wide receivers are the key to unlocking back-weighted production, and identified the key range of the…...

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The Dude’s Rug Category: Why a Featured Player on Do Not Draft Lists Will Tie Your Build Together

“Did I pee on your rug? Did I urinate on your rug? So every time I, just want to understand this, sir, every time a rug is micturated upon in this fair city, I have to compensate the-” Even drafting a large number of teams in a wide variety of formats, it’s easy to get tunnel vision. Sometimes it’s necessary to micturate rain on your…...

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Rookie WRs Are The Key To Back-Weighted Production, But This Rookie Cohort Benefits More Than The Rest

In the increasingly competitive world of best ball and playoff tournament-style fantasy football, one of the most powerful edges lies in constructing rosters that peak during the fantasy playoffs — a concept known as back-weighted production. Rookie wide receivers, who often see their production rise as the season progresses, provide a unique opportunity to capitalize on this edge. In 2023 alone, we saw several rookies…...

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2024 Projections: The Dolphins’ Offense Remains a Bastion of Fantasy Fire

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Miami Dolphins while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

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Win Your League by Targeting Market Share: 9 Receivers Who Command the Ball and May Be Available in Your Draft

In recent weeks, I’ve gone through some of the most meaningful underlying WR stats, searching for players who might be overlooked relative to cost. If you have time, go back and see what I uncovered analyzing players with strong outputs in Air Yards and Yards per Route Run (YPRR). This week, I’ll put Target Market Share (reTRGMS) under the microscope. Target Market Share is a…...

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Fantasy’s Best Late-Round Pick Provides a 4-in-1 Value and Could Be This Year’s Adam Thielen

Shawn Siegele reveals his favorite 2024 late-round pick and explains why a forgotten-yet-buzzy WR allows you to check four boxes at once. When it comes to volume, I generally have only one rule: don’t make the same volume play as everyone else. If you’re making the same volume bet as the community, then that bet is going to get pricey even if it doesn’t seem…...

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2024 Projections: Brock Bowers Is the Next High-Upside Rookie TE

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Las Vegas Raiders while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out…...

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2024 Projections: Can Drake Maye and Ja’Lynn Polk Reinvent the Patriots’ Offense?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the New England Patriots while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out…...

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2024 Projections: Can Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams, and the Rams’ Offense Catch Lightning In a Bottle Another Time?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Los Angeles Rams while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out…...

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How Should Drafters Be Playing 2024’s Most Polarizing Rookie Wide Receivers? Part 4: The Next Deebo Samuel or the Next Rondale Moore?

With as many opinions as there are people in the world, if we look hard enough we will always be able to find ample evidence to soothe our confirmation biases. In this regard, fantasy football reflects everything else. With seemingly as many sources for content as there are fantasy leagues at this point, if we’re seeking justification for our player takes, we’ll never have to…...

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Simulating Best Ball Mania to Uncover the Hidden Impact of Bye Weeks and Injuries

The NFL preseason is underway and training camp blurbs are flooding the internet. The NFL season is near. The firehose of news can be overwhelming, but it’s one of the keys to forming each players’ range of outcomes. Whether it’s a sleeper already running with the starters or a shiny rookie playing with the third team, we’re learning more each day about the floor and…...

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These 2 Teams with New Starters Could Provide Massive Fantasy Value: Small Gap Backfields to Watch Closely During the Preseason

Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with a dominant veteran and potential breakouts to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...

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The Open Score Superstars Set to Turn Fantasy Football on Its Head: 5 Wide Receivers About to Join the Elite Ranks

In my last article I highlighted one of ESPN Analytics Receiver Tracking Metrics: YAC Score. Deebo Samuel has been among the best in the league at YAC Score since his rookie season. And at least one Year 2 breakout candidate looks like he might be on a similar trajectory. But YAC Score isn’t the only metric ESPN tracks. In fact, one could say it’s not…...

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