Similarity based projections are probably the most powerful thing that I use to draft my fantasy team that most fantasy owners just don’t have at their fingertips. Similarity based projections address shortfalls in other projection systems that might have a tough time accounting for variables that aren’t linear (age for instance) or perhaps variables that might interact with each other (like receiver size and touchdown totals). Instead of saying that a receiving yard is worth 0.7 receiving yards when projecting the following season’s fantasy results, as a regression formula might tell you, I just look at how a group of similar players performed and make an assumption that my subject player might fit within the range of how similar receivers performed. Similarity scores were the reason that I had Vincent Jackson on every single one of my fantasy teams in 2012.
