Irrational Exuberance: The 16 Most Overvalued Players
Numbers Game Podcast

We asked 25 RotoViz staff writers to identify one player whom they feel is being over-drafted, whom they believe will underperform in 2017.  Perhaps unsurprisingly, RotoViz writers were most skeptical of running backs. Ten of the eighteen players identified were running backs. Derek Carr was the only quarterback listed.  Despite the general distrust in running backs, the number one most over-valued player was actually a wide receiver.

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Jeff Matson

Jeff Matson is a program manager and fantasy football enthusiast. Jeff holds a BS degree in Aerospace Engineering and an MBA in global business. Jeff contributes to RotoViz.com and has produced and hosted podcasts on RotoViz radio.

Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Jeff Matson May 30, 2024

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

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Is Drafting Rashaad Penny Wise?

Jeff Matson June 4, 2019

Last year I wrote about my hometown hero, San Diego State University alum Rashaad Penny, as an elite NFL prospect. Although he was from a small Mountain West school, he sported a class-leading College Dominator Rating above 50% and had the second-highest score in the RB Prospect Lab. Yet Penny was possibly overdrafted in reality when he was taken by the run-heavy Seattle Seahawks in the…...

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Streaming Defenses: Week 11

Jeff Matson November 13, 2018

One of the biggest mistakes novice fantasy players make is reaching too early in a draft for a team defense. This is a mistake for several reasons, but most importantly because you can stream the position, picking up a defense with a great matchup each week…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Jeff Matson May 30, 2024

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

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Is Drafting Rashaad Penny Wise?

Jeff Matson June 4, 2019

Last year I wrote about my hometown hero, San Diego State University alum Rashaad Penny, as an elite NFL prospect. Although he was from a small Mountain West school, he sported a class-leading College Dominator Rating above 50% and had the second-highest score in the RB Prospect Lab. Yet Penny was possibly overdrafted in reality when he was taken by the run-heavy Seattle Seahawks in the…...

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Streaming Defenses: Week 11

Jeff Matson November 13, 2018

One of the biggest mistakes novice fantasy players make is reaching too early in a draft for a team defense. This is a mistake for several reasons, but most importantly because you can stream the position, picking up a defense with a great matchup each week…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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