Week 9 WR Advanced Stats: Garrett Wilson is the Perfect Example of How Primacy Effect Can Get the Best of Us in Fantasy
Image Credit: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Garrett Wilson.

Primacy effect is the tendency for us to recall the first events of a series rather than those that come later. This is why sports teams and players getting off to fast starts can linger in our minds as still being current long after the initial hot streak has since faded.

The same can also be true for slow starts. If a team or player fall flat on their face out of the gate, it takes an overabundance of information to the contrary to change our perception of the situation.

The blade of primacy effect cuts both ways in fantasy football, and is something that can be taken advantage of if we are aware of it and stay vigilant in keeping an eye out for when it rears its head.

Before we get into the latest information available in the Advanced Stats Explorer, just a few quick reminders about the article.

  • Leading up to the season, I looked at the five years of data available in the Advanced Stats Explorer and broke it down into four separate articles: Routes and Targets, Intended Air Yards, Yards After the Catch and Evasion, and Catchable Targets, Drops, First Downs, and Touchdowns.
  • When working through the five-year sample, we found that the 90th percentile and above generally included most of the top-24 wide receivers for each metric in any given season. The 75th percentile and above included the top 55 to 60 WRs in any given metric per season. Given that these two cohorts easily apply to a normal 12-team fantasy league, they will be referenced often throughout the article.

In Week 9 the total number of players who earned at least one target during the 2024 season grew to 201 after our Week 8 sample included 195 players.[1]

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Footnotes

Footnotes
1 Players who have been members of multiple teams this season have their production for each team listed as separate entries in the Advanced Stats Explorer.

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Kevin Szafraniec

Full-time Cat Dad, Sneakerhead, Record Collector, LOTR Fanboy, and Jeopardy Enthusiast. Fantasy football writer and beatmaker in my free time. Follow me on X @thecatdadff

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Blair and I will be taking this Tuesday off from our normal waivers show on the RotoViz YouTube channel, but will be back next week with some new, exciting content as we head down the home stretch of the 2024 season and look forward to 2025. To all of our subscribers and listeners, we are grateful for your feedback and support. Have a safe and…...

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Week 13 Waiver Wire: Jordan Mason is One Injury Away From Becoming an Obvious League Winner

Blair and I will be taking this Tuesday off from our normal waivers show on the RotoViz YouTube channel, but will be back next week with some new, exciting content as we head down the home stretch of the 2024 season and look forward to 2025. To all of our subscribers and listeners, we are grateful for your feedback and support. Have a safe and…...

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Week 12 Monday Review: Saquon Barkley Continues His Ascension to the 1.01 in 2025, While Recent Reality 1.01s Fight Off the Bust Label

Just when we thought that there was little more Saquon Barkley could do to surprise us this season, he comes out on Sunday night and puts together the best fantasy performance of his entire career. As the engine that powers the Eagles’ offense, the arguments against Barkley rising to the 1.01 in fantasy drafts next year are growing thinner by the week. On the other…...

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You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Justin Herbert and the Chargers’ Passing Game are Coming on at Exactly the Right Time

Much of the offseason narrative surrounding the Chargers’ hirings of Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman centered on how they were going to drastically reduce the passing volume in the team’s offense. During Brandon Staley’s three-year tenure in Los Angeles, the Chargers’ average of 43 passes per 60 minutes was the second-highest in the NFL, while their average of 68 total plays was tied for third.

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